Counter Point to the Prevailing Board Views re: Our Head Football Coach and AD

Submitted by HChiti76 on February 1st, 2023 at 1:09 AM

“Jane, you ignorant slut!”

For the last couple of weeks, there have been countless posts about our head football coach and our AD. These seem to be the consensus views on this Board:

1. It is essential that M offer an extension to JH because of 2024 recruiting. 

2. All this NFL talk re: Harbaugh was nonsense. 

3.  An extension with more $$ & a larger buyout will insure JH will stay at Michigan after this year. 

4. Everything is the AD’s fault. 

IMO, there are serious flaws with the logic and reasoning on all four points. 
 
1. Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t the extension JH signed last year go past the 2024 season? Furthermore, the damage to 2023 & maybe, 2024 recruiting is not a result of a contract issue. It is the direct result of JH’s dalliances with the NFL the last two years  

2. All of the reporting re: JH having interest in the NFL the last two years was accurate. He did fly to Minnesota, interview, and said that he would have accepted the HC position if offered. This year, he spoke with Carolina, then, Denver, and, then, inexplicably, after stating that he was staying, welcomed the Denver owner to AA for a face to face meeting and interview. 

3.  A contract extension with a larger buyout will have zero impact on JH’s decision to leave for the NFL. An NFL team that really wants him will have no problem forking over the $$ to get him. And don’t come back with some suggestion of a ridiculously high buyout amount. JH won’t sign that. No top college head coach would. 

4. The situation over the last two years was entirely JH’s fault. JH has not only entertained NFL offers, he has been dishonest throughout the process. He had that Albom interview after the Vikings turned him down saying he was here to stay and forever done with the NFL. That turned out to be patently false.

He then sent out that tweet after talking with Ono and a week later, met with the Denver owner. Once again, he was dishonest. If his tweet was the truth, all he had to do was tell the Denver owner no thanks, don’t come to AA, I’m staying at Michigan, I’m not going to talk with you. BUT HE DIDN’T DO THAT! His actions completely undermined the credibility of his earlier tweet.

As for our AD, this idea that he mishandled, mistreated and “insulted” JH is totally hogwash.

Fact #1-In any of the big time programs we compete with, JH would have been fired either before 2020 or shortly thereafter. You think Ohio State would have retained a head coach who was 0-5 vs us, 3-3 vs MSU, 1-4 in bowls and zero B1G championships? All of the other top Power 5 schools would have fired a head coach with that record.

Our AD should be commended for sticking with him, while formulating a reasonable revised contract that was heavily performance based. He accomplished something no major program AD has done recently. He got the head coach to take a pay cut, but gave him the opportunity to make the same amount of $$ with incentives. And, he, unlike all the “experts”, accurately gauged the lack of NFL interest with JH at that time. I would argue that he lit a fire under JH. JH has certainly been a different coach since then.

JH has been an outstanding coach the last two years, resulting in the best back to back seasons since the days of Yost and Crisler. And, not to take anything away from the 1997 NC team, but, if the last two teams played under the 1997 rules, they would have been 11-1 & 12-0 playing Utah both years in the Rose Bowl, who they probably would have beaten, and, at worse, been #2 both years with the possibility of a co-NC one or both of those years. Both years would have ended on a positive note with a bowl victory  

But both years, JH ruined the off season and recruiting by his NFL dalliances. And, even if the NCAA situation is total BS, it was certainly not a result of anything the AD did or didn’t do. One more headache JH has added to the mess. All of this together, all 100% the direct results of JH’s actions, have negatively affected recruiting. 

And, sadly, this will go on every single offseason until JH ends up back in the NFL. What the AD should be doing now is assessing potential HC replacements for the inevitability of JH’s departure.

I am happy he is here for at least one more year. This may be the most talented team we have had since 1997. We have a legitimate chance at a NC and when I look at the other contenders, I think we should be the favorite. I look forward to another 13-0 season, a win in the semifinal and an appearance in the NC game. Then, we can say goodbye to JH when he most certainly finally returns to the NFL, thank him for the greatest three consecutive years of Michigan football in over a century, and, then, we will find out whether our AD can make the right decision for his successor. GO BLUE!!

LSAClassOf2000

February 1st, 2023 at 8:36 AM ^

I read this post, then I read it again, and correct me if I am wrong, but I think the board's general expectation should be that a post which purports to go against what one perceives as the majority opinion should be that the post will offer a compelling critique of that opinion and present a reasonable alternative interpretation. 

