Obligatory List Of Potential Beilein Replacements
I need time to emotionally encompass the thing that just happened so here's some rote "what's next" stuff.
WHAT'S NEXT
Beilein's sudden departure is horribly timed as Michigan attempts to fill the roster holes left by Jordan Poole and (almost certainly) Ignas Brazdeikis. They were on the verge of a commitment from grad transfer Jaevin Cumberland and trying to get Franz Wagner to follow his brother from Alba Berlin to Ann Arbor; the latter is probably dead and Cumberland may go off the board to Oregon before Michigan can get it together.
But Michigan has clout, especially now that Beilein's put them in a spot where they've got as many NCAA tournament wins as anyone over the last six years. They can swing at some names. The problem is that the coaching carousel has already stopped and the obviously attractive candidates have already been poached. A list of oh-well-too-lates:
- Buffalo's Nate Oats got hired by Alabama
- Nevada's Eric Musselman went to Arkansas
- Cincinnati's Mick Cronin went to UCLA
- VT's Buzz Williams went to Texas A&M
- Wofford's Mike Young went to VT
Meanwhile Chris Beard signed a giant contract. It's not unprecedented for coaches to say "whoops" and bolt before they even play a game—Beard was UNLV's coach for exactly 19 days before Tech came calling—but it is rare and probably expensive. With football driving giant revenues at SEC schools it's unlikely Michigan could meaningfully outbid the opposition. Oats, the only guy on the list with any ties to the area, already shot it down publicly. I'm not going to the mat for any of the other guys except maybe Buzz Williams, and god knows A&M will throw gobs of cash at him.
What's left is a combination of extreme long shots that don't require much discussion and… almost nothing else. Sure, if one of Brad Stevens, Chris Beard, Jay Wright, or Mark Few wants the job, Michigan should give it to him. On this we are agreed. Make all the longshot phone calls.
In the highly likely case none of these land, here's what you're looking at. I mean, I guess? I don't know. I'm assuming that Michigan is willing to hire a guy who will look the other way at bag, but not one with extant NCAA or ethical baggage. That rules out Bruce Pearl, Dana Altman, and Kelvin Sampson.
Michigan's assistants are also not listed below. Sam suggested that an internal hire is not on the cards "before an exhaustive search followed by an interim season," which sounds like the end of the world. I do have a line beyond which we might as well hire Yaklich. It is stunningly high up the list. There is no-damn-body available right now.
BILLY DONOVAN, OKC
Donovan is much less of a long shot than Brad Stevens because of a precarious employment situation. The Thunder have been bounced from the first round of the playoffs for three straight years and while OKC picked up the option on his contract that only extends through next year. The Athletic recently speculated on some problems between Donovan and Russell Westbrook…
I keep hearing rumblings that Westbrook’s faith has waned in Donovan, and close observers this season have caught several curious in-game moments between coach and star that make you wonder. If the relationship is fractured, Donovan’s done. It’s hard for any coach to survive three straight first-round exits, and if there’s trouble brewing between that coach and his biggest star then that coach has no chance of survival.
…shortly after the Thunder's GM said he "anticipates" Donovan will return next year, which is ominous language if you're the head coach headed into a lame-duck year. If Donovan thinks he's done in OKC sooner or later, a top 15 college job which won't catch any FBI fallout may be enough to make the move.
Donovan hasn't dominated the NBA but after a 19-year run at a football school with two national titles, three final fours, six elite eights, and 14 bids there is no question he would be a slam-dunk hire. Despite his gigantic track record he's just 53.
[After THE JUMP: two more guys, Yak, and then garbage trash I wouldn't even throw out]
STEVE PROHM, IOWA STATE
Prohm is the only probably acquirable college coach with three top 20 Kenpom teams the last four years. In his tenure the Cyclones have been 20th, 17th, 103rd, and 15th. They've had three bids, a four, a five, and a six-seed. Prohm inherited a good situation from Fred Hoiberg and Iowa State has a fair bit of tradition, but for the Cyclones to tread water in a brutal Big 12 is impressive. This year was all his own roster.
