Blinkin

July 25th, 2023 at 1:04 PM ^

The university may well be taking that stance, but I'm saying they shouldn't.  The NCAA can't keep Michigan football out of games because they can't overrule the TV contracts.  They NCAA could demand we reduce our scholarships, but with NIL it hardly matters, and either way the university could ignore that too - compliance is all voluntary.  

CityOfKlompton

July 25th, 2023 at 1:35 PM ^

Could the NCAA choose to disqualify Michigan from any games where they are in violation, even if they are played and won in the field against NCAA ruling? This would make Michigan ineligible for a bowl game, thus eliminating them from CFP contention.

Michigan wouldn't be that stupid with potentially their best team in decades.

JonnyHintz

July 25th, 2023 at 2:29 PM ^

My understanding is the CFP (and the BCS before) are separate entities entirely from the NCAA and the NCAA simply chooses to recognize the CFP champion as the NCAA Champion. So the NCAA can’t force them to not invite Michigan, but they could choose not to recognize a hypothetical Michigan championship. 

Blinkin

July 25th, 2023 at 3:53 PM ^

And the bowl would be free to ignore that fake zero and invite Michigan anyway.  The NCAA literally cannot do anything if you keep throwing their letters in the dumpster.  No one will choose to go along with them if push comes to shove.  The TV companies want their money, the advertisers want their money, the bowl committees and CFP committees want their money, etc.  

CityOfKlompton

July 25th, 2023 at 4:36 PM ^

We are talking about a pretty massive amount of cooperation among several very large and complex entities to protest together against another. Eventually, the NCAA may get phased out, but at the current time, cable networks, conferences, individual teams, bowl committees, bowl games, etc. all banding together to abruptly cut off the NCAA is incredibly unlikely to happen. 

Among other reasons, the NCAA owns rights to March Madness, a literal cash cow, that would get incredibly messy and chop up a lot of expected revenue. 

The NCAA is a bit dubious, yes, but they still hold some sway, and taking a reckless, juvenile stand against them abruptly would cause some issues and force a lot of your partners in the industry into an incredibly awkward situation, which they probably wouldn't take kindly.

I get that it's fun and easy to dunk on the NCAA these days, but it's still not quite as simple as everyone seems to think.

JonnyHintz

July 25th, 2023 at 6:07 PM ^

But CFP games are not “bowl games.” They are playoff games that are held at bowl sites. The Fiesta Bowl had zero say in who played in that game. They didn’t invite Michigan or TCU, the teams and matchups for the CFP are decided entirely by the CFP Committee. As such, the CFP theoretically has the ability to ignore the NCAA and “official wins.” 
 

(As an aside, the NCAA actually doesn't officially recognize a champion in football. I believe it is the only sport where they do not officially do so.)

Well that’s just not true at all. The NCAA website even has a list of their recognized champions. https://www.ncaa.com/news/football/article/college-football-national-championship-history?amp

 

Football is the only sport where the NCAA doesn’t organize their own tournament to determine a champion, instead choosing to recognize champions in the past based on polls, then the BCS Champion, and now the CFP Champion. 

goblu330

July 25th, 2023 at 7:17 PM ^

But none of this stuff matters because Michigan isn’t simply going to ignore the suspension or they wouldn’t be negotiating.  I’m guessing this is causing major flack between Harbaugh and Manuel, and this is too close to the season.

I don’t think this is a HUGE deal, but I think it is a bigger deal than the front page thinks it is.  East Carolina is an actual football team and Rutgers should have beat Michigan at home 2 years ago.  We need to be passed this and possible interims sharing notes already.
 

And Harbaugh doesn’t exactly move on to clear-head status fast, he is a really fiery person who takes slights personally, real or perceived.   I think this would be seen by him to be more of a slight from the Michigan AD than the NCAA.  I don’t think the suspension has to be a big deal but I think the timing is foreboding.  And I now officially hate the Nebraska game.

