8-3 Record

Submitted by Catchafire on

Am I the only one not at all angry about our record or season so far?  This is the season we all expected to happen this year, or maybe Harbaugh's 1st or 2nd year.  I see no shame in losing to Wiscy or PSU on the road, the way we did, with the tools we have.  The only loss that upsets me is the MSU one.

If we finish the year 9-4, even that is a major success to me.  Not to mention, we still have an opportunity to finish 10-3 (as well as 8-5).  Any way you put it, the trajectory of the team is outstanding.

Apologies for the hot take, mods delete if necessary.

Tom Snow

November 19th, 2017 at 10:47 AM ^

Are absolutely the worst. A down year with freshman and sophomores across the board and people are freaking out. We will be fine, trust the process.

Flying Dutchman

November 19th, 2017 at 10:53 AM ^

I'm fine with the record.   I am extremely disappointed that it seems to be within the rules for other teams to be perfectly allowed to tee off on our defenseless quarterbacks.

A healthy Wilton wins that MSU game.    A pre-injury Brandon Peters probably wins that MSU game.  Everything else plays out how it has and we are a ranked 9-2 right now with this beautiful defense.

Yes, injuries happen, but the way they are happening to our QBs is disgusting.   A roughing the passer penalty is no consolation for losing the player, but its unbelievable still that both of those plays weren't flagged.  

Now Michigan has to play Ohio State with John O'Korn who has shown us all he can't get the job done.  

Couzen Rick's

November 19th, 2017 at 10:59 AM ^

The reason folks are panicking and the media is (in my opinion unfairly) ripping on Harbaugh is because we lost to Sparty. We win that game and I think nobody really notices anything about the program. Fact is we just have to beat Sparty and OSU. Edit to add: if we were the same 8-3, but with a win over Sparty and a loss to one of Purdue, Minnesota or Maryland I don't think anyone would bat an eye or be nearly as negative towards the program currently.

YoOoBoMoLloRoHo

November 19th, 2017 at 1:38 PM ^

a loss to a team with a losing record. Yes, it was under a Hoke's watch because that happened too frequently with those squads. Harbaugh has instilled competitiveness and attacked the entitlement culture, but the next phase is teaching the guys the mentality to raise their execution and win even when things don't go perfectly against top teams. [MSU did it 3 times last year alone.]

MIGHTYMOJO91

November 19th, 2017 at 6:08 PM ^

There is your silver lining! Onward to NEXT YEAR! WHOOOOOHOOOO! If I didn't know better I would think I am reading a Ole Miss, NC State, Wyoming, Oregon State, Arizona State, K-State blog with everyone being so content. That peace will be upon us all next year too.I guess we will all shit our pants when we witness 10-2 or better season. As far as MSU goes, I really don't think there is room for Michigan fans to be even remotely be talking smack about them.  Sure it's Sparty but we would kill for the success they have experienced over the last few years.

Sllepy81

November 19th, 2017 at 11:00 AM ^

I figured we would be. I don't like our QBs at the top much. Wilton isn't bad but he is just ok. Losing him pretty much shot our 2nd half of the season.

MGoJackhammer

November 19th, 2017 at 11:01 AM ^

They're what we thought they were. If you want to crown them....but seriously other than the Sparty loss this is what we all thought at the beginning of the season. Maybe we get some Iowa crazydust and beat OSU. Go Blue.

smwilliams

November 19th, 2017 at 11:09 AM ^

I’ve calmed down a bit since last night and after pouring over some comparables, I’m not as upset. Yes, this year has largely been by the book as far as beating the teams they should beat and losing to anyone with a pulse. Yes, Harbaugh hasn’t yet hit the level of Meyer, Saban, Fisher, Petersen, and maybe one or two others. I’d much rather be in this spot than the Hoke/RichRod years. Here’s what helped me sort of step back: Let’s say JT Barrett is short or Speight doesn’t fumble on the 1 last year in Columbus. Let’s say O’Neill handles the punt against State. If those games just shake out a little differently, the following things are true: - Michigan beats Ohio State and Harbaugh is 1-1 against OSU and 2-1 against MSU. - Michigan wins the Big 10 Championship and goes to the CFP last year and makes a BCS bowl in 2015 How much better do we feel if last year ends like that? It sucks and it is somewhat of an excuse, but a dropped snap and an inch is the difference between greats d good.

