Wild Speculation: BigTen looking at FSU & Miami

Submitted by wildbackdunesman on May 19th, 2023 at 8:38 AM

Greg McElroy thinks the BigTen is not done expanding and the wild speculation  from SI is that the BigTen would get the most bang for its buck by getting into Florida via Miami and FSU from the ACC. Both schools are allegedly looking behind the scenes to jump ship.

Wouldn't there be a footprint limit due to the distance between the Midwest, Los Angeles, and Florida - especially for nonrevenue sports? Unless the TV deals make it worthwhile.

How many heavyweights can one conference have before their all destroying each other's record?

LINK

bluebyyou

May 19th, 2023 at 1:06 PM ^

If you look at the way the US is growing, it is the southern half of the country where the migration is headed.  Florida is a huge market.

I have felt for some time that UT-Austin would have been a very good get for the B1G.  It would have gotten the Texas market for the B1G (30 million people) and Texas is similar to many of the current B1G schools in terms of academics and research. 

bluebyyou

May 19th, 2023 at 5:08 PM ^

Well sure, why not, unless of course you don't like making money. IMO, universities will sooner than later be paying players for their services. The more money you bring in, the better your ability to recruit.  

Conference expansion for the B1G is going to become limited very quickly. It's all about market size and most of the large markets are already spoken for.  UCLA and USC was a major coup.

Florida, which is still available, is a huge market, as was Texas which is now gone.  Not sure where the Texas hate comes from I would have welcomed Texas with open arms.  And yes, they would have played nice because that is exactly what they will do in the SEC.

DMack

May 20th, 2023 at 10:37 AM ^

Yes, You add those teams but not before the 2 Florida teams. remember, this has to make financial sense in what each school brings to the table. I think once you firmly control the market/money from the markets that bring in the most revenue, Then you cherry pick the rest based on footprint, prestige, tradition etc. 

DMack

May 20th, 2023 at 10:37 AM ^

Yes, You add those teams but not before the 2 Florida teams. remember, this has to make financial sense in what each school brings to the table. I think once you firmly control the market/money from the markets that bring in the most revenue, Then you cherry pick the rest based on footprint, prestige, tradition etc. 

RadOWon

May 19th, 2023 at 3:00 PM ^

Greg McElroy is a peabrain. This is NEVER happening.

The B1G has never admitted a new school  that was not a member of the American Association of Universities and I'm pretty sure it will not waiver from that rule.

If you want "wild speculation" lets throw out these names (these are all members of the AAU)

-Georgia Tech, huge TV market and how great would it be to have a B1G school in Georgia?

-University of Pittsburgh, another huge TV market.

-Boston University, see above.

-The University of Kansas, underrated TV market.

-University of Florida, meh, TV market.

-The obvious, UW, Berkeley, Stanford, CU, Oregon. All are great to good TV markets  but could make for a very nice geographic alignment.

I've said all along, how about three divisions of seven teams, East, Central and West.

East, UofM, little sister, Rutgers, PSU, Maryland BU and ohio.

Central, Northwester, Minnesota, IU, Illini, Purdue, Wiscy and Iowa.

West, Nebraska, UCLA, USC, CU, UW, Berkeley and Stanford.

 

Autostocks

May 19th, 2023 at 7:33 PM ^

This is not technically true.  Yes, Nebraska applied for Big Ten membership in 2010, one year before they were expelled by the AAU in 2011.  However, their admission to the Big Ten was not effective until 2012.  Furthermore, there had been active discussion of the expulsion for years prior, so the Big Ten knew there was a good chance they were admitting a school that did not meet the AAU standards, and then even after the expulsion, allowed Nebraska to join anyway.

FB Dive

May 19th, 2023 at 10:21 PM ^

I think it's pretty tenuous to argue that the Big Ten knew or should have known they would be expelled.

Nebraska was invited to join the Big Ten in June 2010. Nebraska, along with Syracuse, was put on notice in the fall of 2010 that their membership was under review. In May 2011, the AAU narrowly voted to expel Nebraska. It required 42 votes (a two-thirds majority), and 44 voted for expulsion, including Wisconsin and Michigan. Nebraska had been a founding member of the AAU in 1909, and the organization had never expelled a member. Nebraska had successfully fought off an earlier expulsion attempt in 2000. And while Nebraska had lagged behind in the AAU's requirements, there were credible arguments to allow them to stay -- the university's medical research didn't count because their med school is on their Omaha campus, and their agricultural research (of which they do a lot) didn't count because bureaucratic technicalities. 

