Patterson is comfortable in this style of O [Bryan Fuller]

Unverified Voracity Is A Basketball Rules Maniac Comment Count

Brian May 6th, 2019 at 1:07 PM

Coach twitter is interested. I cannot tell you how encouraging it is that multiple plays from Michigan's spring game have been interesting enough for the clip-it-and-describe-it wing of coaching twitter to post.

This did not happen that much the last couple years. James Light would post stuff about the run game; guys who aren't local didn't have much interest. And the things that have popped out of the spring clips have been plays on which guys are put in conflict while Michigan runs a tightly integrated set of plays that all look like each other.

A program milestone. Women's lacrosse made its first tournament ever as the #8 overall seed:

No. 8 seed Michigan earned an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament for the first postseason appearance in program history after going 15-3 overall, including a 4-2 mark in conference play. The Wolverines will play the winner of Jacksonville vs. Mercer on Friday, May 10 in Ann Arbor, Mich.

A time has not yet been established. How they got there.

[After THE JUMP: insane ways to change the NBA!]

This is so bananas I could have wrote it. Kirk Goldsberry has a new book about the NBA and in it he proposes several different ways to "fix" the three point line. The pull-up three-pointer with no other action is a pretty boring act of basketball, admittedly. Greg Popovich:

"There's no basketball anymore, there's no beauty in it," Popovich said back in November. "Now you look at a stat sheet after a game and the first thing you look at is the 3s. If you made 3s and the other team didn't, you win. You don't even look at the rebounds or the turnovers or how much transition D was involved. You don't even care."

Goldsberry is a maniac, though:

What if every team in the NBA could draw the 3-point line wherever they wanted?

I hate it. I love it? I do not know how to feel about this. I have Schrodinger's opinion. Wait! Something decayed: the prospect of an NBA team completely doing away with the three-point line at home and then building their team around that fact is fascinating and I enthusiastically endorse this.

But seriously, Goldsberry is a maniac.

Allow goaltending on 3s

I hate this. Give me 30 minutes and I'll talk myself into it.

Devin Bush on draft day. SI has a profile up:

Bush has prepared himself for the job he’s about to have, an anchor in the middle of the Steelers defense, ever since he told his dad he wanted to play football at age 6. Bush Sr. responded by pulling out his old helmets, the ones he’d worn during his eight-year NFL playing career for the Falcons, Rams and Browns. They each put one on, buckled the chinstraps, and the former NFL safety knocked his young son over. He did it a few times, Devin Jr. popping back up again and again, the father asking his son if he was O.K., testing that he could withstand the physicality of the sport.

Why did we do this, part 3. Army is up on Bill Connelly's preview schedule, and hoo boy:

As a rule, college coaches are quite good at staying on 12 with the dealer showing a three. Monken, however, hits pretty much every time. In 2018, his Black Knights went for it 23 times on fourth-and-1 and punted just twice*. There are a couple of remarkable things about that:

  1. Since 2005, no one else had gone for it even 20 times on fourth-and-1.
  2. They converted 21 times! That’s a 91 percent success rate, more than 20 percentage points higher than normal. Teams running the triple option have the perfect playbook for fourth-and-1 conversions, but even by triple-option standards, Army’s 2018 success was ridiculous. While Army went 21-for-23, fellow optioneers Air Force, Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech, and Navy went a combined 40-for-52. That’s a 77 percent success rate, still better than normal, and far below 91 damn percent. In recent history, only 2015 Navy (18-for-19 on fourth-and-1) came anywhere close to Army’s frequency and proficiency.

Army took Oklahoma to overtime last year—you may remember watching that on a Twitch stream posted by a guy who took the opportunity to show 32,000 people his feet in large part because they were able to turn that game into an insanely low-possession one. Playing Army is the equivalent of signing up to play a basketball game that's only ten minutes long.

The risk/reward here is all out of whack. Michigan seems to keep scheduling these games so they can add a bunch of military frippery (skydivers, flyovers) to what would otherwise be a nondescript game against a directional Michigan. I'd rather just have the nondescript game instead of clenching all available sphincters.

Bring on Directional Michigan.

Uh, okay. There have been rumbles—and press conferences—about the possibility of Illinois adding hockey for a couple years now. This is the most concrete sign that that will in fact come to pass:

The enterprise appears to depend on a quarter-billion dollar project called "The Yards" that's… well, it's a lot:

"The project as currently planned has an estimated cost of construction of over $250 million and includes expansion of the Illinois Terminal, new office and retail space, a hotel and conference center, residential units and a downtown arena potentially serving as the home for a new Division I Illinois hockey program as well as several other Illinois sports programs," according to city officials.

