[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Obligatory List Of Potential Beilein Replacements Comment Count

Brian May 13th, 2019 at 3:07 PM

I need time to emotionally encompass the thing that just happened so here's some rote "what's next" stuff.

WHAT'S NEXT

Beilein's sudden departure is horribly timed as Michigan attempts to fill the roster holes left by Jordan Poole and (almost certainly) Ignas Brazdeikis. They were on the verge of a commitment from grad transfer Jaevin Cumberland and trying to get Franz Wagner to follow his brother from Alba Berlin to Ann Arbor; the latter is probably dead and Cumberland may go off the board to Oregon before Michigan can get it together.

But Michigan has clout, especially now that Beilein's put them in a spot where they've got as many NCAA tournament wins as anyone over the last six years. They can swing at some names. The problem is that the coaching carousel has already stopped and the obviously attractive candidates have already been poached. A list of oh-well-too-lates:

  • Buffalo's Nate Oats got hired by Alabama
  • Nevada's Eric Musselman went to Arkansas
  • Cincinnati's Mick Cronin went to UCLA
  • VT's Buzz Williams went to Texas A&M
  • Wofford's Mike Young went to VT

Meanwhile Chris Beard signed a giant contract. It's not unprecedented for coaches to say "whoops" and bolt before they even play a game—Beard was UNLV's coach for exactly 19 days before Tech came calling—but it is rare and probably expensive. With football driving giant revenues at SEC schools it's unlikely Michigan could meaningfully outbid the opposition. Oats, the only guy on the list with any ties to the area, already shot it down publicly. I'm not going to the mat for any of the other guys except maybe Buzz Williams, and god knows A&M will throw gobs of cash at him.

What's left is a combination of extreme long shots that don't require much discussion and… almost nothing else. Sure, if one of Brad Stevens, Chris Beard, Jay Wright, or Mark Few wants the job, Michigan should give it to him. On this we are agreed. Make all the longshot phone calls.

In the highly likely case none of these land, here's what you're looking at. I mean, I guess? I don't know. I'm assuming that Michigan is willing to hire a guy who will look the other way at bag, but not one with extant NCAA or ethical baggage. That rules out Bruce Pearl, Dana Altman, and Kelvin Sampson.

Michigan's assistants are also not listed below. Sam suggested that an internal hire is not on the cards "before an exhaustive search followed by an interim season," which sounds like the end of the world. I do have a line beyond which we might as well hire Yaklich. It is stunningly high up the list. There is no-damn-body available right now.

BILLY DONOVAN, OKC

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Donovan is much less of a long shot than Brad Stevens because of a precarious employment situation. The Thunder have been bounced from the first round of the playoffs for three straight years and while OKC picked up the option on his contract that only extends through next year. The Athletic recently speculated on some problems between Donovan and Russell Westbrook…

I keep hearing rumblings that Westbrook’s faith has waned in Donovan, and close observers this season have caught several curious in-game moments between coach and star that make you wonder. If the relationship is fractured, Donovan’s done. It’s hard for any coach to survive three straight first-round exits, and if there’s trouble brewing between that coach and his biggest star then that coach has no chance of survival.

…shortly after the Thunder's GM said he "anticipates" Donovan will return next year, which is ominous language if you're the head coach headed into a lame-duck year. If Donovan thinks he's done in OKC sooner or later, a top 15 college job which won't catch any FBI fallout may be enough to make the move.

Donovan hasn't dominated the NBA but after a 19-year run at a football school with two national titles, three final fours, six elite eights, and 14 bids there is no question he would be a slam-dunk hire. Despite his gigantic track record he's just 53.

[After THE JUMP: two more guys, Yak, and then garbage trash I wouldn't even throw out]

STEVE PROHM, IOWA STATE

1200px-Steve_Prohm

Prohm is the only probably acquirable college coach with three top 20 Kenpom teams the last four years. In his tenure the Cyclones have been 20th, 17th, 103rd, and 15th. They've had three bids, a four, a five, and a six-seed. Prohm inherited a good situation from Fred Hoiberg and Iowa State has a fair bit of tradition, but for the Cyclones to tread water in a brutal Big 12 is impressive. This year was all his own roster.

Before Iowa State, Prohm was on the Murray-State-to-major-job conveyor belt, compiling a 54-10 conference record and grabbing a six-seed with the #35 team in the country in his first year; the Racers went 29-6 and were 57th in Knepom during his final year. While there he recruited Cameron Payne, a who-dat recruit who became a first-round pick.

Prohm doesn't come with the sexy tournament run that guys like Shaka Smart do, but I'd rather have the guy who pounds out non-bubble bids in a brutal conference with regularity. His recruiting has been good given his location: Talen Horton-Tucker was barely outside the top 50 and the year before Lindell Wigginton was 35th, and both guys were coming out of high school—Hoiberg's teams were full of transfers. Prohm's not above digging into the transfer market himself, since nobody can avoid it these days. He seems to be a good recruiter.

