How Michigan Stacks Up Against Alabama According to the Computers
https://www.tiktok.com/@thatdudemjb/video/7308560342978907438
Sagarin Ranking
1. Michigan 97.55
3. Ohio State 94.83
5. Penn State 93.82
6. Alabama 92.65
SP+ Overall Rankings
1. Michigan 32.1
3. Ohio State 26.7
4. Penn State 26.0
7. Alabama 23.7
SP+ Offensive Rankings
10. Michigan 37.6
11. Alabama 37.1
25. Ohio State 34.2
26. Penn State 34.1
SP+ Defensive Rankings
1. Michigan 7.4
3. Ohio State 8.8
4. Penn State 9.5
9. Alabama 15.4
FEI Opponent-Adjusted Overall Efficiency
1. Michigan
3. Ohio State
5. Penn State
11. Alabama
FEI Opponent-Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
5. Michigan
13. Ohio State
20. Penn Sate
21. Alabama
FEI Opponent-Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
1. Ohio State
2. Penn State
4. Michigan
9. Alabama
December 4th, 2023 at 4:46 AM ^
Well said. I would add that we didn’t have a fully operational JJ in our last 4 games. I think we beat OSU, who may well be better than Alabama, easily if JJ wasn’t limited. If he is back full go, then our offense has another gear.
December 3rd, 2023 at 11:42 PM ^
The computer stuff is encouraging.
Yes, Milroe is very scrambly, and sometimes makes a great throw. Like Tua. But also like Tua, he makes some bad decisions and bad throws. He takes a longer time to throw than Tua. I don't think he is a master of diagnosing and picking apart coverages.
If Alabama plays like it did in the Auburn game, I think Michigan wins comfortably.
If Alabama plays like it did in the Georgia game, I think Michigan still wins because:
On offense, Georgia needed 28 points to win, but got only 24. Alabama's defense isn't as good as OSU, Iowa, or Penn State. I think Michigan will score more points than Georgia did. Especially if offense tunes up its execution and play calling a bit, and is quicker to move from plays that aren't working. (I.e., Basically if they are able to diagnose and to fix what caused the TCU game.)
On defense, Georgia was often using 2 spies. It let Milroe have a long time to throw (or figure out where to scramble). It was almost as bad as Auburn choosing to rush 2. I have high confidence that Minter and Michigan's defense will be more effective than that.
December 4th, 2023 at 12:13 AM ^
Experience does matter at this time of year, and Michigan has that in spades. And it's the best kind of experience -- leaders who came back to win when they could have gone pro. That, plus the incredible team spirit makes this Michigan team special. Put that in your computer and smoke it!
December 4th, 2023 at 2:53 AM ^
I actually worry we may lose this game. Alabama has a lot of speed athletes. I sure wish we had a better passing game. It just seems either JJ and his WR do not have timing patterns and JJ searches around for the open WR and he usually dumps off the TE or RB.
December 4th, 2023 at 4:17 AM ^
Give Nick Saban 4 weeks to prepare and his team will be ready. Imo Michigan / Alabama winner is your likely champ.
December 4th, 2023 at 5:58 AM ^
Cautiously optimistic but I believe
December 4th, 2023 at 7:06 AM ^
I just hope Alabama isn't in our team's head like we are in Ohio's.
December 4th, 2023 at 7:35 AM ^
Having coach Moore work with the OL for 3 weeks gives me confidence that some fine tuning will go a long way to shoring up pass pro. Also Michigan has faced a Milroe light with Marylands QB. Milroe is a more dangerous runner but we are not without exposure.
We could do well to remember that our D practices against JJ. I look forward to reviewing film on both of them in the coming weeks for further comparison.
lastly, I was encouraged by the reason stated for. Putting the wolverines as 1 seed. The “player leadership” that was demonstrated on their coach absence during the last three games got their attention and ours as well. GO BLUE!
December 4th, 2023 at 8:27 AM ^
We're gonna run it down their throats and they won't be able to stop it.
December 4th, 2023 at 12:00 PM ^
Per Bill Connelly:
I was curious what a mashup of Resume SP+ and Strength of Record would have to say about the top 7. Not quite what I expected:
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) December 3, 2023
1. Michigan (13-0)
2. Florida State (13-0)
3. Washington (13-0)
4. Ohio State (11-1)
5. Alabama (12-1)
6. Georgia (12-1)
7. Texas (12-1)