OT: Will Coach Prime be successful at Colorado?

Submitted by dmoo4u on December 5th, 2022 at 3:58 PM

I am curious to hear what folks think about Coach Prime's chances of being successful at Colorado? I think clearly he is going to be able to improve their recruiting. However, at Jackson State he was able to recruit FBS talent to come to an FCS program - which gave his team a huge talent advantage over the competition. He's not going to be able to do that at Colorado. Even if he gets very talented classes, he is only going to be on par with some of the other Pac 12 programs (although it helps him that USC and UCLA are leaving). Point being, I don't believe he's going to be able to create as big of a talent gap over his competition as he did at Jackson state. So it will really come down to coaching. He's going to have to hire a very talent coaching staff. 

Some other food for thought: Will his style wear on the fan base and administration? As much as he says he wants to create attention to benefit the players, I have a hard time believing it's that altruistic. He's always been someone who relishes the spotlight. I was a little shocked at the way he talked to the team - basically telling them all to jump in the transfer portal so he could make room for his guys and introducing his son to the media by saying "here's your quarterback". Additionally, he has made some comments about not really embracing NIL (I want the kids to think about N-F-L and not N-I-L). One thing is for sure - it will be entertaining!

WayOfTheRoad

December 5th, 2022 at 4:15 PM ^

It's very hard to say but he will being in talent. If Colorado fails it won't be for lack of talent, resources or program desire. They have money in a beautiful location and the school literally said they're changing their admissions standards during his presser.

My area of concern comes from two places:

1) How easy was it to win in a place like Jackson State when you had the best players, one being at the most important position that also happens to be your son?

2) Deion always liked himself. Confidence is not a problem with him but it borders on egomania at times. There were a couple moments during his presser and that team introduction where it seemed a bit much. Talent will come but how does he behave if success doesn't also come right after? TA&M just showed everyone that talent alone doesn't change fortunes overnight.

A lot of people called his team introduction "mean" and I wouldn't agree or disagree. He wants to change a culture and I think the best way is to tear it down entirely. However, tearing it down and more than accusing the kids already there for being ungrateful and such is not the same thing. You don't have to do that to rebuild entirely.

Also, in his presser he speaks of the way these kids will behave while there and what happens when that doesn't happen across the board? A major problem in recruiting is weighing the talent with the personality. Will he tell some superstar kid to kick rocks if they habitually step out of his defined line or will that show him to be a bit of a fraud in the eyes of other kids? Little things like that have me wondering and we'll see in time.

It's just very easy to talk the way he does when you did an ok job and then a really good job once you had far more talent than everyone else. It's easy to say what you're bringing and answer everything with "I'm comin' " when you just did it at Jackson State. I would argue that it's much easier to lift the floor of that program than a major P5 program.

We'll see but I wouldn't bet against success because the talent will come. Kids from all over are going to flock to Colorado. I think the biggest unknown is Deion himself beyond two or three years.

dmoo4u

December 5th, 2022 at 4:25 PM ^

great points. the "I'm comin" thing really annoyed me - goes back to making everything about himself. He could have just as easily re-framed his whole speech to say "we're coming" and making it about how they're going to accomplish this turnaround together. This was basically the anti "The Team! The Team! The Team!" speech. 

Perkis-Size Me

December 5th, 2022 at 4:16 PM ^

I watched part of his introductory meeting with the team last night. I've never played the game so I come at this with an uninformed opinion, but something about him saying that he's bringing his son with him he's already anointing him as the starter, and that some of the guys in that room will in a few months not be sitting where they're sitting now (i.e. implying they will be transferring out or will at least be getting benched), I can see how it would rub some people the wrong way or potentially cause friction in the locker room.

But Colorado has been so bad for so long, even if you do have beef with Sanders about it....what can you really say? They won one game this year. Everyone's job is up for grabs. Everything needs to be blown up to start over. 

