Obligatory List Of Potential Beilein Replacements
I need time to emotionally encompass the thing that just happened so here's some rote "what's next" stuff.
WHAT'S NEXT
Beilein's sudden departure is horribly timed as Michigan attempts to fill the roster holes left by Jordan Poole and (almost certainly) Ignas Brazdeikis. They were on the verge of a commitment from grad transfer Jaevin Cumberland and trying to get Franz Wagner to follow his brother from Alba Berlin to Ann Arbor; the latter is probably dead and Cumberland may go off the board to Oregon before Michigan can get it together.
But Michigan has clout, especially now that Beilein's put them in a spot where they've got as many NCAA tournament wins as anyone over the last six years. They can swing at some names. The problem is that the coaching carousel has already stopped and the obviously attractive candidates have already been poached. A list of oh-well-too-lates:
- Buffalo's Nate Oats got hired by Alabama
- Nevada's Eric Musselman went to Arkansas
- Cincinnati's Mick Cronin went to UCLA
- VT's Buzz Williams went to Texas A&M
- Wofford's Mike Young went to VT
Meanwhile Chris Beard signed a giant contract. It's not unprecedented for coaches to say "whoops" and bolt before they even play a game—Beard was UNLV's coach for exactly 19 days before Tech came calling—but it is rare and probably expensive. With football driving giant revenues at SEC schools it's unlikely Michigan could meaningfully outbid the opposition. Oats, the only guy on the list with any ties to the area, already shot it down publicly. I'm not going to the mat for any of the other guys except maybe Buzz Williams, and god knows A&M will throw gobs of cash at him.
What's left is a combination of extreme long shots that don't require much discussion and… almost nothing else. Sure, if one of Brad Stevens, Chris Beard, Jay Wright, or Mark Few wants the job, Michigan should give it to him. On this we are agreed. Make all the longshot phone calls.
In the highly likely case none of these land, here's what you're looking at. I mean, I guess? I don't know. I'm assuming that Michigan is willing to hire a guy who will look the other way at bag, but not one with extant NCAA or ethical baggage. That rules out Bruce Pearl, Dana Altman, and Kelvin Sampson.
Michigan's assistants are also not listed below. Sam suggested that an internal hire is not on the cards "before an exhaustive search followed by an interim season," which sounds like the end of the world. I do have a line beyond which we might as well hire Yaklich. It is stunningly high up the list. There is no-damn-body available right now.
BILLY DONOVAN, OKC
Donovan is much less of a long shot than Brad Stevens because of a precarious employment situation. The Thunder have been bounced from the first round of the playoffs for three straight years and while OKC picked up the option on his contract that only extends through next year. The Athletic recently speculated on some problems between Donovan and Russell Westbrook…
I keep hearing rumblings that Westbrook’s faith has waned in Donovan, and close observers this season have caught several curious in-game moments between coach and star that make you wonder. If the relationship is fractured, Donovan’s done. It’s hard for any coach to survive three straight first-round exits, and if there’s trouble brewing between that coach and his biggest star then that coach has no chance of survival.
…shortly after the Thunder's GM said he "anticipates" Donovan will return next year, which is ominous language if you're the head coach headed into a lame-duck year. If Donovan thinks he's done in OKC sooner or later, a top 15 college job which won't catch any FBI fallout may be enough to make the move.
Donovan hasn't dominated the NBA but after a 19-year run at a football school with two national titles, three final fours, six elite eights, and 14 bids there is no question he would be a slam-dunk hire. Despite his gigantic track record he's just 53.
[After THE JUMP: two more guys, Yak, and then garbage trash I wouldn't even throw out]
STEVE PROHM, IOWA STATE
Prohm is the only probably acquirable college coach with three top 20 Kenpom teams the last four years. In his tenure the Cyclones have been 20th, 17th, 103rd, and 15th. They've had three bids, a four, a five, and a six-seed. Prohm inherited a good situation from Fred Hoiberg and Iowa State has a fair bit of tradition, but for the Cyclones to tread water in a brutal Big 12 is impressive. This year was all his own roster.
Before Iowa State, Prohm was on the Murray-State-to-major-job conveyor belt, compiling a 54-10 conference record and grabbing a six-seed with the #35 team in the country in his first year; the Racers went 29-6 and were 57th in Knepom during his final year. While there he recruited Cameron Payne, a who-dat recruit who became a first-round pick.
Prohm doesn't come with the sexy tournament run that guys like Shaka Smart do, but I'd rather have the guy who pounds out non-bubble bids in a brutal conference with regularity. His recruiting has been good given his location: Talen Horton-Tucker was barely outside the top 50 and the year before Lindell Wigginton was 35th, and both guys were coming out of high school—Hoiberg's teams were full of transfers. Prohm's not above digging into the transfer market himself, since nobody can avoid it these days. He seems to be a good recruiter.
