Let's revisit an old thread: "What are your real expectations if we get Harbaugh"?

Submitted by UMxWolverines on December 2nd, 2019 at 3:35 PM

https://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/what-are-your-real-expectations-if-we-got-harbaugh?sort_by=thread&items_per_page=50&page=3

1. A lot that said Hoke recruited well and that Harbaugh shouldn't have too much trouble early on

2. A lot of "Big Ten title and playoff appearance by year 5 as he had Stanford to 12-1 in four years

3. Beat OSU 50 percent of the time and get back on even footing with them

4. Have the roster fully stocked

5. Develop NFL QBs

So after 5 years one of those has happened I guess...the first one. Do with it what you want. 

Couzen Rick's

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:02 PM ^

Hindsight is always 20/20, and the disappointment is real - but I am still firm in that Harbaugh is the guy and the cons of moving on from him outweigh the pros (pros being 10 wins/year, cons being significant chance of being Nebraska/Tennessee/2008-14 fulltime)

VintageBlue

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:11 PM ^

Harbaugh gets full credit on one and then say, half credit for two more of those goalposts

....and yet there are maybe 6 programs in the country that are consistently put out better teams than Michigan under Harbaugh.

So, like, whatever man. It's still all about the G.D. Buckeyes.

 

taistreetsmyhero

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:11 PM ^

OSU ascended while Harbaugh was playing catch up. We lost 4 years of potential progress on offense but I think we've finally found the right scheme. We were snakebit to not win the conference and make the playoffs once. It's a combination of bad luck and shitty circumstances (our rival has peaked).

Rafiki

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:50 PM ^

That might change this year. All eligible Oline will be drafted including Ruiz if he chooses to go (I think another year could help but I get wanting his money now). Black will be drafted. DPJ would get drafted but he could use another year although there will already 4-5 WRs competing for snaps. LHill will be drafted. Patterson may get drafted late. Uche will be drafted. That’s basically every draft eligible player.
 

Mettellus Hudson McKeon Kemp and Glasgow would be the only draft eligible players to not get drafted. Kemp may he back next year anyway and I’m not sure about McKeon. 
 

Last year UM had 2 first round picks. Harbaugh has produced NFL talent. He does need to find a dynamic offensive game changer though. That’s what’s kept Franklin afloat despite inferior coaching. Hamler and Barkley won Franklin games on their. Denard used to do that. Gotta find someone like that. Maybe Charbonnet with another year and healthy knees can be that guy. Or maybe Jacskon or Sainristil. 

CRISPed in the DIAG

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:11 PM ^

Self examination is well and good, but anyone demanding wholesale HC and coordinator changes is being reactionary. 

Look at Harbaugh's W-L records/SP etc  and stack it up to this program's overall performance from 1969 to Hoke. Yes, we currently lack conference championships and wins over OSU that were more common through mid-Carr. However, there were only a couple undefeated seasons and we typically lost the bowl game. And thru most of the 70s and 80s, there was only one or two games - OSU, occasionally ND - that caused angst. There was no Penn St on the schedule. MSU was MSU. Iowa didnt get good until '81. Wisconsin was an also-ran until 1993. I could go on: the conference is better now and OSU has never been better. 

Carpetbagger

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:43 PM ^

As much as people idolize Bo, you would think more people would know his record. Yes he beat OSU, which Harbaugh has not. But otherwise the records are pretty much the same. Bo never won a national title and seemed to blow a game annually to a nothing team for no reason. At least Harbaugh beats the teams he should beat, and is better than .500 with teams on our level.

uncleFred

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:43 PM ^

Yup Bo never won a national championship and lost more than his fair share of bowl games. So what?

Bo wasn't measured on winning bowl games or winning a national championship. Bo was measured on beating Ohio State and winning the Big Ten Championship, which he did plenty of times. Had he been measured on winning bowl games and national championships i have no doubt he'd have done exactly that. 

Bo was asked (at least once) if he'd rather beat Ohio State or win the Rose bowl and a national championship. He said something to the effect that while he always wanted to win any game the team played, no win ever gave him more satisfaction than beating Ohio State. 

 

MadMatt

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:12 PM ^

Let's be honest, years three and four saw substantial regression during the Drevno/Hamilton regime on offense. Fisch took all the good parts of the Stanford/Harbaughfense with him, and we were left with a shell that had numerous issues, e.g. OL having two different position coaches, one teaching zone blocking, the other teaching power.

They were lost seasons. Consider this year three; we changed offensive scheme at the start of this year with signs that it is starting to take. It's less crazy-making that way.