He deserves an opportunity to show what he can do. He may have had a big talent advantage at Jackson State, but Texas A&M showed us that all the talent in the world means squat if you don't know how to coach it, develop it, and organize it into a cohesive unit. Sanders seems to be able to do that, at least at the FCS level. 

Can he do it at the FBS level? That remains to be seen. He'll be able to recruit, but the level of competition is taking a considerable step up. Playing Grambling State is not the same as playing Oregon or USC. 

We also really have to see how he handles losing. He didn't do a lot of that at Jackson State but he's probably going to lose at least a handful of games his first season, probably more. He's not necessarily going to have the same massive talent advantage at Colorado that he had at Jackson State. He's a confident guy, and there's nothing wrong with that, but how is his bravado going to come across when he steps up to the podium after he loses by four touchdowns to USC? 

That's when we'll see what his real coaching chops are made of. Can he get his team to re-group and re-focus after losing? Especially if they get blown out? How will Deion himself handle it? Those are honest questions he'll need to answer. 

WayOfTheRoad

December 5th, 2022 at 4:27 PM ^

This is a bit of what I meant when I said it felt like a bit much. He calls his son the QB already and then has a very confrontational first meeting with the current players.

Is he going to turn over an entire roster? 25? 50? 75? 100 kids?

He's going to need the kids there to buy in and those that don't cut it don't cut it. Fine. He went in and kind of humiliated the kids into asking questions that he then shit on them for asking. One kid asks about their place going forward and he bluntly says he is going to try them out and give a bunch of handshakes out the door.

I'm not in the "he is being mean" camp but he was really, really feeling himself at that point and that can bite you. It's why I think he as a man is the biggest unknown. He was larger than life at Jackson State. What he said is what happened and he won with superior talent. If he goes 7-5 in back to back seasons, how does he handle it? How does everyone in that program handle it? Etc.

That's the question, IMO. Talent will come but that's only a part of the equation.

Fletcher Hall Lives

December 5th, 2022 at 4:33 PM ^

Herm Edwards made a big splash at ASU with the big time assistants. That situation imploded spectacularly. I think Herm Edwards could outcoach Deon. But his lack of awareness and clash with the current culture did him in.

I hope the best for Deon but Colorado and P5 is a whole different animal. The brash talk coming in doesn't make the transition easier. He'll bring talent for sure. But X's and O's and talent development do matter.

SBayBlue

December 5th, 2022 at 4:51 PM ^

I see the parallels to Herm and ASU, especially the X's and O's. But there are also some major differences between the 2 programs:

1) ASU has had 10 winning seasons since 2005, CU has had 1; CU has low expectations, and ASU has much higher.

2) CU is located near Denver, not exactly a hotbed of talent, ASU is near Phoenix, which definitely is a hotbed

3) Herm's issue was he placed too much responsibility in assistant coaches, and lacked institutional control. CU is just a mess all around.

Dillingham has a good strategy from the start---lock in all the local talent, based on his coaching hires. Sanders so far is point to the door to current players. There is very little local talent to lock down. I would think CU should eventually have a very good NIL program based on wealthy alums and Sanders' image.

SFBlue

December 5th, 2022 at 4:18 PM ^

Colorado was so bad this year, what do they have to lose? From Deon Sanders' perspective, I am not sure this would be the job I take. Florida or Florida State could open up soon. Probably even better to kill it at FAU/FIU/USF in the meantime. A relative recruiting edge means more at those schools.

matty blue

December 5th, 2022 at 4:19 PM ^

i feel like it will work.

but if it does, it won't be for long...if he does get to (let's say) 10 wins, he's gone gone gone to somewhere for more money.  and colorado will be back where they started...i'm guessing prime isn't too big on the whole "sustainability" thing.

I'mTheStig

December 5th, 2022 at 5:50 PM ^

In Sanders' speech to the JSU team, he said a coach has 2 options -- elevation or termination.

And he's right.

It's clear both sides are using each other.