None of this happened here. 

massblue

February 1st, 2023 at 8:39 AM ^

Plenty of blame to go around.  None of us know exactly what has been going on between JH and WM.  So, significant parts in this piece are speculations. However, two things are known with almost certainty. 
 

1) JH’s love for NFL has been a distraction and has negatively affected recruiting. 
2) WM’s conservative approach to NIL has made recruiting more difficult. 

DennisFranklinDaMan

February 1st, 2023 at 9:59 AM ^

I don't even know how "certain" we are about No. 1, honestly, but ... I don't know where your conviction on No.2 is coming from. We got Blake back. We kept Hunter Dickinson. And what other schools (except for perhaps Texas A&M, and is that the model we want to follow?) are handling NIL better, exactly?

Why in the world is this blog so committed to believing that Michigan isn't able to compete (or, rephrased, competes poorly), despite being one of two teams (the other being the two-time national champion) in the playoffs each of the past two years?

In other words, maybe our "conservative" approach to NIL is hurting recruiting. But maybe not! Who knows? Seems like a hypothesis, not a fact.

massblue

February 1st, 2023 at 11:55 AM ^

I think #1 is almost certain but perhaps impossible to prove (unless we can interview a bunch of recruits who decided not to come to UM). As for #2, we have evidence regarding recruits going elsewhere because of our NIL (pre-commitment) program. It appears that we are on average competitive once a player commits and becomes a member of the team. The reporters working on recruitment sites should be able to provide some evidence.

flashOverride

February 1st, 2023 at 8:51 AM ^

I do agree with some of that. One of the more confounding sentiments I've observed on here the last year or so is how "unfair" and "a slap in the face" Harbaugh's extension was, like Manuel was supposed to somehow see the future and give Jim a better contract based on how good 2021 and 2022 were going to be, which is obviously nonsensical. 100% agree that after six seasons, Ohio State and any upper-echelon SEC program would have fired someone with Harbaugh's record against rivals and in bowl games, and the lack of conference or even division championships. And I also believe Harbaugh simply really would rather be in the NFL. Nothing to do with Michigan, everything to do with who he is, someone who wants to be at the highest level and lead men who are already men, not boys who he has to make into men.

That said, I do also think Warde is just not the guy. Some won't like this but I think he is emblematic of the kind of people who have run Michigan athletics for a while now, who view athletics as merely a supplement to academics. Which indeed is fine for most sports, but frankly if you want to treat football and basketball the same way, go join the Ivy League. I wish this weren't the case, but the old days are over. You're in a conference with Ohio State, who has abandoned even the pretense of the "student athlete," and other programs like Michigan State who would kill to be Ohio State if anyone gave a fuck about them. An athletic department that wants to compete with Ohio State can still be balanced with a commitment to academic excellence, but it can't be run by people who at the end of the day seem to view athletics as some kind of unwelcome intrusion on education.

Lastly, the AD's job is also to keep the program clean in the media, to get out ahead of negative news and fight back against bullshit. Warde has been caught flat-footed almost every time. A White House Chief of Staff or Press Secretary would not survive with Warde's seeming irresolute timidity and indecision.

flashOverride

February 1st, 2023 at 11:20 AM ^

I didn't say he's "destroyed" anything. Yes, we've had two dominant victories in a row over Ohio State. That's great. What about the previous nearly two decades, when it was clear Ohio State moved to another level and left Michigan in the dust? Yes, it does now feel like we've caught up for the time being, but if we want to STAY up there with them, a fuller embrace of NIL and other modern realities of college athletics is needed, and thus far I've not seen much interest in that from Manuel. That's all I was saying. And that he's been reactive as opposed to proactive on every bit of bad PR for the athletic department the last couple years, in my opinion.

OldSchoolWolverine

February 1st, 2023 at 10:45 AM ^

Consider that Harbaugh may have everyone fooled...that he prefers to stay in college... think about it... has a huge family with small kids... he'd have left by now, rather than take that huge paycut, if he wanted to go back.  And he'd have done so again this year, but didn't.  Has everyone fooled.  His agent is doing his job.  Though I do believe he leaves after JJ does.

flashOverride

February 1st, 2023 at 11:25 AM ^

You can believe that, or you can believe that his personality can make him extremely difficult to work with for some people (I say this as someone on the autism spectrum, who suspects Jim is as well) and can also possibly make him straight-up atrocious in a job interview situation. I think he loves Michigan. I just think, as a human, he has goals of winning at the highest level, that pull will always be there, and the only obstacle is he hasn't yet clicked with the right NFL owner, who is also willing to give him the level of control he wants.

