Ramzy from 11Warriors has spoken!

Submitted by canzior on November 29th, 2023 at 3:37 PM

So like some of you i do check out that's going on over there occasionally. last year Ramzy wrote an amazing piece which ended with me needing a cigarette.

"Losing to Michigan like that is how Ohio State fans go full-cartoon and start talking about replacing a guy winning games at a 90% clip. But that's not just because he lost. It's because we've seen this type of loss so many times before, and we know what happens to coaches who lose to Michigan like this. They keep losing to them."

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio-state-football/the-game-2022/2022/11/135426/the-situational-film-study-from-hell

 

Here is this years' article for those inclined. Haven't read it yet, expect it to be just as good.

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio-state-football/2023/11/143486/fear-and-loathing

JBLPSYCHED

November 29th, 2023 at 4:49 PM ^

Interesting piece, thanks for the link OP. Personally I find all of the articles about Ryan Day having blown the game on Saturday to be nonsense. Some of his calls were debatable in hindsight but IMHO they didn't cost OSU the game.

Michigan played almost flawlessly. We had no turnovers and we picked off 2 McCord passes. We made all 3 of our FG attempts. We scored on every drive in the 2nd half except one. Yes, we ran a couple of unexpected/gimmick plays that were successful but they weren't TDs. We won the game by 6 points at home without our head coach because we are a little better than OSU and played excellent football.

I have watched this rivalry game since I was 10 years old in 1973. There is majesty to it, both teams tend to go on victorious streaks (or at least mini-streaks) over the years, but there's no magic. Sometimes there are bad/weird bounces, bad calls, etc. but both teams are usually very good to excellent.

Ryan Day is an excellent coach and his reaction to Zak Zinter's injury suggests that he is a decent human being. He wins 89% of his games, recruits 5* talent and seems to use available resources to his considerable advantage in running what is essentially a professional football program.

If he initiated the private investigation into our program, or instigated it somehow then I hate him for it but stepping back objectively he is an excellent coach. I doubt that he "doesn't get" the Michigan rivalry; that is insider nonsense. He'll probably beat us at some point soon enough, if for no other reason than the game is at OSU every two years and we do in fact graduate many of our best players this coming spring.

From my vantage point, this rivalry game is so big that the loser is often left doubting themselves. That's not abnormal human behavior. Day's track record against us is not as bad as Harbaugh's was against OSU only 3 short years ago. Day has a decent shot at turning things around unless he truly doubts himself for more than a few days after the game. But...he probably should give up play calling since that seems to be very difficult for elite coaches to do and still win at the highest level. Harbaugh had to make the same choice afterall.

colonel

November 29th, 2023 at 6:56 PM ^

I wholeheartedly agree with this take. Day is a superb coach and seemingly a classy guy and he had his team damn close this year. They were right there. I do think his stance on fourth down cost his team, but the same was almost true of Michigan -- our guys had one set of downs to win the game and they ran into the line three times instead of rolling out the first team all-Conference QB to make the game-winning play.

As far as I can tell, the difference is that Michigan's defense is just that smart and savvy and strong. They did make the game-winning play. They also baited Day's immature QB into a terrible pick early in the game, thereby drawing first blood. That first interception marks the margin of victory in this game. And regarding swing plays, one might also say that Michigan's superb veteran leadership responded to a catastrophic injury in the ballsiest way possible, dialing up the energy in the 4th quarter to a degree that Ohio was simply never going to match when playing in a hostile stadium. The Corum TD is an all-time great play in the history of the rivalry, considering the moment. You're just not beating that.

So, Day's team is excellent and they played damn well, but Michigan is just a bit better this year. Ramzy can trash Michigan's receivers all day if he likes (Wilson and Johnson would absolutely play roles in Ohio's receiver corps), but he might understand the rivalry better himself if he could admit that Michigan is marginally better this year -- not because Day is inadequate but because Michigan fucking rocks. This is often not the case, but this year it just is. 