Before Iowa State, Prohm was on the Murray-State-to-major-job conveyor belt, compiling a 54-10 conference record and grabbing a six-seed with the #35 team in the country in his first year; the Racers went 29-6 and were 57th in Knepom during his final year. While there he recruited Cameron Payne, a who-dat recruit who became a first-round pick.
Prohm doesn't come with the sexy tournament run that guys like Shaka Smart do, but I'd rather have the guy who pounds out non-bubble bids in a brutal conference with regularity. His recruiting has been good given his location: Talen Horton-Tucker was barely outside the top 50 and the year before Lindell Wigginton was 35th, and both guys were coming out of high school—Hoiberg's teams were full of transfers. Prohm's not above digging into the transfer market himself, since nobody can avoid it these days. He seems to be a good recruiter.
Prohm's 44, FWIW. His teams have really good offenses, so if he could hold onto Yaklich that could be a thing.
JUWAN HOWARD, HEAT ASSISTANT
No, seriously. Howard's been a lead NBA assistant for six years and has interviewed for a couple of head jobs. No recruiting experience, but… I'm gonna say he'd be pretty good at it. Doesn't have the "turned Beilein defense into ball of knives" card. Could keep Yak. Well-respected around the league:
Honestly, if Juwan would be interested in moving down to college, I think this is the best idea I’ve heard yet about Michigan. Howard is extremely well respected around the NBA. https://t.co/J42uQe98Av
— Sam Vecenie (@Sam_Vecenie) May 13, 2019
Downside is that if he ends up succeeding he too could bolt for the pros, but if that gives Michigan enough time to see if Lavall Jordan or Patrick Beilein is ready another departure wouldn't be the end of the world.
Howard's a massive swing for the fences, which is preferable to hiring a middling coach at a Big East school, which is most of the rest of this list. Pretty much all of the rest of this list? Once you slice out the old, the baggage-encumbered, and the recent switches things are incredibly thin.
------------------------THE YAK LINE--------------------------
[Marc-Gregor Campredon]
I'd rather just hire Yaklich than anyone below this line. Yaklich has the edge on the other two assistants because he was Michigan's defensive coordinator and the two-year turnaround under him was stunning. It's likely he's a legit difference maker in that department. Personnel can only explain so much when you have the #3 D in the country while playing Moe Wagner and Duncan Robinson starters' minutes. The other two assistants can't say that.
Some people will argue this line is way too high but the names down here are just as much a shot in the dark as he is. I believe the way he got hired and the results since his hire indicate a guy worth taking a shot on.
LAVALL JORDAN, BUTLER
[Bryan Fuller]
Former Michigan assistant had one bad year at Wisconsin-Milwaukee when another late coaching shift took Chris Holtmann to OSU and opened up the Butler job. Jordan had a solid first year, going 9-9 in a tough Big East and reaching the round of 32 as a 10 seed. This year Butler slipped to 16-17 because their defense imploded. Jordan managed to ship the worst defensive center in the country…
…to Indiana, though, so maybe he'll bounce back. Jordan has more head coaching experience under his belt but honestly seems less proven to me than Yaklich, who is clearly an elite defensive coach. He's a couple years away from having a hireable resume.
CHRIS COLLINS, WHAT THE FU-
I… help
MY PICK
Chris Collins – I think Manuel could get him, and he makes sense. The 45-year-old did take Northwestern to its first-ever NCAA Tournament in 2017. He has strong midwestern ties and has shown the ability to recruit at a high level — both at Duke and Northwestern.
There ain't a building in the world tall enough to jump off of if this guy is Michigan's next coach.
One bubble bid in 2017, 6-12 and 4-16 in conference since. What on earth.
You know what, no one down here is even worth evaluating. Bundle time:
VARIOUS INSANITIES
For the record, these people have been mentioned in articles by apparently un-institutionalized people:
- Bobby Hurley. .500 in the Pac-12.