For Sanders' this is a P5 shot which he said he would always be open to

For CU it's, at the very minimum, a gimmick that just may play out.  They have nothing else to lose.

nowicki2005

December 5th, 2022 at 4:20 PM ^

I love Prime. With that said, what was the point of going to Jackson State? Someone was paying for those recruits to come there. Why or what a waste of money that is now.

 

Kids are going to go there. They are going to have talent like crazy. Will they be good? Yes, it's the pac-12. I bet they could compete quickly with Oregon and USC but still think a team like Utah would stomp them, physical and well coached.

lhglrkwg

December 5th, 2022 at 4:21 PM ^

His coaching is a huge unknown right now. At Jackson State, he could basically just out-recruit everyone and field a decent team. Recruiting well at Colorado will get them out of the gutter, but look no further than Texas A&M to see what great recruiting and terrible coaching gets you

uofmchris2

December 5th, 2022 at 4:26 PM ^

I think the biggest challenge for Prime Time is that he'll now actually have to be a real coach for 365 days a year. He had it nice at Jackson State. Now he's going to actually have to grind it out the entire year, and not just a few months here and there.

I'm not sure he'll be able to handle getting up in front of a microphone and responding to actual tough questions from the media after a loss on a weekly basis either. 

We'll see. 

TheTeam16

December 5th, 2022 at 4:26 PM ^

If there are any easily offended people in Boulder, they are not going to like what they hear on all these behind the scenes videos Prime makes, but that is who the man is and he is not going to change.

There are some people that think this first meeting with the players is offensive/will not be taken well. Imagine what that first players meeting looked like when Saban took over garbage Alabama. Probably made this look tame. The cut up version of this video makes the speech look disrespectful, but if you watch the whole thing, it is easy to see all Sanders is saying is he will not accept kids hanging around to just get room and board. He wants players that want to be at CU and WIN. 

No more participation trophies. No more guessing if the man lining up next to you wants it as much as you do. No more half assed effort. 

Will it be successful, who knows. I'm not convinced he's an amazing coach, but I know he will get talent. CFB is 75% Jimmies and Joes not Xs and Os. 

I'mTheStig

December 5th, 2022 at 5:52 PM ^

You got negged but +1 from me.

if there are any easily offended people in Boulder, 

Nailed it. 

That's part of the problem with the football team -- Boulder gives two shits about them and the relationship between them and the city has been contentious at times over the years.

btn

December 5th, 2022 at 4:29 PM ^

He will get that program turned around within  2-3 years, maybe getting to the conference champ game, then will move on to another program 

Derek

December 5th, 2022 at 4:29 PM ^

I'm onboard because of Joel Klatt's reaction on the broadcast.

Colorado ought to be better than it's been. Maybe not a lot better, but at least as good as Wazzu, Oregon State, and Arizona (State).

skatin@the_palace

December 5th, 2022 at 5:19 PM ^

ASU is the real under performer out of that group. That's the program that should be Pac12 South's equivalent of Washington. The talent base in the Phoenix-Tempe metro is insane. Their new coach has also made it a priority of trying to rope it off. I don't think CU is going to be able to really lock down a pipeline out there especially with BYU and Boise having a strong western recruiting presence. 

CompleteLunacy

December 5th, 2022 at 4:34 PM ^

Keeping in mind the perennial bottom-dweller status of Colorado, the fact he'll get recruits there means there's a good chance of success.

But as to whether he can build a program that can actually compete for the Pac 12 and beyond? No friggin clue. Depends on who he is as a head coach, and what assistants he brings in,

But I'd be shocked if he flamed out, just because of how abjectly turrible that program has been recently.

rice4114

December 5th, 2022 at 6:56 PM ^

In terms of talent levels using high school as an example. Coach Sanders when to a league of freshman level teams and brought in some jv level players that gave him a distinct advantage. He is now heading to a school that is very much jv level while the best in the conference is varsity level. Whatever works at JSU wont work here. How does that ego hold up during 5-7 loss seasons as he tries to REACH varsity level status? Its to be seen but it will be his first time dealing with this uphill climb. Dan Hawkins was brilliant at Boise and a disaster at Colorado. Im not sure what Deon will be at Colorado but my guess will be whenever/if he reaches the level that is above his head he will go out guns a blazing.