Caesar

November 29th, 2023 at 4:51 PM ^

A fun read, though maybe not a sound idea. Definitely high-quality work, though. 

Michigan's 'it' is apparently scouting the team in front of them instead of chasing ghosts of seasons' past. Michigan's 'it' is also not shying away from its strengths during big moments (4th downs in particular). How is that not SOP for any team in a big game? I can't imagine Day is really chasing ghosts of last year this year. Dude made bad decisions in a tight game with a QB who isn't the same caliber of dudes he had in the past. And if OSU scores on their last drive, does Moore not get 'it' because he ran conservative 3rd down calls on Michigan's last drive? 

Also, I'm not sure the piece needed to be as long as it was, but Ramzy had a bunch he needed to unload, and I respect that.  

Romeo50

November 29th, 2023 at 4:58 PM ^

This should foster a culture recruits will lust after. Your Alumni trash you for not having gold pants. Nothing is good enough if you exhibit any human flaw. Virtuous.

Makes the decision to not come back easier...so there's that! Slight salary increase at the next level too.

umfan83

November 29th, 2023 at 5:01 PM ^

It's a good read.  As crazy as it sounds, I think I enjoy it more that Ohio State had a better net success rate last year and this year and still lost.  Goes along with his point that Michigan scouted better and won those games on the margins and by making less mistakes.  In general I enjoyed when Michigan was on the far right side of those graphs like they were most of the season, but this is a different type of enjoyment.

That said, Michigan can't be getting outgained on a per play basis against Georgia or likely any of the semi-finalists and expect to win.  It's possible, but we should probably focus on playing our best game and kicking ass like we have most of the season.

GRBluefan

November 29th, 2023 at 5:42 PM ^

I actually read this whole thing, and when i was done, my first thought was that the quality was such that it could have come from this site.  Good article.

jpo

November 29th, 2023 at 6:23 PM ^

“Both of those jobs are exhausting. One man cannot do them both at the level required.”

And yet, Moore did three jobs at once.

Eng1980

November 29th, 2023 at 6:26 PM ^

Engineering perspective here,

This article is written after the fact.  It is all selective memory and 20-20 hindsight.  What are the measurables?  He cherry picks certain plays.  He explains little.  We do not know what any of the coaches were thinking or what they do or don't understand.  

I remember Springs slipping on wet grass and giving up a Streets touchdown for the win.  I remember Wolverines slipping all over wet grass as Beanie Wells raced for the end zone twice.  I remember Charles Woodson slipping and given up a touchdown to David Boston.  Fortunately, that last one didn't determine who won.  

In summary, put the ball in the hands of your playmakers, call good plays, don't turn the ball over, hope for the best, and outscore your opponent.  Far more coaches are fired than retire on their own terms and I am supposed to believe this writer has some insight on how to win the big game?

S FL Wolverine

November 29th, 2023 at 6:56 PM ^

Eh. This is a well-written, eloquent article with not much to say, and boy does it take a long time to get there. Summary: Day doesn't "get it"; he shrunk in the moment. 

It's a lot of feelingsball that just trots out the same narrative everyone is pushing. He comes up with some plays cherry-picked as "evidence" to support the narrative; more so than other OSU articles have done thus far. But he doesn't do much to sway me to his opinion. As others have mentioned, if MHJ gets a TD on the last OSU possession, does Day suddenly "get it"?  Does Moore "not get it" cuz he kicked a FG on 4th and 6?

What's notably lacking is any football technical analysis AT ALL. Which really just makes it his opinion, man.

Michigan has won because it's done a tremendous job of developing talent that on paper wasn't as good as OSU's when it was recruited. Michigan has taken an inordinate number of 3 stars and made them into NFL players. It's developed many of its 4 stars into draftable players for the top few rounds of the draft. Is this sustainable?  I hope so. Next year will be an interesting litmus test with the max exodus about to unfold. 

