Tale of the Tape II: Compare OSU & UM Stats vs Wiscy
I did this for the Rutgers games, and some people commented that it's pointless to compare stats from a blowout against a very overmatched team. Or that the "transitive property" doesn't apply to college football states. Whatever. Take em for what you want -- our D still shut down Rutgers way better than OSU did.
Undeterred, let's do it again. I know, OSU had a tougher fight -- Wiscy was at home, at night, had extra week to prepare, and "Hornibrook wasn't injured by a vicious hit the first time he threw." Agaoin, whatever. What do these stats tell me? OSU's offense is probably a bit better than ours, but we still managed to put ourselves in position to score exactly the same number of regulation points as OSU, had our FG kickers been average-competent (23 pts each). OTOH, OUR DEFENSE IS WAY BETTER THAN THEIRS. We've now seen that in 2 games in 3 weeks. Sweet Christmas.
Note: The OSU data appears to include OT, and ESPN doesn't have per-period stats, so I couldn't back it out. I guess in regulation they'd have 25 yds less offense and 21 on defense, etc. OT doesn't seem to have affected TOP (nor should it). I excluded OT scoring from the TD data.
OSU | UM | |
Vs WISKY DEFENSE | ||
Total Plays | 74 | 76 |
Total Yds | 411 | 349 |
Yds/Play | 5.6 | 4.6 |
Regulation TDs Scored | 2 | 2 |
FGs Atts | 3 | 3 |
1st Downs | 23 | 21 |
Rush Yards | 185 | 130 |
Rush Att | 45 | 44 |
Yds/Rush | 4.1 | 3 |
Long | 22 | 22 |
Pass Yards | 226 | 219 |
Comp | 17 | 20 |
Att | 29 | 32 |
Pct | 59% | 63% |
Yds/Att | 7.8 | 6.8 |
Yds/Compl | 13.4 | 11 |
Punts | 4 | 7 |
Lost Fumbles | 0 | 0 |
Ints Thrown | 1 | 1 |
Time Poss | 28:32 | 35:41 |
Vs WISKY OFFENSE | ||
Total Plays | 76 | 53 |
Total Yds | 450 | 159 |
Yds/Play | 5.9 | 3 |
TD Given Up | 2 | 1 |
FG Atts Given Up | 3 | 0 |
1st Downs | 22 | 8 |
Rush Yards | 236 | 71 |
Rush Att | 48 | 28 |
Yds/Rush | 5.1 | 2.5 |
Pass Yards | 214 | 88 |
Comp | 16 | 9 |
Att | 28 | 25 |
Pct | 57% | 36% |
Yds/Att | 7.7 | 3.5 |
Yds/Compl | 13.4 | 9.8 |
Punts | 5 | 9 |
Fumbles Recov'd | 0 | 0 |
Ints Caught | 1 | 3 |
October 16th, 2016 at 12:53 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 12:54 PM ^
That's not a good use of the word possible. Every game is a possible loss for both teams. I can agree though that Nebraska might be the only remaining team that I would consider challenging up until the game.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:37 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 1:10 PM ^
what about Michigan State? Bahahahahaha
October 16th, 2016 at 11:22 AM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 11:23 AM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 11:34 AM ^
fixed their problems with aggression.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:08 PM ^
C'mon, that strategy worked wonders for us at the end of the game against Colorado in '94.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:11 PM ^
I don't know what you're talking about.
October 16th, 2016 at 11:27 AM ^
OSU didn't play well and managed to get the win. Wisky slowed down their offense but OSU has so many weapons all over the place. It killed me seeing Conley, Webb, and Weber Jr all making plays. Meyer has built a juggernaut. I think Brown will find a way to slow them down but we will need some points to beat them. I'm thinking something around 28-24 or 24-21.
October 17th, 2016 at 12:31 AM ^
We need 30 points. This will not be a 17-10 type of game. Our offense can't just fiddle-fuck around for 2 quarters trying to figure things out.
October 16th, 2016 at 11:37 AM ^
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October 16th, 2016 at 12:29 PM ^
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October 16th, 2016 at 11:54 AM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 12:03 PM ^
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October 16th, 2016 at 12:09 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 1:00 PM ^
Honestly if you are able to pitch getting to the NFL in any capacity that's all that matters. Players are players and for a chance at the NFL the position they play doesn't really matter.
October 17th, 2016 at 12:06 AM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 12:02 PM ^
The fact OSU was getting pushed around and gashed in the first half tells you Wisconsin was doing something they didn't expect. I'm not a x's and o's guy so I don't know what it was, but it was obviously something OSU didn;t see on tape. Then they made adjustments in the 2nd half and pretty much shut Wisconsin down.
People downplay the bye week advantage, but it gives you time to put in new wrinkles that are not an option if you only have 1 week.
October 16th, 2016 at 12:07 PM ^
Are any of UM's backs patient enough to wait for a hole and hit it hard as soon as it opens? That remains to be seen
October 16th, 2016 at 3:37 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 10:47 PM ^
IMO...the OL (except for Kalis) is not getting that kind of push. Really like your insights here RB. Thanks for taking the time. I know it's not exactly fun.
October 16th, 2016 at 12:04 PM ^
They do, however, have a better Dline and a better secondary so that will come into play also.
If UM's OL come together and get the push that UW's did after being dismal the previous 2 or 3 weeks, I think they'll win. If not then OSU has the advantage by making Mich beat them through the air or other wrinkles
October 16th, 2016 at 12:18 PM ^
On offense, wisky has a bad offense. Hornibrook is decent but I'd take an inconsistent speight over him every time. Michigan also has a better scheme, is willing to open it up more.
OSU will have to play much better than they did against wisky to beat us. I have no doubt they will play up to our level, but it's gonna be a dog fight for sure.
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October 16th, 2016 at 1:43 PM ^
Osu will now prepare for the WR end around against Michigan and while they might still have some success with it, it won't be as available as it was last night.
I agree that OSU will have to play better from the get go. If they let UM punch them in the mouth in the first half, they won't come back and win.
October 16th, 2016 at 12:05 PM ^
OSU destroyed us last year despite similiar stats vs like teams
October 16th, 2016 at 12:08 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 12:26 PM ^
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October 16th, 2016 at 7:30 PM ^
Of course we have a chance to win any game. I will call it a "good chance", better than 50%, of beating OSU.
October 16th, 2016 at 12:42 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 12:52 PM ^
this is why i say home team advantage 3 points osu
October 16th, 2016 at 1:00 PM ^
I've seen a lot of OSU fans active on various Michigan sites this morning. I'm sensing they are starting to feel a little vulnerable after the last two weeks.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:38 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 2:20 PM ^
Longer than you. Did you read my post? You do not = a trend, but you can be part of it.
October 16th, 2016 at 3:39 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 1:00 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 3:21 PM ^
down the stretch here, and be working out nice surprises for OSU in practice.
Think it will be a hell of a game, and feel less worried that we can play with them after last night. That said, they can be explosive. Rattling Barrett into a bad game may help.
October 16th, 2016 at 1:13 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 1:28 PM ^
October 16th, 2016 at 3:10 PM ^
October 17th, 2016 at 12:37 AM ^
Peppers on offense in the red zone is going to be a thing. We will really need him in that role.