SBayBlue

December 5th, 2022 at 4:37 PM ^

I would bet on about 30/70 successful vs unsuccessful. You would think he should be able to will them to a bowl game at the least in 2 years just by bringing in new talent. I would have thought the same thing about Texas A&M, but Jimbo is a better X's and O's guy than Deion.

McCartney is Colorado's most successful coach of all time. He was able to go into LA and recruit against the USC's and UCLA's of that era. Now, it's much more competitive.

Denver is not a hotbed of talent, and his best closest recruiting ground is Texas, and that is also ultra competitive. The Mountain States are a different animal than the Southeast or West Coast. Locking down your local talent is usually step #1 to a dominant program.

I would have thought his best Power 5 places to land were places like ASU, which has a lot of local talent, or Georgia Tech. He has the local connections in the Southeast, but I'm not sure what Tech's admission requirements are for athletes since it is such a good school. And Auburn doesn't seem like the right fit culturally for Deion.

I look at CU hiring Sanders as their Hail Mary. Could work out, but odds might be against him just based on location.

NittanyFan

December 5th, 2022 at 4:59 PM ^

I doubt it.

  • Deion is still a man, who I believe, is mostly about himself versus others.  This is a man who coached games this year while wearing his Instagram handle!
  • Building a program at CU will mean grinding 365/24/7.  Is that something Deion is ready for?
  • His son is already the starting QB?  That sounds suspiciously like what happened 50 miles away at Northern Colorado - Ed McCaffrey comes in and his kids come first.  FWIW, just a couple weeks ago McCaffrey was fired.  His UNC reign was a failure.
  • Yes, he has charisma and could be a "fun coach."  That's different than being someone who can coach up players and make solid in-game tactical decisions.
  • Boulder is apathetic about football as a whole.  Denver is a Broncos town first through tenth.  CU wasn't even regularly selling out Folsom in their 90s glory days.
  • Colorado is shockingly poor in terms of HS football talent per capita.  CU can only be successful by recruiting CA and TX well but those areas are mega-competitive and Deion doesn't have deep roots either place.

All that said --- from the CU perspective it's worth a shot.  I don't think he'll be successful, but neither do I think it's a bad hire (if that makes sense).

skatin@the_palace

December 5th, 2022 at 5:14 PM ^

Colorado has always felt like a fools gold program to me. The dynamics of their conference and where Colorado is geographically as a state relative to football talent beds never made sense. Always felt like a football journalists projection of being good in conjunction with the nostalgia of the 90s teams. They don't seem to have any inherent advantage to their current situation. 

NittanyFan

December 5th, 2022 at 6:25 PM ^

Agree on "fools gold."

McCartney was a great coach, but to do a "post-mortem", CU was in a good spot in the early 80s that made his launch to success easier:

  • In the Big 8.  Nebraska and OU were obviously powers.  Somebody would be the 3rd best team in that conference:
    • It definitely wouldn't be KU, K-St or ISU.  Absolute disasters as football programs in the early 80s.
    • Mizzo cared more about hoops.  Norm Stewart's "glory" era.
    • OK State had good teams and generally was that "3rd best team."  But they have a lower ceiling than CU, being the "little brother" in an already small state.

So McCartney comes in, Jimmy Johnson leaves OK State (for the U) because he realizes his limits there, and OK State makes a bad next hire.  McCartney can get CU fairly easily to 3rd in the conference, gets that first big upset (Nebraska in 1986), gets some players like Eric Bieniemy - and BAM, Top 10 team and nationally relevant.

I don't think it's an accident CU fell off right when the Big XII began.  Now there are considerably more "big dogs" in the conference, plus Snyder has K-State resurgent.  CU did have a Top 10 season in 2001 but that's been it.  

As you said, they have no real inherent advantages anymore.  In retrospect, they did in the 80s/early 90s.