LSAClassOf2000

November 29th, 2023 at 6:58 PM ^

I will always think that, for purposes of the SignGate nonsense, he pandered to the worst of OSU fans on Twitter, but this was actually a pretty good read and, as others have mentioned, he's a very good writer although I will say that he blasted a lot of his credibility in this community with a persistent need to be roundly disingenuous, even a bit hateful at times over the Stalions stuff. 

bronxblue

November 29th, 2023 at 7:19 PM ^

This is pretty well written but the underlying messaging is still too simplistic.  He keeps talking about how OSU only has feint weaknesses, how Michigan didn't have playmakers on offense like OSU does, how the special teams coordinator is awful and cost them in these games, how this is all about Day not "getting" this rivalry.  It keeps treating Michigan like a plucky upstart that is moneyballing these wins instead of a team that has a ton of talent that is just better than a team with basically the same amount of talent.  Oh, and the Stalions horse beating continues and is yet another example of this myopic viewpoint.

OSU probably should have lost a couple more of these games under Meyer; he should have lost one to Hoke and at least one to Harbaugh.  OSU won a couple of coin flips and that happens but for some reason Ramzy seems to think Day losing these games is because he's playing last year's opponent when it's more that he just can't keep winning 51/49 games 100% of the time because in your head you still think they're 90/10 affairs.

 

tybert

November 29th, 2023 at 8:01 PM ^

If not for Al Borges re-using a quick slant to Dileo (from the ND game earlier in the year), we may have scored and won 43-42. Hoke would have been 1-1 vs. Urbs and 2-1 vs Ohio. Ohio even talked about how much they practiced vs. that play and then blew it up.

Denial is a tough trait to get over when one's used to getting their way or winning. 

Personally, I liked the postgame from some guys at C-Bus Dispatch. One guy did mention how Ohio's game plan for 2021 was to repeat 2019's 56-27. And then 2022 was to stop us from running for 297 yards (but left exposed to big plays). 2023 was a conservative approach where UM was content using short passes and manball to grind out 6 possessions out of 7 (TD, TD, punt inside 5, FG, TD, FG, FG) but not give up 40+ yard plays (but for 5 plays!!!!!).

The other guy mentioned how the mistakes Ohio made (punting on 4th and 1 at 0-0, early INT, terrible clock management to end the half (missed 52 FG could have been shorter), playing standard no-pressure D on the 7 minute drive, and then the final INT on a pass that took too long to develop).

When he asked the other two guys, so "what mistakes did UM make, either as a play or a coaching call?" the answer was nothing. The gameplan may have seemed vanilla at times but it worked and we scored a season high 30 points on a team that hadn't given up more than 17 (to Maryland) points to anyone. This was an excellent D and we scored 6 of the last 7 drives, not counting the V formation to end. 

S FL Wolverine

November 29th, 2023 at 8:03 PM ^

Yes. It's still "we are better than you except our coach keeps blowing it". Which is *super* simplistic. It allows osu fans to keep thinking they are "superior" so no major changes are needed, just minor tweaks. Well, when your biggest rival is consistently outperforming you in player development, game preparation, in-game adjustments, offensive and defensive lines, execution, etc you have a problem.

This reminds me of how Michigan fans behaved during the MSU domination stretch in the late 00s and early 2010s. We were in a similar state of denial. We had better recruits and we had owned MSU for a long time. We "deserved" to win and every year we'e look forward to that game assuming things would return to "normal.". But it didn't happen.  Why?  Similar reasons: MSU did a better job of developing talent (more with less), was better on the lines, out prepared us, made better adjustments, etc. Things didn't turn back our way until we adjusted those things and MSU slid back to its mean.

All of this is to say, OSU has some things that are broken that need fixing. It is not nearly as simple as a few gameday tweaks. Ffs, we kept MHJ in check even after Will Johnson went down. We kept successfully running the ball after the Zinter injury. We played lots of depth all season long in anticipation of this game. That's preparation, player development, etc. None of it is flukey.

bronxblue

November 29th, 2023 at 9:14 PM ^

Yeah, Ramzy is a good writer but he also knows he's gotta play to his fans, and OSU fans simply cannot fathom a world where they aren't the biggest fish in the conference.  And so instead of looking in a mirror they look at their feet and think the problem is just a misstep, a temporary embarrassment.  

