Breezy non-hostile discussion of Michigan basketball under Juwan Howard

Submitted by goblu330 on February 20th, 2024 at 10:35 AM

I know there have been a ton of posts about Juwan and Michigan basketball lately.  Nearly all of the discussion results in a breakdown of takes that is precisely “fire the bum” or “give him another year.”  That is ground trust has been covered.

However, I watched Juwan’s press conference from a while back after Rutgers.  If you have not watched it it is worth a view.  No, not linking it cuz I’m bad at stuff.  

Two things jump out to me.  1 - Juwan is not checked out.  He is taking this losing personally and it is not rolling off his back, and 2 - Juwan genuinely feels like there is a lack of true effort from the players themselves in terms of effort and pride.

Juwan also offers a full throated defense of he and his staff regarding results.  He persuasively points to BIG championship, Elite 8, Sweet 16, as recent anecdotes to support his system and his methods.  I will admit, I was somewhat persuaded.  

So, with these ideas above in mind, has the anti-Juwan movement gone too far too fast?  Are the first-half performances we are seeing this season indicative of a young team that has pieces that will eventually mold?  We lose a couple of key contributors next year, but get a couple young pieces as well and presumably Dug will be eligible.  Reed and Tschetter are promising ball players.  The portal is there.
 

Additionally, who is Michigan going to get instead?  Who wants this job?  Who is going to more successfully recruit for this program? John Beilein ain’t walking through those doors.  

So, just to discuss.  Why is this team as bad as it is?  Is it maybe more of a one-off than we have collectively concluded?  What is the direction of the program if we look elsewhere and start over?

Happy Tuesday.

TeslaRedVictorBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 11:53 AM ^

In year 6, Beilein, who inherited a dumpster fire, took us to the NCAA Title game. You feeling good about that possibility next year? How about winning 10 games next year? Feeling good about that either?

Though he got 4 stars, the claim was that what Howard lacked in strategy/fundamentals, he would be bringing in 5 stars from all corners of the earth. He's brought in a small handful and none have excelled. None really developed. None were great in college, and to date, none are worth a thing in the NBA.

TeslaRedVictorBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 11:49 AM ^

All I heard the last 2 years when I said this team was headed downhill was... "but his sets are amazing".. sorry, either your too advanced for your players, or your sets suck. But either way, its on you as the coach to figure it out.

They have NO identity of any kind because they aren't good at anything. Half the time we run these weird iso post ups where nobody moves and the guy in the post has minimal ability to get a good shot. Reed fumbling or slamming into someone... or Nkamhou shooting a fade away long 2. 

Dug eventually gets fed up and either takes over and scores a few times before we collapse at the end OR he's out of control and we don't even get the chance to collapse.

If you have this mishmash of players, your system should help define roles and execute. Its not doing that, and as you say, its unclear wtf theyre doing out there half the time. 

The icing on the shit cake is that howard routinely calls timeouts, with the outcome immediately after of a terrible turnover. that tells me they have no idea what theyre supposed to do and its either a stupid plan or they don't have the repetition/understanding.

I've coached AAU, Travel, etc.. its very clear what coaches have a system that works and players that execute, and those that do not.

basketballjones

February 20th, 2024 at 2:41 PM ^

Disagree strongly with you on Juwan’s sets. They are very good. I’m glad you coached before because if you coach you would understand it isn’t his sets it’s not changing those sets to meet the talent he has. He is still running the same stuff with less talented players. You have to adapt to that. He hasn’t. 
 

I will also add he allows too many kids to do things they shouldn’t be doing. 

TeslaRedVictorBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 4:54 PM ^

So then you understand my point.  If what you're trying to run isnt working, and the assumption is that "This shit works"... then you are not adjusting those sets to align to the talent you have. Also, last year's team had Hunter dickensen and 2 first round picks and it still looked terrible ... so I think just universally saying what he runs is "great" is meaningless in actual implementation when the product is so poor. and by the way with a ton of new players each time... none of them really doing it well.

I don't understand the last sentence. If you mean on the court? He has no other options. He can bench 1-2 guys for terrible stuff and put in.. who? (his fault). Or, if you mean off the court stuff, I have no idea, but that comes down to coaching and player leadership.