HollywoodHokeHogan

November 19th, 2017 at 11:14 AM ^

The losses aren’t embarrassing, but it’s embarrassing that our pro protection has let two quarterbacks suffer serious, scary, injuries. These weren’t flukes. When you get crushed multiple times per game, injuries are going to happen.

funkifyfl

November 19th, 2017 at 11:15 AM ^

But, the reasonable predictions next year will be much higher. If UM doesn't win 9+ games next year, questions will be asked of the staff, as THEY have set the bar, not just the fanbase.

NateVolk

November 19th, 2017 at 11:18 AM ^

The first two years, we had a veteran team of many guys Harbaugh never would have recruited. He coached them back up and took full advantage of their mostly all becoming upper classmen at the same time. Good not great players who improved and had success. 

It was NOT a program. It was a great coach and good not great veteran players together having success.

Colin Cowherd referred to it as the Little Leaguers with the mustache. Winning because they are older than most other teams and expertly coached. It was unlikely to sustain itself perfectly beyond 2016 because of the poor recruiting of the classes behind them.

Now we're young with players Harbaugh did recruit. We are BECOMING an actual program. The reality of our recruiting cycle, (the gaping needs from prior coach mismanaging the roster) meant the bill of that mismanagement came due in year 3.

Yesterday we played an established 20 year program with good not great players.  A system created mix of program veterans while sprinkling in some talented younger players. All on the exact same tract. We played against a program with something not yet a program.  

When we become an actual program over the next two years, games like yesterday will very likely see different results.

A real established program has veteran playes who have been with current coach and were recruited by the current coach. It has quality depth. It has younger players who play based on merit not necessity. And those young players won't destroy your chances with the common young player mess ups. In other words, young players plugged in but surrounded by program veterans.

The above paragraph does not describe Michigan 2017 in any way. It does describe OSU, Wisconsin. MIchigan is not yet a real program. 

We can point to this rival or that program and try to create weak equivalence to bomb on Harbaugh, but the reality is the reality. The situation of other programs are not the situation at Michigan these first three years.

Griping won't change reality. Jim Harbaugh is a fantastic coach working his butt off. His staff is the same. But they are not miracle workers. The laws of program building don't make exceptions for even a coach as good as him.

 

 

s1105615

November 19th, 2017 at 11:19 AM ^

MSU loss is the only reason anyone is really upset. UM should have won that game despite being down our starting qb and playing in a monsoon. People (and I wouldn’t say I agree or disagree) believe JOK should have been coached up better and the O line should be better than it is, particularly in the MSU game. Plus with PSU and OSU looking beatable at times this season, it’s more about another missed opportunity in the division. But that’s college football man.

AMazinBlue

November 19th, 2017 at 11:23 AM ^

and weather, but many of the coaching decisions for games and in games has also cost this team opportunities for a better season.

Speight wasn't lighting the world on fire at QB and replacing him with John O'Korn has proven to be a disaster.  Aside from one half against a mediocre Purdue team, JOK has proven he simply doesn't have the skills to play FBS football.

Waiting so long to put in Peters may have cost us at least one game this year.

Having said all that, the coaching decisions and game-planning cost us at least the MSU game and probably the PSU game as well.

The offensive game planning has been horrible and Drevno and Hamilton are mainly the cause of that with a large portion to also go to Harbaugh because he is the CEO of this program.

The absolute tire fire of an offensive line cost us the Wisconsin game becuase Peters got lit up and now is probably o0ut for the OSU game.  Peters has gotten destroyed at least 5 times this season by defenders coming at him untouched, Speight and JOK had it happen too.  That is inexcusable.  Greg Frey has done very little to improve this O line.

In the end, yes injuries (luck) has not been on our side this season, but I believe coaching has put this team in far worse situations and they have to be held accountable.  Mainly, JH needs to find a new OC and O Line coach NOT FROM THE NFL.

The passing game plan in a monsoon cost us the MSU game, Oline inepitude cost us the Wisconsin game (we were completely in the game until Peters got drilled), and the offensive and defensive game plan for the PSU game seemed to be concocted by drunks and drug addicts.

After the certain defeat against OSU (if JOK) plays, HArbaugh needs to take a hard look at the offesnive coaching staff and make some serious changes.  Drevno, Hamilton and Frey need to go.  And there needs to be some major attention pasid to recruiting to get some O linemen with an upside.  It's inexcusable that Dantonio can produce better teams every year than Michigan with 2 and 3-star recruits.  

 

MeanJoe07

November 19th, 2017 at 11:30 AM ^

we will have injuries to overcome next year too. it always happens. It may ne a few years before we're good. or we might gwt lucky and have an amazing year. keep speculating your little hearts out, but no one knows. thats the truth.

tybert

November 19th, 2017 at 11:36 AM ^

I liked the comment Harbaugh made about Nordin after the Maryland game. 

