November 12th, 2015 at 12:05 PM ^
It is long. Maybe the trade-off was less of a yearly cap hit than would be the case with a 5 year deal?
November 12th, 2015 at 1:09 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 12:06 PM ^
I'm more concerned about a roster crunch than anything else. 4.25 is going to be like 2.5 mil today in year 5 of that deal. I agree its nutso but I think people are missing that fact that in about three years, Abdelkader really doesn't belong in the top 6 with the young guys coming in.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:17 PM ^
Abbie is not going to be in the top 6 for longer than 3 years, tops. Power forwards simply do not last long, the ones that do are few and far between. And Abbie had just barely established himself as a top 6 guy, but I'm extremely skeptical he has what it takes to keep up the pace from last year. A 3-year contract would be teh ideal length, I might even accept 4...but 7 is cray.
So, assuming we can get 3 good years of top 6 value from him (which is a big assumption), then for four more years, he's going to be an overpaid 3rd-4th line grinder, even when considering cap increases during that time.
It's just...ugh. Sometimes it's OK to move on from a guy who was good for you up until now. Kenny seems to have forgotten that. Far too much loyalty lately...
November 12th, 2015 at 1:39 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 12:08 PM ^
$4.25M cap hit over seven years for Abdelkader. Has any forward with such limited offensive production made a 7-year deal look good?
— Scott Cullen (@tsnscottcullen) November 12, 2015
Terrible deal...Holland has lost it.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:12 PM ^
I agree that is too long. That's hoping he consistently scores at least 20 per year and plays a power game for 7 years. If so, good signing. Otherwise, could be a problem.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:45 PM ^
I find it hard to believe there is any scenario in which this is a good signing - unless, after 400 games in the NHL - he suddenly transforms into a much better player. It was only two years ago that Max Pacioretty signed a 6-year, $27 million deal and he was already a proven 30-goal scorer.
This is one of the most expensive contracts in the entire NHL for a forward who hasn't shown much offensive potential. There are a couple others (Beleskey, Silfverberg, Benoit Pouliot, Bolland, maybe Soderberg and Anisimov, though those two are probably more proven); so it's not entirely surprising he was able to get this much money. But these are the sorts of deals you want other teams to be giving their players; not the team you cheer for.
November 12th, 2015 at 1:01 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 12:16 PM ^
Ken Holland on Justin Abdelkader 7y $29.75M deal: "He's 28 years of age. It's hard to find big people that can score 20 goals."
— Helene St. James (@HeleneStJames) November 12, 2015
This was the same excuse he used for giving Franzen the big contract over Hossa. Sorry, but Abdelkader will probably never score more than 20 goals again (especially if he's not playing on the first line with Pavel or Z).
November 12th, 2015 at 12:25 PM ^
Kenny, I understand it's hard to find a power forward who can put up 20+ in a year. But he's done it ONCE. You know who else had a 20-goal season once? Kris Draper (who was one of my favorite Wings, but he was definitively not a top 6 guy). I have no problem giving Abby a chance to demonstrate he can maintain that goal production with top line minutes, but 7 years is way over the top.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:31 PM ^
Plus...Holland had all the leverage here. There's no way another team was giving him a 7 year deal. 4/5 years max and at the right price, otherwise trade him or let him walk like he did with Marty Lapointe. Seven year contracts are down right stupid, unless it's a proven young superstar.
November 12th, 2015 at 1:41 PM ^
It's the Bryan Bickell contract except 3 years longer, and 250K more cap hit. That seems... unlikely to work long term. Hell, the Hawks already have basically dumped Bicks to the minors only a couple years into the deal.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:18 PM ^
Franzen deal 2.0 sigh
November 12th, 2015 at 7:04 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 12:22 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 12:33 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 12:24 PM ^
Thought we'd would have learned from the Franzen deal. Wow....
November 12th, 2015 at 12:28 PM ^
Sparties suck.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:29 PM ^
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November 12th, 2015 at 12:30 PM ^
I am similarly displeased
Lots of great forwards coming up. Why not sign him for 3 or 4 years (I know that Abdelkader would have nixed as this is his last chance to sign a big deal) when Bertuzzi can fill the role after?
November 12th, 2015 at 12:43 PM ^
Don't mind the amount. Don't like the length. I would have done 4 years, 20 million before I went with this.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:53 PM ^
You should mind the amount. At your suggestion of $5 million per, there would only be 60 forwards in the NHL making more than him. Which suggests he should be a 1st line forward on virtually any team. Even at $4.25 he's in the top 100 forwards (i.e., borderline 1st line player).
