One More Year—JJ's response "I don't know how I could leave here."

Man, that's some cold, calculating, economics decision making right there. From what we know of JJ, I doubt that's his thinking. 

The decision is pretty much what it has always been from a financial standpoint.  If he can improve his draft stock he might be better off coming back.  But, he risks lowering his draft stock if he has a bad year or gets hurt. 

J.J. just thinks differently. I would not be surprised if he says “Get $3 million of NIL to go to my Foundation, and I’ll stick around.”

But going deeper than that, JJ is at BEST going to be the #4 QB taken this year behind Wiliams, Maye, and Penix.  He likely could drop further.

If he comes back next year, who is he drafting against?  Shadeur Sanders and??   I'm sure there are a few but I think he moves up 1-2 slots in the draft order.

If this is strictly financially driven and the NIL money equals the 1st year pay, you go to the NFL 100% of the time to fast track to that lucrative second contract.

Part of me wants to see JJ keep that 27-1 record that places him in the top echelon of top W-L records in the history of college QBs. I also want to see him get his rightful payday without the threat of injury. But another part of me wants to see him accomplish the other two goals that he set for himself, which is to become a team captain and to graduate his degree.

that 27-1 record is mighty nice to brag about.

You know what's better than 27-1?

43-1.

You think JJ would stay to help the new coach? That would be a very dumb reason, and he’s not dumb. 

I'll do my part.

Loaded from a talent standpoint, but losing a lot of leadership/experience.  

Also, loaded without a required portal raid. That means the culture perpetuates, especially if JJ stays.

Ohio thinks that’s Day is doing a great job rejiggering their team this offseason, but all he’s really doing is replacing players that have left or were forced out with portal mercenaries.

I’ll take our point of view, thanks.

Michigan is losing a TON of great players and leaders. To pretend otherwise is just not accurate or a good idea.

That isn't saying they have nothing left. They will have many good players and several great players. But we are losing an absolute ton.

        Rob

Not loaded. Good, yes. Very good, possibly. Terrific DL returns.  But they have a lot of unproven players. They have no top receivers and will have to largely replace the OL, the linebackers, the running backs, the safeties, and 2 out of 3 corners. That’s quite a bit more than we had to replace a year ago  

This is the area that we really have missed on over the last 2-3 cycles. We have a lot of slot guys and tweeners but no one like Mazda Marv or a Rome Odunze. We can try to substitute in Loveland and our other Y tight ends for jump balls and such but it would be nice to have some Big outside threats as both possession guys and vertical threats.

Yeah, I think we need to find a way to keep Orji happy because I think he is the short-term future at QB. At the same time, we need to find out if he can lead the offense, read defenses, get through his progressions, and make accurate and catchable throws.

Do you think that if JJ leaves, that Orji starts? That would be a fairly terrifying prospect if we were hoping for Michigan to continue to compete at the highest level.

               Rob

Pretty sure that was Michael Gretzky.

I agree with everything in your post except the last paragraph.

Harbaugh would never ever make that deal. And JJ wouldn’t demand it. But if Harbaugh leaves, Moore could make that offer. I’m sure Moore has his own plans. 

I believe he has to declare by 1/15 to be eligible for the draft.  If he doesn't declare he's staying

Does this happen very often? I know that's more of a thing with the NBA draft. I just can't think of any players in CFB that declared and then removed their names after.