Member for

12 years 6 months
Points
97.00

Recent Comments

Date Title Body
Conference insiders are…

Conference insiders are saying Tony Petitti doesn’t tip restaurant servers

The transcript did not do…

The transcript did not do this justice - this is hilarious!

“like, yeah - no”

Awesome response IMO 😂 

The transcript is amazing -…

The transcript is amazing - much more interesting than the comments about scheduling is Franklin’s response to some reporter suggesting they just need to chuck it deep a few times a game regardless of any other considerations.

“You’re speaking Japanese”

😆 

Sorry to hear, best wishes…

Sorry to hear, best wishes for your son and your family Seth

Logging in for the first…

Logging in for the first time in a long time to say thank you for that hockey link - amazing read on a game I thought I understood pretty well.

Hope you’re well Brian

Super late to this, but I…

Super late to this, but I think he’s saying ‘get off the lawn’.  With a bit of emphasis 

Donation made.  Excellent…

Donation made.  Excellent idea sir.

I guess I’ll donate again for the double post

Donation made.  Excellent…

Donation made.  Excellent idea sir.

Excellent read as always.  

Excellent read as always.  
 

key unanswered question from my perspective:

 

How is the amazing name Ruben Hyppolite pronounced?  I really hope it’s HIP-po-LEET-ee

 

double post for Hyppolite II

Excellent read as always.  

Excellent read as always.  
 

key unanswered question from my perspective:

 

How is the amazing name Ruben Hyppolite pronounced?  I really hope it’s HIP-po-LEET-ee 

Fear Level = 8

Who would…

Fear Level = 8

Who would you rather play tomorrow - Wisconsin or MSU?  

Yeah, that’s what I thought…

Lots of love for you Brian,…

Lots of love for you Brian, here and elsewhere. So many people are and would be thrilled to provide whatever support they can. We are literally here for you.

Another in the silent…

Another in the silent majority of long time lurkers wishing the best for you and your family Brian.  As many have written, the work you do here has been a big part of the solution to my own struggles with a year in quarantine.  Glad to hear you're working through issues - confronting them is often the hardest bit.  

 

Thank you so much for all you and your teammates do!

I'm sorry - Cal transfer…

I'm sorry - Cal transfer whom again?

Great stuff again Seth.  I…

Great stuff again Seth.  I thought I saw a quote from Harbaugh saying that Michigan made an adjustment after that play, and was able to hold subsequent iterations of this to a yard or two - did you see Rutgers run this play again?

Between the graphics and the…

Between the graphics and the writing - but mostly the writing - Seth, your pieces have become must reading for me.  Congratulations, I be like dang on the improvements you've made and how polished your stuff has become - well done!

Truly, a piece fit for the…

Truly, a piece fit for the grey lady. 

Good list

I think you've discovered a built in age detector with USC.  The older you are, the more a bad USC loss or deranged coaching flameout warms the cold, dark space where your heart should be.  Never forget Charles White.

Awesome photos! As a long time lurker, just logging in to say I love the photos in this post - (edit) well done Marc and Bryan!
Not sure how a "50-50 call

Not sure how a "50-50 call that wasn't flagged" addresses the accuracy of each call.  Pretty sure the rulebook doesn't mention "50-50 calls" but does define pass interference.

 

Edit:  from "NCAA Football 2016 and 2017 Rules and Interpretations"

  1. Tackling or grasping a receiver or any other intentional contact before he touches the pass is evidence that the tackler is disregarding the ball and is therefore illegal. 

WTF is a "50:50 call that

WTF is a "50:50 call that wasn't flagged" in the context of an officiating review?  Probably an error by the author, annoying/disappointing that his source could create that much ambuiguity about the review process.

Wanted to donate on behalf of

Wanted to donate on behalf of Daniel Capron, but the site makes it look like that's the name of the actual donor...  Less fun that way!  Great idea, great cause!

Licensed Internet Troll Kawakami: the Wilbon of the West
RRISA Naming:

The Dave Brandon Conference Room of Leadership

Presented by Arby's

So when does the kickstarter start? We're going to do a kickstarter for OL. right?
Photo Caption:
Haydars gonna hate...
 
Variance?

Great stuff as always.  Many thanks.  A short question that can hopefully be given a relatively short answer; how do you think about/account for variance?  It seems like your model gives you point estimates for performace around various aspects of team and individual play - do you calculate variance around the estimates?  If so, do they tighten as the season progresses?

 

 

 
Thanks!

Thanks to all 3 for the helpful responses.  I've been reading these incorrectly for quite awhile...

Model?

Used to think I understood your model - the outputs anyway.  You write:

"Michigan’s offense has clearly been better than Sparty’s but the model thinks that so far this year the Michigan State defense has been one of the best in the country."

But the listings have MSU rush defense as -2, 95th OA, 10th B1G, pass defense as +0, 59th OA, 6th B1G.  Also, the MSU pass offense is +5, 12th OA, 1st B1G?  What am I missing?