The idea that this would come together in time for 2021 is far-fetched. Maybe Illinois would play in temporary digs—they have a 1,200 seat Ice Arena already while this development is in progress.

Adding Illinois would take the Big Ten to eight members and get rid of some of the annoying late-season bye weeks, but it also creates a scheduling conundrum. 7 opponents x 4 games = 28 games, and that would leave Big Ten schools with just six nonconference games. With Michigan and Michigan State committed to the GLI they'd have just four, and once you get that thin there's a real chance a few anomalous results make your conference look a lot worse than it really is in the Pairwise.

Paring things down is tough without going away from balanced scheduling or increasing travel costs. 7 x 3 is tough logistically, and dividing the conference into two divisions makes the regular season title less fair. They'll probably pick the latter if Illinois does indeed add a team.

Adios. This hockey decommit is frankly bizarre:

Kiefiuk committed to Berenson, not Pearson, but he probably could have helped this year's team after a 46 point 2017-18 season. Instead he got pushed off to another year of junior and ends up flipping to UMass, which was 31-10 this year and played for the national title. Michigan probably asked him to defer again. Kiefiuk looks like a four-year player and a guy who will be a productive point producer. I don't get this one at all.

In more distant news: the Kamloops Blazers took both Mats Lindgren and Connor Levis in the first round of the WHL bantam draft. That does not appear to be a thing where player X is wired to a particular school and uses a commitment to scare other teams off. The Kamloops GM:

kam

"There is going to be some work to be done there" is a better thing to hear than "lol they bought it," at least.

A reporter got Lindgren on the phone:

We'll see.

Etc.: Don't click here. Baseball labor relations book at 25. Baseball projected as a 2-seed in the latest bracketology at D1Baseball. They're in with the last 1-seed but the regionals are, well, regional so that doesn't necessarily mean they're on the cusp of hosting. Sportswriter goes to Tigers game, finds out the cheap seats are 30 bucks.

Comments

bluebyyou

May 6th, 2019 at 1:36 PM ^

As ticket prices go ever higher, it is getting harder and harder to justify going to the Stadium to watch creampuffs get blown out by six or seven touchdowns.  I'd hate like hell to lose to Army but if not the military academies with strange offenses, get someone else who can give us a competitive game.

Mr Miggle

May 6th, 2019 at 3:27 PM ^

Key difference between Army and Arkansas is we never have to play at Army. I think Michigan is going to be even choosier about home and home opponents now that we have 5 conference road games every other year. They seem committed to 7 home games.

Now would we rather see Arkansas vs frequent ND matchups? I'd like them to explore more options.

Rabbit21

May 7th, 2019 at 8:52 AM ^

Yup and not a single fuck is given about those games in late November and it makes things boring and is a transparent scheduling trick.  If that's what you want from college football, you're welcome to it, I'd rather watch interesting games.  

I'm against the ND series because they always seem to be thinking they're doing Michigan a favor and Michigan keeps lining up for the same abusive treatment, it's dumb.  

Kilgore Trout

May 6th, 2019 at 2:00 PM ^

1. The Tigers article was interesting. Have to wonder why he didn't go on stub hub and save himself some money. 

2. I think you can get a relatively reasonable 22 game schedule out of an 8 team B1G if you pair teams together (UM/MSU, OSU/PSU, Wisc/Minn, ND/Ill). Play your partner 4 times and play everyone else 3. For each of the pairs that aren't your partner, you'd play a regular two game weekend (home for three, away for three) and then have a home weekend where one pair came to you (probably Friday / Sunday) an away weekend where you went to another pair (Fri / Sun). Then you would just have to play one offs against the last pair (one home, one away) to get to a balanced schedule.

3. If you have The Athletic, I highly recommend this article on potential opponent Jacksonville women's lacrosse and how they have worked with Bo Kimball and Paul Westhead to bring their basketball style to lacrosse. 

jman077

May 6th, 2019 at 2:12 PM ^

Women's Lacrosse times have been announced: Friday is M/Play-In Winner at 4pm, Denver/USC at 7. Winners at noon Sunday.

