Member for

8 years 10 months
Points
252.00

Recent Comments

Date Title Body
Like it or not, the PAC-12…

Like it or not, the PAC-12 is getting the old SEC treatment this year, where all of the 2-3 loss teams will be ranked. They're getting a lot of runway from Colorado's wins over Nebraska and TCU, WSU's win over Wisconsin, and Utah's wins over Florida and Baylor. And probably everyone rooting for Oregon St and WSU this season, given the circumstances.

FWIW, per PFF, we got 15, 34…

FWIW, per PFF, we got 15, 34, 39, 43, and 47

PFF's mock draft simulator…

PFF's mock draft simulator starts at R2 now - I did it twice and got:

#34: TE Michael Mayer, #48: WR Jalin Hyatt, #55: CB Clark Phillips (Ringo also available here)

#34: CB Joey Porter, #48: TE Luke Musgrave (LaPorta also available here), #55: WR Jalin Hyatt

Both seem...pretty good outcomes? If you had told me we would end up with either set + Campbell and Gibbs, I would've been reasonably happy. Just a wild way to get there.

DT is the main glaring hole...maybe we trade Swift for a pick and grab Dexter or Ika.

Possible that Mayer falls to…

Possible that Mayer falls to the Lions at 34? Chiefs are obviously set at TE, Steelers have Freiermuth, and Cardinals have Ertz and McBride.

The arguments for Gibbs and Campbell are that there is a huge dropped off to RB3 and ILB2, but I just don't know the scheme fit for Campbell.

Like everyone else, I'm really skeptical of these Lions picks. But if we could somehow get Porter/Branch/Ringo, Mayer/Musgrave/Washington, and Mingo/Hyatt in some combination in round 2...it's possible that they had a good read on positional scarcity. And maybe trade Swift for another pick.

It's the graduate schools…

It's the graduate schools that make the money, though, since they likely correlate better with research funding. UM is great at undergraduate education but elite at graduate programs, and UW is similar in that regard (hence why UM tends to be a bit lower on the USNWR college rankings relative to others). 

In the biomedical world (the world I know best, and what brings in the most $$$), UW is ELITE and could make an argument for best in the B1G, and certainly a peer to UM, Northwestern, UCLA, without question. And academic elitism aside, the argument to bring in research $$$ is the reason to seek out academic peer institutions (and part of the reason that Cal/Stanford would be an attractive pair, football reasons aside).

For reference, 2022 NIH research funding:

UW + Fred Hutchinson + Seattle Children's: $1.1 billion

UCLA + Cedars-Sinai + LA Children's: $731 million

UM: $644 million

Northwestern (Chicago + Evanston): $452 million

USC: $325 million

Arizona: $174 million

ASU: $64 million

Oregon: $43 million

Surprising to me that Oregon was so low, but I guess the Phil Knight $$$ makes up for that.

I think the counterpoint to…

I think the counterpoint to this is Oregon -- would a 12-1 PAC-12 champion Oregon jump a 12-1 SEC runner-up Georgia (loss to Alabama) or even a 11-1 division runner-up Georgia (loss to Tennessee)? No -- because of the 49-3 shellacking in Week 1. There is no doubt that Georgia is better than Oregon -- you can certainly make the argument that the teams will change/grow throughout the year, but hard to overlook that result.

Meanwhile, a 12-1 B1G champion Michigan (say, loss to Illinois that is avenged in B1GCG), is making the 4-team playoff 100% of the time and would be in over either Georgia theoretical above.

So, a big OOC matchup can be high reward but also has that potential for risk. There is a certainly a happy medium for mid-tier P5 teams -- just hard to predict if you're getting 2022 Auburn or 2022 Tennessee. 

Big 10 schools (including…

Big 10 schools (including USC and UCLA) make up 15 of the top 41. Nebraska is the lone outlier at #62. This is the table you're looking for, for those would don't want to wade through an academic paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05222-x/tables/3

Rutgers and Purdue

Not an expert on WBB, but the latest ESPN bracket (http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology), as imperfect as it may be, has Rutgers as a 7 seed and Purdue as a 9 seed. MSU is a bad team, yes, but rivalry games are always wonky. So while we were favored to win all of them, I don't think these are the-sky-is-falling losses, especially since all of these were by single digits.