A Lot of Milk

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:36 PM ^

I don't think there's any question that we're on the right track with offense now. By no means perfect, but they did what no offense could do to OSU all year and this was year one. The frustrating truth is that the defense might need to be torn down if we want to beat OSU. Scheme doesn't match the talent differential and Brown has shown no ability to change

Rafiki

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:57 PM ^

Brown was fine in 16 & 17 when he had quality DTs and DBs. This year looks different if Hurst or Glasgow is inside.
 

The D will be very experienced next year at every position but 3. Viper they’ve recruited well (could end up being an upgrade). CB and safety are bigger question marks. DT looks promising for next year. If Vilain or someone else can get close to a true edge rusher the DL will approach what it was in 16 & 17. The LBs may be better depending on McGrone Ross and the viper. 

wolve1972

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:14 PM ^

I admit, I was super pumped when he was hired.  Having graduated in 1972, I grew to absolutely love Bo - he won and showed class off the field. He's still is my all time favorite Wolverine - player or coach. 

When JH was hired my immediate thought was "here we go."  And I realistically gave him a couple of years to turn the mess he inherited around.  But then came the numerous  childish and immature social media spats with other coaches and ADs. That sent up a red flag. And again this year when he said that "Meyer has problems wherever he goes" - or something to that effect. Enough ! Just think before you speak (if possible).

5 years now and NO B1G titles, another 3 loss season (so far), and 0-5 against OSU after getting completely curb stomped again.  $8 million a year ? The party is over and not just for me but a lot of other old-time graduates that donate back to the university.  Troll ? No, I have Maize & Blue running through my blood and think we deserve better than a childish acting coach that can't back it up - especially against the school he was hired to beat

BoHarb

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:26 PM ^

This video https://youtu.be/bEESpwadbDs still gives me chills.  Given the S/P ranking over 5 years I'd say mission accomplished, with a bright future ahead. Championships arent everything-we are still nationally relevant and prominent, the #1 priority.  

 

 

jmblue

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:30 PM ^

Obviously, no one's going to predict a bunch of second-place finishes and whatnot.

But 10-3, 10-3, 8-5, 10-3, 9-3 is a very normal stretch for Michigan historically, very much reminiscent of the 1969-2007 period, which is what a lot of us wanted to return to after the two previous disastrous hires. 

The problem is OSU.  They won it all the year before Harbaugh and have not only kept it up but are probably even better now than they were then (could you imagine a .500 VT team beating them by two touchdowns this season?).    

mgobleu

December 2nd, 2019 at 4:41 PM ^

Ok I get it if you're disappointed, I am too, but I'm just not going to get on board every opportunity to punch myself in the dick for daring to have some hope 5 years ago. I promise it won't happen again.

AMazinBlue

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:13 PM ^

I am certai ly disappointed with the results.   But I now also realize the college football landscape has changed a lot since he was hired.  The only way to keep up with OSU is basically ally ro cheat or not have academic restrictions for athletes.

Michigan cannot compete with OSU, ALabama, Clemson or LSU unless they play the same game and that is to not have football players get a real education, or to pay kids to come to Michigan.

Schools with standards and ethics cannot compete in this current setup.

Sten Carlson

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:24 PM ^

But we didn't hire Harbaugh to get us back to good-- we hired him expecting to get us to great.

This is the issue and the source of all the discontent — it’s all about expectations.  The problem is the above statement has absolutely zero context.  Everything Michigan wants to accomplish runs through Columbus, and while Harbaugh was bringing Michigan back to its historic norm, OSU was raising their bar to a level never before seen.  There’s a diary explaining this very well.  

Michigan, in the modern era, has only beat OSU above 50% of the time for a brief time in the mid-80’s and 90’s.  Michigan fell its historic norm badly, while OSU increased its performance TWICE.  Whatever the reason for this improvement, when Harbaugh was hired fans saw the mountain with clouds covering the summit, and assumed that it wasn’t that much farther.  Now that the clouds have parted, it’s clear that the summit is actually FARTHER than it was from the valley to the cloud line.  

My disappointment stems from the fact that it seems that Michigan has lacks “the guy” that can take the program to a new height, to create a new generation of Michigan players who want to wear the Maize and Blue.  We need a Woodson, a Denard, someone to lead the team and bridge the gap.  The problem is, unfortunately, with the concentration associated with the CFP those players seem to be passing on Michigan.  