When you consider all the factors -- the timeline, the fact that Big Ten schools were inexplicably complicit in Nebraska's ouster, the unprecedented nature of the expulsion, the fact Nebraska was a founding member and had already successfully defeated one expulsion attempt, and the arguable unfairness of expulsion -- I think it's far from a "fact" that the Big Ten should have known Nebraska would be expelled.

RadOWon

May 21st, 2023 at 6:59 PM ^

It's just like talking politics, they see a headline on their favorite propaganda laden news/entertainment channel and suddenly they are experts in Keynesian economics.


"What do you mean, they aren't in the AAU, I saw them ranked really on on the US News and World Report list of top academic institutions of higher learning".

meeashagin

May 19th, 2023 at 6:09 PM ^

What are we basing FSU not being up to par academically on?

I see FSU ranked 55 which would have them in the top half of Big 10 schools.....but maybe US World News isn't the gold standard which is what I used. I honestly don't know.

I'm obviously partial to FSU as not only do I live in Florida but my son graduated from there as well. I must admit though he was unable to get into Florida so they're obviously higher on the rankings.

RadOWon

May 20th, 2023 at 12:03 AM ^

I can't figure out why this is so difficult to grasp. It's not about academic ranking by US News or any ranking, it's them not belonging to the AAU. It's really not that complex, yes or no, do they or do they not belong to this group. It doesn't matter if the Queen of Sheba has anointed them the Grand Poobah of academia, they MUST belong to the AAU.

RadOWon

May 19th, 2023 at 4:45 PM ^

Do you really think this is about "competitive football programs"? Is that what they were thinking when they added Rutgers and Maryland?

Uhhhh NO!!

It's about media markets and academics and then sports. If they dont meet the first two, the others are moot.

Kevin13

May 19th, 2023 at 3:39 PM ^

A school needs to bring a huge market to even move the needle for the B1G at this point in time. CU Stanford, Oregon Kansas and pretty much all the other ones don’t do it. Basically the only school out there that will add large viewer ship at this point in time is Notre Dame. Eventually they will have to join the B1G to keep competitive in the arms race

RadOWon

May 19th, 2023 at 4:57 PM ^

"Basically the only school out there that will add large viewer ship at this point in time is Notre Dame" Really? Only Notre Dame? Do you live in the mid-west because this is a rather myopic view?

San Fransisco/Oakland is 6, Atlanta (Ga Tech) is 7, Boston is 10, Seattle/Tacoma is 12, Denver is 16 and Pittsburgh is 26.

 

Four of the above are bigger than the Detroit market.

How many SEC teams top those markets?

 

RadOWon

May 19th, 2023 at 5:00 PM ^

Umm NO. Do you guys not get this?

If a school is not in the AAU, they will not be invited to join. PERIOD. Next criteria is media market, BU is the number TEN media market in the US and would be a HUGE market for ratings, and the obvious, TELEVISION CONTRACTS.

Why is BU unusual? Size? How big is Northwestern?

JonnyHintz

May 19th, 2023 at 6:02 PM ^

The fact that they don’t even have a football team would be the main reason it’s unusual… 

 

Then there’s the fact that they compete in the Patriot League in their other sports. Why they’re even being mentioned as a potential B1G member is… unusual. The B1G isn’t going to go after a non-P5 school, let alone a school from the bottom of the D1 conference ranks. 
 

It’s much more likely the B1G moves away from the AAU requirement than it is for them to add a small conference school without a football team

 

Jmer

May 19th, 2023 at 8:42 AM ^

Not saying it's not going to happen eventually, both FSU and Miami are solid academic schools and they generate enough revenue to raise the Big Ten's average, but remember that when USC and UCLA were added, the news came out of nowhere and there wasn't a whisper or rumor about it until it was already a done deal.

Qmatic

May 19th, 2023 at 8:44 AM ^

It seems they are looking for a good athletics and academics balance for expansion. Other schools in the ACC would boost academics more: UVA and Ga Tech for example, but they don't bring the athletic prowess. Both are in good markets, but can't compete with North Florida and Miami-Dade area

HAIL 2 VICTORS

May 19th, 2023 at 10:23 AM ^

This is not a "deserved" proposition.  This is a WIN - WIN for all parties.  ND brings in their share and fits in all ways.  I have no love for ND but I love Michigan and the B1G so I can tolerate the lemon parts yet savor the honey.  

ND needs to see it the same as the academic benefits the B1G provide will enhance an already challenged ND in retaining faculty as opposed to the lack there of in the SEC.