Odds to win NC next season are out. Michigan 4th best
HOT OFF THE PRESSES!!!
— Covers (@Covers) January 8, 2019
Futures odds from @SuperBookUSA to win the 2020 #CFBPlayoff National Championship: pic.twitter.com/sQtwIf0Td2
January 8th, 2019 at 12:20 AM ^
Edit: Shit, they actually opened up at 4th tied with Georgia as you can see below, but are 5th now per below. Sorry.
January 8th, 2019 at 4:06 AM ^
Couple questions...…...
Mercedes-Benz has their name on TWO domes within 500 miles of each other?
and
Westgate Vegas Superbook (if that's a real place) doesn't know how to spell Mercedes?
January 9th, 2019 at 4:51 PM ^
Cuse at 200/1 and UCF at 500/1 looks tasty.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:20 AM ^
Those Alabama odds are absurd. This is the end for them, book it. They should have been blown out last year, too, but Georgia blew it by taking their foot off of the gas. The Buster/Tyson example was perfect.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:24 AM ^
QB Tua is a slinger who misread several coverages and was intercepted. I know Bama can change but they've kind of hitched their wagon to him.
Agree that they are in trouble.
January 8th, 2019 at 8:26 AM ^
I think the biggest problem with Tua is the language barrier. Since he can't communicate with his receivers or his offensive line, they always seem a little out of sync.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:46 AM ^
So what’s “the end” look like for Alabama? Getting to the CFP every year but not winning the championship?
January 8th, 2019 at 8:38 AM ^
Not winning more than half of the the NC's over the past 10 seasons. What losers they are.
January 8th, 2019 at 1:21 AM ^
This isn't like a pro team where guys retire or sign for other teams. Bama has won titles through like 3 different generations of players.
Suggesting this is the end of Bama is absurd lol
January 8th, 2019 at 1:33 AM ^
Bookmark this and come back to it. We’ll see whose comment was absurd. It is precisely because of what you said that it’s over. They will never be more talented than they are right now yet they got stomped. This was a team everyone was saying was the greatest college football team ever and they got stomped. It’s ok, all things come to an end.
January 8th, 2019 at 2:36 AM ^
On offense most of their best players are Sophmores. They will likely be the favorites again next season. They have all offseason to correct their errors in this game. And you do realize Clemson got curb-stomped by Alabama last year as well. You probably thought they were falling off too after the Sugar Bowl, right?
January 8th, 2019 at 2:41 AM ^
Never mind, of course, that the offense of the team that just torched them is virtually all freshmen and sophomores. Which is the reason why the odds above have already changed to reflect Clemson as the favorite for next year.
January 8th, 2019 at 5:46 AM ^
So they will likely meet again for round 5, how is that them falling off though? The last two times they met each squad was blown out. So again how is this different than the Freshmen that torched Clemson Last year?
January 8th, 2019 at 11:40 AM ^
By all accounts, Bama is set up to be better next year. Any team can lose a one-off game. You’re ridiculous.
January 8th, 2019 at 8:02 AM ^
Having the best recruiting class for every year from now to eternity probably means they'll be competitive for as long as saban is interested.
January 8th, 2019 at 8:48 AM ^
Over the past decade Alabama's longest gap between not winning a National Championship is two seasons. If they get to 3 seasons of not winning it all then we can start legitimately looking at their coming back to Earth. Their 2019 recruiting class was so disgustingly good I have a hard time believing they're going to have a falloff anytime soon.
January 8th, 2019 at 10:09 AM ^
I beg to differ, it is a pro team.
January 8th, 2019 at 11:32 PM ^
I recall a post in August/September asking if this was Sabanst most vulnerable team ever... Until they finish outside of the top 5 in back to back years, any ranking from 1-2 in the pre season is merited.
January 8th, 2019 at 6:34 AM ^
Is it the end for OSU too? Pls say yes
January 8th, 2019 at 12:23 AM ^
Is that because our alums are rich?
January 8th, 2019 at 12:24 AM ^
At second glance I see a lot of DISRESPEKT in those odds.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:26 AM ^
Nebraska LOL
January 8th, 2019 at 6:13 AM ^
I mean Nebraska at least tries to score points like most teams in the modern era now and considering what Michigan does whatever that is I don't think the odds are that bad.
January 8th, 2019 at 7:14 AM ^
Nebraska scored 360 points this year.... Michigan scored 457. But, let's all continue the "Michigan can't offense" narrative.
January 8th, 2019 at 8:36 AM ^
Zero third quarter points against Ohio State while they were still in the game. Game over.
Zero third quarter points against Florida while they were still in the game. Game over.
Let's all continue the "Michigan's offense is just fine" narrative.
January 8th, 2019 at 9:35 AM ^
Right, because that's the narrative we've all been berated with around here... I'm all for the offense improving next year, and it must for Michigan to win the B1G. I feel like I'm in the minority thinking that it will. Michigan averaged 10 more points per game this year than they did with a very young offense in 2017. I'd be surprised if they don't average 40ppg next year without this "air raid" offense that everybody assumes is necessary. Not quite willing to climb out to the ledge with you, yet.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:26 AM ^
Nebraska at 25 to 1 is comical. Can you bet the reverse on these? Id bet 100k to get back 4K, assuming I don’t have to tie up the money now.