A year ago you could have convinced me of what you said above. Now he's done the NFL dance a second time, and I'll need something more than the notion he's playing some kind of long game.

jackw8542

February 1st, 2023 at 8:58 AM ^

Before the 2020 season, Jim Harbaugh had won 72% of all his games as head coach at Michigan and 77% of his regular season games. To me, 2020 should not even be counted, as I believe he cared more about the health of his players in a season that should have been cancelled than about the meaningless games that were played. No power five conference program would have fired him.

You are the kind of "fan" that makes it harder for Michigan athletics to succeed, the prototypical ingrate who appreciates too little and criticizes too much.

Life is ever changing, and I don't blame the coach for reacting to the changes that are ongoing in a manner that makes him continue to evaluate his situation. If Michigan does not want to play the NIL game, then it makes it hard for him to compete. If Manuel does not stand up for him, in the most public manner possible, when the NCAA goes even more bonkers than usual, it makes it hard for him to feel appreciated. I suspect that a year ago he was told Michigan would get its NIL act together, but it is just barely starting to get it right and still has a long way to go from everything that I have read.

To me, Manuel is a disaster, and Harbaugh is the best coach in collegiate athletics. We are lucky to have Harbaugh and cursed to have Manuel.

Ballislife

February 1st, 2023 at 9:10 AM ^

I believe this post exists solely for the OP to prove to a bunch of people they don't know online that they know the definition of "dalliance". That, or we've found Warde's shadow account. 

MightyMatt13

February 1st, 2023 at 9:12 AM ^

Note: I did not read all of that.

One area I think you have a point on is the notion of a buyout ending this forever. That's just silly. Gruden got a $100m deal after nearly a decade of not having coach stench on him, the Broncos just gave up a 1st+ for either their 2nd or 3rd preferred coach. The WALTONS own that team. Buyouts will not prevent future conversations, and M receiving said buyout isn't going to bring WiFi to the stadium.

MrWoodson

February 1st, 2023 at 9:12 AM ^

I don't want to touch the "this is all JH's fault" part of this. It's not my opinion, but whatever. One thing I will say, however, is I have not been impressed at all with Warde's performance since he took over for Jim Hackett. And if JH does leave after 2023, the idea that Warde would be in charge of hiring the next HC and helping him retain the best assistant coaches and staff makes me very concerned. He is slow, reactionary and seems steeped in Michigan 1990s era athletic department thinking. I see zero vision from Warde Manuel whatsoever. JMO.

HChiti76

February 1st, 2023 at 9:30 AM ^

Not sure why I’m disappointed by the inability of my fellow mgobloggers to accurately read and properly respond to opinions that may differ from theirs. To summarize, I never remotely suggested that JH should be fired. I never thought he should be, unlike many of the board back in 2020 and again, during the last two off seasons. My point is most top programs would have fired him. I’m giving credit to the AD for not firing him. 

As for all the silly personal attacks and snarky comments and memes, I guess when you don’t have a real argument to make, you resort to that. I also never pretended to know what’s inside anyone’s head. I never criticized JH for wanting to coach in the NFL or pursuing those jobs. I merely pointed out that he has been disingenuous. That is based upon his actions and his words, not my opinion of what he really thought or meant. He didn’t have to give the Albom interview and state that he was done with the NFL, but he did and then, his actions over the last month obviously showed he was interested. He sent out the tweet along with Ono and then, within days, met with the Denver owner. 
 

 


 

 

KRK

February 1st, 2023 at 11:39 AM ^

We don't actually know if he was interested in the Broncos job, or showing interest in order to get Warde and the university to start taking some items more seriously.  I think you overlook the gamesmanship that may have been going on with Harbaugh, his agent, and the university.  And I don't think it's a stretch for people to see Ono stepping in as a sign that people above Warde recognized the signals from Harbaugh/His Agent as a warning to them to get serious.  Whereas Warde may not have been handling this in a way the university wanted so they moved him aside for this.

KentuckianaWolverine

February 1st, 2023 at 9:29 AM ^

The statement about other big time programs firing their coaches for going 3-3 vs MSU, 0-5 vs OSU, and 1-4 in bowl games lacks a lot of actual context.

