EJ Holland vs. Sam Webb
Tomorrow we will hear what the plans are for the remaining 2023 recruits including top-of-the-board prospect Nyckoles Harbor. What has been interesting as a way too avid consumer of recruiting info is how different two of our primary recruiting writers feel about this recruitment. I won't share any paywalled info but from what I can tell EJ Holland feels pretty ($) pessimistic, especially in the 11th hour, whereas Sam Webb is ($) holding out hope and thinks Michigan checks all the boxes (stated on his podcast yesterday).
So I wanted to put it to the board: Who do you trust to get the call right? Who's info do you find to be more consistently reliable and balanced? And how do they end up feeling so differently about this very exhaustively covered recruitment?
January 31st, 2023 at 2:49 PM ^
Whichever guy is predicting that a big recruit won't be coming to Michigan is probably the guy you should consider more reliable. Always.
January 31st, 2023 at 2:53 PM ^
Well Harbor isn't coming to Michigan and hasn't been for most of his recruitment so its not Webb.
Also Webb is selling clicks without commitment. He isn't saying Harbor is going to pick Michigan, he's saying Michigan is still in it and has what Harbor is looking for. Which is a way to play both sides and continue to get people to read the recruiting articles. He's also a sunshine blower from the program whose access comes from being a program mouthpiece. Webb is a seemingly good guy who is fun to have as part of the WTKA and beat coverage. But he's not a reporter, he's a propogandist. His takes have value in the context of knowing that what he says is what the program is comfortable with being said
January 31st, 2023 at 3:45 PM ^
Can you elaborate a bit on this:
Well Harbor isn't coming to Michigan and hasn't been for most of his recruitment
Not trying to be confrontational or anything, just genuinely curious how you know.
January 31st, 2023 at 4:06 PM ^
He doesn't.
January 31st, 2023 at 5:38 PM ^
Harbors recruitment has gone through a few different phases but over the last couple of months national and non Michigan insiders have had either South Carolina, Maryland, or Oregon out in front depending on what people believed was harbors priority. Michigan has always been there as a school and his mom has always liked Michigan but from the recruiting insiders harbor hasn’t had Michigan as the top choice or 2 for a while now.
I happen to know more about what insiders are saying on this one because my brother is a Maryland fan who pays to follow their 247 board.
February 1st, 2023 at 6:57 AM ^
Makes sense. Appreciate the insight.
January 31st, 2023 at 2:55 PM ^
lol call right about an eighteen year olds decisions! Hilarious
January 31st, 2023 at 2:55 PM ^
Webb posted a "Welp" thread about this, he doesn't think it's going to be Michigan. We're probably 3rd or 4th. South Carolina probably lands him. Maryland might be runner up, Oregon after them.
January 31st, 2023 at 2:57 PM ^
Trust NO ONE. Start there.
January 31st, 2023 at 2:58 PM ^
I listen to both these guys. They are both very good and do have a lot of inside info. They just come at it from different perspectives, but if you actually listen to what they are saying….a lot of time it’s the same/very similar thing…they just say it differently. With this particular recruitment, I’m not necessarily expecting Harbor to sign with Michigan, but I’ll be pleasantly surprised if he does. That’s pretty much how Sam and EJ have reported on it. It might happen or it might not. It’s up in the air, but Michigan has at least a shot.
January 31st, 2023 at 2:59 PM ^
EJ is younger and can probably hold up better if this gets into the later rounds. Sam looks like he has an advantage in the weight category, but may not have the reach. If he can get inside and work body shots in the early rounds he could open up EJ for a combination that does damage. My prediction is Same with a 4th round KO.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:07 PM ^
Sam can pick his spots, wait him out and land a bunch of shots late when EJ gets tired from chasing Sam into the ropes.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:26 PM ^
You think Sam has the stamina to last into the late rounds? Guy has like 3 kids and one of them is not very old. I can't imagine he has the time or energy to let this thing go past the 5th round.
January 31st, 2023 at 6:24 PM ^
Fair enough. But don't sleep on Sam's experience and discipline. He'll conserve energy in the early rounds and play defense, only attacking when he sees an opening. By the 5th round, Sam should be able to chop him down.
February 1st, 2023 at 10:47 AM ^
I feel like Sam has a mean right hook that would be the downfall of EJ in that 5th round. Spot on.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:00 PM ^
Am I crazy? “Checks all the boxes” does not equal “favorite”.
Sam’s just been reporting what Harbor’s parents and track coach tell him, that Michigan has a good shot. Which they do. Doesn’t mean they’ll get him.
Sam also told everyone to chill the fuck out when J’yaire Hill left Michigan off his final list and when Dax flipped to Bama. People acting like he’s some clickbait doofus are nuts. If he were this site would not be on his show every single week and wouldn’t have his posts linked in every single recruiting post
January 31st, 2023 at 3:42 PM ^
Amen. What he said.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:02 PM ^
I think the winds have been pushing against Harbor coming to UM for a while and reading what they both say they seem to largely be saying the same except that Webb is slightly more optimistic about that 10% chance he goes to UM while Holland isn't. It doesn't really mean a ton.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:02 PM ^
Sam said for weeks and weeks that NIL wasn't gonna matter much to Harbor and now suddenly signing a different tune
January 31st, 2023 at 3:19 PM ^
It always matters in the end.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:34 PM ^
Sam said that because that came right from Harbor's mouth. Harbor also said that academics were a big deal to him and that he wasn't considering Oregon because the state sucks. It's almost as if when millions of dollars start getting thrown at you that your priorities change...