- Rick Pitino. Hard pass on the criminal sex vampire.
- Porter Moser. One bid in 15 seasons.
- John Thompson III. Out of basketball!
- Bob McKillop. Is 68.
- Steve Pikiell. Cumong man.
- Johnny Dawkins. Was 66-78 in Pac-12 play. One bid with Tacko Fall doesn't overturn that.
- Kevin Willard, Seton Hall. NCAA issues too prominent. Six seasons as Pitino assistant, so… yeah. M probably not touching that.
- Almost anything else on Mike DeCourcy's list.
Every single attainable college head coach other than Prohm is dubious and you might as well roll with the program.
What about Mike Hopkins at Washington? I admit here that I know nothing about the bag possibility around him and that he's already on a lucrative salary, but he's also 49 and turned UW into a worthwhile team pretty damn fast.
He runs a 2-3 zone so he is out for me personally from just a watchability standpoint. I don't care about the bag for any candidate.
The Pac-12 is such ass though.
didn't donovan pay most of the guys on the national title team?
Honestly, outside of possibly Jay Wright couldn’t you insert any NC winning basketball coach’s last name at the beginning of your sentence?
Including Jay Wright***. Jalen Brunson is from an affluent area, but he still got the bag. And good for Jay Wright too, still the best coach in the country without a doubt.
That means he knows how to get guys paid.
Given that the NCAA is gonna NCAA, that's a skill we probably need.
Yeah. Let’s look at this as an opportunity to begin to get some one and done 5 star talent. If the NCAA doesn’t care why should we?
Billy Donovan is from my town. Billy Donovan please!
One name I saw floated on Twitter that was potentially intriguing was Randy Bennett from St. Mary's. Some highlights:
- 56 years old, so he's been around the block but would be able to go for at least 6-8 years before perhaps Patrick Beilein or Saddi or Yak are truly ready?
- 400+ wins at St. Mary's
- Has been to the tournament 6 of the last 12 years, has performed well there overall and well in the NIT.
- Has been competing very well with Gonzaga and always plays a tough non-conference schedule.
- Offense and defense numbers seem pretty balanced. They don't turn the ball over much, they shoot 3's, wouldn't be a huge shift.
Agreed that there don't seem to be many great options but he's one I would consider at face value.
I came here to suggest Bennett as well.
I wouldn't mind a 56 year old. Beilein was 54 when we hired him.
Hell Bennett's years he doesnt make a tourney appearance are arguably just as good as some of the tourney teams. Dude went 29-5 twice in 3 years and didnt get into the tourney because of Gonzaga. Great coach, but concerned that he's never coached East of Idaho in his entire career.
Do we then become the University of Australia at Ann Arbor?
Just wait until Jim and Jack Harbaugh demand Tom Crean.
Fuck no to Crean
Why? He’s a top notch recruiter and has had success in the Big Ten. If he could keep the current assistants I think he would continue making the tournament every year. He’s good enough to make the Final Four and his floor would probably be the round of 32 every year. Plus he’s related to the Harbaughs. Have you seen his recruits at Georgia?
Tom Crean is one of the worst in-game coaches I've ever seen and he has chronically underperformed relative to the talent he gets.
because he's a turd. izzo lite.
Said this same thing to a buddy. Surprised I had to scroll this far before seeing it on this board
Is Gregg Marshall just not a possibility? He is clean and has been really good at Witchita St. even taking them to a Final Four. Michigan would be a huge jump in pay and prestige. He is only 56, so he could coach here for at least 10 years if everything works out.
Maybe I am just missing the boat on something, but he seems like he could check all the boxes and be a hire above the Yak line.
Mike White our of Florida is the other potential candidate I think would be above the Yak line; but I am more hesitant about him because I know almost nothing about him.
Do we have to take his wife as well?
i thought the same thing - it's bad enough that every broadcast has to show the coach's wife, anxiously watching from the stands (i've seen enough lupe izzo to last me a goddamned lifetime)...i really don't need to see that lunatic every game.
that photo of pat forde stoically trying to ignore her always cracks me up.
