PSU goes down - UM now 1 game out of 2nd place in B1G BB standings

Submitted by Squeezebox on February 23rd, 2020 at 3:03 PM

With PSU's loss to Indiana, there is now a log jam for 2nd place with 5 teams tied at 10-6 (or 9-6) and UM 1 game behind at 9-7.   

Should be a crazy finish to the season for the strongest conference in NCAA BB.

As the saying goes - "Just take care of business and everything will sort itself out". 

B1G BB standings

https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/standings/_/group/7

ijohnb

February 23rd, 2020 at 3:44 PM ^

I know that we took care of Rutgers without him, but damn, I’m not sure I have seen one player as irreplaceable for a particular team as Livers is for us.  He changes everything on the floor for Michigan.  All of the sudden, everybody is exactly where they should be at the right time, on both ends of the floor.  Purdue was a mess against us yesterday.  That is a team that beat MSU by 30 points.

AC1997

February 23rd, 2020 at 4:02 PM ^

While I also agree with you....I think our big-3 are all irreplaceable with our current depth/talent.  We got by Nebraska without Simpson, but doubt we could survive without him.  While Teske has been up and down on both ends of the floor this year, I don't think we could survive very long without him either.  

Hopefully next year, despite replacing the two star seniors, we'll have more depth and versatility to insulate us from injury or suspension:

  • PG - DDJ, Brooks, Jackson
  • SG - Brooks, Jackson, Christopher?, Bajema
  • SF - Wagner, Livers, Williams, Nunez, Bajema
  • PF - Livers, Johns, Williams, Todd
  • C - Dickenson, Castleton, Todd, Davis?

 

DrMantisToboggan

February 23rd, 2020 at 4:53 PM ^

There is absolutely no way Christopher doesn't start. Same with Todd. My very remedial basketball brain says

PG: DDJ/Brooks/Zeb

SG: Christopher/Brooks/Zeb

SF: Livers/Franz/Christopher

PF: Todd/Johns/Livers

C: Dickinson/Todd/Davis

Someone that is a starter this year will not be a starter next year if we land Christopher AND Livers comes back, IMO.

HailHail47

February 23rd, 2020 at 5:35 PM ^

It’s going to be really hard to have Franz and Brooks coming off the bench. Both are outstanding defenders. If Livers comes back, I think it’s pretty likely that Todd comes off the bench, but still gets 20+ minutes per game. I could also see Cristopher getting some minutes at the 1. To me it’s looking like Livers is going to go pro based on his play. 

 

 

AC1997

February 23rd, 2020 at 6:59 PM ^

I don't see Livers or Franz moving to the bench.  As excited as I am about Todd's athleticism, I don't think he starts if everyone returns.  I think Todd comes off the bench as a 4 or small-ball 5 who brings a ton of energy to the floor.  I think Zeb and Williams struggle to crack the rotation and I did't even mention Howard.  

Good problems to have, but not very many teams go beyond 9 deep.  So if you rank the players by important next year and likely minutes, you're something like.....

  1. Livers
  2. Franz
  3. Christopher
  4. DDJ/Brooks (starting PG)
  5. Dickenson/Castleton (whoever starts at C)
  6. DDJ/Brooks (whoever backs up both spots)
  7. Todd/Johns (first wing off the bench)
  8. Backup-C
  9. Next PF off the bench
  10. Other (Bajema, Nunez, Williams, Howard, Jackson)

Notice I don't have Davis in there.  Todd is an amazing athlete but he's still very raw. Do you think he's going to take a lot of minutes from Franz and Livers?  And I look forward to the battle with Johns for minutes.  The C position is going to be a wildcard, so someone can get minutes there.  Maybe Franz can play some SG and go huge. 

DrMantisToboggan

February 23rd, 2020 at 7:28 PM ^

I just think Todd will bail and go pro overseas if he thinks he won’t start here. Maybe he doesn’t care about starting if his minutes are good enough, but I’m not sure. Christopher and Todd both seem like sure-fire one-and-dones, and Michigan just has to play it right to get the one.

I do think Franz could play some 2 though. 

outsidethebox

February 23rd, 2020 at 6:53 PM ^

"Positionless"...you're "remedial" brain is catching on, man. In your scenario I think DDJ gets the starting nod with Brooks getting relief minutes at both 1 and 2. 

I am generally in favor of players going pro when they are ready-and I believe Livers is/will be ready. However, I would also love to see him come back and lead next years team in making a serious run at an NC. 