Corum, Sainristil, Novak, Simpson, Walton, Mo Wagner, JJ, Cade (yes Cade), would never put up with that shit. 

basketballjones

February 20th, 2024 at 6:09 PM ^

My last sentence is about allowing kids to do things they shouldn't. Example I’ve watched T Will try to dribble the length of the court after a rebound and absolutely kill runs with shitty takes for 3 years. Kids are allowed to try to play above their capabilities and their role.

I’ll also add not playing 3 guards at times is ridiculous too. You can’t have guys who are 4s with their capabilities playing the 3. This is where is “positionless” basketball kills Juwan in college

bacon1431

February 20th, 2024 at 11:32 AM ^

I love Juwan and if you put on his introductory press conference, I'd probably end up in tears again like I did when it happened. He's an alum with an important role in the history of the basketball program. I also like him as a basketball coach in terms of Xs and Os. We run good, NBA style offense and until this season, the defense usually improved throughout the season. But what we could try to dismiss in the past - tantrums, hitting an opposing coach, roster management - because the results were mostly there (conference title, E8 and S16 run) can't be dismissed now. The results are really bad. And the things that are needed to get us out of this rut - structure, consistency, a plan for roster management - don't seem to be there. If we are to succeed, it probably means alot of roster turnover again. And probably some assistant turnover. And I just don't think that is as likely to succeed under Juwan as it would under a new coach. So I think the bandaid has to be ripped off. 

Hard to say who I would want instead. And if there is a departure, I hope it can be done as amicably as possible because of his history with the program. 

Amazinblu

February 20th, 2024 at 11:35 AM ^

I cheer for every Michigan team - the players - the staff - the head coach, etc.

College hoops is NOT the NBA.  At the NBA level, there's a certain floor that players have - but, the roster is mostly a known quantity and the staff works to analyze opponents, game plan, focus on specific techniques with certain players, etc.  

So - though there's development at both levels - it's different, IMO.   

Then - there's the roster.  This is where it seems Martelli should have provided greater guidance / suggestions / etc.  As others noted - it seems the roster is where the mess really.   I do accept that NIL and the Portal make it more challenging - and, the NBA's approach to the Draft doesn't make it any easier.

Oh - on top of it all - I read an article around the NBA All Star game that indicated the NBA might pull the plug on the G League Ignite because players can get NIL dollars at the college level now.  Here's a link to an ESPN article on the topic: https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/39548967/adam-silver-nba-reassess-g-league-ignite-wake-nil

The key comment: "I think given that that's happened, I think we are in the process of reassessing Team Ignite," Silver said Saturday night as part of his annual All-Star Weekend news conference here at Lucas Oil Stadium. "Because now some of those same players who didn't want to be one-and-done players because they felt it was unfair and they wanted the ability not just to earn a living playing basketball but to do commercial deals that weren't available to them at college, to hire professional agents, an opportunity that wasn't available to them at college, they now -- all of those same opportunities have become available to them.

FrankMurphy

February 20th, 2024 at 11:38 AM ^

Juwan inherited a program in pristine condition. Fast forward five years, and we're facing a strong likelihood of finishing the season with a single digit win total. To put that in perspective, the football program's win total is nearly double that of the basketball program despite playing half as many games. Think about that for a moment. That's not acceptable at a school with a national championship and several Final Four appearances in the 64 team era. In addition, Juwan has been involved in multiple incidents over the course of his tenure, including a confrontation with his own strength coach.

I don't doubt that he means well and that he's still trying his hardest, but there is no credible argument for bringing him back. The experiment has run its course. Time to move on.

goblu330

February 20th, 2024 at 11:51 AM ^

“Pristine” is a bit much.  They fizzled badly in 2019.  Poole was gone.  Iggy was a rental and he was gone.  Teske and Simpson back but neither of those guys could carry a team.  Johns was meh.  DeJulius invisible.  Yes, Livers was a good player but he wasn’t “Livers” yet.

Howard certainly inherited a nice new shiny Camry but it wasn’t a Bentley.

FrankMurphy

February 20th, 2024 at 2:10 PM ^

30 wins and a number 3 seed in the tourney is nothing to scoff at. That team didn't lose a game until mid-January. And the culture and team chemistry Beilein had in place was stellar (that's why I said "program" and not "team").

