CFB Playoff Rankings: UofM #2, OSU #6

Seeing OSU 6 is concerning but I feel pretty strongly that an Alabama win over Georgia to win the SEC would vault them ahead of OSU.  Not *as* strongly about a Texas win over OK State, but it would be for a conference championship and they only need to rise 1 spot to beat OSU.  I really don't think anything has changed.  OSU needs Texas and Florida State to lose to even be in the conversation.

Would suck though if it happened.  OSU knocked Michigan out of the CFP in 2016 and 2018, would figure if we beat them 3 years in a row and they still made the CFP in 2 of those years (yeah I know, don't lose to Iowa and Michigan would have made it in at least 2016)

Go Dawgs!

And if they lose:

Go ‘Noles!

I’m actually concerned about Ducks even more than Bulldogs.

And caring about THE Playskool is just noise. Honestly, I’d love to be the first Michigan team to beat them twice in a single season.

Quick rant:

This shit never makes any sense to me.

Michigan only moving up 1 spot after beating the #2 ranked team as determined by the Playoff Committee is just dumb as fuck.

Georgia beats Bama on Saturday, sure, I'd have no problem at all moving back to #2.

But this week, after beating #2 (now #6) Michigan SHOULD be the #1 team.

/ end rant

Texas and Bama are obviously ranked behind OSU so that if those teams lose, they stay behind OSU and don't appear to be "punished" for having played in a conference title game while OSU stayed at home and watched it happen.

But...what about Washington and FSU? If those teams lose, a lot of people (myself included) presume that OSU would jump them. Yet, those would also just be 1-loss teams who are being punished for having played an extra game.

I'd like to believe that maybe OSU really is already out.

OK let's go chalk!!! Definitely would rather face Washington or FSU than anyone else at this point. 

We can all debate this and have our opinions but it all has to play out in the end and we will see. All I care about is a Michigan victory on Saturday night to know for sure we are locked in for our berth to chase a national championship. Go Blue! 

Wonder what Warde had to say in the war room?

I think the committee is floating OSU at #6 right now for the talking points, but Texas and Bama leapfrog them if they win. They can't do anything to help their resume anymore so I think this is their peak ranking and they'll only fall barring some chaos and even with chaos I think they're gonna stay at 5

I’d like the 4 CFP teams to be the top 4 as it stands, but honestly I don’t care who we play. Bring it. 

Texas can jump Ohio as well

I read this that if Oregon wins and FSU loses, OSU is in. Which is complete horseshit, but that’s what putting them ahead of Texas seems to imply. 

Even on the remote chance of Iowa beating Michigan, Michigan would still be the number 4 team. 

If bama beats GA and Oregon beasts Washington, FSU wins, and Michigan beats Iowa:.

1. Michigan. 2. Georgia, 3. FSU 4. Alabama. I don't  like this scenario

If Georgia beats bama, If Washington defeats Oregon and FSU wins along with Michigan.

1. UGA, 2. UM, 3. Washington, 4. FSU.  I like this better.

If  UGA beats Bama. If Oregon defeats Washington, and both FSU and Michigan both win.

1. UGA, 2. UM, 3. FSU, 4. Oregon. This is the best scenario IMO.

What would happen if Bama defeats UGA and Michigan, Washington and FSU remain undefeated. I would say UGA would be left out of the playoffs.

1.) Michigan, 2.) Washington, 3.) FSU, 4.) Bama.

What if UGA beats Bama, Oregon beats Washington, Louisville beats FSU, and Texas beats Okie State?  Would they dare put Ohio over conference champion Texas in the 4 spot?  I can't see the justification.

My vote is for Washington to lose and FSU to win and the final four being:

1 UGA 2 Michigan 3 FSU 4 Oregon

George would have the tougher semifinal match. Of course I thought the same last year when we ended up with TCU and we all know how that ended up.