Lynch

And Lynch only in 2 - point is there are a bunch of players from Cal beyond Lynch.

Cal

Cal had some guy named Aaron Rodgers. Also, they have a surprising recent history of putting running backs and receivers into the NFL that hang around for a while, if not starting: CJ Anderson, Justin Forsett, Lynch, Shane Vereen, Keenan Allen, DeSean Jackson, Marvin Jones. Had Ron Rivera, who went twice with the Bears (not sure if they count his coaching appearance) and Tony Gonzalez (who never went to the Super Bowl but nonetheless very notable name).

RBCC

Najee Harris? Too soon?

Louisville's Hi/Lo

Louisville's Hi/Lo shows that at least one coach probably just submitted the same ballot as last week...Louisville's Lo is 23rd while FSU's Hi is 2nd. There is no way that that's not the same person.

38-16 Michigan 38-16 Michigan



Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
UM 59–6 UM 59–6



Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
Race walking

Race walking is indeed an olympic sport.

Rex Ryan

Bills immediately signed Glenn Gronkowski - I chuckled.

I don't understand...

...the long snapper and the guard. I think the OLB was a bit of a reach as well - it just appears that no one knows much about him.

I cannot get my head around why the LS was drafted when Muhlbach was just resigned. The Patriots evidently valued LS very highly - they drafted their current with their 5th round pick last year. However, why not draft one next year instead of use a roster spot on 2? If our advanced scouting is so good that they saw Landes as the best LS in 2 years, then kudos. If not, then this is puzzling.

We must've *really* liked Dahl to draft him after we drafted Glasgow. Seems to be more of a depth pick - a luxury that I'm not sure we had, exactly. 

Overall, I liked the rest of the draft. We get enamored with college stats - was thinking about Scooby Wright in the late rounds as well - but pro teams need to draft for specific skills. The RB is 6'2" and runs a 4.5.

I liked Robinson and Zettel the most, considering where we got everyone. I know some think Rudock was a reach, but I'd want him as a backup on any team for his eyes and brain, if not his arm. Overall, I'm surprised we didn't get a WR or a CB. But - I went through the last 10 years of Patriots drafts, and the only WR they took with any significant value was Julian Edelman, who was a QB-turned-WR-flyer in the 7th round. I guess Quinn is following the strategy of devaluing that position, at least in the draft.

Khaleke Hudson?

Will probably play to prepare him for safety the following year, no?

Different type of immune response

The allergy/parasite response is the body's immediate defenses just going into overdrive (the mast cell/IgE response that was mentioned earlier), resulting in more acute symptoms, while most autoimmune disorders are different types of hypersensitivity that are slowly and more chronic, utilizing the immune system in a different way.

Wiki has a chart for reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypersensitivity

Allergies are Type I hypersensitivities; Hashimoto's is a Type IV.

247 Class Calculator

Would result in a class score of 296.52, which would be good for 2nd in the 2016 class rankings. Alabama's score was 301.42.

Joe Bolden

What about Joe Bolden doh? Any rave reviews rave reviews rave reviews?

Disagree

We would only have 1 loss, but MSU would have 2. We would definitely be in a NY6 bowl.

Chicken Broccoli Bake. Chicken Broccoli Bake.



Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
Bad teams

ND has played many many mediocre to good teams, but only one cupcake (UMass). If they lose to Stanford, their best wins will be Navy and Temple, and there is no way 2-loss ND gets in ahead of 2-loss Michigan. 

The scroll text from that game...

Bruce Arians takes HC job with the Cardinals

Te'o fiasco

Durkin promoted to DC at Florida

Seems simultaneously so long and so short ago...

Alabama

Alabama would have 2 losses, assuming LSU is undefeated. They would also not win their conference, obviously.

Edit History

Shows that the entire thing was basically written this past month...

This is my issue with crystal ball interpretation...

If Player A has a 60% chance to go to School X and 40% chance to go to School Y, everyone who makes a prediction should put School X. The CBs could show 100% School X, 30 predictions, but that doesn't mean everyone else is out of it. The percentages do not show the chances that people think a recruit ends up at a school, but rather the percentage of analysts that think there is a 51+% chance that the recruit ends up at a school.

Judge

Judy

Just curious

Would be interested to see Michigan's converse rankings (i.e. our ranking for scoring offense vs. their ranking for scoring defense) to identify further matchup strengths and weaknesses.