I believe there is at least a 50-50 chance that both Christopher and Brown land in AA. Now what does that lineup look like if Livers returns too? I say: Christopher, Brown, Todd, Livers and Johns-that would be one incredible challenge to defend. I pick Johns for spacing. Having that combination of size and athleticism and those skillsets on the floor together...oh my!

nerv

February 23rd, 2020 at 9:43 PM ^

Livers is out there looking like a pro. I know the mock drafts don't agree but I think Livers is a sure fire first round draft pick if he stays healthy. He has really high basketball IQ and has a very noticeable effect on the team on both ends of the court. He shoots as good as anyone in the country at 6'7. Add in above average athleticism with defensive acumen and he is a tailor made 3 and D wing in the NBA. Cam Johnson went 11th last year and I think Livers compares favorably to him.

Michigan4Life

February 23rd, 2020 at 6:58 PM ^

Funny that the 1st year that the Bulls was without MJ, they were 2 games worse than the year before when they won it all. They lost in the Conference Semi-Finals. Scottie Pippen arguably played like an MVP candidate that year. The following year, they got worse but still have a winning record.

I think I remember reading that the Bulls have a better record with Pippen but no MJ than the one with MJ without Pippen which is interesting considering most considered him the GOAT

kalamazoo

February 24th, 2020 at 12:07 AM ^

Yeah but with Jordan the Bulls had to climb out of a hole where they were a bad team the prior year which didn't make the playoffs. Their record got better or stayed the same for the next 3 years if you consider that Jordan's 2nd year was actually 9-9 for the games he played (ankle injury) and not consider the record of the Bulls that year which was pretty bad, like 30-52.

pre-Jordan: .360 ish

Jordan Year 1 '84-85: .469 ish

Jordan Year 2 '85-86: .500 (18 total games for Jordan)

Jordan Year 3 '86-87: .489 (40-42)

Then in Jordan's 4th year, they got Pippen and won 10 more games that season (50-32) and beyond. Then Pippen had a good arsenal of supporters when Jordan was playing baseball, and as you mentioned, the team got worse for those two years. Then Jordan and Pippen played 3 more years together where the record again improved, and both left at the same time (Jordan retired, Pippen to Houston).

So that is a fun comparison to show Pippen was pretty great, but Jordan had to do a lot before Pippen was able to just jump in and go along with it. (sorry stats not perfect-ish, I had this written out once before but browser lost it navigating around, so keeping it this time).

Perkis-Size Me

February 23rd, 2020 at 3:25 PM ^

Conference is probably the deepest it’s been since the 2012-13 season. Ten teams should be in, with the possibility of 11 if Purdue goes on some kind of run and wins a few games in the BTT.

Bambi

February 23rd, 2020 at 3:55 PM ^

Right but how would the first place team losing to a team competing with us help us get a double bye? If MSU beats Maryland, that's a game they could have lost they didn't that keeps them ahead of us/tied with us. Maryland beating MSU helps us catch MSU.

Muttley

February 23rd, 2020 at 4:10 PM ^

It occurred to me while watching Maryland go on a 14-0 run to come from behind to beat MSU that we might come to regret it.  (But I rooted for it anyway.)  If Maryland was sitting on four losses now, and facing a sure loss on March 8, losing two more might not be so unlikely.  But Maryland losing three in addition to its guaranteed 3/8 loss is probably not going to happen.

A Lot of Milk

February 23rd, 2020 at 3:59 PM ^

Losing 4 of 5 would be a catastrophe, but not impossible

Maryland has scraped by the two worst teams in the conference recently and the rest of their season is road games at OSU, Minnesota, and Rutgers and home games vs MSU and Michigan

That's super tough. If Maryland wins today at OSU then you can likely forget it, but if they drop it they have pressure to not blow their huge conference lead 

tFerriState

February 23rd, 2020 at 4:12 PM ^

Michigan certainly looks the part after not looking the part after looking the part. They have everything in front of them, this is going to be an exciting end to Howard’s first regular season and his first B1G tourney! Looking forward to it.

 

Oh ya, F Staee. 

A Lot of Milk

February 23rd, 2020 at 4:34 PM ^

I would imagine non-conference considerations

Wisconsin was dreadful in non-con schedule, Indiana didn't play a single game out of the state of Indiana or even a road game in Indiana in the entire non-conference, Purdue had a few bad losses. Meanwhile OSU beat Villanova by a ton and won at UNC (not a good team, but still a road win in non-conference)

Perkis-Size Me

February 24th, 2020 at 9:44 AM ^

Non-con wins over Villanova, Kentucky and UNC definitely are still carrying some weight (UNC sucks but its still a big brand name and beating them always carries weight, like beating Michigan in football).

You're right in that once they hit Big Ten play, they became very much a middle of the pack team, but those non-con wins are definitely bolstering their ranking. 

They're definitely climbing the rankings after beating Maryland last night. 

los barcos

February 23rd, 2020 at 4:51 PM ^

Saw a stat that M is 12-3 when livers finishes the game (assuming you’re not counting the home loss to Illinois where he “technically” finished).  Those three: last second OT loss to Oregon, a loss @louisville after the trident, and @illinois.