Go_Blue_Guy

December 3rd, 2019 at 9:48 AM ^

Michigan's past success against OSU was much better than you suggest.  From Bo's first year til the day Tressel was hired, Michigan was 19-11-2 against Ohio State.  In 32 seasons OSU beat Michigan 11 times!  They also only had 4 wins in Ann Arbor in that 32 year span.  They have currently won the last 4 and 7 of the last 8 in AA.  

http://football.stassen.com/cgi-bin/records/opp-opp.pl?start=1969&end=2000&team1=Michigan&team2=OhioState

If you include all 39 seasons of Bo/Mo/Lloyd, Michigan still had a 20-17-2 record over Ohio State.  If you count Big Ten titles from Bo's first season in 1969 until our most recent title in 2004, Michigan won or shared 21 (TWENTY-ONE) Big Ten Championships in 36 years.  15 of the 21 were either outright titles or we were the Rose Bowl representative (i.e. we finished with a loss but beat the team we were tied with head-to-head).  

So yes, please sign me up for getting back to this historical norm.  Because we ain't there.

yzerman19

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:35 PM ^

Not disappointed at all.  Got back to normal with MSU, almost beat those fuckers twice, ten wins are now ho hum.  We have the best coach we could possibly have.

TennesseeMaize

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:36 PM ^

Lol. I’m not sure the expectations of MGoBloggers means much to anyone inside the athletic Dept. 
 

I think this indicates how difficult of a job it is to compete with OSU in this modern era of college football. They are the Bama of the big ten, so eventually someone will have to knock them off the hill. This just isn’t the year 

Sten Carlson

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:10 PM ^

So what?  When people bring up Dabo being unable to beat Clemson’s arch rival USC (a team that, at best, is a middling SEC team not anywhere near where OSU was or is currently) in his first 5 tries, people shit all over the OP.  But, when it suits the narrative people trot out Auburn occasionally beating Alabama as an indictment of Harbaugh and Michigan.  

Auburn is not Michigan, academically, culturally, demographically, and other than the programs being rivals, the comparison is completely worthless.   

Fielding Fan

December 3rd, 2019 at 2:47 AM ^

Auburn beating Alabama 4 out of 10 times in the last decade isn't "occasionally".  It's called a RIVALRY.

Maybe we should be down there learning something from them instead of looking down our noses at them.

I'd like to get this back to a rivalry at some point, even if we are the "4" in 4/10.  Low hanging fruit, I grant you, but it's better than 1-9.

RXwolverine

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:54 PM ^

last time I checked auburn has beaten bama twice the last 4 years. So comparing Ohio state to Alabama and using that as an excuse is pitiful. Ed orgeron took over at LSU and in 4 years has beaten Alabama in Bryant-Denny stadium and won the division and seems headed to the playoff regardless of the outcome against Georgia in the sec championship. Harbaugh is a good coach but that’s all he is. Nothing special. I feel bad for him because he really loves Michigan and has tried everything to succeed here and for some reason it’s just not working. 30 point loses to Ohio state in year 4 and 5. The gap is only getting worse

RXwolverine

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:42 PM ^

Everyone expected Michigan to at least win a big ten championship and beat Ohio state at least once by year 5. He has done neither. Therefore he has significantly failed to meet expectations. It’s a shame but this is the reality of Michigan football. Harbaugh is the best option right now and that means being Ohio states bitch. 

BlueMk1690

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:46 PM ^

The funny thing to me is that the old thread actually had a decent number of posts with measured expectations that were met in reality or even surpassed.

Of course there were some clowns then, many of whom still hang around here and still act like clowns.

 

blueday

December 2nd, 2019 at 5:57 PM ^

Wasn't this ... 

A few championships of some sort. Elite top 5 recruiting on a regular basis.  Exceptional roster depth at all positions.  Discipline.

Based upon the many posts I have read, I'm reduced to being happy with 9 to 10 wins a year and maybe 11 rarely. 

Unless we have a future elite prospect on the team that can take us to the next level to electrify recruits again, I've moved on. 

Enjoying what we have, not dreaming about what we will never have.  Unless we want to bend the rules and run a sleazy program, this is the ceiling.

 

 

 

 

 

Rafiki

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:06 PM ^

Biggest disappointment is he really hasn’t had that “magical” season where it all comes together. He’s been consistently good and if not for injuries in 17 his record would be even better. But he hasn’t had a season where it all came together. A lot of the coaches ppl compare him to have that 1 season and live off it for a while. Malzahn may have beaten Bama but Auburn has a worse record than UM since Harbaugh arrived. He gets credit for the 1 national championship despite the other seasons that were worse than Harbaughs. Same for Orgeron. Before this year what had he done? And we’ll see what he does after Burrow leaves. Same for Brian Kelly. 

smwilliams

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:46 PM ^

I'd argue that season was 2016, but they got super unlucky. 3 losses by 5 points total is some voodoo, curse-type stuff. Wasn't even coachable stuff. A punt bounces backwards at the 1 yard line leading to a safety? Sure-handed Darboh drops a dime on 3rd down that ices the game in Kinnick? Speight fumbles at the OSU 1 to probably put the game away. Glasgow misses an easy ST tackle that leads to FSU's TD. How do you "coach" that?