January 31st, 2023 at 3:35 PM ^
I generally ignore when Sam (or anybody) talks about NIL not mattering. It's like saying playing time doesn't matter - it always does and anyone who claims otherwise is just blowing smoke.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:44 PM ^
Why'd he start signing instead of saying what he thought was the truth? Is he being coy and trying to steal signs, from the Harbor in Baltimore or D.C.? Please let us know, ASAP.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:02 PM ^
One of them is a program slappy and the other isn’t
January 31st, 2023 at 3:02 PM ^
Sam Webb is holding out hope that the Lions will win the Super Bowl. Nyckoles Harbor may be a better bet than the Lions but if Harbor goes elsewhere, we will all move on and Sam will still be waving the Honolulu blue and silver.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:02 PM ^
I tend to find Sam will generally shade towards the most optimistic-to-Michigan view of any given situation. If Sam is 'holding out hope' then I'd say that puts the odds of Harbor coming here pretty close to zero
January 31st, 2023 at 3:06 PM ^
EJ Holland "pessimistic" = Sam Webb "holding out hope".
January 31st, 2023 at 3:11 PM ^
No idea who is correct on Harbor but overall I much prefer Holland to Webb. Got no tolerance for guys who make crystal ball predictions, then just hours before an announcement pull their CB and still claim they were accurate because they removed the CB prior to a decision. Webb is also hilariously full of himself - so there's that too.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:14 PM ^
Is there a lot of evidence of Webb doing this?
January 31st, 2023 at 3:45 PM ^
Hell No!
January 31st, 2023 at 3:42 PM ^
Does Sam do that? I'll admit I don't follow crystal balls that much but Webb seems like a guy who just doesn't make crystal ball calls all that often unless he's pretty sure.
January 31st, 2023 at 4:08 PM ^
No he doesn't.
January 31st, 2023 at 4:36 PM ^
Both of them have egos.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:13 PM ^
i was hoping this was going to be one of those amateur boxing things where EJ and Sam get in a ring a fight each other with oversized boxing gloves
now that I know it's about Harbor i'm pretty disappointed.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:15 PM ^
With a program that's very optimistic and a fanbase that's incredibly pessimistic, it seems like Sam usually finds the sweet spot of how things actually go down recruiting wise for us. Pretty good. Not ideal. Not terrible.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:17 PM ^
Surprised Harbor has gotten this much attention here with the likelihood he will choose Michigan being very small. Go Blue and good luck to the kid who seems to want track more than football anyways.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:19 PM ^
I'd be pretty shocked if it isn't Oregon if he truly cares about track more than football.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:21 PM ^
FWIW, 45 minutes ago Athlon reported Harbor is down to SC and Oregon.
I have no idea.
I think Sam and EJ both do a good job but these days I tend to worry about who we have and not who we don't have.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:29 PM ^
If true, this suggests he's torn between the girlfriend (SC) and track (UO) which games out perfectly when you're a teenager.
January 31st, 2023 at 5:38 PM ^
Down to South Carolina and Oregon I think was reported by someone yesterday too. Oregon has the outside chance, i.e., the chance that Sam Webb wants you to believe Michigan has.
I don't get the attraction of South Carolina. Maybe it's family stuff for him.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:22 PM ^
Sam always errs on the positive side so I discount his predictions accordingly.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:26 PM ^
I side with Holland here
January 31st, 2023 at 3:26 PM ^
I still don't understand how people still have a hard time reading Sam Webb. He's definitely a bit of a homer, but it's not hard to deduce from what he says where we stand with recruits. If he says "Michigan still has a shot" or "they're holding out hope," it means it's unlikely but still possible. If he puts in a crystal ball for Michigan, it means there a good chance Michigan gets him. If he has a "gut feeling," it means he has word that a recruit is coming to Michigan
January 31st, 2023 at 3:40 PM ^
Yeah, it's always weird when people react to Webb playing the hits. He's really easy to read if you pay attention to his patter, and the fact he's always been a bit on the fence even when he's most optimistic tells you all you need.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:32 PM ^
Its still bonkers to me that people make a living off following around teenagers and trying to guess what decision they may make in the future.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:42 PM ^
I’m curious on this as well since a lot of people on the board criticize both Webb and EJ when discussing about said guys. I do like Webb but at times believe he has fan shades on. Webb also seems like he has good relationships with UM recruits, see Davis. Both are good imo.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:44 PM ^
EJ is going with more "facts" and Sam is hedging his bets. Sam strikes me as being more the fan and holds out more hope and EJ seems drier and more prone to past experience. My $.02.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:46 PM ^
Does EJ Holland feel pessimistic because another school has a lead, or because there is a legit 3/4 chance he ends up elsewhere (Sam just stated this morning: 4/5 schools still in it believe they are in the lead).
Personally, I don't think this is nearly a lock for Michigan. I wouldn't even firmly say we're leading. But we have a good shot at the top remaining target in the 2023 class. That's exciting and I'm choosing to be optimistic about our standing.
January 31st, 2023 at 3:52 PM ^
People talking trash about their favorite insider is always hilarious.