I Like Burgers

June 25th, 2015 at 7:52 AM ^

No, that's what happened.

Jim Harbaugh's Wolverines opened at 7.5 minus-125 under and attracted early action on the over, according to CG Technology vice president of race and sports Jason Simbal. By late afternoon, Michigan's win total was 7.5 minus-135 over.

http://espn.go.com/chalk/story/_/id/13131981/ohio-state-buckeyes-expected-win-115-games-year-according-las-vegas-sportsbook

Joined: 10/06/2012

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Harlick

June 24th, 2015 at 9:43 PM ^

I'll take the over at 8 wins. It could be better if there is improved play at QB, RB, and the o line, but that's a lot of ifs. But there are a lot of highly touted recruits at those positions so 9 or ten wins is possible.

Joined: 01/17/2015

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I Like Burgers

June 24th, 2015 at 10:09 PM ^

In their Big Ten schedule, they play a grand total of two teams Vegas thinks will have a winning record.

Iowa - 7.5 wins

@ Nebraska - 8 wins

Purdue - 4 wins

@ Illinois - 4 wins

Rutgers - 5 wins

@ Maryland - 4.5 wins

Northwestern - 6 wins

@ Minnesota - 6 wins

 

This is why Vegas is filled with nice shiny casinos.

Joined: 10/06/2012

MGoPoints: 30575

I Like Burgers

June 24th, 2015 at 10:24 PM ^

I posted Vegas' win total odds for those teams above, but none of them are expected to be tough teams.  Especially Maryland (4.5 wins).  Sure they might lose to Nebraska, but I don't think they lose three games total.

And Wisconsin is built on shaky QB play.  Doesn't matter who is back there, all they do is run, run, run.  Corey Clement is no Gordon, but he's still pretty good.

Joined: 10/06/2012

MGoPoints: 30575

alum96

June 24th, 2015 at 11:34 PM ^

Maryland is being incredibly overvalued by many on this board because of their overall record last year and finishing "3rd" in what ended up being a very top heavy division..  Reality is when they played the 3 real teams on their schedule they not only lost but were demolished - MSU, OSU, Wisconsin.   They played patty cakes with a bad UM team and that was what their team was.  They won some close ones and could have been 5-8 just as easily as 7-6 or whatever they ended up being.  They lost their starting QB and stud Wrs.  And they were not that good on offense when they had them when facing competent defenses.   They lost to rutgers at home, barely beat a 4-8 USF and were demolished by a ho hum Stanford team in a bowl. 

All that said 4.5 seems damn low.  But I see a 6ish type win season as Maryland goes on being Maryland.

Someone like @Minnesota is going to be a lot tougher game for teams to deal with then @Maryland.

Joined: 04/28/2012

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MChem83

June 24th, 2015 at 10:19 PM ^

This is much more likely to be a 9 win team than a 6 win team.  Still, I look at our talent, with essentially no proven impact players, no proven stars, and it's hard to project more than 8 wins at this point.  We've had plenty of teams that went into seasons with more talent on paper and didn't win more than that.  

Joined: 04/17/2014

MGoPoints: 414

Hotel Putingrad

June 24th, 2015 at 10:14 PM ^

Hell, we won five games last year with a sleepwalking staff and practically the worst turnover margin in the country. Harbaugh or Rudock alone would get them two more, so with both in the fold 9-3 should be the floor for equal wagers.

Joined: 12/10/2014

MGoPoints: 212160

M-Dog

June 24th, 2015 at 10:52 PM ^

Yes, even with that mess last year we could have easily had 3 more wins.  

It does not take an epic amount of improvement to get us to 8 wins.  A steady Rudock could do that alone.

It will take a significant amount of improvement to get beyond that though.  We will need to be able to run the ball like we have not in years to get there.     

Joined: 07/06/2008

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