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The cognitive fallacy may be…

The cognitive fallacy may be thinking these things are 100% in Michigan’s control.    

It is definitely changing…

It is definitely changing quickly.  A few years ago when we bought our Kona, AWD options were very limited and exclusively on high end models.  Seems now that uppe 280s for range is common place, tradeofs it is easier to tradeoff more range for AWD.

As battery technology continues to improve, it will be interesting to see how EVs evolve.

Believe that the 36 mph is…

Believe that the 36 mph is highway, not combined.   Obviously what number is most relevant depends heavily on how you will use it.

While I am a big EV fan for…

While I am a big EV fan for many reasons, the ability to have AWD is not one of them.   While there are a few models with AWD, it is definitely not a standard feature.   The extra weight of an additional motor has generally not been worth the tradeoff for most manufacturers.

As both battery and charging technology continues to improve, I suspect that it will become a more common feature, albeit one that comes with shorter range.  Note that combustion engine AWD vehicles also take an efficiency hit, but obviously range on a tank of gas is not the same downside in an ICE and an EV.

Scruggs is probably well…

Scruggs is probably well over 200 lbs.   How is being able to go out and drink 4 or 5 beers absurdly low?    I get that many people regularly drink more than that, but you can certainly socialize with friends and drink moderately if you want to drive.   If not, get an uber, have someone else drive or drink at home.

Are you saying this because…

Are you saying this because almost every gun made today is semiautomatic?   Because if I were an originalist, wouldn’t I point out that the first semiautomatic weapon wasn’t made until 1885 and therefore clearly the framers of the constitution only meant to protect non-semiautomatic weapons when they wrote the second amendment?

Did you even read the…

Did you even read the article you linked?   This is from your own linked article:

“Many statisticians believe the reason the CRPC study's results seem so counterintuitive is that they are incorrect. One of the more detailed analyses appeared on the fact-checking website snopes.com and concluded that the CRPC report used “inappropriate statistical methods” which led to misleading results.

According to the fact-checkers' analysis, one of those inappropriate methods was the leaving out of the many European countries that had not experienced a single mass shooting between 2009-2015. This data would not have changed the position of the U.S. on the list, but its absence could lead a reader to believe—incorrectly—that the U.S. experienced fewer mass shooting fatalities per capita than all but a handful of countries in Europe.

A more important oversight was the report's use of average deaths per capita instead of a more stable metric. Because of the smaller populations of most European countries, individual events in those countries had statistically oversized influence and warped the results. For example, Norway’s world-leading annual rate was due to a single devastating 2011 event, in which far-right extremist Anders Behring Breivik gunned down 69 people at a summer camp on the island of Utøya. Norway had zero mass shootings in 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015.”

While there is a long…

While there is a long history of ism in history, and in the US, many groups have been marginalized at various times, including but not limited to Italians, Irish chinese, Japanese, muslims, catholics and others, it seems to be hard to deny that from slavery to redlining, racism against blacks has been both particularly prolonged and persistent.   In the US, I think one would be hard pressed to suggest that blacks and native Americans have suffered more.  Since there are more than 6 times as many blacks in the US as native Americans, it should not be a huge surprise that when people in the US think about racism, blacks are the first group of people to come to mind.

Who would want a candle when…

Who would want a candle when you can have a pizza

 

Unfortunately the offense…

Unfortunately the offense also gave up 14 points.   The defensive performance looks a bit better when you subtract out those points (and without them the 45 points the offense scored would have been enough 

Pretty ironic you calling…

Pretty ironic you calling other people sanctimonious assholes.

Interestingly, you don’t…

Interestingly, you don’t have to think about whether stricter gun control would work, you just have to look at the evidence of many other western countries with strict gun control laws and lots less gun deaths.  Sure, people will still find a way, but make it harder and less people will find a way.

Yes, the only solution to…

Yes, the only solution to gun violence is more guns.    Oh look, another day without a mass shooting in a country with strict gun control.    It’s like less people get killed by guns when there are actually less guns.

The first amendment protects…

The first amendment protects the right to free speech, but if you say something libelous you aren’t protected, if you say something that creates a clear and present danger, you aren’t protected 

The fourth amendment protects us from unreasonable search and seizure but if you go on an airplane or into most federal buildings, there is a darn good chance you will be searched, not because you are doing anything nefarious, just because you are there.

How hard is it to understand that none of the amendments in the bill of rights give us completely unfettered rights and that part of democracy should be about engaging in debate (and action) about what those limits should be.

It is funny how none of you…

It is funny how none of you can explain how so many other countries have managed to greatly limit gun deaths but insist it is just not possible to do so in the US.    Yes, we are never going to reduce all violence or eliminate all gun deaths, but stricter national gun control laws demonstrably work.

Why is it they don’t happen…

Why is it they don’t happen anywhere near as frequently in other western countries that have strict gun control laws?   Yes, people will still find ways to kill, but take away easy tools to kill lots of people quickly and many less people will die in those events.

