Joel Klatt picks Alabama over Michigan in the Rose Bowl
Joel Klatt has been very pro-Michigan in these preview segments that he has done this season. He was a voice of comfort for us before the Penn State and Ohio State games in particular with his previews.
But he is now picking Alabama over Michigan in the Rose Bowl. His rationale is based on how poorly we ran the ball against Iowa in the Big Ten Championship Game (a game he called). He attributes that to the Zinter injury and does not think we can adequately overcome it.
IMO, Klatt is the best analyst in college football, so it's hard to argue with him. But I am a little surprised that he takes Michigan's offensive performance against Iowa at "face value". Once the Semaj return led to a TD, Michigan's offense was purposely shut down. At that point the intent of the offense was to keep things from happening, not to make anything happen.
I don't know how good the Michigan offense will be against Alabama, but it certainly won't be a repeat of the Michigan offense against Iowa.
But . . . Klatt has to call it the way he sees it and this is what he sees. I respect his analysis. And I hope it's wrong.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:23 PM ^
Auburn plays at a really high tempo on offense and their QB is an integral part of the running game - not as a decoy but as a ball carrier. Their QB was second on the team in rushing attempts and rushing yards.
December 29th, 2023 at 7:57 PM ^
JJ wasn't 100% but we decided to run him and drop him back to get sacked over and over, when the game was truly out of reach?
I think we're all hoping JJ was a lot more hurt than he actually was, to explain some less than stellar offensive performances.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:08 PM ^
Picking Alabama over Michigan makes sense to the non biased observer... Until Michigan wins a bowl game, taking Bama to win makes sense.
When we win, it will be great though.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:10 PM ^
who cares.
everyone forgot every shitty game Alabama has played, somehow. Like the Auburn game, just recently!
They are uneven and can be exposed.
Sure, they have a lot of good players. But this is probably the worst playoff Bama team.
Michigan will win. I think it will be like 27-10. Milroe will have like three interceptions.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:11 PM ^
Unless we unleash JJ's legs and punish them for not having a spy, I have serious concerns about moving the ball. If we replicate the LSU game plan (which I doubt Alabama would expect) I absolutely love our chances. Jayden Daniels had 400 yards of offense in three quarters. Though it's not talked about as much, better Saban teams have struggled with good dual threat QBs.
Also, our offense has been pretty "meh" since the second quarter of the Purdue game. That offense against Iowa didn't look great before the Semaj injury either. Yes, we've been in control in more of our games, but we're putting a lot of stock in JJ's injury, while at the same time, his legs (and increased chance of injury) are probably the key to victory. I worry JH is going to try and pound the ball 40 times to victory.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:15 PM ^
I don't find a Klatt on either roster. His opinion isn't going to change a thing. Just win.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:17 PM ^
That's fine to predict and I really respect Joel.
That being said....This Alabama team is getting the benefit of the doubt because of their most recent win against Georgia(and it was a big one!). Odd that people aren't talking about:
1) The 4th and 31 Hail Mary prayer that they needed to beat 6-6 Auburn the game before Georgia
2) Only a 3-point win over 4-8 Arkansas
3) A double-digit loss at home to Texas
4) Bama being tied with USF at halftime
Bama is a great team, but they sure haven't had a "Bama" year.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^
Exactly for #1. Auburn beat Auburn. They shot themselves in the foot and Bama should not have won that game. People that forget about that game are the same ones that point out a 26 point victory over Iowa.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:19 PM ^
Everyone is picking Alabama. Everyone.
Yet the line still sits at UM -1.5.
Michigan wins by 2.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:21 PM ^
Michigan wins 33 - 26
December 29th, 2023 at 3:19 PM ^
It’s good to be the underdog sometimes…
December 29th, 2023 at 3:19 PM ^
Michigan is going to add insult to insult when Alex Orji turns in a game-winning supporting performance.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:23 PM ^
Good. I don't like being the favorite in games like this.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:23 PM ^
I recognize that there are still some unknowns with Michigan on the ground but I keep hearing people act like Michigan's SP+ #10 offense is poor and ill-prepared to play Alabama (even though Michigan has played the #2, 3, and 4 defenses in the country and they play #1 in practice every day) while Alabama's #11 offense is poised to explode despite the Tide rather consistently struggling all year when they played a top-level defense - see their struggles against Texas, Texas A&M, and Georgia moving the ball consistently.
Michigan got a short field thanks to the Morgan punt return and a fumble and otherwise that's basically the yardage difference between UM and Alabama in their conference championship games. Case in point - Michigan's starting field position was their own 38 on 14 drives while Alabama's was their own 29 on 11 drives.