Doesn’t matter where Alabama is right now. If they win on Saturday, they’re in. A 12-1 SEC champion that just beat the #1 team in the country ain’t getting left out. What happens to Georgia will be very curious. Would they stay above a 12-1 Texas team that beat Alabama and won its conference?

I can’t imagine the SEC is getting two teams in this year. Michigan is in, winner of Oregon/Washington is in, winner of the SEC title game is in, and then you have four teams vying for that fourth spot. If Texas and FSU win, both of them should have claim over OSU and the loser of the SEC title game. But I don’t know how you decide if both Texas and FSU win. My money goes on Texas because they have the better wins, and have their starting QB. 

FSU just looks like a completely different team without Jordan Travis.

Kirk Herbstreit and others were trying to argue that a 1 loss Alabama/1 loss Georgia should be in the top 4 over an undefeated FSU because it's about the 4 "best teams" not the best resumes. Isn't it supposed to be about the 4 most deserving teams, not necessarily who you think the 4 best teams are? I think it would be bullshit to leave out a team that won all their games in favor of a 1 loss team. 

born on 3rd base, still on third base

If Alabama beats Georgia, how can they not jump ahead? And if they jump ahead, Texas can jump with them.

The question for OSU is how far Washington would drop with a loss. I don't think enough to help. OSU's alive, but they need wins from Georgia, Washington, Oklahoma State and Louisville.

I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news about OSU, but this afternoon I was running errands and my iPhone had disconnected from my car and I couldn't get it reconnected, so I decided to listen to to a sports talk show on Sirius XM, and just picked one at random.Turns out it was Paul Finebaum, who I know virtually nothing about except what I've read here. (I know so little about him first hand that I thought his last name had three syllables.) I've seen his picture on this site, so I was glad it was radio.

Anyway, here's the bad news: A caller asked him about Ohio State's chances, and he said OSU had no chance.

Based on what I've read about him here, I guess that means OSU is a lock. And probably will win it all. 

You can all kill yourselves now or wait for the inevitable.

I still don't see how OSU gets in.

UGA is in regardless. If they lose to Bama that likely means both are in.

Michigan wins and we're in.  

Pac winner is in. 

For OSU to have a chance it feels like FSU and Texas need to lose, UGA beats Bama and Michigan loses (and even then I think Michigan has a stronger case to still get in than OSU). Otherwise I'm just not seeing it. 

It just occurred to me that the biggest chaos bomb would be us losing to barely-ranked Iowa. We’d still be 12-1, with a loss to a ranked opponent in a conference championship. Would we stay in the top 4?

Can you imagine the hot seat under Day if Michigan beats him twice this year?

I'd bet anything Texas winning will vault them ahead of osu. The committee does this all the time. They put osu in striking distance should fsu and texas lose but also has texas positioned for an easy justification to move up a few spots. 

GA wins, UM wins, FSU loses, OR wins, Texas wins =

1. GA, 2. UM, 3. OR, 4. TX 5. OSU

I don't particularly like that draw and I'd rather UM play Texas or WA or FSU in the first round. 

Unfortunately, I cannot see a clear path to playing FSU in the playoff here. I think the best case scenario is everyone undefeated wins on Saturday and the rankings hold exactly as they are now to set up one last Pac/B1G Rose Bowl. I want no part of Georgia or Oregon in a semifinal. If you're facing them, you want that to be for all the marbles in the championship where you can empty out the kitchen sink without worrying about anything else. UW is just not playing at that same level right now. Georgia isn't really either but it's Georgia, that's a power-matchup that needs to be for the championship.

I worry that both UW and FSU will lose, Michigan will be stuck at #2 with the less impressive win over Iowa, and get stuck playing Oregon at #3. Maaaaybe if Georgia loses and and FSU loses, Georgia ends up 2/3 with UW/Oregon, but we just saw the #2 team lose to #3 and drop to #6. That kind of precedent would lead me to think UGA would drop further if they lost to #8 now, but maybe the SEC bias will save us and they'll end up with the nightmare semifinal instead.