I agree it's a lot like how UM treated MSU, with the one caveat that UM was simply hurt by instability with Carr leaving and RR/Hoke not being good matches.  With OSU it was Meyer to Day and so that hand-off was easy and you never saw the drop-off stylistically or recruiting wise.  But absolutely MSU did a better job building a team during that time compared to UM and fielded some truly elite teams that, in hindsight, UM had no business even thinking they could hang with.

 

canzior

November 30th, 2023 at 8:01 AM ^

I agree with the pandering to his fans. I think him (and Brian/Seth) can sometimes be tasked with interpreting events/games/news for the fans. There are plenty of times where their articles on here have made me feel better about something that happened in the program. But Ramzy and 11W style and viewpoints created and shaped the attitudes and mindset of the people and they are now kind of married to it. 

The guy that does Threat Level actually predicted Michigan to win last week, and the masses LOST it. 

Swayze Howell Sheen

November 29th, 2023 at 7:50 PM ^

The more I think about this, the more I dislike it.

It is just feelingsball.

Why MGoBlog is so much better: Brian and Seth (and others!) have learned football. They can more or less explain what is going on in some detail.

Ramzy is a clown. He writes well, but doesn't know much. We should ignore him and his OSU brethren.

Read Seth's comment above for more info on Ramzy.

colonel

November 29th, 2023 at 10:02 PM ^

I don't mind the feelingsball stuff, but it's the wrong kind.

The more on point feelingsball take is that a rivalry with two very competent, highly competitive programs is going to be cyclical, and that sometimes your team is going to lose even when it's good because the other team is also really good and makes one or two more really good plays. 

Ryan Day is not incompetent so much as he's on the wrong end of the karma tsunami that Urban Meyer set up for Ohio. The Buckeyes won 4 of 5 coinflip games in the 2010's and their fans convinced themselves that that was sustainable, rather than acknowledging that a worm would inevitably turn. "Not getting it" is not understanding that your rival is actually better than you for a few years, and that that reality is not an existential problem so much as it is a part of a cycle that is natural and dynamic.

I suppose what Ramzi does get is that each year's game builds on the next because of the sheer intensity of the thing, and that the winning team from one year can get in the head of the loser and put together a streak. The irony is that his position on Day is precisely the kind of loser talk that might only dig the hole deeper. A willingness to build around Day's considerable strengths is what would turn this particular worm.  

Winchester Wolverine

November 29th, 2023 at 9:20 PM ^

Those are both beautifully written articles. He had many takes I can sympathize with.

Day not truly understanding this rivalry has and will continue to benefit us. And he's a coward in the big moments. Even when his plans to gain an advantage had come to fruition, he still couldn't seize the opportunity. Instead, he only cemented his legacy as Cooper 2.0. The greatest fear OSU fans had coming into this game is now true. Our era of dominance is here to stay.

Humen

November 29th, 2023 at 9:53 PM ^

This felt like a waste of time. It’s so easy to say someone doesn’t “get it” and doesn’t “go for it on fourth down.” But it took this writer a very long time to say that. He also added some beard dying propaganda and thinks Harbaugh orchestrated signgate. This article lacks thoughtful analysis. It’s a bunch of silly feelingsball, with a couple cherry-picked efficiency charts. His solution? Have Day be OC or coach, but not both. That’s delicious because, extrapolating, if Day had done that, OSU wins. Yet Michigan did that (Moore wore several hats), and Michigan won. Further, even if Stalions is somehow an extension of the win-or-die-trying mentality (the author claims this), OSU also did that with this PI bullshit, which led to the Harbaugh suspension midseason, the distraction for the players…

This article sucks. The truth will out. It did on Saturday. 

