a crucial offseason [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Unverified Voracity Shoehorns Urbanism Comment Count

Brian May 18th, 2021 at 1:48 PM

RELEVANT URBANISM CONTENT FOR BLOG. Thank you Ambry Thomas.

Get rid of parking minimums. Build places to live where people can walk to their jobs. Prevent Ambry Thomas's eyes from literally popping out of his head if he sees one more ramshackle bungalow going for seven figures.

The stockade. Possibly coming to a college basketball court near you: flop technicals.

Under the current rules, a player is warned after flopping for the first time in a game. According to a release from the NCAA, if the rule is approved by the NCAA playing rules oversight panel on June 3, players could get hit with a technical foul for "falling to the court despite not being contacted after field goal attempts, dribblers who bob their heads to simulate being contacted and players who act like they were the recipient of contact despite not being touched."

"After two years of using warnings, we didn't feel like we were getting the results that we wanted," Tad Boyle, committee chair and head coach at Colorado, said in a statement. "We are trying to get flopping out of our game. We're asking the officials to call them when they happen."

The effect of this would be minimal given the reluctance to hit people with flop warnings last year. You might get ~half a technical free throw per game if the rate doesn't drop because the penalty for a flop is now marginally higher. On the other hand, if that got called against the home team fans would be beet-red and furious. I support anything that causes people to be irrationally angry at sporting events, so LFG.

Livers scouted. NBA draft scouting video on Isaiah Livers:

I wish people did these before NCAA tournament games so I could embed them and say "yes, Cam Thomas is this person."

It's impressive the consistency with which I say "yup, spot on" with this sort of content.

GRITTY HAS NO MERCY. This has very little to do with the topic of this blog, except insofar as wanton cruelty fits the brief:

This guy did sort of bring it on himself by asserting that Gritty would only make things worse. Don't tell someone to do something they already want to do.

Looking at next year. The Athletic is running a series of X Things About College Basketball Team articles, and Michigan's notes that is a major outlier:

As of Wednesday, 1,578 Division I players had entered the transfer portal in the ongoing 2020-21 cycle. With 357 schools playing DI basketball, that’s roughly an average of 4.4 transfers per school. From the Big Ten, the number of outgoing transfers (including walk-ons) is 59. Every conference team has had at least two. That is, except Michigan. It’s the lone Big Ten school without a player in the transfer portal.

But this goes further. Even Howard’s staff looks like it will remain intact for second straight offseason, which is 1) hugely beneficial to Michigan and 2) pretty damn surprising. Heading into this year’s coaching carousel, it was obvious that Saddi Washington is overdue for a good head-coaching opportunity, Howard Eisley is ripe for an opportunity and Phil Martelli is a big name with a pedigree. I wouldn’t have bet that all three would still be in Ann Arbor all these weeks later.

Brendan Quinn also discusses Hunter Dickinson's offseason, which is the offseason's most critical:

First, the development of a right-hand baby hook is crucial. Even the possibility of an off-shoulder finish could keep defenses more honest and change things dramatically.

Second, Dickinson can, in fact, shoot the ball. It’s just a matter of dialing those looks up and building confidence.

“He really hasn’t shown off his ability to shoot the ball yet,” said Ben Dickinson, Hunter’s older brother, who served as an assistant coach when Hunter starred at DeMatha Catholic High School. “He really can shoot it. In high school, he’d have games where he’d hit three or four 3s, and they’d be huge 3s. Plus, he can face up, give you a jab, hit the short jump shot. Those are things he has, but he just hasn’t really brought it out because he doesn’t need to yet. He’s trying to be efficient and do what’s best for the team. But he has a lot more tools that he’s gonna roll out.”

His FT% and proficiency at elbow jumpers suggest that he's got a shot at adding some stretch to his game this fall. I think that's secondary to expanding his post repertoire, but I'm not sniffing at the idea of pick and pop with Frankie Collins running down a vacated lane.