Prohm's 44, FWIW. His teams have really good offenses, so if he could hold onto Yaklich that could be a thing.
JUWAN HOWARD, HEAT ASSISTANT
No, seriously. Howard's been a lead NBA assistant for six years and has interviewed for a couple of head jobs. No recruiting experience, but… I'm gonna say he'd be pretty good at it. Doesn't have the "turned Beilein defense into ball of knives" card. Could keep Yak. Well-respected around the league:
Honestly, if Juwan would be interested in moving down to college, I think this is the best idea I’ve heard yet about Michigan. Howard is extremely well respected around the NBA. https://t.co/J42uQe98Av
— Sam Vecenie (@Sam_Vecenie) May 13, 2019
Downside is that if he ends up succeeding he too could bolt for the pros, but if that gives Michigan enough time to see if Lavall Jordan or Patrick Beilein is ready another departure wouldn't be the end of the world.
Howard's a massive swing for the fences, which is preferable to hiring a middling coach at a Big East school, which is most of the rest of this list. Pretty much all of the rest of this list? Once you slice out the old, the baggage-encumbered, and the recent switches things are incredibly thin.
------------------------THE YAK LINE--------------------------
[Marc-Gregor Campredon]
I'd rather just hire Yaklich than anyone below this line. Yaklich has the edge on the other two assistants because he was Michigan's defensive coordinator and the two-year turnaround under him was stunning. It's likely he's a legit difference maker in that department. Personnel can only explain so much when you have the #3 D in the country while playing Moe Wagner and Duncan Robinson starters' minutes. The other two assistants can't say that.
Some people will argue this line is way too high but the names down here are just as much a shot in the dark as he is. I believe the way he got hired and the results since his hire indicate a guy worth taking a shot on.
LAVALL JORDAN, BUTLER
[Bryan Fuller]
Former Michigan assistant had one bad year at Wisconsin-Milwaukee when another late coaching shift took Chris Holtmann to OSU and opened up the Butler job. Jordan had a solid first year, going 9-9 in a tough Big East and reaching the round of 32 as a 10 seed. This year Butler slipped to 16-17 because their defense imploded. Jordan managed to ship the worst defensive center in the country…
…to Indiana, though, so maybe he'll bounce back. Jordan has more head coaching experience under his belt but honestly seems less proven to me than Yaklich, who is clearly an elite defensive coach. He's a couple years away from having a hireable resume.
CHRIS COLLINS, WHAT THE FU-
I… help
MY PICK
Chris Collins – I think Manuel could get him, and he makes sense. The 45-year-old did take Northwestern to its first-ever NCAA Tournament in 2017. He has strong midwestern ties and has shown the ability to recruit at a high level — both at Duke and Northwestern.
There ain't a building in the world tall enough to jump off of if this guy is Michigan's next coach.
One bubble bid in 2017, 6-12 and 4-16 in conference since. What on earth.
You know what, no one down here is even worth evaluating. Bundle time:
VARIOUS INSANITIES
For the record, these people have been mentioned in articles by apparently un-institutionalized people:
- Bobby Hurley. .500 in the Pac-12.
- Rick Pitino. Hard pass on the criminal sex vampire.
- Porter Moser. One bid in 15 seasons.
- John Thompson III. Out of basketball!
- Bob McKillop. Is 68.
- Steve Pikiell. Cumong man.
- Johnny Dawkins. Was 66-78 in Pac-12 play. One bid with Tacko Fall doesn't overturn that.
- Kevin Willard, Seton Hall. NCAA issues too prominent. Six seasons as Pitino assistant, so… yeah. M probably not touching that.
- Almost anything else on Mike DeCourcy's list.
Every single attainable college head coach other than Prohm is dubious and you might as well roll with the program.
Beilein knew cupboard is empty (see horrible bench last year) and he wouldn't sniff a final four for years.
What a punch in the nuts.
Go for the best. Calipari at Michigan would surely be quite the trip. Contrary to the ignorant idiots, the man is an outstanding coach of the game of basketball.
We would never go for him.
But I do absolutely agree with you that he is a great basketball coach. A majority of people here say he's not, which is just dumb
How about Dave Smart from canada? EXTREMELY successful up north, a legend, and you potentially take advantage of the Canadian basketball pipeline, which seems to be getting stronger every year.
The more I read about Dave Smart, the more I want Michigan to hire him. Just read an article from 2017. John Beilein went to Ottawa just to watch a practice. Afterwards, Coach B went to his house and they spoke for 3 or 4 hours, just picking each other's brains.