Alabama is a good team but Michigan has been so dominant for basically the whole year that people assume they don't have 3rd and 4th gear because they rarely have to slip into it, while teams like Alabama that have had to dig deeper into their bag against inferior opponents are presumed to still have deeper to go when there's little evidence they haven't already hit their limits. Now, that maybe means Alabama still wins this game, but all year Michigan has met every challenge thrown at them and I'm not sold that "big guy who's a great athlete with an inaccurate arm" is some insurmountable mountain for them.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:25 PM ^
I'm superstitious. Just like with Ohio State, I've been doing online Magic Eight Ball once a day for the past 2 weeks. The question is: Will Michigan Football beat Alabama? After the game, I'll tell you what the answers have been and we'll see whether they were right.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:28 PM ^
Hard to argue with him, I think Bama wins as well.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:30 PM ^
I expect everyone to pick against Michigan. Let them. It’s understandable but this game is not going to be a walkover by either team unless the bowl curse on Michigan jumps up big time here- slow start, fall behind and have to play catchup which is not their game. Keep big plays down, grind it on offense and dictate the pace. Hopefully Michigan can play well on grass which they haven’t played on all year (except for Penn st?). Bama has played on grass all year almost every game. May be a factor.
We get the last say when we win…
Go Blue!!
December 29th, 2023 at 3:31 PM ^
i think Klatt is the best analyst out there.
Have no issues with him picking Bama; its going to be a close game and you have to pick somebody..
Its going to come down to TOs and someone making a big play. Milroe, for all his inconsistencies can make those plays and has playmakers Michigan does not (outside of TE). JJ is going to need a big time game like versus TCU; a conservative game call will not win this game imo.
no risk it, no biscuit
December 29th, 2023 at 6:42 PM ^
So you mean the player that wears number uno for Michigan is a worse playmaker than number 18, and number 89??? You are a Michigan fan right? I beg to differ with your assessment of our lack of playmakers with thee exception of our tight ends.
December 29th, 2023 at 7:18 PM ^
Wait, a Michigan fan isn't allowed to think this game is a tough matchup?
Michigan could not get their WR open versus PSU or Iowa either...maybe that was due to JJ being injured, maybe those guys simply couldn't get separation or JJ didn't have time to throw. Bama provides similar challanges. Their CBs are a tough match up for Wilson compared to the TE on LB match ups
Its a messageboard - you're free to give your opinion, but don't tell me a Michigan fan isn't allowed to recognize that Bama is a tough game for them. That's the hieght of arrogance.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:36 PM ^
It's basically JJ vs Milroe. JJ had been held back since the 1H at Penn state. It's time to turn him loose. He will outplay Milroe and we will win. 27-20.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:40 PM ^
This team has proved everyone wrong game after game
December 29th, 2023 at 3:41 PM ^
ChatGPT > Joel Klatt
December 29th, 2023 at 3:43 PM ^
I love listening to Klatt as much as the next Michigan fan, but there's an additional piece of context that's not being considered: Michigan had no reason to put ANYTHING on tape during the Iowa game after their first score. Everyone knew how that game was going to end at that point. There's a lot that Sherrone Moore and Jesse Minter held back that can now be deployed in the playoff.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:52 PM ^
I was afraid that we were going to play Oregon and their up-tempo offense. When Alabama was the choice I thought about how giving Nick Saban a month to prepare for a game was really bad news. Then he hired George Helow in the ultimate advanced scouting move. I Haven't felt good at all about the game, and wouldn't be surprised if Saban wins another national championship with Georgia out of the way. If that happens, Finebaum will have nocturnal emissions of semen for weeks on end.
December 29th, 2023 at 6:00 PM ^
"I was afraid that we were going to play Oregon"
Did you mean Washington? Or did you think the Pac10 was going to get 2 teams in the playoff?
December 29th, 2023 at 4:34 PM ^
The problem with "not putting anything on tape" is that there's no actual proof Michigan has been repping anything else. And if they are repping it why not ever bring it out?
If by some miracle Michigan has been repping a ton of QB run stuff and using Donovan Edwards in a more dynamic role sure they can win. But if you're practicing that stuff why won't they ever use it?
My take is that they are NOT doing any of that stuff. We'll get 2 - 3 new plays but that's it.
December 29th, 2023 at 5:28 PM ^
Agreed. The best way to practice is to run plays. If Michigan was heavy PA, Don on angle routes and lots of motion to scheme guys open, it's unclear to me how that would make them worse. I keep reading about how Michigan never needs to put anything on film. I don't see other teams say that. It's an issue with the creativity on offense, not some magical plan.
December 29th, 2023 at 6:44 PM ^
Here's your counterpoint. Michigan is 12-0 without putting anything else on tape! That is a fact.
December 29th, 2023 at 8:33 PM ^
Against a bunch of garbage teams. OSU has a high talent level but they are not well coached and they are a soft team and easily broken. Alabama is a well-coached team full of elite players. Michigan has not played a team this talented or this well-coached, let alone a combination of the two.