It isn’t theoretical that we…

It isn’t theoretical that we know what the solution to this problem is.   Do European countries have multiple mass shootings every year?   Does Canada, Australia, New Zealand?   Gun control works.

Gun laws in NY are of…

Gun laws in NY are of limited use when you can just drive your guns up 95 from states with lax gun laws.

Tonight, while this is still…

Tonight, while this is still unfolding, there is little more that most of us can do than offer thoughts and prayers.    The problem is tomorrow and the next day and the day after that, when many of the  people in position to actually do something to prevent these events from occurring will offer little more than thoughts and prayers.

If multiple players keep…

If multiple players keep making bad individual decisions, that could point back to coaching.

I feel like I must be…

I feel like I must be missing some joke, but if not:

We have a dedicated wide receiver coach - Ron Bellamy

We have a safeties coach - Jay Harbaugh

No dog in this fight, but…

No dog in this fight, but while the academic calendar speaks of two semesters, each semester is broken into two sessions.   Isn’t that just quarters by another name?

https://registrar.osu.edu/staff/bigcal.asp

John Beilein had a long…

John Beilein had a long history of success before Michigan and in the two years before 2014, he went to the NCAA finals and the elite 8.  In 2014, two of his three best players missed double digit games.   There was ample evidence that Beilein was a very good coach.

With regards to roster management - every coach is going to have recruiting misses, but when you recruit a 6 man class and in year 2, you’ve only got 1 quality starter and one guy emerging as a backup, you’ve got roster management problems.   Over 2020/21, 10 recruits have resulted in 2 quality starters, and one quality backup who you have to play as a starter.   In your 4th year, the roster you have developed is counting on two freshmen playing major roles and they are surrounded by 2 quality starters and a few decent backups.    That isn’t bad luck, it is bad recruiting.

I am pretty sure that

I am pretty sure that

Senior - Zavier Simpson 

Senior - John Teske

Junior - Isaiah Livers

Junior - Eli Brooks

Freshman - Franz Wagner

would beat Howard’s team this year more than 6 out of 10 times.

also pretty sure that this years team would be better with Cole Bejama or David Dejulius on the roster.

 


 

Isn’t that the point?   …

Isn’t that the point?    Howard is the coach and the team is bad.   At what point do you move on?   

That explains alot.  Our…

That explains alot.  Our redzone playcalling was definitely a crime.

Personally I could care less…

Personally I could care less what type of footwear an M and M candy chooses to wear or whether a cartoon bear chooses to bare his ass going pantless.   I do however find it interesting that people can suggest that changing what a cartoon character wears is somehow terribly offensive, while simultaneously suggesting that others should not be offended if the clothing choice stayed the same way it has always been.

I believe the concern was…

I believe the concern was not in the singing itself but the choosing to film himself singing and then post it. 

You do realize that A&W was…

You do realize that A&W was joking about the pants?  

Isn’t the real question - …

Isn’t the real question - “How you gettin to the shore?”

At some point, do you have…

At some point, do you have to question whether it is all about luck?  When is it just bad luck and when does some of it start to reflect on Howard?

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1,  Interesting straw-man…

1,  Interesting straw-man that making a snide comment about your humble brag about being able to drink 14 beers in less than 2 hours was in some way claiming that I was perfect.

2. The fact that you thought nothing of drinking 14 beers in less than two hours but still viewed yourself as a voice of reason when it comes to alcohol poisoning certainly says something about the culture of drinking on the hockey team.

As did many college students (and probably many members of this board, I drank way more than I should have.    The difference is that 20, 30 or 40 years later, most of us don’t feel compelled to come into a thread on a message board and tell tales of our drinking exploits.    

Sure, all the high school and college kids who visit Mgoblog are bombarded by  imagery about excessive alcohol consumption in many different forms and one more story on Mgoblog, probably won’t make much difference, but you are one of the most well respected voices on this blog, why use it to promote behavior that you seem to acknowledge is unhealthy?  You’ve got three choices:

1. Choose not to say anything positive about the excessive drinking you did in college - this is the choice most people on the blog and in life choose.

2. Say things that glorify excessive drinking - this is the choice it appears to me that you made and I feel no remorse for having called you out on it.  I also don’t think that calling you out on it somehow suggests that I think I am perfect.

3. Speak up against excessive drinking - not really the choice I intended to make here.   I was just making a snide comment mocking you for bragging that you could drink 14 beers in less than two hours and feel absolutely no ill effects.

BTW - 30 years ago the hockey  culture did not appear to have changed that much.  The only interaction I had with hockey players in my dorm (different floor) was seeing one of them being carried into our building as drunk as any human being I have witnessed helped by a drunken teammate babbling his apologies about a hazing gone to far.    Don’t know who the player was, but luckily he survived the night.

 

I actually don’t expect an…

I actually don’t expect an expression of embarrassment or remorse, nor did I ask for one.  Just not a fan of people who glamorize behavior that can and does kill.   Sorry you find that so offensive.