True

...but 2nd team is always a possibility, especially if he breaks one (or a couple) off for TDs. Also not sure if there are different PR and KR positions on these teams.

Blake O'Neill

I think Blake has a terrific chance of being All-BIG. Peppers might get in, especially as a returner. Curious to see how offensive line and linebacker play progresses throughout the season and if anyone emerges there.

Exhibition Games

Exhibition games happen every year and don't count for our season record - we played Wayne State last year, I think (or maybe 2 years ago).

Try #3

45-9

Wow too late I guess. 48-6 Wow too late I guess. 48-6
45-6 M 45-6 M
Andrew David

Does anyone know what happened with him? Not even listed on the depth chart?

UM 45 - Utah 10

UM 45 - Utah 10

In the academic world

I would say that Northwestern and Michigan are definitely peer schools, with Wisconsin being just a smidge behind. Michigan's graduate programs really propel it to elite levels, and they trump easily Northwestern's from sheer breadth and volume.

Vic's receivers

How many times can you get tackled at the goal line?

The music

I love the music every time

Put in Tate

Tate Forcier

Mark Schlissel's signature...

...is just..."Mark"?

Curzan

Yeah, I always thought she was great. She's the Faculty Athletic Representative, I believe.

Mine

1. Michigan football

2. Michigan men's basketball

3. Detroit Tigers

4. Detroit Lions

5. Detroit Pistons

6. UConn women's basketball

7. UConn men's basketball

8. New England Patriots

9. Detroit Red Wings

Lived in Connecticut for 6 years, so that explains that.

I won't follow the other Michigan sports, but if they're doing well, I will watch and cheer no matter what the event.

Best wishes...

...for the family as well. In my cynicism (curiousity?), a quick Google search of his name and uniform actually turns up a HUDL page! The thing I'm curious about is the cost of the surgery - I'm wondering why his insurance won't cover hardly any part of the procedure (I think the whole procedure costs maybe around $20k).

In any case, I feel for the family and these insane medical costs. Hoping for a smooth surgery and speedy recovery.

Just one site's methodology...

Eh - I don't read too much into this. This ranking criminally underrates large public schools: besides the service academies, the highest ranked public school is Berkeley at #37 (unless I missed one). The rest of our peer public institutions - W&M, UVA, UCLA, UNC - are all similar to our ranking.

A brief glance at their methodology explains why: a whopping 10% of the ranking comes from average rankings on RateMyProfessor, a site that is hardly a representative sample and likely underrates professors of large class size - more likely that failing student will be grumpy and complain. Another 10% comes from "academic success", defined as receiving a prestigious award (Rhodes, etc.) or receiving a PhD. True, these are great measures of success, but I think that an engineer getting a job right out of college is just as successful as a PhD student in the humanities or sciences. Those are huge chunks of the rankings that large schools - like Michigan - will do poorly in.

While I see your point...

...there is no way trading Cabrera doesn't have a huge negative impact on the fan base. I think he should retire a Tiger, and with no salary cap in baseball, I don't have any problem keeping him, especially since he's still producing.

I'm a little more lukewarm on JV - I don't think we can get anything for him, and I'd rather keep him than sell too low.

Get rid of Price, Avila, Soria, Simon. Davis is expendable. Would love to keep Cespedes and re-sign him, but would need to have that guarantee (unlikely). I think, with no 2B to speak of in the minors, we need to keep Kinsler. Would love to get some starting pitching and some organizational depth, especially at some key positions so that we don't rely on Hernan Perez for years to come.

75th percentile

75th percentile means that out of 100 people, the 75th person received a 34. #76-100 could've all received a 34 as well; they don't necessary need to do *better* than a 34 for that number to be accurate. I would suspect that 34 remains the number through the 85-90th percentile or so.

Common App

It's a unified system that allows you to apply to many colleges very easily. Originally, each college had it's own application system - you had to re-fill out everything from your name to your essays. The Common App has one unified application for all of the basics: demographics, grades, activities, recommendations, one essay; each college can then have an additional short portion for additional info or essays that it wants (called a supplemental application). This allows students to more efficient apply to many more colleges than they used to. When I applied as HS Class of 2010, 8 of my schools used Common App (I think) with Michigan being the only one that didn't.