How the games got scheduled this way boggles my mind. Why would the home team have to play during the work day while the neutral site teams get prime time? Seems like a real waste of an opportunity to try to get a decent crowd there. I don't know whether the NCAA schedules these centrally or if there are travel concerns with USC or what, but it seems like if you're the home team you should be playing at a time when people can actually show up.

 

EDIT: Twotrueblue pointed out in the Lax thread on the boards that scheduling them in this order makes it easier on the team to do scouting after they've already played as opposed to before, which actually makes a lot of sense.

WestQuad

May 6th, 2019 at 2:14 PM ^

I saw Buffalo play Army in person the week after Army went to OT with OK.  Army beat Buffalo, who was a good team, pretty handily, but they didn't look like world beaters.

bronxblue

May 6th, 2019 at 2:24 PM ^

Goldberry's book is amazing and I love/hate all of his ideas as well.

As for playing Army, Oklahoma was bad on defense last year; like 84th in the country bad on defenses per S&P+, so we're talking adjusted bad.  Rutgers had a statistically significantly better defense than the Sooners.  So Army running 78 running plays and converting 4/5 on 4th down feels a bit opponent-specific in that one case.  Still not worth playing any service academy, but even a relatively mediocre (for Michigan) defense will be much better against Army.

DoubleB

May 6th, 2019 at 10:49 PM ^

Stats are irrelevant versus Army. Hell Army only had 4.3 yards per play for the game versus Oklahoma. But they consistently got into and converted 3rd and 4th and short and made it a 7 possession game. Of all the recipes for a big upset that doesn't require a huge turnover margin, the flexbone offense having success on the ground would be one of the best.

As for the commenter who mentioned Buffalo above, the real issues with running this offense is twofold--tough to come from behind and maybe more importantly tough to blow someone out (unless your Houston and have quit on your coach and have a defensive game plan designed by a grade schooler). You can be up by 14 / 17 points and be in complete control but a few defensive stops and the opponent is right back in the game. A more prototypical offense can generally leverage complete control into a larger lead--i.e. if you can't give up a lot of points in a 7 possession game you also can't score a lot yourself. As an example the Georgia Tech-Tennessee game from a few years back during the opening week of the season.

I don't think Michigan will lose against Army. There is a large enough talent edge to more than mitigate the talent "equalizing" Army offense. And Don Brown is a very good football coach. But in terms of risk-reward, Brian is 100% correct--Army has a much better chance to beat Michigan than a directional Michigan school.

NFG

May 6th, 2019 at 2:39 PM ^

Military Frippery?

Is it obnoxious or showy from the POV that Michigan is trying to promote the real purpose of the service academies, provide a platform to show what service the cadets signed up for post football, or are you saying that it is overtly "too patriotic"? I know a few pilots out of the Guard unit who flew over Michigan Stadium and they absolutely loved it. Maybe it's about providing the service members a chance of a lifetime to participate in an event like what you described, and less to do with if civilians and their opinions of it.

 

yossarians tree

May 6th, 2019 at 3:04 PM ^

Here here. I love the way the service acadamies play and as a blue blood of the sport I think Michigan should honor them by giving those guys the opportunity to play in one of the most famous sporting venues in the world. We all want to go undefeated and get in the playoff--I get it. But to schedule all non-conference patsies like Alabama does is weak. Michigan at least does not have to lose sight of what the sport is really supposed to be about. Invite them, honor them, and kick their asses up and down the field.

TrueBlue2003

May 6th, 2019 at 6:42 PM ^

I think he's saying that Michigan is scheduling them solely to put butts in seats/eyeballs on the television.  Gain cheap goodwill.  He's saying they're doing it entirely as a business decision and not as some altruistic "gift" to the academies.

He's probably 80% correct.  But if it's good for business and it's appreciated by the academies (and also good pub), then the only loss is for the coaches that have to endure the sleepness nights of preparing for these opponents and for the fans and coaches and players if they ended up losing these games. 

My guess is that JH thinks the benefit to the academies is worth the extra risk and that he's driving some the scheduling decisions in that respect such that that's about 20% of it.

crg

May 7th, 2019 at 9:41 AM ^

I would much rather see us play a service academy than another Cupcake U.  I care much more about tradition and the quality of the games (and winning the Big Ten) than whether or not the team makes the CFP invitational.