It might not have been a Bentley, but calling it a Camry is selling it short. More like a certified pre-owned BMW 5-series.

Perkis-Size Me

February 20th, 2024 at 11:43 AM ^

I don't know anywhere near as much about basketball as Howard does, but this team is too talented to have the record it has. These second half collapses extend to last year as well, when this team was even more talented with two first round picks and Dickinson at its disposal.

At a certain point, its not bad luck. Its not a young team trying to grow together. Its just who you are. And if there is poor effort, hustle, attitude, or whatever you want to call it from the players, Remember the Titans has a great quote for this:

Attitude reflects leadership. 

AlbanyBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 11:50 AM ^

ok <<deep breath>> breezy, non-hostile.....

<<looks at the sunny day and blue sky out the window>>

Under Beilein, Michigan MBB was a watchable, successful product that had ascended to excellent / near-elite status.

Under Howard, Michigan MBB is unwatchable and unsuccessful, "led" by a coach who can't seem to (a) recruit properly, (b) construct a roster properly, (c) keep guys on the team, (d) motivate players to hustle / play defense, (e) coach successfully in-game, especially at the end of games, and (f) control his temper as a grown man in a professional position.

There's nothing good here. He needs to be let go.

TeslaRedVictorBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 12:01 PM ^

I would take him in a heartbeat. He's kind of the Urban Meyer (scummy) of bball... to an extent. though he hasnt won much in a while. 

StJohns has inherent challenges, given geography, being a commuter school, playing in a non-big time conference... 

Pitino is a great coach. I think he'd do good things here, but we'd probably end up with sanctions at the end. Hell, we were an inch away from that with Harbaugh, so at this point, do we really care?

TeslaRedVictorBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 12:52 PM ^

In the heart of Michigan fans off a title win, sure. In the hearts of the non-Michigan public... i duno.

I AGREE they don't.. but the question was asked, and I think he'd produce a winner. THat's all I said. 

Lastly, I equated him to Meyer, not Harbaugh. All I said was, there's a cloud of dust even when Harbaugh leaves, so why play holier-than-thou, and why not get him.

I'm not advocating for it, but... just answering the thought posed about Pitino. 

TeslaRedVictorBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 11:57 AM ^

One more!

Look at Tommy Amaker's record by year. Then look at Howard. Amaker was a better coach than Howard here, and we laugh at him as a joke of a coach.... 

Ellerbe's WORST YEAR, the year he got fired, we won 10 games. We won't get that this year most likely. 

So.. other than Howard being a playing legend, what are we really even talking about here?

jimmyjoeharbaugh

February 20th, 2024 at 12:01 PM ^

i'm open to the idea that there's just something off with this team and it might be ok next year. so i'm ok with one more year, but if we are not better next year, probably gotta make a change

TruBluMich

February 20th, 2024 at 12:05 PM ^

Can we just go back to the "Whose that" and they turn into two and done.  Instead of whatever it is we are doing now. 

All I see right now is a bunch of individuals playing individual ball.  Every single late-game collapse this year has been because everyone on the team thinks they must win it alone.

rice4114

February 20th, 2024 at 12:06 PM ^

Its a one off if you dont consider last year or next. You can keep him around for the 10 win season next year or move on. I REALLY wish it worked with Juwan. 

kehnonymous

February 20th, 2024 at 12:06 PM ^

I am somewhat sympathetic to the argument that heart surgery took a LOT out of Juwan and don't doubt that no one wants our hoops team to be better more than he does.  That said, someone still has to, well, actually be the head coach and right now he clearly isn't getting the job done. 

I'm more than ready to move on.  There is a coherent case for giving him another year that others here have made and if he gets another one-last-chance year to turn things around, then so be it.  I would definitely root for him to succeed, but based on everything we know and taking all extenuating circumstances into account, there's not much reason to expect anything better with another year.  

Boner Stabone

February 20th, 2024 at 12:08 PM ^

When he cannot win as many games in a season as Brian Ellerbe's last season (10 wins) he needs to go.  Anytime you are starting to compare a coach to Brian Ellerbe it is time to pull the trigger and fire them.  

uminks

February 20th, 2024 at 12:23 PM ^

I see Howard getting one more season. I hope he can turn the program around but he will have to get more talented players in to really improve next season. Odds are he may only win a few more games next season. 