Jevablue

November 29th, 2023 at 10:30 PM ^

I read both of the articles and what stands out to me is how both entitled and ruthless the OSU nation is. They love to preen about the signal thing but at their core they’re pissed because they know damn well their buying of players for 20+ years is supposed to be a vastly superior scheme.  And I agree with them, it should have been enough to guarantee victory in perpetuity. So when it fails, it’s apocalyptic.  And they are ruthless with judgment on their “ student athletes”.  But with Buckeye Nation it’s ok to hate on them (McCord came closer to winning than either of the Stroud debacles…) because they know something most do not, they can savage these people as if they were pros because they mostly are!

Absent a lifetime of indoctrination and kool aide I can’t understand why any athlete would want to play for this fan base. 
 

Michigan is doing the entire universe a favor  

 

M-Dog

November 29th, 2023 at 10:47 PM ^

They are freaked out that they have done everything possible - ethical and not ethical - and it still was not enough.

That is a fragile fan base that is tearing itself apart.  Good.

That is why it is imperative that they not sneak in through the backdoor into the CFP to redeem themselves like last year.  Let them stew over it and tear each other's eyes out.

That is a toxic environment over there.  It will have to start affecting recruiting.

M-Dog

November 29th, 2023 at 10:42 PM ^

The comments are gold.  

Especially this one from a poster that thinks that Ryan Day must go:

I hope he loses his shit and punches a Louisville LB.

jsquigg

November 29th, 2023 at 11:53 PM ^

Talented writer who suffers from the same program wide delusions. Says Michigan’s receivers wouldn’t get into their WR room. Would any of you trade Wilson for Egbuka? CJ for Fleming? I’m not saying those guys aren’t fine receivers, it’s Ramey’s dismissal I take issue with. We don’t sling the ball around like they do. Also rather dismissive of Michigan’s skill in general, but at least we “get” the rivalry.

Shorty the Bea…

November 30th, 2023 at 1:54 AM ^

A very good piece with a few vital flaws in his analysis:

1: John Cooper's empire was not decaying at the end of the 90's. Suggesting such says the talent was on the wane, but it was not. Tressel could not have won it all without John Cooper's upperclassmen leading the charge in 2002. Cooper was still recruiting at an elite level, but suffered a wicked 1999 season and Ohio simply had enough after one final loss to M in The Shoe the next year.

2: He is spot on that what happened to Michigan in the second half of the twentieth century was Ohio State. That was the title drought. However, he also forgot to mention that after Michigan hired Bo, Michigan was equally what happened to Ohio State until Tressel came along and caught lightning in a bottle with Cooper's defensive stars, offensive line, and a freshman running back.

3: Ramsey's - and every other Buckeye's - and even a lot of recent Michigan fans' assumption that Ryan Day should be fired or somehow the program in Columbus is massively disappointing when losing to M is deeply flawed by recency bias. This flawed assumption is based on two facts: Ohio consistently out-recruits Michigan in recruiting rankings; and, Ohio went on an all-century run to open the 21st century.

However, these thinkers forget the buckeye run was only possible because an aging Lloyd Carr did not retain the mettle to challenge in the rivalry and lost complete control which led to a reach and disarray with Rich Rod followed by Brady Hoke, and even spooked the unflappable Harbaugh for five years until the Covid year provided room for a breather and a chance to rethink our program's existential crisis of identity and confidence and direction.

4: The truth of this rivalry is when both programs are operating at their respective levels it looks more like the Ten Year War with elite teams trading results rather frequently. Bo went winless across four seasons and in five of six. He also took three in a row from Woody and beat him 5-4-1. The truth is not Ohio on top - or even winning as expected. It's violence and chaos and seasons crushed - which will not happen with such ferocity and remorselessness again come the playoff.

Many are still blinded by Ohio's recent success and think that should be the standard. The bucks should be on top and a coach down south who can't deliver that every year should be fired. But they are wrong. These programs should be trading heavyweight blows like Ali and Frasier and nothing less. And these streaks should be nothing more than annual to five year streaks of back and forth. Not the 21st century shit show that Michigan is still trying to reset in the expectations and minds of fans and foes alike. 