No matter how much we all love our Wolverines.....the program was no longer a "big time program".  Wasn't for a decade.  Truly wasn't for a couple of decades.  Michigan was a tire fire before Harbaugh took over.  That is the actual "FACT" here.  Also, let's stop pretending that in this day and age of the best players opting out of bowl games, every year, is some sort of inditement on the head coach's ability or inability to win a game....that has literally zero relevance.

Michigan was trash before Harbaugh took over, while BOTH Ohio State and Michigan State were on top of the college football world.  Anyone that didn't have an agenda and could look past the emotion of losing those games could see what was really happening.  Harbaugh immediately turned the program around, and played above their heads to compete with a MUCH more talented OSU squad, and got robbed of one victory and really had a chance in another.  He immediately flipped the decade long dominance that MSU enjoyed over Michigan.....to a point where MSU is once again considered a disappointment when we lose, instead of an expectation of a loss.  All three losses were close, full of controversial things, and were full of just bad luck.  Yes, they were still losses, but they weren't the drubbings that Michigan was taking on a yearly basis, before Harbaugh’s arrival.

So.....with all that taken into account.  Knowing that there's really not any obvious better options.  Warde giving Harbaugh another chance wasn't exactly some charity decision.  It was based on logic, and rationalized perspective of where Michigan was before and where it was going.....especially when you look at the same criteria for OSU and MSU, during that same time.

I get tired of people completely ignoring the final years of Carr, the RR Era, and the Hoke Era.  It was MISERABLE to be a Michigan fan.  Harbaugh’s arrival changed that.  Did it magically flip Michigan into Alabama's level (instantly), like the delusional fans expected?  No, but it was clearly better, and you could see the growth, and that was important to recognize.

blueballsohard

February 1st, 2023 at 9:43 AM ^

Continuing in the spirit of FACTS, JHs immediate predecessor

1 beat osu

2 won the sugar Bowl (ny 6 bowl)

3 left jh more immediate nfl draft picks than any other team in the nation ("born on 3rd base" lol)

So ..... if the program was truly a dumpster fire when he took over and he did worse....

Cmong!

double blue

February 1st, 2023 at 10:06 AM ^

Lol.  
 

facts

hoke beat Ohio in its worst year. 
hoke had the bowl win his first year just like harbaugh 

Almost any harbaugh team except COVID is better than the best hoke team.  And if it wasn’t for denard no one would know we existed. 
 

your comparing hoke and harbaugh just makes the case for ignoring your opinion that much stronger.  

blueballsohard

February 1st, 2023 at 9:34 AM ^

I agree with you 100%.  Watch all the emotional responses and personal attacks that follow. There's no place for logic and reason on a cult board. You'd get less pushback questioning christ himself. 

double blue

February 1st, 2023 at 9:39 AM ^

Sorry.  It’s not group think that has warde blamed for this. It’s facts. 
Last year Harbaugh was upfront even w recruits that he was potentially going to the nfl.  Parents and recruits reported this and reported they appreciated the honesty.  

Do you blame him? He had taken a massive cut after 1 bad year    Took the team to new heights and given his bonus back to the school   He didn’t owe us anything  

This year, based on posted information and insiders ( harbaugh high school and college friends who are still in his circle) that I know , is all in warde    They had a frame work established that was supposed to be done after osu   
 

Then warde , instead of defending harbaugh to the ncaa, used it as supposed leverage to lower the deal   Harbaugh then used the nfl to show his worth and to say f you to warde   He could have used college programs- how would you have felt about that  

harbaugh had to go to ono directly over warde to get backing against ncaa  that’s when Ono found out everything   Thank god for ono  

Whether warde is responsible any number of other athletic issues I don’t know  But, I do know that when it happens on your watch you’re ultimately accountable   And on harbaugh he is fully accountable  

But glad to know Manuel’s burner account  

 

double blue

February 1st, 2023 at 10:12 AM ^

One bad year.  Yes. Fact. 

0-6 including spot game and Okorn and 2 brown d f ups.  While osu was thumping everyone.  

bowl games don’t matter anymore. Get over it. 
 

0-1 against Mel.  The bad year. 
 

3-3 against msu.  Punt game, okorn rain, and covid.  Not a mess like hoke. 
 

when you find someone better let us know. 
 


 

 

OldSchoolWolverine

February 1st, 2023 at 9:40 AM ^

Thank you for writing this. I also don't understand the Warde vitriol, except the Pearson thing which that one they have right to complain. 