We could take a shot at Mark Few? Could definitely give him more money.
No chance. He's had significantly better opportunities than Michigan the last couple years, and hasn't pulled the trigger I don't see it happening, I think he's a case of being genuinely happy in his job, and loves the area.
Lol at how quickly we forget the insane guard development and offensive turnaround with lavall Jordan. He has significantly more experience than yaklich and would be a better hire
48-55 as a head coach, and missed two NCAA tournaments in a row at Butler and is only 37-31. Hard pass, the only reason he'd be an option is his ties to being an assistant at Michigan, and thats how you get Brady Hoke.
Wait what. Lavall made the NCAAs his first year at Butler.
Hes only been there 2 years.
Good catch, completely forgot about it. But he's definitely on the hot seat at Butler because they feel he underachieved in his tourney appearance year and they sucked last year. Should not be a candidate.
Do we really know this is "sudden"? Maybe in the fans eye. Just asking.
Warde knew this could happen. Who knows what moves already have occurred to assdress. I'm very optimistic.
What about Luke Walton?
How is Tony Bennett @ UVa not at the top of the list? Guy wins consistently in the toughest conference, recruits smart kids and runs a program that is (apparently) clean. Has ties the the midwest in Wisconsin. Point the money canon in his direction and give it a try. He might need an offensive coordinator like Beilein needed help on D.
That would be a lateral move for him at best, he's already a consistent 1 seed and ACC winner.
I agree, go for the home run hire. When that fails, promote Yaklich. He has every characteristic of a future fantastic coach. His work ethic, basketball knowledge, and recruiting are all top top notch. He will be a great head coach somewhere, someday. All he lacks is experience. So promote him, scour the earth for the offensive coordinator version of him and pay that guy a metric ton too. Then live with a few years of growing pains before we're competing at the top again.
They're gonna mess this up, aren't they?
Sadly, it feels all but certain, doesn’t it?! Like, you almost have this gut feeling that they already signed a contract with someone that will make you double-check to see if Dave Brandon and Warde Manuel are actually the same person.
Insert Waterboy We Suck Again gif here.
Everyone, what about Laimbeer?
In my opinion, it has gotta be Yak. John B executed the most successful culture shift in the history of Michigan athletics, and hiring in house to keep that culture alive is paramount in my opinion. Also need to keep the recruits and players on the roster currently happy, which I have heard would be the most successful if Yak was hired
Would David Blatt be an option?
Remember, we hired John Beilein after a mediocre run by Tommy Amaker, who righted the ship after the tire fire tenure of Brian Ellerbe.
We have the capacity to surprise and delight with our basketball hires. Trust the process.
I hate having to have this discussion
Why not go with Yaklich?
Wouldn't be the first time that an unknown dude named Luke came out of nowhere to shock the galaxy.
I wholeheartedly agree with Brian's take. Not to be an ass kisser, or conformist, but I dig the blunt Vulcan logic.
I think we as proud fans have to be careful here. We do not want to put too much pressure on Manuel just to make a hire. I say we swing for the fences with the first few options then just hire Yaklich to a one or two year deal and see how this season goes. If it sucks, we have first dibs on next years coaching carousel. The last thing we want to do is hire a relatively unproven outsider to a massive deal and then be stuck with them for 3-4 years while we “give them a chance with their own players”. This mind set can cause damage that will last for a decade. It’s a tough pill to swallow, but sometimes sacrificing one season is still a better course of action.
its ironic that two of our most storied coaches (Carr and Belein) have left their respective programs in such terrible transitions.
Two words: BOBBY FUCKING HURLEY!!!!!!
Are you fucking kidding me? I would be done. Nope.
Yeah. Let’s make Christian Laettner Assistant AD while we’re at it.
My picks:
1. Donovan
2. Wright / Stevens ( both long shots)
3. Marshall
4. Few
5. Yaklich (two top 5 defenses is good evidence of his capabilities)
Anyone else is unproven. We deserve a top 10 coach.
Pigs would fly before Mark Few and Jay Wright would come to Michigan. I assure you better and richer basketball programs than us have tried. Jay Wright is the best coach in basketball right now, and Mark Few aint far behind.
Ive been promoting Yaklich... and it just hit me.. .is it possible that this meteoric defensive rise, is primarily due to Simpson being at the point these past two years ? It correlates... I guess if Yak failed, thats exactly what would be revealed, if true.
Don’t be so quick to dismiss Bob McKillop. Bring him in for three or four years, maybe hire Pat Belein as an assistant, and groom him as coach in waiting.
Brutal. List.
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