Player coach. Just have X lead the team.
some of the people on this list man, wow. how is Steve Fisher not there too?
So true. Might as well throw Bobby Knight's name out there for good measure.
Bill Frieder was once revered in these parts...
Juwann Howard is awfully high, right? I'd have him below the Yak line. Howard's total experience is 6 years as an assistant with the Heat, no? That one screams Brady Hoke hire to me. A guy we wouldn't even sniff if he hadn't been around Ann Arbor
Was kind of thinking that as well. I mean, I love Juwann, but if someone came here and suggested another NBA assistant for the HC job, you'd be shouted down. His Fab Five association makes a little difference, but not enough to bridge that gap.
He also played like 20 years in the NBA. I'm sure he was a quasi-player-coach the last few years.
Yak has never coached above high school as a head coach and is a 2 year assistant. The overrating of him is truly astounding.
shit the guy he replaced actually led the initial turn around and has head coach experience at the college level. Billy donlon should be hire than yaklich
Yaklich > Donlon any day
PREACH!!! The guy is a good young assistant, but this notion that he’s the only guy in America that can put together a good defensive game plan is laughable. We still do not know if it is him or the personnel that he is working with. I’d rather get an established head coach and bring in a defensive if needed.
i understand where you're coming from, but howard is pretty highly regarded in the nba...i think he's had a couple of interviews for head jobs (the lakers, for one, although that's admittedly probably a 'lebron inc.' thing). he's still pretty early in his coaching career to be brady hoke 2.0, who was a journeyman before he got here.
per sam webb, porter moser is far higher on warde's list than brian's.
If Warde hires Porter Moser, I would want him fired. That would be a truly a mind-boggling terrible hire.
I want to disagree with you, because there's always the possibility that Moser turns out to be a good coach who just never had the resources...
...but yeah, his resume looks Hoke-ish. A couple good seasons wrapped in a ton of mediocrity.
Agree.
Little Rock (UALR) and Illinois State are mid-major schools but they HAD had periods of basketball relevance in the decade or so prior to Moser being head coach.
E.g., Moser wasn't far removed from a period where the school had quite a bit of success within the structure of their mid-major conference.
Both schools made multiple NCAA tournaments and won a game --- UALR did that in the late 80s/early 90s, Illinois State did that in the late 90s.
Moser did nothing at those 2 schools except perennial finishes in the bottom-halves of the conference standings.
It would be another career .500 coach....Brady Hoke all over again. That’s the last thing this program needs.
I’m on the same page. Dude made one tournament in 15 years, in some mediocre conference. Heck, they returned a lot of talent from the Final Four team and didn’t make the Tournament. That screams fluke. That does not warrant a job at Michigan.
I’m on the same page. Dude made one tournament in 15 years, in some mediocre conference. Heck, they returned a lot of talent from the Final Four team and didn’t make the Tournament. That screams fluke. That does not warrant a job at Michigan.
This would be a bad hire
bleah. that'd be right up there with usc hiring andy goddamned enfield because florida gulf coast threw down a bunch of dunks on georgetown.
Bryce Drew! Scott Drew!
...
CALL UP HOMER CUMONG
I wouldn't hate whatever Drew is at Baylor rn. Scott? They were in Shambles after the Dave Bliss scandal, and he's done reasonably well. Took them to an elite eight and took a good run at Kentucky with Anthony Davis that year.
Porter Moser’s name has been thrown out a bunch by people in the know. Not good
I really thought I couldn't feel worse until I read this piece. Holy shit.
I laughed out loud when I read this. I feel the same way.
I would put Billy in the long shot area too.
Most of the reasons he left Florida are even worse at Michigan, so I don't see him coming.
Some people are against this, but I would love Tom Crean. A Harbaugh family member, a good recruiter, turned around Indiana well and shouldn't have been fired, won two B1G titles, had a 1 seed, is a proven talent developer, and also one more important thing: his current situation is not a better gig than Michigan.
Your account name is right on the money
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