Michigan win/loss record prediction thread

6-6 

though 7-5 is certainly possible.

Sorry, I just can’t/won’t believe Michigan is that bad. I choose to think they could be pretty good to above average. I’m saying 9-4 or 10-3 including bowl game. 

8-5 with a bowl win

8-4 best case.

10-2. We lose by two or more scores vs Wisconsin, find our footing, win in Happy Valley, get our irrational hopes up vs OSU, and lose by a lot. This year plays out a lot like 2018 (just swap ND and Wisconsin games).

Piss off, 8-4 is realistic.

Your post isn't.

Username checks out.

Because I choose the hopeful world in which I live,  10-2    The Cade era is up arrows based on his brain and talent. 

The OL gels  and the running game gets real while we see legit RPOs with a QB who has eyes and a brain.

The D utilizes enough disguised zone that it aids in pass D and run stop. 

We are in the game with OSU. Your welcome

8-1, 3 covid sit out forfeits.

Whatever. Just fuckin play hard and look organized.  
 

thats all we can ask right now. 

To hell with you all!  14-0 National Champions!

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… Oh, I thought this was the Bama board.  Nevermind then.  We will win some games and have some highs, we will lose some games and have some lows.  And it will still be great to be a Michigan Wolverine through it all.

Besides, the US News and World Report rankings come out in September!  Bo was wrong, we can rally around a math class!

*ducks*

Ceiling: the new staffers are good. There is visible development on both sides of the ball, the defense has some flaws but is competent and never truly exposable. Gattis has the reins, one of Cade or JJ is the real deal, make the right reads, and suddenly the offense shows flashes of real danger and sustained stretches of competence that is slightly frustrating because it's not elite but overall very encouraging. Michigan surprises and wins at Wisconsin or PSU, loses the other, and loses one other game that makes us very angry at the time. We go into the OSU game with two losses, lose, but we're in the game in the third quarter and never embarrassed. Bowl season approaches with actual optimism, especially with the hockey and basketball teams looking good, and Brian is elbowing Seth out of the way to do UFRs.

Floor: It's the same HC and some of the same players that we saw not just lose last year, but utterly quit in games like Wisconsin. An early loss is objectively explainable but brings heavy negativity here, in local media, and on campus. A bad loss at Wisconsin leaves the team teetering with two losses. They patch the ship for a very shaky win at Nebraska, but then lose to MSU and the floodgates open. People call loudly for a firing before the end of the season, but Michigan will never do that; nonetheless, there are coaching search posts by a staff member by the week of the Maryland game, and Harbaugh is fired the Monday after an OSU game where the team fights gamely and still loses by 30+. 4-8

Best guess: I have a hard time seeing the team being just good, not great, and not having a meltdown, honestly. Some of that is pessimism combined with the experience of last year and 2014, both of which were meltdowns under similar circumstances. I mean, the season could easily--easily--start 3-3, and while you can still salvage a decent season out of that, people will be setting fire the furniture around here if that happens. 

I'll guess 6-6, but I have hopes that 9-3 is on the table, and unlike 2014 I feel like that would be a sign of life and real progress, because to get there the offense and defense have to come closer to their potential than they have since 2018, and that means that the staff is working. 

I’m just trying to figure out why everyone is so optimistic about 2022? We lose Jeter, Hutchinson, Dax, Hawkins and Ross most likely on defense. On offense I don’t see Bell or Hayes coming back and we may lose Haskins as well. That’s a lot of talent gone for next year. 

Michigan has zero chance against Ohio St. Penn St. and Wisconsin. Those games will be ugly ass kickings. 
 

Michigan will absolutely lose to Michigan St. Seth has already said that MSU’s talent is too poor this year and that is a kiss of death. In all seriousness, Tucker will be well prepared for Michigan. Harbaugh/Michigan will again look like they would be better prepared if they just read MGoBlog all week instead of whatever idiotic excuse for “game planning” happens. Michigan will struggle to make any in game adjustments other than taking the ball away from their most competent looking play makers in favor of gadgets that feature practice all-stars. 

The numbers suggest Michigan should be an unacceptable 7-5. Yet injuries, Harbaugh’s amazing ability to under prepare but over coach, and a brand new defense taught and called by a first timer at both, means Michigan loses at least one game they shouldn’t to be 6-6. This team is closer to 5-7 than they are 8-4. 
 

I want desperately to be wrong and will be at the Western game with binocs looking for any sign of it. 

I say FUCK YOU!

The hell do so many think it's trolling by guessing 4-8?! Why can someone not think that? Is 6-6 the lowest one can expect? 7-5? Even if we do take big strides this year, in football, three or even four games easily could be decided by 14, 20 pts and we realistically could happen to end up on the unlucky side of three or four of those toss up games.

6-6. 

8-4, but it's a grind. Close wins against mediocre teams and blowouts in some conference road games. 

I do think there is a wide variance here where anything between 4-8 and even 11-1 are possible.

I’ll take 8-4 Alex.  Basically what DoubleB said.  
 

Except for the 11-1 part.  

We beat Ohio State

14-0

Wow, we really are miserable fans who can’t even conceive of success. 

Beating Indiana is now considered overachieving and lots of people think we’ll lose to Northwestern?  Isn’t Northwestern completely rebuilding and just lost their best running back for the season?   

I won’t predict wins and losses but I do expect the live game thread of the Western game to go into full meltdown mode after Cade throws an incompletion.  

Yeah, 4-8 is way too pessimistic. I mean, gun to your head, that's really what you would go with? You really think they lose to Nebraska, Northwestern and MSU?? 7-5 feels the most realistic to me. I'll be happy with anything better than that.

If we decide scoring points is more important than time of possession: 9-3

If we continue with the kill the clock offense: 5-7

Predictions are for gypsies.

10-2.

Only one team has more talent than Michigan. Two have equal talent.

we pull off one upset and win the games we should. 

I’m feeling optimistic to get disappointed again. Michigan goes 10-1 with a loss to Western Michigan, then loses to Ohio State on a last second Hail Mary. ?

10-2 and bowl game against Florida gets canceled.

8-5. If we go 8-4, we’ll get an SEC team in a Florida bowl game and lose. If we go 7-5, we’ll get a winnable bowl game. 
My actual prediction is that Michigan will play football games and I will watch them. Some will be fun, some will be depressing, and I will watch them all. I may wear out the fast forward button skipping commercials. I’m not wasting 4 hours of my life anymore watching Michigan football every Saturday. 2 hours is fine, though.

Perhaps I want to set myself up to be pleasantly surprised….

This team has the talent to win 9 games, not convinced it has the coaching to win 5

Will lose our last 4 and not make a bowl 

Probably 7 or 8 wins.

i think this is a 4 to 11 win team. i think the right coaching with the right system the talent is there for a 10 win season and a bowl win. Staee did as much with less talent for years. The big question is where does our current coaching staff land us on that spectrum? Season will tell the tale.

7-5

11-1, loss to Wisconsin