How a long thing happens. Will Warren runs a Tennessee basketball blog with extensive opponent previews, and I'm always a sucker for Behind The Blog Scenes content. He obliges with a look at how those previews come about. Will's process is pretty similar to ours, with a stop at most of the same sites we hit up. I appreciate this evaluation of Synergy's Web 0.5 look:

For $20 a month, Synergy offers full team reports from D-1 to NAIA on every college basketball team in existence. Not only do they offer the play-by-play data discussed previously, they offer something even more important: play types, as in how often Georgia posts up or how frequently they create a shot from a ball screen. They’re in the midst of reworking their site, but the reports are charmingly low-tech and look more like a faxed document than anything else.

With Synergy, I want to check on a few things of importance. How often does Georgia take shots off the dribble? Which players are the ones who take those shots? Who isolates most frequently? How many ball screens, on and off-ball, can I expect to see on an average night? This is all before I look into the defensive side of things, where I want to see if Georgia features any unique defense that isn’t a basic man-to-man. (Answer: they run a zone defense about 14% of the time and will press in tight late-game situations.) Along with that, I’m trying to answer all of the offensive questions for the defensive side: how well does Georgia defend ball screens, are there any exploitable one-on-one defenders, are they guarding threes well, etc.

If you want to see how the sausage is made this is a close analog to what we do.

For the people are just in charge of things files. Northwestern's athletic director got hired to be ACC commissioner. Northwestern embarked on a search to replace him. It went… poorly:

Polisky, who was Phillips’ longtime right-hand man, was named as one of four defendants in a lawsuit in December by a cheerleader who accused the school of not properly handling complaints about her and her teammates being sexually exploited. The lawsuit came to public light in late January. Northwestern hired Polisky on May 3, days after the school said it filed a motion to dismiss the lawsuit. The president who announced the hire, Morton Schapiro, left town the week of the hire, and the school made no public introduction of Polisky (though it did let him hire men’s soccer coach Russell Payne on Friday). A protest outside Schapiro’s home on Friday brought more negative press, with the school’s only public comment coming via a letter from Schapiro on Thursday defending the hire. That letter has since been taken down from the school website.

Polisky resigned six days later.

Details on the search included deeper in the article paint a familiar picture: an internal candidate with an inside track, a belief that consequences do not exist above a certain point on an org chart, sham interviews resulting in new contracts and withdrawals from external candidates.

Exit scholarship conundrum. Gage Garcia has entered the portal, which is mostly notable for people who track rosters and were confused as to whether he counted as a wrestler or a football player. He did not play in his first year.

Etc.: Comedy in progress is always fascinating. The FA Cup was good. This goes in an unexpected direction.

Comments

bronxblue

May 18th, 2021 at 2:19 PM ^

I'm interested to see where his career goes.  We saw him perform in NYC going on 7-8 years now and I remember he got a bit more into his drinking and drug usage in college than was publicly know at the time.  Still sounded pretty tame relatively speaking (I think he mentioned trying cocaine at a party and that leading to him doing something stupid/funny), but there were probably warning signs earlier on that he may have still be struggling with some of those demons.  I do hope he bounces back and can be comfortable at the level of comedy that is sustainable for him.

lhglrkwg

May 18th, 2021 at 2:27 PM ^

Gotta be bizarre to be a rookie at the 49ers and not be terribly rich for your city, when you know guys who may be at places like NOLA or Jacksonville or Buffalo who can live like kings on their rookie deals

dragonchild

May 18th, 2021 at 6:46 PM ^

I’m East Coast but I’ve heard rumors in IT of Bay area engineers making $200k a year or more and homeless. Not because they couldn’t afford a place but because at those prices it’s madness to spend money on one. A lot of offices have showers, keep your meager belongings in a car in the company lot, use coin laundry, eat out every night. If you can stay sane long enough, move to a cheap state and you’re set for life in your early 30s.

Sopwith

May 18th, 2021 at 6:58 PM ^

I've seen a little of this in Mountain View/Cupertino/Sunnyvale. There are parking lots where occasionally you'll see a bunch of shoes lined up outside the car and privacy curtains or cardboard in the windows. Generally, they're people who could afford an apartment but would rather do something else with the 3000+ for a one-bedroom, like send it home to China/India to support a family.

There are mobile homes around here going for 300k+, and if you drive around one, it won't look like what you think of mobile home communities. Land Rovers, Teslas, BMWs.