I expect the anger to be intense within the weight room, film room, practice sessions, etc. during the off-season. I'd rather this season never happened and we'd be at least 9-2 with a win over Sparty, but alas it isn't the case. Let's face it, Sparty clearly came in focused this year. 

A long time fan, I remember the negativity (pre-message boards) after '79 (8-4), '84 (6-6), '87 (8-4), '96 (4 staright 4 loss seasons), '05 (7-5), etc. 

The next season was uplifting (with the exception of the end of '06 Crable hit out of bounds, etc.) 

I'm not addicted to the Kool-Aid here - but realistic that one BAD season (8-4 w/bowl) DOES NOT mean we bought a snake-oil salesman. 

Besides beating rivals and winning championships, another quality of a great coach is picking up the pieces after a crappy year. We didn't want this - but that's what we'll know this time next year - whether we can do what past Michigan teams did after lousy years.

UMxWolverines

November 19th, 2017 at 11:38 AM ^

Not upset about the record, upset that our offensive line has still made no progress. And don't give me the "well they're improving" line. No, they're not. They're playing bad teams just like Hoke's teams did later in the season when people called it "improvement". Northwestern just beat Minnesota 39-0. So we're about on par with Northwestern this year, if you're okay with that. Oh and Northwestern beat MSU at home.

NateVolk

November 19th, 2017 at 11:54 AM ^

They absolutely are improving. The numbers and eye test support that fact. The improvement has been more rapid in the run blocking but it's better in both areas than the first half of the year.

People griping about the offensive line generally can gripe because it isn't what it needs to be. Although there are valid reasons for that situation generally. People griping that they are not improving are choosing to latch on to something to do the "Dantonio better than Harbaugh, this is all unacceptable" song and dance. 

The way Wisconsin gets after you with all the varied blitzing, I thought the line held it's own damn well compared to games from earlier this year.

We'll wait to see what Brian says, but saying the line isn't improving is more willful blindness and griping to gripe.

tybert

November 19th, 2017 at 11:41 AM ^

When Harbaugh was molding his 1st team in '15, I loved how the team went off the radar screen at the midpoint of August practice. I'm hoping this year we do the same during the off-season - no Rome visits, minimze the camps in Florida, etc. - just quietly get the mindset back to making every play our best play.

Yesterday - think about TWO plays in the Wisky game that killed us on D. Two long 3 and 10+ conversions ahead 10-7 that flipped the momentum. Mo Hurst was pissed about letting the team down. He'll be earning his millions next year, but the D needs to have the mindset next year that 3 and 10+ will not happen again. Get to the Qb quicker, get a hand up in his face, etc. ANYTHING but allow that to happen again.

Don

November 19th, 2017 at 11:49 AM ^

Oh really?

Catchafire on October 11: "MSU will not win the BIG. Michigan will."

Catchafire on July 15: "I think PSU is overrated"

Catchafire on October 20: "We are going to beat PSU. The end."

Catchafire on October 21: "35-21 Michigan wins."

Catchafire on October 21 after the game: "We have a young team, not completely surprised." ... "This was a game we all expected would be tough."

It's not just Catchafire that's trying to retroactively adjust season predictions. I've seen repeated assertions by a number of commenters over the past two weeks that "Hey, we all thought we'd have 4 losses, amirite?" This very typical predictions thread from July 15 breaks down like so:

8-4: 2

9-3: 6

10-3: 2

10-2: 12

11-1: 9

12-1: 1

That's 22 predictions of 2 losses or less vs 10 of 3 losses or more.

http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/pre-fall-camp-season-prediction-thread-2017

I agree that predictions on a blog are just for fun and not that important in the big scheme of things, and don't have any impact on how the season actually goes. Just don't try to bullshit that "we all thought the season would go like this."

snarling wolverine

November 19th, 2017 at 12:26 PM ^

Go back a year's time and see what people thought of Michigan's 2017 chances.  A lot of us thought this would be a rebuilding year.

August is another story.  By that point you're hearing practice hype and everyone sounds like a stud.  People get irrationally optimistic then.  But looking at our roster, this year shouldn't be that surprising, especially given the injuries.

 

uncleFred

November 19th, 2017 at 3:56 PM ^

came with the caveat that the team stayed healthy or that it had good luck with injuries? How many of those predictions would have been more restrained if you'd specified that our starting QB would be lost in game 4?

