OT: anybody refinancing?

Submitted by BlueWolverine02 on March 12th, 2020 at 3:07 PM

So apparently rates are really low and everyone is trying to take advantage of them.  I just shot Homesure Lending an email to explore options.  Anybody else looking into this?  What kind of rates are people seeing?  Has to be some silver lining in the coronavirus. 

Mgotri

March 12th, 2020 at 3:10 PM ^

I looked into in in MA a few days ago as I want to get out of my 7/1 ARM. However, I did not find any rate comparable to what I already have. Best I saw was 3.5% for a fixed 20 year. 

CTSgoblue

March 12th, 2020 at 4:08 PM ^

I'm not a personal finance expert, but if you're looking at 7 years of saving $8k/year, you have to ask yourself if it's worth "paying" $56k to lock in a fixed rate for beyond 7 years assuming that you will be in the home that long AND that you won't have a reasonable refinance option by then.  I personally would take the guaranteed savings and take a little rate risk because who knows what life events will be thrown at me that may have me out of the home in 7 years or less (job transfer, parents' health, kids' schools, upgrading to a newer/bigger home, downgrading to a smaller one, etc.)

O S Who

March 12th, 2020 at 3:14 PM ^

i tried to get a quote from my current lender but suntrust (my lender) told me they had hit the limit on how many refinances they could do and i should try again in a couple weeks lol

Sopwith

March 12th, 2020 at 3:58 PM ^

Exactly-- good luck getting called back after they get your contact info. The one tip I've heard is try smaller lenders, the bigger guys are overwhelmed and counterintuitively the smaller folks are more able to pick up the slack. Rates might be better, too (see my "throttling" comment below).

Michigan Philosophy

March 12th, 2020 at 3:24 PM ^

Not a guarantee. Maybe .25% or so, not much more room to go and depends on where bonds go. I was quoted a 3.125 30 yr fixed. That is 2012 levels. Contrary to popular belief rates don't always go down when the market does. Generally when the market tanks bonds go up but bonds haven't been behaving as expected. Hell, even gold got hammered and all the crypto like BTC got hammered as well. You could in theory save a little bit more if you wait, but lenders are swamped now and who knows if your loan can even close if no appraiser can enter your home. Then if it keeps getting worse, will they allow closings? Only eclosing? If it makes sense just do it, don't worry about timing the market, especially when the upside is low and the downside is high.

Michigan Philosophy

March 12th, 2020 at 4:06 PM ^

I don't dispute that the FED will cut rates, but again, that doesn't translate 1:1 with consumer retail mortgage rates. I've seen retail rates go up after a FED cut. I am personally convinced that we will be at 0% fed rate sooner rather than later. I still don't think there is much room for retail rates to drop in this environment.

Muttley

March 12th, 2020 at 4:21 PM ^

I did a cashout 3.125% /0.875 points refi at a credit union.  I applied last Thurs night.  The credit union was then quoting 3.125%/0.875% points, but in the morning I held off when the loan officer asked me if I wanted to lock as the 10 year US Treasury had fallen from 0.92% the night before to 0.75%.  I ended up locking Tuesday morning at the same rate after seeing no change in the credit union's rate in spite of the 10 year falling as low as ~0.30% intraday and closing around 0.50%.

At the same credit union, I see the quote has now changed to 3.25%/0.25% points.

Sopwith

March 12th, 2020 at 3:56 PM ^

Exactly, it's an industry practice called "throttling" which is essentially just raising rates to discourage being overwhelmed by shoppers like it's a Walmart on Black Friday.

If the normal spread on 30-year fixed mortgage vs. 10-year Treasury existed right now, rates would be 2.75%. The difference between that and the average today (about 3.36%) is artificially being introduced by the lenders.

MIMark

March 12th, 2020 at 3:19 PM ^

We did. Saved quite a bit on monthly payments. And if the rates go down again we'll do it again. Our broker has a very cheap closing cost.

wolverinestuckinEL

March 12th, 2020 at 3:26 PM ^

My costs were pretty low to refinance since we just purchased 6 months ago.  No appraisal and the escrow account doesn't have to be refunded so it was about $1600 out the door to shave over a full percent off our current rate.  Even if we were only going to stay a year I'd probably break even, but we intend to be here for a while.  Basically I can make my exact same payment and shave 6 years off my loan.

Lou MacAdoo

March 12th, 2020 at 3:21 PM ^

We refinanced about a year or so ago, got locked in at 3.5%, and after the appraisal were able to get rid of our PMI in the process. It was such a blessing for our household. Freed up some more money to help pay our ridiculous childcare and healthcare bills. 