Hell, even last year, they were 10-1 and sitting at the #4 spot. Don Brown just got waxed. Now, that's on Harbaugh somewhat, but you have to trust the people around you and I'm sure he wasn't looking over Don's shoulder going, "are you sure you can stop these guys?"

 

AlbanyBlue

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:42 PM ^

Hell, look at this year. One pass caught and we're maybe looking at 10-2 going into the bowl.

Major injuries on defense for the Wisconsin game.

Now to be fair, this year showed coaching issues -- implementation of the offense and not-great defensive scheme against Wisconsin. So, there are issues, but the Harbaugh era has been defined by awful luck as much as anything.

As it looks now, OSU will have three outstanding coaching eras in a row. That sucks for us.

jnz

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:19 PM ^

I guess either I am an optimist, realist or an idiot. I still think that closing the recruiting gap is a more time consuming task than in the past. I believe we are making gains. Fact of the matter is is OSU had a huge jump on us when Harbaugh got here. We were a train wreck when he arrived. Remember? I personally believe he will get us there. OSU is playing with there new coaches personality, even and consistent not as unpredictable as when Meyer was there. They played like Meyer acted and they would melt down one game a season. Ok, maybe I am an idiot but I believe its it's coming. 

markusr2007

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:35 PM ^

I think a lot of people thought about what Harbaugh achieved at that PAC-10 football armpit called  Stanford, and how he resuscitated the SF 49ers off the NFL gurney, thinking "Harbaugh is Anakin Skywalker and will bring balance back to the Force!"

In a way he has.

Michigan is a 9-3 or 9-4 football program again. Just like it was under LLoyd Carr.

A lot of mouth breathers don't want to accept this fact, but there it is.  Check the math.

A lot of people on this blog are downright Carr-era romantics anyway, because they keep talking about Brady and Woodson and Mike Hart and Mario Manningham, the great 97 and 06 defenses, etc.

The only missing ingredient for Harbaugh right now is a win over Ohio State. 
But matters are different today.

I don't think anyone here back in 2014 believed Ohio State would land BIG10 recruiting classes ranked 1st, 1st, 1st, 1st. 1st, 3rd and 1st. 

But that's exactly what The Sith have done.

Maybe Brian is right?

Maybe to defeat evil (cheating, no integrity, breaking rules, reinstating players, $ bagmen, interest free loans to players and their families, dealer rental sports cars, weekend recruiting hostesses) while the NCAA stands there and does nothing, you have to become something you are not.

I don't like that idea.

But if nobody cares what Ohio State, Clemson, Alabama and Georgia are doing, and all of this "student athlete" business is one giant lie and pretense, then if you can't beat them, join them.

And then let's see who really lands the top recruiting class on a consitent basis. It won't even be close.

College football is a bigger raw sewage cesspool than most people want to acknowledge. In my view Harbaugh is doing pretty well under the circumstances, and is probably a greater self-critic than any of the Michigan fans and haters combined.

MikeB1GMike

December 2nd, 2019 at 6:44 PM ^

I’m pretty disappointed in the lack of consistency in coaching staff. I understand there is turnover when someone is exceeding expectations but I feel like every year we have 2-3 guys departing. Maybe I’m off on that but I do feel that way. I’m also disappointed in our lack of QB development, maybe we have missed on our recruits or these guys aren’t getting the time they should, hopefully Milton or McCaffery change that. The dumb mistakes we seem to make on a game to game basis. Finally, the lack of excitement for bowl games. We should be undefeated in our bowl games but it seems every year since year 1 the bow ll game isn’t good enough for us. 

 

positives are the fact that we have been relevant through most of these 5 years 47-17 feels good after 43-41.. I’m a 90’s baby so besides the early 2000’s I’ve suffered through a lot of bad to finally see a little success. I get mad and upset but that’s because I didn’t have much to root for when I first became a fan and it feels good to at least have something good happen most years besides that last game of the season, I can only remember 3 or 4 wins? 

 

AlbanyBlue

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:56 PM ^

The "turnover" that bugs me is the transfers when the player would be starting / in the two-deep the next year, and then also the players that leave early. Makes me wonder if it's something with Harbaugh.

I mean, I get it, put yourself in what you think is the best spot to get the money. But what happened to "those who stay....."

Panther72

December 2nd, 2019 at 7:12 PM ^

Ill answer your question with a question. What is your expectation of the competing program down south during harbaughs first 5 coaching years?  

Who would have thought that team would be the best looking team they have put together over the past decade the year after UM retired?