Prohm's 44, FWIW. His teams have really good offenses, so if he could hold onto Yaklich that could be a thing.

JUWAN HOWARD, HEAT ASSISTANT

No, seriously. Howard's been a lead NBA assistant for six years and has interviewed for a couple of head jobs. No recruiting experience, but… I'm gonna say he'd be pretty good at it. Doesn't have the "turned Beilein defense into ball of knives" card. Could keep Yak. Well-respected around the league:

Downside is that if he ends up succeeding he too could bolt for the pros, but if that gives Michigan enough time to see if Lavall Jordan or Patrick Beilein is ready another departure wouldn't be the end of the world.

Howard's a massive swing for the fences, which is preferable to hiring a middling coach at a Big East school, which is most of the rest of this list. Pretty much all of the rest of this list? Once you slice out the old, the baggage-encumbered, and the recent switches things are incredibly thin.

------------------------THE YAK LINE--------------------------

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[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

I'd rather just hire Yaklich than anyone below this line. Yaklich has the edge on the other two assistants because he was Michigan's defensive coordinator and the two-year turnaround under him was stunning. It's likely he's a legit difference maker in that department. Personnel can only explain so much when you have the #3 D in the country while playing Moe Wagner and Duncan Robinson starters' minutes. The other two assistants can't say that.

Some people will argue this line is way too high but the names down here are just as much a shot in the dark as he is. I believe the way he got hired and the results since his hire indicate a guy worth taking a shot on.

LAVALL JORDAN, BUTLER

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[Bryan Fuller]

Former Michigan assistant had one bad year at Wisconsin-Milwaukee when another late coaching shift took Chris Holtmann to OSU and opened up the Butler job. Jordan had a solid first year, going 9-9 in a tough Big East and reaching the round of 32 as a 10 seed. This year Butler slipped to 16-17 because their defense imploded. Jordan managed to ship the worst defensive center in the country…

image

…to Indiana, though, so maybe he'll bounce back. Jordan has more head coaching experience under his belt but honestly seems less proven to me than Yaklich, who is clearly an elite defensive coach. He's a couple years away from having a hireable resume.

CHRIS COLLINS, WHAT THE FU-

I… help

MY PICK

Chris Collins – I think Manuel could get him, and he makes sense. The 45-year-old did take Northwestern to its first-ever NCAA Tournament in 2017. He has strong midwestern ties and has shown the ability to recruit at a high level — both at Duke and Northwestern.

There ain't a building in the world tall enough to jump off of if this guy is Michigan's next coach.

DtqM2KkX4AACqP1.0

One bubble bid in 2017, 6-12 and 4-16 in conference since. What on earth.

You know what, no one down here is even worth evaluating. Bundle time:

VARIOUS INSANITIES

For the record, these people have been mentioned in articles by apparently un-institutionalized people:

Every single attainable college head coach other than Prohm is dubious and you might as well roll with the program.

Comments

footballguy

May 13th, 2019 at 3:59 PM ^

What's wrong with him compared to the 2nd tier guys (we're not getting Donovan, Wright, Beard, or Stevens)?

I'd be down to hire Juwan or Washington/Yaklich, but there are big question marks there.

I also think maybe a co-head coach system with Washington/Yaklich in the interim for a year wouldn't be a bad idea if we can't land the top dudes (which I don't believe we can)

IDKaGoodName

May 13th, 2019 at 7:15 PM ^

I think a “co-head coach” thing would be a good idea from a balance perspective but would seriously halt and reverse a lot of the momentum we have. I can’t see us recovering from that very quickly on the recruiting trail. Personally think Yak is a solid option if we can’t land a homerun type guy. IF you are feeling like you are going to be taking some kind of chance on a hopeful to work out, just give the keys to Yak or Saddi.

Naked Bootlegger

May 13th, 2019 at 3:53 PM ^

Said this facetiously in another thread, but give Zavier Simpson the interim player/coach tag this year and hire him full-time next year.   I want him involved with this program until I die.

KARC

May 13th, 2019 at 3:54 PM ^

Thad Matta

Age 51

5 Regular Season Big Ten Titles

4 Big 10 Tournament Titles

2 Final Fours

16 out of 17 years with 20 or more wins

From Illinois and currently lives in Indiana 

Head Coach at Butler, Xavier, Ohio State

Hates Ohio enough to leave Columbus immediately after parting ways with Ohio State

Winningest coach in Ohio State history

Blue Me

May 13th, 2019 at 5:58 PM ^

A guy from my company is close with the Matta's and said he'll never coach again. He's tired of the smarmy swamps of recruiting and has a very bad back. Matta has a drop foot from nerve damage.

gustave ferbert

May 13th, 2019 at 3:57 PM ^

This is where Warde Manuel makes his legacy.  He came from UConn, he should be more than capable of making the right decision here. 