November 12th, 2015 at 6:52 PM ^
Your analysis ignores the fact that many of the top 100 players are too young to see unrestricted free agency. You have to compare Abdelkader to other forwards eligible to paid at an unrestricted market rate.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:48 PM ^
It's not just that Abdelkader has only one 20-goal season, it's that that season came in a year when his shooting percentage was double his career average. He's a 10 goal/year guy that had a very lucky season. Those guys are pretty easy to find.
November 12th, 2015 at 12:50 PM ^
I remember when fans loved it when a player earned the chance to stay with your team for his whole career, now it's all about cap hits.
Congrats Justin look forward to watching you score 20 goals a year.
November 12th, 2015 at 1:18 PM ^
I hope you have a time machine, cause he sure as shit isn't scoring 20 goals a year on this contract
November 12th, 2015 at 2:02 PM ^
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November 12th, 2015 at 1:36 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 2:09 PM ^
What Pavel wants > what you think
Seriously though, hockey teams need guys in the "dirty areas", especially the Wings who are full of wipsy skilled euros, so I think it's a good move to lock him in; sure it was a reward contract like Franzen got and they more than likely overpaid but they'll probably win a couple cups anyway so I'll just cheer them on and try to ignore what they get paid.
November 12th, 2015 at 2:16 PM ^
I appreciate your optimism, but this isn't a team that's going to win a couple Cups. Compare their roster to the top teams in the league, and the Red Wings, even when healthy, are a good margin behind. Deals like this only reduce their flexibility to make up ground. Looking to next season, if there isn't a significant change in the salary cap, there are 6-8 roster spots that need filling and not a lot of money to fill those.
November 12th, 2015 at 3:05 PM ^
I think they'll be alright. They have some young guys ready to play.
But I'm waiting to see what he does for trades over the next year before I convict Holland as a relic who can't make it work in the salary cap era.
November 12th, 2015 at 2:52 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 3:19 PM ^
If so i'll just back out now.
Maybe it's not Hollands fault, Justin must be the luckiest person on earth if he only has high school skill but has 70 NHL goals.
November 12th, 2015 at 11:09 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 3:20 PM ^
Spot on. I would upvote you 10x if I could.
November 12th, 2015 at 3:25 PM ^
Pavel isn't going to be around here for 7 more years. He's just not. So that may be a good reason to sign him short-term, but it's no reason to go for 7 years with the guy.
November 12th, 2015 at 3:37 PM ^
Pavel and Z will be heading out the door, Abs does things that help skilled players be successful (according to Pavel), having Abs as a constant while bringing up new skilled players will help with the transition.
November 12th, 2015 at 1:07 PM ^
But even I can tell this deal stinks. I'm not sure why you would do this after the complete messes that are the Franzen deal and the Jimmy Howard deal. I don't know if it is a Detroit thing or an Illitch thing, but it seems that the Tigers and Red Wings are crippled with the fear of losing their fan favorite players, and as a result, they enter into really unfavorable contracts that reward past performance at the cost of hamstringing their ability to retool the respective teams.
I wonder if Holland is not suited for the salary cap era. His last Stanley cup win was right at the beginning of the salary cap era. Since then he has made a lot of long term deals, many of which have not panned out. I think its time for them to part ways and to try to lure Steve Yzerman from Tampa. But what do I know, I like footbaw
November 12th, 2015 at 1:10 PM ^
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November 12th, 2015 at 5:51 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 1:11 PM ^
And only three playoff goals in six seasons.
We basically signed this guy to an untradeable contract.
November 12th, 2015 at 1:30 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 1:42 PM ^
Abby is a vital cog in this team on and off the ice. If you go to the Joe you see his value to the team. Scoreboard watchers just look at goals. He busts his ass most every night, is versatile, and has skill for a grinder. Not every player suffers concussions/injuries which limit their abilities. Yeah it's a gamble but not a huge one imo.
His salary cap hit is below average for an established player who can play on any line. If he doesn't work out down the road that contract is very tradable.
Most bad teams have their money tied up in a couple players (Lions). I 'd rather see this team have 15 above average, hard working players making 4 million/year.
Doubting Holland is like doubting Harbaugh. Every Wings/ UM fan should thank their lucky stars we have these guys running the shows.
I love this Wings' team playoff potential with Abby and the depth when we get a little healthier.
November 12th, 2015 at 2:03 PM ^
But respect the counter argument
Also, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, and Ericsson will be coming off the books in the coming years to ameliorate the salary / cap hit
November 12th, 2015 at 6:57 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 8:29 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 2:45 PM ^
November 12th, 2015 at 3:34 PM ^
GARBAGE
November 12th, 2015 at 3:36 PM ^
Abby is one of the few reasons this team hung in it for 7 games and a took San Jose/Chicago to game 7's before.
Guy is Captain material regardless of stats.