 

 

jmblue

May 18th, 2021 at 3:08 PM ^

I'm not a fan of flop warnings, technicals and so forth.  If the ref feels that a player flopped, just play on and let the offensive guy take advantage.  More stoppages is not a good thing.

Stanley Hudson

May 18th, 2021 at 4:47 PM ^

I would be down for almost any punishment that could take flopping out of the game. I’d support a rule that made flopping a technical/flagrant 1 and if you get 4 in one season you sit out a game. College or pro. 

Yes, what I just suggested is overkill and will never happen. But I watch a ton of basketball and the flopping is ruining the game. And it makes officiating so much more difficult. 
 

Some of the worst offenders: Brad Davison, Lebron, Blake Griffin, Doncic, Marcus Smart, and many many more. 


 

 

snarling wolverine

May 18th, 2021 at 3:13 PM ^

What a credit to the culture of Michigan basketball that in the craziest year of offseason attrition ever, we've had no players or coaches leave for another program.  That's with the #1 recruiting class coming in.

dragonchild

May 18th, 2021 at 6:51 PM ^

That wouldn’t keep the coaches around. Zero turnover tells me he’s not a load to deal with. Coaches will tolerate working for an asshole to use as a springboard to a better job. To pass up offers to work for a guy says something about that guy.

imafreak1

May 18th, 2021 at 5:30 PM ^

I do not have strong opinions on parking requirements because I haven't thought about it very much. However, I do live in a booming urban neighborhood with very expensive condos going up everywhere and street parking quickly vanishing. The developers are making a mint off those condos without any thought to their affect on the existing population. 

We already walk or ride bikes most places but need the car to take kids places or go to the grocery etc. I do not use my car to get to work. We have no off street parking and rely on street parking. It would be pretty shitty to have to walk a mile to get our car in some public lot. I don't see why the developers shouldn't be responsible for building parking structures for the condos they are making a mint off. I can assure you, in my neighborhood they may squeal but they'd still put up new condos because there is too much money to be made. 

The Atlantic article comes across like ivory tower fantasy thinking. That some carless society would magically appear if parking requirements were abolished. Hasn't happened in my neighborhood. 

Plus this example is totally ridiculous and casts the rest of the article in a very bad light.

Cars do need parking. But cars need many things, and most get supplied without being mandated. Suppose that tomorrow a mayor proposed minimum gasoline requirements: a set number of fuel pumps on every parcel. Most people would consider that outrageous. They’d observe that the private market supplies gas just fine, that it’s not a big deal to travel a small distance for fuel, and that putting pumps on every parcel would just squander valuable land and encourage driving.

SF real estate does not cost what it does because of parking requirements. You've already got people packed in there cheek and jowl. It costs a mint because Sil Valley is awash in money and SF is super cool. Making things cheaper for developers just means more profit for developers.
 

UP to LA

May 18th, 2021 at 6:15 PM ^

SF real estate does not cost what it does because of parking requirements. You've already got people packed in there cheek and jowl. It costs a mint because Sil Valley is awash in money and SF is super cool. Making things cheaper for developers just means more profit for developers.

This is off-base. You're right that high demand factors into absurd housing costs in the Bay, but it's only half the equation; constrained supply is the other. And parking minimums are absolutely a big part of that supply constraint. Making housing cheaper to produce isn't just some giveaway to developers -- it also means that more (often times a lot more) housing gets built on the margins. Just one example: curtailing parking minimums has been the biggest factor in the multi-decade housing boom in downtown Los Angeles, as it enabled the adaptive reuse of a lot of previously vacant/under-used financial buildings downtown, which under prior parking requirements had been essentially undevelopable.

Sopwith

May 18th, 2021 at 7:03 PM ^

It's true. The same people who complain about the homeless problem in the Bay Area always defeat every referendum allowing for more dense housing to be built around transit hubs like BART stations The NIMBYism here is so totally in charge. SF and the peninsula should be as dense as Tokyo by now.