What they miss is how Warde made a great maneuver and kept Jim on which was right thing to do and got jim to take a massive cut to snap him out of it and fire guys and do what was needed.  This cannot be understated.  The football program got back to the proper level and Warde was the AD.  And yet you have the sob sisters wanting him gone, and the irony is that it was these who were most vocal in wanting Jim fired, which was the wrong thing.  That alone should give Warde enough goodwill.

In reply to by blueballsohard

goblue2121

February 1st, 2023 at 10:25 AM ^

I don't blame anyone if that makes you feel better.  A successful coach can explore his options at the next level and I don't really care.  He was never pursuing a lateral move.  Some guys want a SB ring and that's understandable.

KRK

February 1st, 2023 at 12:14 PM ^

I don't think the pay cut snapped Jim out of anything.  I would bet going 2-4 and getting housed by OSU the previous two years did it more than the money.  JH doesn't seem like a guy who cares about money.  But he does care about respect and maybe he viewed what Warde did with the contract as disrespectful.  Maybe he was going to do the same things with the staff and philosophy regardless of the pay cut and Warde just torched the relationship by doing that.  Which led to JH flirting with the NFL as a FU to Warde.  We don't know the dynamics here so to say Warde did the right thing is a big leap.  It's not like he had to cut his pay to save money from a failing athletic department.  And maybe it's the right thing to do based on performance, but it didn't buy him any equity with Jim and now here we are.  A coach and AD who don't speak.  And it's a helluva lot easier to find a new AD than it is to find a coach who will get UM to the playoffs. So to me, Warde may have overvalued himself and Ono stepping in could be a sign of that.

Kevin13

February 1st, 2023 at 9:50 AM ^

You make a lot of valid points even though people on here don’t want to hear it. Right now JH can do no wrong because of the last few seasons, but a couple of years ago everyone wanted him run out of town. I think Warde has been a hot mess lately but JH has done himself no favors with always looking over the fence to see if NFL grass is greener. It’s even worse when a year ago he said never again. People can twist that however they want but bottom line he lied 

Wendyk5

February 1st, 2023 at 10:08 AM ^

I'll bite here. Re: Harbaugh, Warde is in an untenable position if Harbaugh still has interest in the NFL. Ain't nothing gonna change that -- no amount of money, liberal NIL policy, bigger salaries for his staff --- none of that will scratch the NFL itch. It's about something else for Harbaugh. I don't know how Warde is dealing with this and I assume no one else here does either. His lack of public action doesn't necessarily mean there's a lack of action. Harbaugh does what he wants to do, as is his right. You can't "lock him in." It's not like catching an animal in a cage -- put a bunch of money in there and we got him!! Just doesn't work like that. 

jmblue

February 1st, 2023 at 12:24 PM ^

As for our AD, this idea that he mishandled, mistreated and “insulted” JH is totally hogwash.

Most coaches in Harbaugh's position would be insulted by the pay cut he had to take after 2020.  You can argue that it was justified under the circumstances (Covid, poor 2020 season, etc ), but still, for a guy of his track record, it was harsh. 

When word leaked out about that offer, the general assumption was that Manuel was effectively pushing him out the door, not standing by him.   But the NFL was not biting, and Harbaugh returned under the pay cut.  I would describe it more as a huge gamble that happened to pay off.

PeteM

February 1st, 2023 at 12:50 PM ^

I enjoy contrarian arguments, and suspect that we on this site some times fall victim to group think.

That said, I don't think it's true that at any other big time program a coach with multiple 10 wins (and before that success in college and the NFL) would be fired after a bad season. If that were the case Brian Kelly would have been fired at Notre Dame after 2016. 

Second, Michigan football is the most important program in the Athletic Department by far. I don't know why Harbaugh and Manuel had a falling out in May, but I think that whether Warde believed he was right or wrong one of his jobs was to try to repair that relationship.

tybert

February 1st, 2023 at 1:01 PM ^

"I think that whether Warde believed he was right or wrong one of his jobs was to try to repair that relationship"

Before I retired, I was at times a people leader to one of the "promising talent" or "high potential" employees. I knew as a respected local leader who wasn't going that far up the ladder that it was MY JOB to keep that person in successful situations, and only occasionally offer some polite constructive feedback. ALWAYS maintain a positive relationship with them and make sure they felt highly valued. Other team members got love too, but I knew that the future leaders of my company would come from a short list of younger people today. 

Not sure what Warde was thinking, but I knew well enough to NEVER get into a shouting match with such person.