Worst Lions Draft Ever?

Submitted by UNCWolverine on April 28th, 2023 at 7:39 PM

There's a lot of material to work with here. Fair over Moss quickly comes to mind. Charles Rogers was a doozy. But this is unreal. Instead of taking Bijan they decide to take a lesser back at #12 that would have absolutely been available at 18. Then at 18 they take a MLB (least valuable position player in the NFL?) that would have absolutely been available at 34. Then at 34 they take the 3rd best TE in the draft instead of the best TE that was taken by the Raiders a pick later. 

The lions are that guy in your fantasy league that drafts so poorly every year that you don't even make fun of him anymore. You just encourage him to keep putting his dead money in and keep trying. Or maybe it's just your drunk uncle....

drunk-uncle-612x380-1

runandshoot

April 28th, 2023 at 7:57 PM ^

Is LaPorta's nickname, "None?"

Mayer is an excellent route runner whose ability to create separation with physicality getting out of his breaks is outstanding. He is savvy when locating soft spots in zone. His ability to win contested catches is second to none in the 2023 class, and he adjusts to passes thrown outside his frame. Mayer is powerful with the ball in his hands, generating yards by breaking tackles and carrying defenders. He's a tenacious blocker and his technique improved significantly during his three college seasons. -- Steve Muench

Matt Miller's NFL comp: T.J. Hockenson

runandshoot

April 28th, 2023 at 8:23 PM ^

"Mayer is an excellent route runner whose ability to create separation with physicality getting out of his breaks is outstanding." - sounds pretty athletic to me.

Whatever - Holmes has been great so far and he's paid to do this, but these picks are interesting.

Also in the context of watching Iowa flounder against Michigan the past two years, neither LaPorta nor Campbell stood out (at least not in a positive way).

Blau

April 28th, 2023 at 9:09 PM ^

I guess i don’t get your claim. You don’t need to quote draft analysts or experts as your evidence in this particular case of comparing draft-eligible TEs.

Just go watch some highlights and it’s clearly visible the differences between Mayer and LaPorta. One is a blocky, bulky run-blocking TE with great hands but lacks speed and general athleticism that recent hybrid TE have. The other TE clearly runs crisper routes, has pretty decent over the middle speed and breaks tackles in the open field but isn’t someone you’re going to consider a 6th OL or can dominate as a run blocker.

I’ll let you determine who is who. Not that hard.

runandshoot

April 28th, 2023 at 9:46 PM ^

The vast majority of scouts, analysts, and draft peeps had Mayer as the second best TE behind Kincaid. 

Ultimately, the only opinion that matters is the Lions at 34, but take off Honolulu Blue and silver tinted glasses with the "it's obvious" stuff, because it really isn't except to the Lions fans (and not even the fanbase is at a consensus).

 

blueandmaizeballs

April 28th, 2023 at 8:25 PM ^

Mayer was one of the least athletic TE in this draft his RAS score was in the 20s.   It was like 6 or 7.   Schoonmaker was the 3rd rated and would have preferred him over Laporta but Laporta is way more athletic then Mayer and blocks just as well and you have to admit Iowa does know how to make future TEs for the NFL.   Would not want a 0layer that is comparable to TJ who to me is just an average TE or slightly above.   We were better without him.  His blocking was subpar and he isn't that athletic.  So a guy who is like TJ hell no. 

runandshoot

April 28th, 2023 at 10:29 PM ^

On RAS score:

"The Chiefs selected Brian Johnston during the seventh round in the 2008 NFL Draft. He earned a perfect 10 RAS. Before he was released, he played in only nine games for KC.

However, players with low RAS can become great players. Tom Brady had a 1.49 All-Time low score and was quite good, hell he was great, so the scores are not everything."

LaPorta could end up being great and Mayer could end up being terrible. They could both be great, or they both could be terrible, too.

Consensus was that Mayer was a better NFL TE prospect to most observers who make a career evaluating these things. Not sure why everyone is so shocked that some are questioning taking LaPorta over him, especially after the first two picks where again, consensus is that Detroit was reaching.

Holmes has a great track record so far, and some GMs are great, until they aren't. I don't think this is the worst draft ever by the Lions, but do the picks look a little reach-y vs the home runs last year? Yeah, probably.

bdogg46

April 28th, 2023 at 8:20 PM ^

These picks are the epitome of the drunk uncle.

Your drunk uncle who thinks the 2nd or forbid 3rd or 4th best RB at TWELVE??  What a joke.