5: The truth was not even that Ohio dominated the first two decades of the 21st century. The truth is that Michigan failed to hold up their end of the rivalry - that is, producing an elite program. Ohio routinely preyed on a weakened Michigan who produced only two or three seasons in 20 worthy of their level. However, Michigan did dominate an elite Ohio program in the 90's. 

Still, this rivalry is better when both are at their best. That's why the Ten Year War was so epic. Both programs were running like unstoppable mid-century freight trains and they collided every fall in an awesome spectacle of fire and metal and emotion. Finally there was some true parity and the collisions were titanic.

The buckeyes and wolverines, and the rivalry itself, are all equally traumatized by the later epochs of these battles like long years of colonialism and the scars of neverending pain and powerlessness it leaves behind. Cooper. Tressel. Meyer. Lose 'em all. Win 'em all. Lose 'em all again..

Maybe, just maybe, this rivalry is not about to crater into another period of occupation (as fun as it is to think about for us M fans). Maybe it's about to start firing on all cylinders again like it hasn't since Bo and Earle, but fans are simply too afraid to see it. 

At least right now the script of fear and pain has flipped and Ohioans are terrified of another period of interminable occupation and are panicking. At least right now that much is fun to revel and savor. But who really knows where it goes?

For now, M still has a lot of winning to do to live down the memory of nearly two decades of total program failure.

volnedan

November 30th, 2023 at 12:48 PM ^

Hilarious watching them melt down after 3 straight losses.  The 20 year span of dominance ruined their expectations, and they can't fathom a world where we are back to equals.  Granted, they didn't have the dark ages with the end of Lloyd/RichRod/Hoke era.  Even though Hoke played Urban the toughest, even better than Harbs admittedly.  

Everyone enjoy the moments, as we are still freshly recovering from BPONE.  It's been a great run so far.  My kids are very spoiled to see this.

ca_prophet

November 30th, 2023 at 10:36 PM ^

There are some good lines in there, but there are really only three points worth making and he spent most of the article wallowing and trying to reference the "cheating" without coming out and saying "they had an unfair advantage".

The two points that I thought were well-put were:

1.  Ryan Day puts his trust in his passing game and overall elite talent, and will only take risks where those things can be leveraged.  This means he is much more likely to fail to seize 4th down chances, especially when he does not trust his OL (and probably shouldn't!).  This is a weakness that will show up in The Game, when elite talent exists on both sides.

2.  The winning strategy for OSU (and other teams with that kind of elite talent) is to leverage it *and* keep on doing it until your opponent stops it, then take advantage of the weakness they've introduced.  Both sides clearly had plans to stop each other's elite talent, and the in-game move-counter was NFL-level.  

The point that he glossed over was:

3.  This Michigan team was elite, and in particular was *better* than OSU on both lines.
  a.  Winning the line of scrimmage goes a long way towards mitigating any other talent advantage.  If OSU wants to fix that, they need to get those top recruits *and* coach them up.
  b.  OSU tried to leverage MHJ and succeeded some of the time, but Minter and the Michigan D were just that good.  M spent the whole year with two deep safeties specifically to prepare for The Game, pulled out everything and the kitchen sink (and dear deities, think of all the practice time they had to have spent repping NFL-level coverages schemes *just for one game*!) and rolled it out for the first time Saturday.  And OSU caught the shield, shifted to get us to reveal our coverages and chucked it back.

In short, I think Ryan Day is at least a good coach, a top offensive mind, and wants to win at least as much as any armchair QB.  He has built some of the top offenses in the country, year after year, and it took an NFL-level coordinator, a year's worth of preparation and sandbagging, and a tremendous effort by every player on defense to hold them down.

I think Day does get it.  I think that, far from being a Cooper moment, this is a Woody moment, when an at-least equally elite Michigan team narrowly beat his team.  The rabidly unreasonable OSU fandom isn't going to accept that, though, especially in this context.