Gulogulo37

May 18th, 2021 at 8:29 PM ^

Yeah his comment about people living cheek by jowl is pretty funny. It's much less dense than basically any large city abroad. And it's density is a little misleading because it's actually very small, so the downtown area carries a lot of weight. It's not even in the top 150 biggest cities in the US by land area.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_area

snarling wolverine

May 18th, 2021 at 10:32 PM ^

SF and the peninsula should be as dense as Tokyo by now.

Well, do you want to live like this?

What should be the goal of a city?  To attract as many new residents as possible, or to offer as good a quality of life as possible for its existing residents?  

I don’t fault Bay Area residents for not wanting more congestion.  I do question why the tech companies are so fixated on this one location.  Build your company HQ on the other side of the hills and land is suddenly way cheaper.

Gulogulo37

May 19th, 2021 at 1:07 PM ^

I don't know what's supposed to be so bad about the article you linked. My studio apartment is comfortable and definitely less than 100 sq m. Important to note it's new housing. Of course not many are raising families in Tokyo itself. People do that in the suburbs or not at all given Japanese demographics. So yeah, those are probably all for 1 or 2 people.

Yes, cities should care about well-being, which is exactly why they should build housing to lower rent costs. Unless they're somehow going to ban anyone from moving there.

Dean Pelton

May 18th, 2021 at 7:25 PM ^

The cost for housing is beyond ridiculous. I live in Michigan but even here I feel like it is getting bad. Just glad we bought our house when we did. The market is out of control and will only get worse. My entire mortgage payment including taxes and insurance is less than what a nice two bedroom apartment would cost. 

MJ14

May 18th, 2021 at 10:19 PM ^

My house was a new build in October of 2019. The next door neighbors home was done about a month later and then 3 houses down was finished at the start of 2020. The next door neighbor just sold their house for $125,000 more than they paid for it. The neighbors 3 houses down just listed theirs for $150,000 more than they originally paid and got an offer that was $50,000 more than that cash. My home value is currently double what I owe on it after having only lived here since October of 2019 and making the standard payments. I would never sell right now because I don’t want to buy, but it’s crazy to think about the increase just since late 2019. 

ca_prophet

May 18th, 2021 at 7:35 PM ^

Parking minimums for residences won't (and shouldn't) go away; like it or not people have cars, feel they need cars, and need a place to keep them where they live. 

Parking minimums for businesses is another story.  I do wonder how much ease-of-parking plays into the average US resident's mind about visiting restaurants and the like.  For me, if the choice is between a restaurant by bus or another restaurant by driving, the only-by-bus place is going to have to be quite spectacular to make up for the lost time and convenience.

 

Gulogulo37

May 18th, 2021 at 8:34 PM ^

Less parking and more density means better public transportation. I'm in Seoul. Driving here would be a nightmare if they had what you're advocating. Rent would also be way higher. Instead there's a super convenient subway and bus system that saves me a lot of money and is usually faster than driving. No traffic on the subway and there are a lot of dedicated bus lanes throughout the city. America needs to get infrastructure costs under control though. The subway here is a dollar. Like 4 or 5 bucks in Chicago and NYC for a worse product.

ca_prophet

May 19th, 2021 at 5:19 AM ^

Not so much.  I haven't lived in Ann Arbor in 30+ years, or visited in 20+, so I don't know what it's like these days.  I can speak to much of the Bay Area, though.

I will also say that while restaurants might not work this way, lots of other things can work well with reduced parking.  Taking CalTrain up to SF for baseball games is *more* convenient than driving, particularly with the one-train-leaving-20-minutes-after-game-end policy.  The Coliseum via BART is decent as well.

In general, I think reducing parking requirements is worth doing.  I am skeptical that Americans will adjust quickly or easily in most ways; as a nation we are addicted to our cars.

 

umchicago

May 18th, 2021 at 8:09 PM ^

the flop technical is dumb. do you really trust refs to get that right?  you think they are going to call it in a tight game near the end? and if they do, what if it's questionable or wrong?

outsidethebox

May 19th, 2021 at 6:36 AM ^

There should be a QUICK "review in the booth" process available-for many of the calls. No reason not to with the available technology. The officiating may just improve dramatically if the officials knew their calls were subject to immediate review and subsequent reversal. I'm not sure what can be done about the no-calls that should have been made.