 

Call me old fashioned but Yak earned the right IMHO.  I think he deserves a shot. 

IDKaGoodName

May 13th, 2019 at 7:20 PM ^

I am very in-line with everything in this post. I think, as I stated already, unless you hit a homerun hire on someone, Yak is the obvious option here. I also think that this hire defines whether or not Warde gets to stick around much longer. Bring in some of the names being tossed around and I’d be ready to part ways

Gentleman Squirrels

May 13th, 2019 at 3:58 PM ^

What did Dana Altman do to have NCAA or ethical damage?

Also outside option from D2: Ben McCollum. He's young (38), consistent success at northwest missouri state, and has won 2 D2 championships in the last 3 years. Definitely not a 1st or 2nd option. Maybe in the Yak level type option.

FatGuyTouchdown

May 13th, 2019 at 6:16 PM ^

Really disgusting Rape Scandal, and then the Bol Bol stuff, as well as a few other guys. I don't really care about the paying players, but I'll stay the fuck away from anyone with the rape stuff.

 

My only issue with the D2 dude is that he coaches in Missouri, and would have to be able to retain the staff, because he doesnt have any real connections to this part of the Midwest. If he was putting up those numbers at Ferris or Grand Valley, I'd be pounding my fist for him. But honestly, why not. Chris Beard was a D2 coach a couple years ago, 

AC1997

May 13th, 2019 at 4:02 PM ^

I love Juwan and really want to see him land a head coaching gig somewhere....but I don't see how he's above the Yak line.  I guess it is a big name, but his resume is super thin.  People are dogging Yak and Saddi for lack of head coaching and Howard comes from the NBA without experience recruiting or dealing with college players PLUS has no head coach experience.

I never liked Matta....but interesting.  Mike White is a name I've heard.  Porter Moser is a nice guy who does a good interview..............and has coached a team.  

Bird of War

May 13th, 2019 at 4:23 PM ^

Look at Penny Hardaway at Memphis though in regards to Howard. He didn't have NBA or NCAA coaching experience before taking over the HC job but filled his staff with former NBA players like Mike Miller and recruits like crazy now. Not sure how that'll look in a few years but just a data point to consider.

IDKaGoodName

May 13th, 2019 at 7:24 PM ^

This. I think it’s blatantly obvious that Penny has money changing hands down there. To be honest, I’d love to not be a program that does that shit. One of the best things about the JB tenure was being able to relax your sphincter every time there was some shit going down in the NCAA violations media. 

Leaders And Best

May 13th, 2019 at 4:54 PM ^

Penny was coaching in high school in Memphis so he has a lot of ties to the current recruiting class and AAU circuit. Juwan Howard has been an NBA assistant his whole career. I don't think these situations are analogous or the institutions either. And I don't think this is the model Michigan wants to follow especially after what Beilein has built.

One-and-done is most likely gone by the Class of 2022 so trying to build a program like Kentucky, Duke, and Memphis through recruiting the best one-and-done players each year is probably not the best way to go right now.

FatGuyTouchdown

May 13th, 2019 at 6:22 PM ^

Are we sure that Warde doesnt deserve to be fired? He had no hand in Harbaugh, from what I heard he wasnt exactly the most supportive in raising Beilein's assistant staff pay, got bent over and spanked without a peep when they changed the schedule to have Ohio State and Michigan State on the road the same year, nearly fucked up the most obvious hockey hire ever, Completely butchered the Rhonda Faehn hiring and firing: even if you think she's completely clean of the Nassar stuff, to hire her without so much as a peep, and then fire her when you inevitably get criticized is a shit head move. Like can we really point to anything he's done as a full on success? I could be wrong, genuinely asking what everyone thinks of Warde

The Homie J

May 13th, 2019 at 6:31 PM ^

In my book, this hiring will be a major deciding factor (if not THE deciding factor) on Warde.  He's not the outright dumpster fire that Brandon was, nor the slamdunk king of AD's that Jim Hackett was (despite his miniscule tenure).  I can't comment to the hockey hire, though the Rhonda Faehn thing is an obvious minus.  The Michigan State/Ohio State schedule was Brandon's fuck-up though.  Warde is responsible for bringing back Notre Dame (on the same schedule as our rivals), so there's that.  I'd say if this hire is bungled or winds up poorly, he should be done.  The assistant pay thing is also a knock, because how in the hell is Michigan not paying it's assistants more than any other school?  Like, come on, it's one of our biggest strengths!