BlakeWEdwards33

February 20th, 2024 at 12:38 PM ^

The college game is more than just baseline recruiting and x's/o's come gameday. You have to run the program from top to bottom. You are a CEO of the program and this is why the Juwan hire was questionable from the jump. If you are not familiar with the process of running an entire program then it is going to be very difficult to succeed when you parachute into a high-major school that plays at a championship level. That's the whole reason Martelli is there. So that he can guide Juwan in that regard. Now that all of Beilien's players are gone we're getting to see the result of hiring a coach who has no experience building a college program, and it's not that shocking that its ugly. So, yes I want him gone and I want a real college basketball coach instead. 

ESNY

February 20th, 2024 at 12:40 PM ^

Two things jump out to me.  1 - Juwan is not checked out.  He is taking this losing personally and it is not rolling off his back, and 2 - Juwan genuinely feels like there is a lack of true effort from the players themselves in terms of effort and pride.

1. Ah yes, Juwan bucking the trend and taking it personally vs. the more common press conference reaction of 'meh'

2. If Juwan either believes or blames the performance due to a lack of effort and team pride, that is a bigger indictment on him as a head coach vs. admitting he hasn't been able to come up with an adequate game plan or scheme.

Frankly, if you are persuaded by one press conference vs. the last few years of decline in the program, I don't know what to tell you.

I wish it was different but he seems to be a carbon copy of Brady Hoke's tenure - Peak in year 1/2 with players recruited by the former coach and then slowly get worse as the years go on. This team looks like they've never practiced or learned the fundamentals of basketball. Of the ~20 turnovers against MSU, almost all of them weren't due to great D on MSU, they were just horrible plays by a team that has no clue what they are doing. That is on Howard

WindyCityBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 12:51 PM ^

The question I have for those who want to fire Juwan: who could we legitimately hire?

I think people think too highly of our bball program at this time.  We have some serious structural issues that no good coach would want to deal with. The bball program could get worse if we move on from Juwan.

Perkis-Size Me

February 20th, 2024 at 12:59 PM ^

Respectfully, WindyCity, we're 8-18. Dead last in the league by several games. How much worse do you think it can really get? Is 5-21 that much worse than 8-18? At least with new blood there's a legitimate chance for things to get better. 

Beilein showed you CAN win here. And you can win big. Was it pre-NIL era, yes it was. But it ain't impossible. 

Northwestern is 18-8 right now. NORTHWESTERN. Michigan should be able to at least match that. 

WindyCityBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 1:14 PM ^

What I mean by worse is that we could go on another decade long NCAA tourney drought.  It has been stated here many times, but our structural issues include:

1. Horrible NIL program

2. Very difficult to bring in transfers, so using the portal is not an asset

3. We won't wade in the "pay-for-play" waters

No good coach would come to Michigan based on 1-3 above.  And as it stands today, it doesn't look like the AD is addressing these structural issues.  So we'd have to roll the dice on a risky new head coach with little track record.  It could work, but the odds are against us. 

kehnonymous

February 20th, 2024 at 1:34 PM ^

You're not wrong that it could get worse (it can always get worse!) and that your points 1-3 are independent of Juwan's shortcomings as a head coach.  But, to me, those are not arguments *for* Juwan per se.  We definitely need to address those structural issues first and foremost because they are clearly a factor, but even so it's really hard for me to still think Juwan is the right guy for the job, just on his own merits and overall track record.

If I had to choose between replacing our systemic approach or our head ball coach, I would opt for the former... but that doesn't mean you can't do both 

WindyCityBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 1:45 PM ^

I agree with you.  I vividly recall in 2020 when we were discussing replacing Harbaugh, that the common question was: is there someone better who could replace him?  I do think that is a meaningful question to ask because if you are going to make a change, you sure as shit better find someone who can be more successful.

I'm not in the pro-Juwan camp per se, I just don't see that there is a better coach than Juwan who would come here.

WindyCityBlue

February 20th, 2024 at 4:45 PM ^

As stated above in my one of my previous posts, we have some serious structural/systemic issues that would limit any good coach.  So unless we address the issues, no good/established coach in their right mind would come here just to have one hand tied behind their back.  The "this is Michigan fergodsakes!!!" works for football maybe, but not for basketball.