Likely 3 Two-Loss Teams and a Top 5 Wiscy

Submitted by KennyHiggins on

Yesterday was Moving Day, as several squads were severely exposed (I'm looking at you ND, MSU and UGA), and at least 3 two loss teams (OSU, Auburn, and USC) will likely grace the new Top 10.  Wiscy will be anywhere from #2 to #5, depending on your poll (probably #4 or #5 in CFP rankings).  

Love the setup for our last two weekends, with a winnable top 5 game at Camp Randall and The Game featuring OSU likely no lower than #8.  With Auburn looking legit - and UGA likely to face its second loss in the SEC Championship game, to either Bama or Auburn, and Clemson and Miami girding for an ACC Championship CFP play-in game, definitely a Chaos Year where a two-win team gets in.

Win the damn games.  Go Blue!

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UM Indy

November 12th, 2017 at 11:15 PM ^

Here’s the context. 4 different Michigan coaches of varying abilities and at different points in their tenures, all owned by Ohio State at home, save for the close win against the worst Ohio State team in forever and one game where they had a chance to win on a 2 point conversion.

Joined: 03/05/2009

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ldevon1

November 12th, 2017 at 9:42 AM ^

I see a max of #8, #7 maybe. Winner of Auburn, Alabama will be #1. Winner of Clemson, Miami #2. Big 12 Winner, if Oklahoma will be #3. Depending on scores of the SEC, and ACC champ, one of those may be #4. Then you have the Champs of PAC 12, B1G, and runner up of SEC, and ACC, not in top 4 ahead of us, and UCF.

Joined: 09/09/2015

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titanfan11

November 12th, 2017 at 9:51 AM ^

Obviously, a lot can (and already has happened), but this week looks like

Bama, Clemson, Oklahoma, Miami, Auburn, Wisconsin.  

If everything holds serve,

Bama gets in, winner of ACC between Clemson is in, OKlahoma is in,  The 4th spot would be the interesting one.  It seems PAC is out.  Is BIG out if Wisconsin does not win?  SEC getting 2 seems potentially dashed, unless Bama were to lose to Georgia on some fluky play or really bad call, or if Bama lost a nailbiter to Auburn, who then goes on to win the SEC.  

Joined: 10/13/2013

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wresler120

November 12th, 2017 at 10:21 AM ^

The ACC could easily send two teams to the playoffs. How does Miami not get in if they lose to Clemson in the ACC Championship game? It would be tough to put a team like OSU in with 2 losses and giving up 55 to Iowa over a Miami team whose only loss comes to a top 3 team in the country.

Joined: 10/17/2010

MGoPoints: 1405

GeorgetownTom

November 12th, 2017 at 10:50 AM ^

A 12-1 Miami would have a pretty weak resume. They would have only 1 victory over a ranked opponent (Notre Dame, which was being propped up by a close loss to Georgia, who just got blown out). Miami's best two wins after ND are Virginia Tech who will now be unranked after losing and Toledo who also just lost.

Joined: 10/08/2017

MGoPoints: 413

Rambling Wolverine

November 12th, 2017 at 9:44 AM ^

We can win out if we can score 28 points each game.  Brandon Peters will have to hit some big passes as well as consistantly make sure his short passes are on the money.  

No turnovers!

Joined: 07/27/2016

MGoPoints: 270

BlueMk1690

November 12th, 2017 at 10:06 AM ^

Because there's no way you could say with certainty that you hold OSU to less than 28 points. They could have scored 70 on the not terrible MSU defense yesterday.

And even Wisconsin has managed to put 30+ on pretty solid Ds. What people fail to see with Wisconsin is that they're a team that does what Harbaugh wants to do but can actually execute it. They primarily run but they actually do have the passing game working enough to keep teams honest. Our D will get punished if they zone in exclusively on the run.

Joined: 02/04/2011

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RemembertheGatorBowl

November 12th, 2017 at 10:22 AM ^

Any given Saturday. Look at the week before against Iowa for an obvious counter example. You would think they would get more “up” against UofM but it’s not like they didn’t have anything to play for against Iowa and Barrett couldn’t do anything. They are not bulletproof.

Joined: 08/12/2017

MGoPoints: 520

BlueMk1690

November 12th, 2017 at 10:39 AM ^

and calling a take optimistic doesn't equate calling it impossible. It just means it veers toward the positive end of possible outcomes.

No-one knows how the game will go because of all the unknown parameters. There's a large range of possible outcomes.

The problem is that in reality the greater number of the realistic outcomes are not ending in a Michigan win, but in some people's heads that balance of likelihood has shifted considerably toward the Michigan win scenario as a likely outcome. This creates a significantly higher chance for meltdowns, outrage etc. if the outcome happens to fall onto the negative side of things.

Joined: 02/04/2011

MGoPoints: 12932

Heisman21

November 12th, 2017 at 10:14 AM ^

Tired of hearing the locals cry about the Badgers not getting any respect. The conference opponents that Michigan has lost to, Wisconsin doesn’t even play this year. Their toughest opponent to date is Iowa @ home and people point out how ‘soft’ Michigan’s sched is. Sick of the Badgers. I hate living in the state this time of year. Just beat them down and when Peters overcomes the hostile environment at Camp Randall he will gain the much needed confidence that he needs for Oct. 25.

Joined: 01/09/2011

MGoPoints: 267

Perkis-Size Me

November 12th, 2017 at 10:52 AM ^

We’re automatically out if MSU or PSU win out. No matter what happens against Wisconsin and PSU. They own tiebreakers over us. But MSU is pretty much out now. We still need PSU and MSU each to lose one more time. Not impossible, but very unlikely.

It’s most likely that OSU still goes.

Joined: 11/30/2011

MGoPoints: 105768

fksljj

November 12th, 2017 at 6:49 PM ^

I don't get the talk about Speight having more experience in high pressure situations. Two things. 1) It doesn't matter how much experience you have if you're not very good. 2) Peters is going to have to play in a game with high pressure at some point. Why not now? No time like the present. We've seen what Speight did and I wasn't impressed. Hard to imagine Peters can be any worse.

Joined: 11/27/2016

MGoPoints: -9997905

consultant22

November 12th, 2017 at 9:40 PM ^

Was at the game Saturday and it allowed me to see the whole field and really diagnose some of the issues. Sure, Peters missed a couple of throws including an open deep route - but a consistent theme throughout the entire game was that the receivers got 0 separation, and the playcalling consistently called for very slow developing routes. Due to this, receivers were generally never open or only open once Peters was already pressured. If this has been true the entire season, it may explain much of the QB struggles.

It's imperative that the D plays well against Wiscy and not get way behind early like at PSU. If we can do that, I think we can win a close game down the stretch. 

Joined: 01/18/2016

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