MGoBlue-querque

May 6th, 2019 at 2:43 PM ^

The Goldsberry thing is pretty interesting. Adding a bit of quirkiness to the game would be fun and, theoretically, give the home team a bit of an advantage.  Reminds me of how the boards at Joe Louis were fairly "active", or how the Boston Garden was notorious for having dead spots in the parquet floor.  Or how baseball stadiums have weird angles in the outfield wall, or a hill in center field...

JeepinBen

May 6th, 2019 at 2:56 PM ^

Re: Drawing the 3pt line - wouldn't that make it just like baseball (and how hockey* used to be?) Way more variation in outfield size, wall height, even grass height to change how the game is played and suit it to your team. Let the G-League try it!

*Chicago Stadium had famously shorter-than-regulation length. The Joe was known for bouncy boards behind the net, etc.

Hotel Putingrad

May 6th, 2019 at 5:31 PM ^

That article on the Tigers game was fascinating. I can't remember the last live professional sporting event I attended, but I can clearly recall recognizing the distinction he draws attention to: if you grew up with an emotional or personal investment in the sport, you can still become entranced by seeing it play out in front of you. But all the youngsters who've grown up as part of the "Short Attention Span Theater" generation will never get it, nor will they want to. And I think this phenomenon is starting to show through in other contexts and media as well.

cornman

May 6th, 2019 at 5:43 PM ^

One small thing the NBA could do to make threes less appealing to teams is to make so that fouling on a three only grants you two free throws.  I've never understood how committing the same offense farther from the basket somehow gets you punished harsher.  If anything you should get more free throws when you're closer to the basket since that is when you're more likely to make the shot.

 

The big upside of this is it would allow defenses to contest the three as aggressively as they contest twos which I think is needed.

TrueBlue2003

May 6th, 2019 at 7:07 PM ^

It wouldn't move the needle.  The reward would still be way too infrequent for the risk.

Guys don't contest threes as aggressively as twos because it's much, MUCH more difficult to block a three point shot when you also need to defend against a drive.  Committing a foul is not the primary concern.  Giving up dribble penetrating is the concern and it's why you'd back off a guy a little.

In the paint, you're already at the rim.  There's less risk of having a guy go by you, because where is he going to go?

taistreetsmyhero

May 7th, 2019 at 10:10 AM ^

The pull up 3 used to be a thing of beauty when it was rare. Chauncey “Mr. Big Shot” Billups racing up the court just to stop and hit the 3 was incredibly fun to watch. But the problem is now everybody does it and anybody can hit that shot at ~30%. 

Hail-Storm

May 7th, 2019 at 1:26 PM ^

I read the Tigers Baseball game article and it was interesting to me.  High prices and all the effort to go to a game definitely play a part in my decision to go to games.  Especially since I've had issues with Michigan fans who get mad about seats (where it was issues with other people being in the wrong seats and some bigger folk taking more than their share).  When I was in college, the student section was a blast to be in.  Besides dealing with a few very drunk fans coming in late, it was still an extremely fun event even with the cramped seating.  And the alternative, was my large screen (27") low definition television to watch the game on.

Now, with young kids, the options to go to games is limited by even more expensive tickets, with kids that might not be able to see, with all the hassles that come with long lines and high cost foods, and bathroom lines, vs me watching on a delayed time, after enjoying a family fall day of soccer and hikes and apple picking, where I watch on HI definition 47" screen where I get to fast forward through all the commercial breaks, the half time commentary and even between plays, all while being able to pause to go to get food or put kids to bed or go to the bathroom.  I was just in Costco and saw a 65" Hi Def smart tv for $700.  That is tremendously cheap in comparison with a football season.

I will continue to try to get to a game a year if possible, but I have to admit that some of the pageantry is gone.  Yost and Michigan Stadium are both wonderful places, but I have to admit, I miss the dark grungy feeling of yost pre rebuild.  I miss the fact that Michigan stadium used to rely solely on the band and fans for noise.  If they continue to try to complete against my tv, it's a losing battle.  I'd suggest focusing on the old school feel.  Bring people back in time to feel nostalgic. 

Sorry, huge pointless ramble.

Swayze Howell Sheen

May 8th, 2019 at 1:51 PM ^

Loved the Goldsberry article, for its sheer fun and wackiness.

The home team picking a 3-point line distance (with the current being the min, and maybe 10% farther the max) would be awesome. They should get to change it only at the beginning of the year. 

In baseball, the fields are not all the same, and it is fun (e.g., the Green Monster). Why not have some quirks for hoops, too?