SoDak Blues

March 12th, 2020 at 3:22 PM ^

Currently have a 15 yr fixed at 3.25, so its gonna be hard to beat that, but definitely looking into it. Still have nine years left on the loan. 

Michigan Philosophy

March 12th, 2020 at 3:36 PM ^

If you have only 9 years left than almost no rate will make it worth your while if you are paying a few k in closing costs.

https://www.myamortizationchart.com/

If you were in the 9th yr of a 200k loan, you would only have roughly 12kish interest left. Add a few k to the balance and it off sets the drop quite a bit. In theory if you never refinanced again there is a point where it makes sense, but most people refi every few years for one reason or the other, so it usually doesn't make sense for most people to drop a small amount in interest considering the won't be in the loan long enough to realize the gain. It depends on your situation of course, but people always forget that interest rates are a function of time. If you don't give it the time to benefit you, it doesn't make sense. It isn't like a lower rate miraculously saves you money. I did loans for a long time, I remember talking to so many people who bragged about 2% loans where I then had to tell them their 2% was on a 40yr and the total interest they were paying was far high than a much higher rate at a shorter term. If they needed the monthly savings, whatever, but many people just assumed lower rate was always better and it was sort of eye opening for me to realize how little otherwise intelligent people knew about finances.

Michigan Philosophy

March 12th, 2020 at 4:53 PM ^

No problem! Stay the course if paying the home off is your main goal, but always be willing to make a smart move. Sounds like you're doing the smart thing by exploring. At the end of the day, do what you're comfortable with. You might be able to save a few thousand in interest or over 9 years, but then you also need to think about the value of your time and the chance you may refi in a few years to buy a vacation home or something. Who knows. When you're sitting on 200k+ of equity in a few years getting that cash tax free can be appealing if you're looking at a big purchase.

Michigan Philosophy

March 13th, 2020 at 5:02 AM ^

Depends on the deal and your goals. It certainly isn't a slam dunk like it is for some. For example, assuming you started at a 200k loan amount on a 3.625.If you can get lets say a 10 yr at 2.99 you would have a balance of roughly 128k at the end of year 9. You would be scheduled to pay around 28k in interest (assuming you never paid extra. That messes up the numbers).Even if you refied into a 10yr at 2.99 where your loan balance was now 133k with costs and escrow you only be paying a little more than 21k over the ten years. However in this scenario your payment would be actually a little higher than it currently is. With a better rate or less cost it certainly makes sense from a total money spent over time situation, but is a high payment ok? Will you sell your home in 4 years? These are the types of variables people need to consider when determining if a refi makes sense. Is there a mathematical place in today's market you can improve on your current loan? Most likely. Is it a slam dunk? Probably not. Talk to a financial planner about you goals. 

74polSKA

March 13th, 2020 at 2:34 PM ^

Shop around for local/regional banks that don't gouge you on the closing costs. I refinanced around 5 years ago to a 15 year fixed, 2.875 apr, and $300 to close with Union Savings bank out of Cincinnati. That included an additional $50 fee to record the mortgage because I'm in the next county over from their closest branch office. I had to do a lot of follow up on my end from the broker, but for that money I'll take a bit worse service.

carolina blue

March 12th, 2020 at 3:32 PM ^

I’m at 4.625 now....basically right on the line of it being worth it since we bought 2 yrs ago. Would be interesting to see the savings, and do I want to reset the 30 year clock again. Being 36, is not sure. 

Michigan Philosophy

March 12th, 2020 at 3:44 PM ^

If your rate is that high and your credit is fine it will almost for sure make sense. You don't have to reset your loan. You could do a 25 yr loan and your rate would most likely drop enough to make the payment the same. Or you can go back to a 30yr loan and just pay what you pay now and accelerate your term and save tons. All this depends on your equity, credit, PMI, etc but the odds are low it wouldn't make sense TBH. Call a good mortgage company and they can show you. 

https://www.myamortizationchart.com/

If you had a 200k loan and were only 2 yrs into it your balance would be 190ish by now. Even adding 5k to your loan and doing a 25yr at 3.5 you would save roughly 30k in interest. Your payment would also be lower, so if you paid the same amount each month, your overall savings would be higher

redjugador24

March 12th, 2020 at 3:32 PM ^

Not a Refi, but currently house shopping so I've been watching rates daily at a few potential lenders.  It's crazy how volatile they've been - over 3 lenders I've seen everything from from 2.75% to 3.875% (no points) on a 30 year just within the past 2 weeks.  As of this moment, they've crept back up and that 2.75% lender is now at 3.375%.