How is everyone feeling for Sunday’s Big Game!!!

Submitted by Umich19 on January 3rd, 2020 at 11:26 AM

Time for Zavier to reclaim his throne!!!

MJ14

January 3rd, 2020 at 8:03 PM ^

The idea is it would move to an 8 team playoff. Michigan was 7 at the time of playoffs in 2018. 6 in 2016. 2016 they would have definitely been in. 2018 you can argue the CFP would have left them out since they took such a beating from OSU. But they were ranked 7. 

bronxblue

January 3rd, 2020 at 12:08 PM ^

He also got 2 fouls in under 9 minutes and sat the rest of the first half.  He picked up 6 offensive rebounds and 2 blocks in about 20 minutes of play.  

MSU did a good job against him but Illinois shooting terribly from deep and the usual Breslin whistle certainly played a role in how the game turned out.

uncle leo

January 3rd, 2020 at 11:32 AM ^

I have a bad feeling about this one. Livers going down is a significant loss. I think this team is still a decent team that can make the S16, and the early run against UNC and Gonzaga was a bit of fool's gold. 

I expect at the end of the year, they will be a lot more rounded into form and will be playing well; however, an early season game against a pretty damn good team is going to be tough.

I think Michigan hangs for a bit, but MSU will pull away. 

Bleh, yuck, hated typing that. Just how I feel.

Umich19

January 3rd, 2020 at 11:37 AM ^

Completely reasonable imo. It might seem weird, but I think Simpson needs to be aggressive at shooting the 3 plays under on the pick and rolls.  I think he’s definitely improved to the point where if given space, simply taking that shot (even if only making 1/3) will really open the passing lanes for our offense.

Umich19

January 3rd, 2020 at 11:46 AM ^

Exactly. I would assume based of the larger sample size they would still give that shot even with a few falling to start the game, but it’s definitely a shot that will be available early and often.  MSU switched on every screen last year it seemed like, and unfortunately for Simpson his size doesn’t allow him to attack big men on the drive well in that scenario.

MGoBlue96

January 3rd, 2020 at 11:56 AM ^

Howard's approach on screen switching is far different than last year. MSU will get punished for it more because so far under Howard UM is much more willing to throw it down to a big guy when they get a smaller player switched on them. Teske, etc will most likely have a field day if they elect to adapt that strategy this year. 

MGoBlue96

January 3rd, 2020 at 11:34 AM ^

Pretty unsure honestly. Even without Livers I think UM is a little better or maybe a push with  MSU this year, however expecting them to get royally fucked by the refs like last years game at Breslin. I mean getting hosed by the refs is a safe assumption for most road teams in the Big Ten, so I don't think the odds of UM outplaying MSU and the refs without Livers is as good as we would like.

ijohnb

January 3rd, 2020 at 11:56 AM ^

You think Michigan without Isaiah Livers is better than Michigan State right now?

I don't.  

It they had to play the rest of the season without Livers they may mold into their rolls and be better by the end of the season but I don't think they are a good bit from being better right now.  I think this game is winnable with an aggressive David Dejulius and a hot shooting Brooks and Wagner.  One or the other probably makes it a close game.  If we get the X and Teske pick and roll show it is going to be brutal.

ijohnb

January 3rd, 2020 at 12:55 PM ^

Langford isn't part of the equation anymore.  He hasn't played in going on two years and will not return this season and it is becoming more likely that his career is over at MSU. 

This is State's team.  Michigan is down Livers.

uncle leo

January 3rd, 2020 at 1:10 PM ^

We had this argument last year, and I still do not understand the logic behind it.

Langford was expected to start for the team, he was cleared after the summer to resume all normal basketball activities. It would be no different than having Michigan lose a starter before the season starts. It is is a significant blow to the depth, and saying MSU hasn't lost a player does not make a lick of sense. 

If Michigan had to run the entire year with Johns as a starter because Livers was hurt pre-season, you can be damn sure our fans (myself included) would talk about it as a big loss.

ijohnb

January 3rd, 2020 at 1:38 PM ^

I just disagree.  If Livers sustained a preseason injury and was out for the season you would not hear a peep out of me about injuries.  Particularly, now after he is out for the second consecutive season there is no way I would be claiming "injuries" as part of the equation.  Like, no, in 2016, when Michigan lost to Notre Dame in the NCAA tournament, I was completely done with "if we had Levert this would have been a different story."  He just wasn't in the equation.  

Like, what if Langford is done for his career?  Can State still play an injury card next year because he technically still has eligibility?  Was Michigan "playing without Mitch McGary" in 2015 after he was suspended for the season?

The fact that the guy who raised this issue is a clear MSU troll is illustrative.  They want it in their back pocket in the event they lose.  But MSU is at full strength.  

uncle leo

January 3rd, 2020 at 2:00 PM ^

I guess we just have to agree to disagree on this.

The dude practiced with the team and was preparing to be a starter; he was a big part of their plans. The fact that they had to figure out who else to allocate his minutes to means that his injury completely impacted their strategy, recruiting, and their entire season. I would feel the exact same way if it was a Michigan guy. It lowers the expectations of the season. It's not an excuse; it happened. 

ijohnb

January 3rd, 2020 at 2:12 PM ^

If Langford is done for his career, does State have an "injury issue" next year because he technically still has eligibility left? 

I just don't get it.  For whatever reason you are the primetime audience for Izzo's "weird guys" stuff.  The man has not played since last December.  They have gone to a Final Four since then without him.  We don't even know what kind of player he was going to be this year.

esanch

January 3rd, 2020 at 2:17 PM ^

Dude wins/losses and nothing else matters. I wish i could put this much jibberish into the outcome of a game or season. What does “playing the injury card” gain besides a dumb argument on a message board. My point was that depth will play a role, not to incite some weirdo argument about whether the score counts or not because of injuries. 

LV Sports Bettor

January 3rd, 2020 at 2:25 PM ^

Call it what you want but analytic site like kenpom compares how they fared against opponents and how all others have played against them also and has them among top teams in country when you equalize everything.

You're placing way too much stock on one or two big games and not enough the large sample size of information we have which going forward is way more reliable