LB who would have been there in the 2nd OR 3rd round?  

What a joke.

Then a GD SAFETY when DL and CB are the pressing needs?

SOL.  Always and forever, Amen.

denardogasm

April 28th, 2023 at 8:28 PM ^

Who is the savant deciding the position rankings of players you're using? There's a reason mock drafts and "best player available" rankings are NEVER remotely consistent with the actual draft. Because the pundits making them are doing it with 10% of the information and 10% of the football acumen. What a terrible take. Feels like trolling it's so dumb. Maybe it is. 

steviebrownfor…

April 29th, 2023 at 9:00 AM ^

Nephew, the whole problem with evaluating draft picks after the draft is that none of the picks have even played yet.

You have no idea of this is a good or bad draft because none of them have played yet.

Your confidence in your own draft preferences is amusing, though.

Maersk

April 30th, 2023 at 7:12 PM ^

CB wasn’t a need. Sutton & Moseley are your starters along with CJGJ. 
 

“bbuuut one year contracts!”  
 

theres these things called “contract extensions”, maybe you’ve heard of them?

 

”but that guy would’ve been there in x round!”

 

you know that for sure? You have each team’s grades on these guys? 
Holmes grabbed the guys he wanted when he wanted them. I see no problem with that.

 

Brian Branch played both safety and corner at bama. The lions like versatility in their DBs.

Adrian

April 28th, 2023 at 7:47 PM ^

Not sure how you could say Gibbs would be there at 18 when theres reports he was going to be the patriots pick at 14 and giants were looking to move up for him. Bijan and Gibbs are completely different players. We dont need a rb like bijan, we have Montgomery. We needed to replace swift and gibbs does that. I dont get the hate on holmes. Were clearly in a win now mode with the division up for grabs. 

bronxblue

April 28th, 2023 at 9:19 PM ^

There was a stat floating around a year ago that the Pats have drafted two Pro Bowlers since 2013, and one was a punter who they then wound up releasing this year only 3 years after drafting him.

Brady covered up for a lot of mediocre drafting by the Pats over the past decade or so.

M_Born M_Believer

April 28th, 2023 at 11:13 PM ^

Exactly, that should be everyone's first clue that a player a team wanted got drafted.  Not only the Pats, but the JETS were also lined up to pick Gibbs at 15.  So the silly narrative by BPONE Lions fans to wallow in their own misery is just that.

Also it was reported by the Giants and Falcons they were going to take Campbell at 25 (NYG) or the end of the first round (Falcons).

People also need to acknowledge that by trading down (right after Holmes missed out on Weatherspoon - again traded right after missing a widely accepted player at #6) and now has Gibbs AND LaPorta.

As for the LaPorta pick, one only needs to look at the big picture here.  Last year they took Jmo (fastest WR).  This year they took Gibbs (Fastest RB) and now picked a route running pass catching TE.  All matched up with Amon... Are we seeing a trend here or does it have to be spelled out....?

The Lions are transforming their offense to more of a spread look with multiple athletes in open space that can create havoc on defenses.  Oh and by the way they just took a QB that played in a spread type offense.  Coincidence???  Only to the BPONE Lions fans.  Holmes plan is coming out.  On offense, speed kills.  Get playmakers in space...

UNCWolverine

April 28th, 2023 at 7:58 PM ^

yep, basically. I do a draft fantasy pool every year so I read through dozens of mock drafts. The highest any of the dozens had gibbs going was 27, not a single one had him even in the teens, let alone 12.

of course mock drafts are just that, mocks. But data is data, and that cannot be denied. 

he might end up being good, but I would have bet a lot of money that gibbs would have been there at 18, and I am sure I'm right.

Ginuvas

April 28th, 2023 at 8:18 PM ^

Data is data, but a mock draft is not actual data. Look at the mock drafts from any year and see how accurate they are past the first few picks. I’m not saying the players wouldn’t have been there later, but based on the reports that have  come out it seems like they wouldn’t have. 
Regardless, any hot take that says a draft is worse than a Millen era draft is likely to be very wrong.

Newton Gimmick

April 28th, 2023 at 8:21 PM ^

Predictions/guesses aren't data.  

Especially mocks, which try to predict what teams *will* do, not what they should -- thus citing them as evidence doesn't really make sense, as they obviously got it wrong 

Also these mocks =/= actual NFL draft boards.  If they though Gibbs was top 5-10 value for their needs, it only takes one other team who feels similarly to steal him away