OT: The Dance - NCAA Men's Hoops Tournament - Expansion? What do you think?

Submitted by Amazinblu on February 28th, 2024 at 12:02 PM

There's an article on ESPN's site by Joe Lunardi where he suggests expanding the NCAA Men's Tournament (aka The Dance).   The article is paywalled - and here's the link if you want to view it:  https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/insider/story/_/id/39608837/lunardi-why-ncaa-mens-tournament-expand-80-teams.   He cites the history of expansion going back to the 1975 when the NCAA expanded from 25 to 32 teams.

What do you think of The Dance - and possibly expanding from the current 68 teams to 80?   

I'm not a supporter of the idea - and value conference championships.   My assumptions are: 1) conference championships should mean something - either regular season or tournament, and 2) 68 teams is certainly a large enough field for teams to qualify.   The only rationale to add to this is driven by the almighty dollar - and probably to allow Power Conferences to place even more teams that the "seven to ten" they normally get.

Your thoughts?

bluesong

February 28th, 2024 at 1:12 PM ^

If they were to do something like that. I'd just push back the start of March Madness by 1 week. 

Get rid of the play-ins we have now. Then you run a 1 week 16 team tournament for two #10 seeds. Top two teams get in, so there are only 3 games played. I think that would be much more exciting than the play-in games they have now.

It expands the field - but no one would want to be in the last group of 16 teams that have to go through a gauntlet just to make the primary tourney. 

My name ... is Tim

February 28th, 2024 at 1:17 PM ^

Heard this on the podcast Pardon My Take and it changed the way I thought about tournament expansion. Make the actual tournament 64 teams. This makes it easy and straight-forward to follow and also ensures that making the tournament remains meaningful and the regular season isn't a large exercise in seeding arrangement for all but the very worst Power 5 teams (CoughMichiganCough).

However, you can expand beyond 64 before making the final cut and create a true play-in tournament that doesn't technically count as the tournament. So, you start with, for example, 56 qualifiers (AQs and deserving at-larges) and then create a tournament of 16, 24 (with byes) or 32 to get you the final 8 teams. You get knocked out and you officially never made the tournament and can go play the NIT (or whatever). I know this is largely form over substance but I do think it changes the way we'd all view expansion. Has the upside of giving everyone more exciting and meaningful basketball to watch (always a good thing) without watering down the actual tournament. 

If they can't accomplish it that way, I'm against expansion.

S.D. Jones

February 28th, 2024 at 2:03 PM ^

How long does the rest of the basketball  world have to wait for this Not-Ready-For-Prime-Time Tourney to play out? (And it's not even a tourney since there are eight "winners.") How long after the initial selection before we get brackets?

Basically, you're just creating more play-in games, which are dull enough already. A tournament with 256 would likewise provide additional "meaningful" games since every game in a single-elimination tournament is meaningful, but I don't think there's a correlation between that sort of meaningful and exciting basketball. 

Perkis-Size Me

February 28th, 2024 at 1:20 PM ^

No. What's the point? And yes, that is a rhetorical question. Its always about more money. 

This reminds me of a scene from Silicon Valley. Amazing show on HBO a few years back, really funny, and a really smart one at that. Dinesh buys a stupidly expensive refrigerator that can talk to you in nice, personable ways, make grocery lists, scan expiration dates, etc. Gilfoyle remarks about how absolutely stupid of a purchase it was, and how stupid the concept of a talking refrigerator is to begin with. 

"This thing is addressing problems that don't exist. Its solutionism at its worst, and we're dumbing down machines which are inherently superior to us. The only thing this refrigerator needs to do is keep my f*****g beer cold." 

Same concept applies to expanding the tournament here. The NCAA is attempting to address a problem that does not exist. You're now getting into the territory of letting teams in that, frankly, have no business being in the tournament to begin with. You already have great ratings, you're already making tons of money off of it. What problem are you addressing, aside from the problem of "the only thing that's greater than $1 million is $2 million."

 

CliffSnotes

February 28th, 2024 at 1:22 PM ^

I recall hearing somewhere that roughly 1/4 of the eligible schools make the playoffs in (most) college sports. That’s a close number for College hockey. 
 

So set the new requirements to be the top 256 universities that can participate in D1 Basketball, lowering it from the current 351. I’d probably be more aggressive and set targets to try to get it to 1/3 or about 180 schools. 
 

Plenty of room for Cinderella, but fewer schools taking a piece of the pie (even though it’s already weighted heavily in favor of the Power Conferences). And fewer cream puffs on the schedule in non-con (especially for the Big XII gaming the system). 

lilpenny1316

February 28th, 2024 at 1:31 PM ^

A thousand times, no. It's already bad enough that 8+ teams from the same conference can get in now. I haven't seen any numbers to see if we've had a national champ that finished below fifth or sixth place in their conference, but I bet that number is miniscule. Expanding the field just puts more unqualified teams in the mix.

St Joe Blues

February 28th, 2024 at 1:36 PM ^

I'm all for it if they limit the extra teams to G5 conference teams. Just because 31-2 St. Jehoshaphat State lost it's tournament championship game to 15-16 McMichael's University doesn't mean the Fighting Jumpers should have to be relegated to the NIT. Let them in, man!

Blinkin

February 28th, 2024 at 3:52 PM ^

I had to google it, but 1 seeds are 150-2 all-time against 16 seeds (for a cool 98.67 win %).  IMO that would need to get a LOT more even before it's worth talking about adding even worse teams.  

The tournament needs the low seeds to be good enough for the high seeds to take them seriously in a single-elimination setting.  Going beyond 64 won't accomplish that, and the canary in the coal mine for that will be if 16 seeds start winning even 10% of the time.

KSmooth

February 28th, 2024 at 6:11 PM ^

To be fair, most of those 16 seeds were conference tourney winners in weak leagues that wouldn't have made the field otherwise.  The teams that would be added would probably be better.

The problem is that expanding the field would likely mean a lot of mediocre power conference teams, so the regular season would mean less.

If they could find a formula where they mixed in some solid teams from the smaller and mid-sized leagues that would probably be okay.  Maybe give each conference two autobids: the regular season and league tourney champs.  (And invite the regular season runner-up if the same team wins both?)  But the business being what it is the NCAA almost certainly won't do that, so they're better off standing pat.

mfan_in_ohio

February 28th, 2024 at 4:53 PM ^

No. Expanding the tournament just allows in a bunch more high major schools that are 9-11 in their conference. They’d also probably force more 16 and 15 seed play in games, and that’s not fair to those schools. I like having the best one-bid leagues getting a 12 or 13 seed where they are a dangerous upset pick. I’d rather stay at 68 and have all four play in games be for the last four at large spots.

B-Nut-GoBlue

February 28th, 2024 at 6:05 PM ^

I've always been against it.  And still probably am.  But I will say: in 2024 and probably for 4+ years now, there is a lot more parity in the sport than there was in 1998.  The bubble these days has some quality teams fighting for a spot who get left out. Many mid-majors are now on an equal if not better footing than Power-5 conference programs.  The difference between some 8-9 seeds and say, the "last 8 out" is probably pretty minimal.  Allowing a few more teams in probably wouldn't water down the field much.

But, this is not a notion the NCAA even cares about.

CarrIsMyHomeboy

February 28th, 2024 at 9:53 PM ^

I really appreciated this update. Traveling from out-of-state for my first time at Yost in nearly two decades, and that's for a guy who attended every home game as a student. Also: my first time bringing my wife.

FYI: I believe adjacent seats are still available behind either goal.