There's no way to know of course, but I have to believe that led by a healthy Speight the team would have beaten MSU. 

One of the 8-4 predictions came with this caveat : "... Our OL and DL are each 1 injury away from the CLIFF." 

The single 12-1 prediction was "Barring any major injuries. This is a very young but talented team."

MGoStrength

November 19th, 2017 at 12:03 PM ^

While I expected both Speight, the WRs, and the o-line to be better, we all knew they were question marks. So far, we are exactly who we thought we'd be with the only difference is we should have beaten MSU and Florida is worse than we thought. We still win 8 games, go to a bowl, get an extra month of practice, and should be much improved next year. My only major concern is the OT position, especially if Newsome is not ready.

Jeep

November 19th, 2017 at 12:06 PM ^

You guys make it sound like other teams don't suffer injuries, have bad breaks etc.  Everyone does and the good programs find a way to overcome them.  That's why we backed up the Armored truck to pay this staff.  We wanted a coach who could win big games.

Are you telling me that MSU, PSU, Iowa and Wisconsin have recruited better talent than Michigan year in and year out?   If we don't have a QB three years in, then who's fault is that?

Our record against teams with a Pulse is unacceptable.  We get OSU in our building.  For once can we out coach a someone and win a big game.  

 

snarling wolverine

November 19th, 2017 at 12:29 PM ^

Most teams don't have to start 3 QBs in a season.  That isn't normal, either by Michigan or college football standards.

Our problem is not that we don't have a QB on the roster.  It's that we don't have a good healthy QB (other than possibly McCaffrey, but burning his redshirt now isn't a great idea).  

 

trustBlue

November 19th, 2017 at 2:26 PM ^

We started 3 QBs because our QB play has been terrible.

Yes Speight was hurt, but he looked awful early in the season, and after the Purdue game, all your heard was relief that we finally had a quaterback and people wondering why O'Korn hadn't gotten the start earlier. 

The QB injuries are also directly related to UMs complete ineptitude at pass blocking, even this late in the season. Speight and Peters didnt get hurt on freak accidents or ACL tears or something unpredictable. They got injuried on sacks where the OL allowed our QB to get destroyed by an unblocked player.

No, its not normal to start 3 different QBs but what else do you expect to happen when you're constantly giving up free hits on your QB? We'd probably be on our 5th string QB by now if it wasnt for the fact that the coaching staff basically turned off the passing game for large stretches of the last 4-5 games. 

This team is also not as young as people make out -- most of the youth is actually on the defense. Our OL has 3 seniors. Our QB roster includes a junior and a healthy 5th year senior. Our WR roster has 2 seniors (Perry, Harris), a junior (Ways), and two sophmores (McDoom, Crawford). 

 

funkywolve

November 19th, 2017 at 2:40 PM ^

QB'S getting hurt under Harbaugh is an annual problem. In 2015 Ruddock couldn't finish the Minnesota game or the OSU game. In 2016 Speight couldn't finish the Iowa game, missed the IU game and supposedly played hurt against OSU. Then we have both Speight and Peters getting knocked out of games this year. Until the staff can put together an oline that can pass block or develop game plans that help the team win with the 2nd and possibly 3rd string QB playing, it's going to be tough to win the East division let alone compete for the NC.

Beat Rutgerland

November 19th, 2017 at 12:06 PM ^

Well, I initially thought we'd be about 8-4, but that was because I thought the defense was going to take a huge step backwards losing all those guys. The offense was sorta a tire fire this year, and that is somewhat concering. Still, the people rumbling about Harbaugh drive me nuts. That's our guy, there's nobody better we're going to get, and as much as some fans would love to, you can't really put a clock on returning Michigan to its former glory.

Jeep

November 19th, 2017 at 12:38 PM ^

Quit pinning this program in a corner with Harbaugh is the best we can ever get crap.  The media started this narative and a lot of former players bought in.  

There are a lot of very good coaches out there right now flying under the radar.  We just need an AD that knows what they are doing.  If you remember Bo was the head coach at Miami of Ohio, and everyone went "WHO", when he was hired.  Dantonio came from Cincinnati and everyone laughed.  

Michigan football is bigger than any single coach.  If you can't go at least .500 against OSU and MSU, I feel it totally justified to ask why are you still the head coach?

Frigid

November 19th, 2017 at 12:11 PM ^

Would bug you so much. Michigan State isn't Michigan's rival, they're going to win 9 or 10 games this season, and they took out a bunch of top 25 teams.