JonnyHintz

July 25th, 2023 at 8:00 PM ^

East Carolina is an actual football team 
 

That’s generous. They went 8-5 last year and lost essentially all of their production. They’re expected to take a huge step back, which is why Michigan is favored by over 30 points right now. Their O/U on wins this season is 5.5-6.5, depending on the source, with most of the projections being on the under.

goblu330

July 25th, 2023 at 8:29 PM ^

I am not saying that East Carolina is going to beat Michigan.  What I am saying is that the idea that this suspension is simply a “nothing burger” is pretty crazy.  From my understanding, this would not simply be that Harbaugh can’t be on the sidelines for 4 games, I don’t think he can have contact with the team during the weeks of those 4 games.  Anybody can correct me if I’m wrong, but I think that is the deal.  That is not great.  The first two games he returns are road games in what are going to be really hostile environments.  I don’t think Michigan is going to lose any of the games that he is out, but I do think that the season just got quite a bit more complicated.

bluebyyou

July 25th, 2023 at 3:38 PM ^

What the University should do would be to take the NCAA to court.  Why does Michigan always play the game with old rules. Instead of feeling good about our school it makes me want to barf from the abject stupidity of self-righteousness in the era of NIL.

Learn from Tennessee.

Blinkin

July 25th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^

Bowl bans aren't meaningfully enforceable.  Bowl committees can invite whoever they want.  Ditto scholarships.  The university can keep paying for kids' schooling, and NIL has made scholarship limits utterly irrelevant anyway.  

The one thing they can do is vacate wins.  Oh no.  Whatever will we do.  I guess OSU beat us 45-23 last year now, huh?  

Decatur Jack

July 25th, 2023 at 1:44 PM ^

I don't really get this notion that the NCAA is an "empty logo."

They do have power to impose sanctions. They're just inconsistent and hypocritical in going after alleged violations. They let certain schools get off with nothing while dropping the hammer down on others. And they willfully ignore certain aspects of college sports.

But powerless they're not, I think.

rice4114

July 25th, 2023 at 3:57 PM ^

This has more teeth to it than what happened to Tennessee after full blown cheating and paying players. Fuck the NCAA in so many ways. Im guessing the puppet masters behind this shit are thinking this will help nudge Harbaugh to the NFL. Luckily for them our fans and university will take it like they always do. Tennessee wont lose a coach for any games, wont sit out any bowls, wont be banned from the playoffs. Honestly Id be ready to go to the NFL. Fuck em. I hope it backfires and puts a fire in Harbaughs belly unknown to mankind.

MJ14

July 25th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^

Back in January I posted that Harbaugh had no plans to serve a suspension. I haven’t talked to anyone recently but this was a point of contention between Harbaugh and Warde. I don’t know if Jim changed his mind or not but Jim is not the type to just change his mind.

If this ends up happening, don’t be surprised if you hear about Jim to the NFL again in the off-season. He was very hung up on Warde making sure he did everything to not have him serve a suspension. 

NittanyFan

July 25th, 2023 at 4:21 PM ^

What's the old saying?  Fuck around and find out.  The NCAA is what it is, usually it's best not to "fuck around" with them, as they are petty and will let you "find out."

Michigan (nor any other school) isn't pulling out of the NCAA either.  I'm cynical on them, but the NCAA serves a function.

To quote from a 2012 Spencer Hall article (replace Penn State below with any of the other 1000 NCAA members): "Being a member institution, Penn State leans on the NCAA for one thing: the stamp of amateurism. If the NCAA did not exist, Penn State would not have a ready intermediary between those pointing out that they're running a business under the guise of a non-profit and the money coming from said non-profit."

LSA91

July 26th, 2023 at 1:30 PM ^

I don't think the NCAA report is public - if it is, I would LOVE to read it.

According to various leaks, the NCAA concluded that Harbaugh committed some recruiting violations during Covid, when there were additional restrictions in place. The only specific one I've heard about is that he supposedly bought cheeseburgers for a couple recruits at the Brown Jug. (I am not making that up.)  My understanding is that Michigan also self-reported that they had an analyst on the field during practice. Whatever the violations were, they were "Level II" which is relatively minor. 

Supposedly, the NCAA concluded that Harbaugh lied about the recruiting contact (presumably the cheeseburgers), which is Level I and much more serious.  As I said at the time the story broke, I'd really like to see the specifics and the evidence.

https://theathletic.com/4063074/2023/01/05/michigan-jim-harbaugh-rules-violations-ncaa/