Kids die from drinking…

Kids die from drinking excessive alcohol in college even when they don’t get behind the wheel, no need to glamorize it.    If calling that out makes me a prick in your mind, I have no problem being called a prick.

 

“We did it once a year, and…

“We did it once a year, and it was no big deal, fun, no problem, coherent, and no hangover the next day. “, sounds more like a humble brag than a confession of the foolishness of youth.

A confession of the foolishness of youth would probably spend less time glamorizing excessive alcohol consumption and more time expressing embarrassment.

Wow, you are so cool.

Wow, you are so cool.

I think our pitch starts…

I think our pitch starts with, there are no guarantees in the world but:

1. We have been to the sweet 16 five years in a row - if you want to experience big time March basketball, there are not many places that have had that sustained success.

2. You will get great big man coaching.

3. There are significant big man minutes to be had (assuming Dickinson leaves).   You have the ability to take them and make us a better team.   We believe in you, but how big a role you end up playing is ultimately on you.   We are going to give you the tools and the opportunity.

In 2017, eight people died…

In 2017, eight people died and over 12,000 were injured badly enough to require medical treatment after fireworks-related incidents. Of these, 50% of the injuries were to children and young adults under age 20. Over two-thirds (67%) of injuries took place from June 16 to July 16. And while the majority of these incidents were due to amateurs attempting to use professional-grade, homemade or other illegal fireworks or explosives, an estimated 1,200 injuries were from less powerful devices like small firecrackers and sparklers.

Additionally, fireworks start an average of 18,500 fires each year, including 1,300 structure fires, 300 vehicle fires and nearly 17,000 other fires.
 

 

You say that like it is some…

You say that like it is some kind of gotcha   Why wouldn’t you self quarantine if you got the flu.   Why would you feel so self important as to go around infecting a bunch of other people.    If your boss has an ounce of sense he or she won’t want you around infecting coworkers and customers.

His first season was 12/13. …

His first season was 12/13.   He played 4 years at Michigan with a redshirt his 4th year.   He played one year at Purdue.  He worked outside of basketball after graduating, was a graduate assistant at Louisville for one year and is now a grad assistant at Purdue.

This will be his 7th year.  

All he has to do is pay $5

All he has to do is pay $5

Is gambling a sport?

Is gambling a sport?

Bata, the Chinese, nature,…

Bata, the Chinese, nature, god or whatever else you believe created Covid-19 also has indemnity.

One would expect more xtra…

One would expect more xtra supporters in this thread than detractors.   First, it is a drinking thread, something that xtra was strongly and rightfully positively associated with.    Second, if you didn’t care for him, you are likely to get less excited about posting in a thread talking about that because it has limited utility (I realize the irony of my posting in this thread).

With regards to his on-line personality vs his real one, since most of us only know him on-line, that is what is relevant to us.    XM had very strong opinions on a number of topics that he was not shy about sharing, covid, climate change and abortion, just to name a few.   Not surprisingly, invoking those opinions often invited spirited debate.    At least with regards to covid and climate change, the ideas he cited as “facts” were often not well supported.   When he was called out on that, he would double down.    Many people have gotten banned for similar behavior.

Some argue that he shouldn’t have been banned because on whole, he contributed very positively.   I would suggest that consideration actually gave him a great deal of leniency from the mods and if he had not generally otherwise been a positive (and prolific) poster, some of his behavior regarding controversial topics would have gotten him banned much earlier.

I personally am of the camp that the way the banning went down was wrong, but the actual question of whether he should have been banned stems upon whether (and if so) how many times he had been warned about his behavior.   

Sorry about your mom.   …

Sorry about your mom.    Hope she is doing ok.

Is your point about Julius…

Is your point about Julius Caesar really true?   For Caesar don’t we have writings from Caesar himself and writings from people while he was alive as well as contemporaneous, coins, statues etc.?.

For Jesus, aren’t all of the writings after the fact?   It is much easier to find scholars who argue Jesus was not real than it is Julius Caesar.

To be clear, I am not arguing about whether or not he was real, merely that the evidence he was real is as good as the evidence that Julius Caesar was real.    It seems hard to square that with the evidence that actually exists.

Less than a third of the…

Less than a third of the people in the world are christians.    Over half the world worships differently (the remainder identify as secular/non-religous/atheist/agnostic).   By assuming that scriptures have some special meaning and that you understand that meaning (e.g. assuming that others who may worship differently than you have not chosen to “consume the word of god”), you appear to have assumed some authority.

Even within the less than 32% that identify as christians, you have assumed the authority to determine that many of them are not.   As you noted earlier in this thread: “Just cause someone says they are a Christian, means absolutely nothing”.   What makes you so sure that you’ve got it right?

I didn’t actually opine on…

 

Many states already require certain vaccines for school aged children, so this is hardly some completely unrealistic idea.

Pfizer has announced…

Pfizer has announced successful results in vaccine testing for 12 to 15 year olds and hopes to get approval to use them before school begins in the fall.   Further evidence supporting a return to normal.

https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-biontech-announce-positive-topline-results-pivotal

Editted with better cite