FatGuyTouchdown

May 13th, 2019 at 6:53 PM ^

Yea, the Faehn thing may be a fireable offense in my book. How do you:

1. Decide to hire someone connected to the Nassar scandal with no internal discussion or convo about it. Like even if she was completely clear (which she very well might have been, I'm not trying to have that discussion right now), how do you not think that someone indirectly tied to one of the biggest scandals in sports history deserves to be openly discussed and vetted

2. Become so unbelievably unprepared for the backlash that she gets fired within a week. Did the AD think that this hire could be slid under the rug, or that people wouldn't care? How can you admit ahead of time that you did a proper vetting of the candidate and what she did or did not do if you fire her within a week. Again, did no one stop and say: "hey we should probably be prepared to defend ourselves and why we think this is a good hire and Faehn deserves a second chance" before pulling the trigger? How is there no semblance of a plan in place?

3. Literally no press conference or discussion in between hiring and firing. Warde got caught with his dick in a zipper, and he might be a giant fucking moron. Like even if you ignore what Faehn may or may not have known/done/seen/reported any of that, the fact that they seemed surprised by the backlash and had no plan in place is horrendous judgement. 

And yea, not giving Beilein a proper pool while he felt it was a good idea to allow Jim Harbaugh to pay both Tim Drevno and Pep Hamilton over $1,000,000 shows horrendous judgement. I don't disagree with giving your coaches all the resources they feel they need to succeed, but Beilein is the most successful coach in school history imo, you give him what he needs to succeed and don't blink twice. 

Gucci Mane

May 13th, 2019 at 4:33 PM ^

I agree with the Yaklich line. If we can’t  get a home run hire, we need to promote Yaklich. 

Leaders And Best

May 13th, 2019 at 4:34 PM ^

I wrote this in the other thread, but I don't get how Thad Matta is not on this list. Not saying this is the hire I want, but if he is healthy, he is better than Steve Prohm, Juwan Howard, and anyone below the Yak Line.

MadMatt

May 13th, 2019 at 4:42 PM ^

Donovan, Juwan, then Yak. If neither of the first two nibble at the first phone call, promote/hire Yak and move on. I'm more comfortable gambling on him as a head coach than gambling on Warde making a good hire under these circumstances.

buddha

May 13th, 2019 at 4:45 PM ^

Disclaimer: Given the timing of Coach B's departure, I fear a homer hire may be out of the cards.

With that in mind, I may have some maize goggles on, but I think Howard would be as close to a home run as possible. He has amazing credibility in the NBA; he's young enough and experienced enough to be very attractive to recruits; he can speak the players' language and empathize with their challenges; etc. etc. etc. Not only that, I think he would be an amazing ambassador for the university, bring some swag to the program, and build the brand of our basketball team.

He's my favorite on the list...but whatevs

 

Winning Wolverines

May 13th, 2019 at 4:45 PM ^

First of all, thank you to John Beilein for all he has done for Michigan.

Regarding his replacement, in addition to the names already mentioned,

how about adding Steve Alford to the list for consideration?   Won two Big Ten Tournament titles

at Iowa, went 155-52 at New Mexico, led UCLA to back to back Sweet 16 appearances,

and has an overall Head Coaching .663 Win Percentage (higher than John Beilein's).  

Reno Drew

May 13th, 2019 at 4:59 PM ^

Alford just got hired here at the University of Nevada, Reno.  I'd be surprised if he bolted without coaching a game but he could if the money was right.   Even here in Nevada, there was mixed reaction when they named him the replacement for Musselman.  His upside in Nevada is that he knows the conference. 

Umich19

May 13th, 2019 at 4:46 PM ^

Alright people damn good run by Beilein here, and like all of us, I’m still a little shook. However, we’re Michigan. We can pay as much or more as any University out there to get the coach we desire. Money won’t be a factor.  The program is elite now as well (thanks Beilein). We have a decent, not great, group of players, a great staff left, and solid recruiting classes.  This job should be desirable as any in today’s day and age.  Blue Blood programs don’t hold the same esteem among coaches that they used to either (Look at UCLA...).  So, with that being said if we want a coach I’m sure we’ll get one of our top 3 candidates.  So perk up and stop moping around. No one feels sorry for us, and there’s no reason we should either.

Luke15

May 13th, 2019 at 4:47 PM ^

There is chatter of Billy Donovan and Rick Pitino and Tom Crean.

The age of Man has failed. An hour of wolves and shattered shields is upon us and the age of Men has come crashing down.

John Beilien is the last good guy to leave Middle Earth. The last great Man of the West has broken all bonds of fellowship and the NCAA has officially descended into darkness and chaos.

Pay everyone. Pay them all. It was good while it lasted.

micheal honcho

May 13th, 2019 at 4:50 PM ^

Screw it. Is Rick Pittino available? or more like eligible?. Since the NCAA has decided that its the wild west and they are not going to do anything to curtail the pay for play violations that are rampant among the elites. Lets take the SMU track. "If you're going to cheat, we'll show you how its done".