January 8th, 2019 at 10:30 PM ^
What would your odds be on Nebraska winning the B1G before Michigan does?
January 8th, 2019 at 12:27 AM ^
Value bet on our main rival at 10000/1
January 8th, 2019 at 12:32 AM ^
That is odd.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:35 AM ^
I'm not going to get excited about any future season or preseason rankings. Not until we win a big game in general or on the road
January 8th, 2019 at 12:36 AM ^
How do I short this?
January 8th, 2019 at 1:15 AM ^
logged in to upvote
January 8th, 2019 at 1:30 AM ^
Easy -bet on the other favorites
January 8th, 2019 at 12:42 AM ^
Nebraska is too high. Texas is too low.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:45 AM ^
Ha! Michigan at 14/1 is laughable.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:45 AM ^
Apparently the odds makers don't take the last two games of Michigan's season over the last decade or so into account.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:52 AM ^
We are gonna Body Blow the shit out of Clemson next year.
January 8th, 2019 at 12:54 AM ^
There’s no reason for Michigan to have better odds than Georgia, Oklahoma, Texas or Florida.
January 8th, 2019 at 1:33 AM ^
Talk is cheap- if you think you know better than the oddsmakers, put your money on the table.
by the way, I have no clue what is going to happen next year. I can guess who #1 and #2 are going to be, but it seems like a crapshoot thereafter
January 8th, 2019 at 8:10 AM ^
Yes. There is a reason. It is Michigan's general popularity among the betting public. These odds are not designed to rank the teams in order of actual win expectations, but to foreshadow how they believe the public will bet, in order to balance the books. Michigan always gets rated too highly in these types of betting pools, because the oddsmakers don't want a flood of early money coming in on M at 25-1, say, and then having to try to compensate to keep the books balanced.
If I were a betting man, and I am when I go to Vegas, I would put my money on Texas as a good value bet and place a total flyer in Tennessee at 300-1. That said, it will probably be Clemson again, beating the Fighting Frosts in the CFP final. /s
January 8th, 2019 at 12:59 AM ^
I appreciate the optimism.
January 8th, 2019 at 1:08 AM ^
I feel like this is the rough equivalent of guessing how Putin is going to die. Sure I get that "struck by an asteroid" could be the fourth most likely cause of death, but I feel like "cardiovascular disease" or "accident" are just miles out front of the other possibilities.
In this example, I think it's clear that cardiovascular disease and accident represent bama and Clemson, respectively
January 10th, 2019 at 7:49 AM ^
Most likely is acquiring AIDS from his repeated anal penetrations of ... (No politics, insert any name you like.)
January 8th, 2019 at 1:08 AM ^
They give Nebraska the same odds as ND, Florida and Washington (25-1). I'm skeptical.
January 8th, 2019 at 1:11 AM ^
The bookmakers know that the OSU game was an anomaly, and the bowl game was a fluke (4 starters out, 3 more hurt during the game). They see the returning talent, and the top ten recruiting class and they rightly expect Michigan to go into The Game as a CFP contender. It's happened in 2 of the last 3 years, and they expect Michigan to be a consistent winner and contender under Jim Harbaugh. Only irrational fans think this team is a long way from National Title contention.
January 8th, 2019 at 1:27 AM ^
The OSU game was less anomalous than you think, and the dudes that weren't on D against Florida won't be there next year. We are adding Dax though which is good news.
And "contending for the CFP" and "contending for a title" are not the same thing.
I fully expect us to contend for the CFP. But I don't think they can compete with Bama or Clemson, especially when all the skill guys on display today are coming back next year.
January 8th, 2019 at 1:49 AM ^
The OSU game was less of an anomaly that I think? How so? Do you remember how competitive the 2017 game was with a bad Michigan team who started John O'Korn? Do you remember how well that gameplan was put together? Do you remember how the 2016 defense held the OSU offense to one scoring drive over 25 yards (FG)? You don't think Michigan will go into 2019 with more team speed, and a lesson learned - scheme wise? Do you think Haskins leaving makes that offense better? Do you think that Justin Fields, in his first year in the offense, will be as polished as Haskins (who was in his 3rd year in the offense)?
Yes, the 4 players who were out of the bowl game will not be there next season. However, just as the defense had to learn to play without Ben Gedeon, Chris Wormley, Taco Charlton, and Jourdan Lewis, after 2016, they have an entire offseason to find out how to best utilize the returning players. At the beginning of 2017 we all thought the defense would be far behind the offense because of the 9 new starters. And then... Other than the PSU game, the defense carried the team all year. Since we won't have Bush's sideline to sideline speed and field awareness, then we'll probably look a bit like 2016 where we blitzed more, shot more gaps. Don Brown will have them play with more discipline because Bush won't be there to clean up in the run game. The defense couldn't fundamentally change in one month before a bowl game. But, the offseason adjustments will be made. How do I know? We've seen Don Brown do it before.
January 8th, 2019 at 6:04 AM ^
I love your enthusiasm, but one could say the gap is widening by the simple fact that the margin of victory has increased every year since 2016. We were supposed to be the more talented team this season, with our best chance at victory in years and the game was over shortly into the 2nd half. Now some factors are working in our favor, they break in a new QB possibly learning a new system. We finally have a returning QB and we will play them at home where we haven't lost in a while.