I get you can't choose how good your opponents are and yes Michigan is 13-0 but this is not the B1G Ten. This is Alabama. Doing what they did to beat up on the B1G Ten the last three years doesn't work in the playoffs.
Can they win? Absolutely. But not by playing the way they did against teams like PSU or OSU. They gotta let it all out of the garage and floor it. And unless they have been practicing and entirely new playbook and saving it for the playoffs then this is gonna be a hell of a tough game for Michigan.
Given what we've seen from this staff, whom I do love, I doubt they have a shit ton of stuff up their sleeves.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:46 PM ^
The same Joel Klatt that was a OSU fan boy the whole game? At least we don’t have to hear him and Gus cheerlead over the broadcast Monday.
December 29th, 2023 at 6:46 PM ^
He literally called them the WORLD FAMOUS BUCKETS while KFC chicken grease was running down his mouth, during the contest.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:51 PM ^
I remember when the sports media said Michigan didn't play anyone after beating every team they played by 30+. They then beat three ranked teams to end the season. Still not good enough according to the sports media.
What Michigan clearly needed to do was to lose a game and then squeak by in four other games against non-ranked opponents, including one that required a miracle to win. That would have then put Michigan in the conversation to be good enough to win a national championship.
/rolls eyes
December 29th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^
So essentially both teams are now solely being defined by their last games then? This narrative is stupid and lazy. Us playing a snoozer against Iowa doesn’t erase what has been accomplished throughout the season. Nor does Bama beating UGA erase the fact that they barely escaped losing to 2 or 3 trash teams. Do I think we could lose? Absolutely. But this “Michigan MIGHT win IF they play an A+++ game” shit has to stop. It’s as if Bama has morphed into the 85 Bears in the last 3 weeks. This is the problem of having a month off and nothing to do but rewatch the Iowa game.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:56 PM ^
Michigan vs. Everybody.(and now Joel Klatt too)
December 29th, 2023 at 3:59 PM ^
Need a big game from JJ passing and running. Use his legs. If we just try our regular run game, expect what happened against Iowa to happen again.
December 29th, 2023 at 3:59 PM ^
We're gonna lose by a few scores. You really do need the 5 star twitchy athletes to win it all and beat the top tier teams with big time NIL programs.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:00 PM ^
On CBS, Neuheisel just put up a side by side of JJ's stats before and after Stalions resigned.
Though Stalions was suspended before the MSU game (and the story broke before the MSU game), CBS decided to use the resignation as the cutoff point. This means that the MSU stats count in the "before" column.
They're probably very sad that Stalions resigned the day before the Purdue game, because he threw for 335 yards that day--easily his season-high.
Then of course Neuheisel says "draw your own conclusions" without mentioning that the last four games were against literally the 4 best teams we faced all year.
It's funny because the Stalions advantage throughout the year was all about how it helped our defense, but recently the focus has been on how it helped JJ. Not even our offense, but JJ specifically.
December 29th, 2023 at 5:38 PM ^
To be fair, JJ's Ass Yards Per Game went way down...
December 29th, 2023 at 4:17 PM ^
Just win
December 29th, 2023 at 4:18 PM ^
Klatt has been pro OSU this season. I'm not surprised by this take.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:21 PM ^
Michigan held too many plays this year. Reason could be to prevent injuries, ie JJ running the ball and Blake and Donovan getting too many carries.
Another example was Sharrone running the ball every play in the second half vs PSU. It worked, we won and they couldn't stop us. Regardless, Michigan went 13-0 this season, again.
Hopefully, Sharrone and Harbaugh will open up the play book in Pasadena and shock all of us.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:25 PM ^
Let’s all hope that Corso picks Bama…
December 29th, 2023 at 6:22 PM ^
He will because he can put that elephant on his head. Can't do that with Michigan.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:32 PM ^
Joel knows ball.
Bama 26-17.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:39 PM ^
Our O line hasn’t been great for most of the year. I have a bad feeling about them and Bamas dline. Let’s hope we can get some screens or something going to soften up that pressure. If not we’re screwed.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:42 PM ^
I hope the team plays fast and loose. Beating Ohio was the key to the year, to shut those whiners up and prove the past two years were not about signs, but about talent and coaching. It’s all gravy since then, so go out, have fun, and let it rip. This is not a virtually unbeatable Alabama team. Took a miracle for them to beat Auburn. Lot of close games during the year.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:45 PM ^
Enjoy Joel's takes, but surprised he weights the last game each team played so heavily. A lot changes from week to week in a football season. These are still 20 yr olds, so who knows which version of these teams show up. Nothing predictable about this outcome.
December 29th, 2023 at 4:50 PM ^
Last year he picked Michigan over TCU. Hope he's wrong again.