Joaquin Update (Promising)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/235910.shtml?5-daynl
Latest projections have moved back the northward movement by one day. The storm projects to be well south of the DC area this weekend, and now has a late Monday/early Tuesday projected impact on DC area.
Predictions of precipitation aren't even nearing 50% Saturday afternoon/evening, and we're now close enough to make a decent prediction of weather that day. Can't see any way this game gets cancelled. Even an earlier kickoff would be overkill, IMO
October 1st, 2015 at 6:07 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 7:44 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 8:53 AM ^
How did he know to put his wipers on given that it was a sunny day?
This type of thing must happen all the time there.
October 1st, 2015 at 9:44 AM ^
And a big shoutout to the Mgoblog community. I've never seen this many weather update threads for a game but the coverage and # of replies have been phenomenal.
Keep shining Mgoblog!
October 1st, 2015 at 6:10 AM ^
That is great.
FWIW, the Weather Channel is currently predicting a 40% chance of rain with wind between 15-25 mph for Saturday night in College Park, MD. A 100% chance of rain on Friday so the field may be soggy, but the game can be played.
October 1st, 2015 at 9:37 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 9:22 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 10:38 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 6:14 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 7:31 AM ^
To be fair, most of the really powerful storms do come from that region. They're just larger, stronger, and much faster than the storms from the midwest. Especially up front.
NHC speed.
October 1st, 2015 at 8:06 AM ^
of northern storms occur between the beginning of August and the end of June when everyone leaves the north because it's too cold. So no one really knows.
October 1st, 2015 at 9:25 AM ^
True, but when they arrive in the North, they lose their power and dissipate, slowing blowing themselves into irrelevance.
October 1st, 2015 at 6:22 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 6:33 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 8:11 AM ^
From my experiences (4 years of college football) it is really dependent upon the quality of the turf. Some field turf tends to be thinner without as much as much sand and rubber under the turf. That kind of turf becomes extremely slippery. However, if it's quality field turf with some thickness/depth to turf and a tractionable amount of sand and rubber it should be okay. The great part about turf is that it doesn't get torn up so there's always turf under your feet vs. torn up grass and mud. I'd bet Maryland has enough money to have a solid field w/ solid drainage.
October 1st, 2015 at 8:20 AM ^
Depends how heavy the rain is. I remember watching a Southern Miss-Louisville game 3 years ago where the rain was so heavy the field was essentially flooded. Good thing it looks like we won't have to deal with this!
October 1st, 2015 at 8:28 AM ^
One is cross slope. Most fields anyway, grass or turf, are designed with a slight decline each way, with the crown being in the middle of the field (say, goal post base to goal post base). That allows water to run away from the field to the drainage recepticles on the sidelines. Obviously the decline and slope is very negligible and does not in any way impact play, but it's enough to help the water move off the field.
Two is quality of the turf. Maryland just installed this turf in 2012, so with it only at three years of age, it should still be in good shape to take a deluge.
October 1st, 2015 at 9:22 AM ^
when the team felt the crown of the field was so extreme they were running uphill and downhill as they crossed the field?
October 1st, 2015 at 9:58 AM ^
That was the game at Oregon with Lloyd complaining about the crown of the field afterward.
October 1st, 2015 at 6:24 AM ^
Thank God
October 1st, 2015 at 6:26 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 6:34 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 6:48 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 7:06 AM ^
you don't think they can handle a crisis?
/s
October 1st, 2015 at 7:54 AM ^
Live Free or Die Hard
John McClane: "Come on. The government's gotta have dozens of departments dedicated to that shit."
Matt Farrell: "It took FEMA 5 days to get water to the Superdome"
October 1st, 2015 at 9:43 AM ^
It is WAY to early to start changing plans. Later tonight is when MGoKid says she will have a better beed on this thing.
October 1st, 2015 at 7:10 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 9:03 AM ^
I've lived in the DC area since 1990. We've had a number of hurricanes come through since then. We've never evacuated even once.
The main deal with evacuations is to get away from the storm surge near costal areas. But we are well inland. By the time a hurricane makes landfall and gets to us, the winds have declined and it is just a lot of rain with moderate but not severe winds. We never see any 100+ mph winds like Florida.
Our main concerns are power outages, some localized flooding, and some old-growth trees being uprooted and falling on houses. Just like a severe thunderstorm in the midwest.
October 1st, 2015 at 7:12 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 7:15 AM ^
I think it is pretty unlikely they are going to evacuate anyone. No hint of that for Sandy, which passed within 50 miles of the city when it came ashore, and it didn't happen either when Isabel came right up the Bay as a 2/3 in 2003.
DC is above sea level after all, and inland enough that storms don't hold as much power if/when they arrive. No one is getting evacuated from their roof.
The biggest impacts from Isabel were from storm surge up the Potomac (Old Town) and the Bay (City Dock area in Annapolis). And that was with 70-80 mph winds and a couple inches of rain. The people who will be busiest are the guys that fix downed power lines. This is also not like locking down a Michigan game, Byrd Stadium holds half as many people.
October 1st, 2015 at 7:17 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 7:38 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 7:44 AM ^
Sandy was the second costliest storm in US history, and the largest Atlantic hurricane on record.
It was kind of a big deal.
October 1st, 2015 at 10:31 AM ^
I grew up around hurricanes so I think of a category 4 or 5 as a 'bad storm'
October 1st, 2015 at 7:59 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 8:18 AM ^
October 1st, 2015 at 7:41 AM ^
Dude, it'll be a cat 1-2 hurricane by the time it makes landfall -- if it makes landfall at all. That's not something you evacuate the city for. Maybe some select places along the coast or rivers, but everyone else just hunkers down for a few hours and then goes about their day.
And 10's of thousands? Its Maryland football. Their stadium holds 50k people. It doesn't take that many personnel to oversee an influx of people for 5-6 hours.
October 1st, 2015 at 9:44 AM ^
You're not correct at all. I live in DC and the vast majority of people I know, the radio stations, etc...are not even considering "evacuating" or even talking about it. Most people are just buying enough food for the weekend and planning on it being excessively windy and rainy. And how many emergency personnel do you think it takes to be prepared to respond to a major injury on a football field? Go away dude.
October 1st, 2015 at 6:35 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 7:25 AM ^
I'll be here all week. Try the veal.
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 7:36 AM ^
but federal gov't handling a crisis joke had me LOL-ing.
October 1st, 2015 at 8:27 AM ^
Apparently they are much better at data modeling over there. That weather model (which you have to pay to view - drat!) routinely defeats the USA's GFS predicitions.
Regardless of how this plays out, for now massive uncertainty is the only appropriate headine on Joaquin.
October 1st, 2015 at 9:46 AM ^
is located in England. It is a super computer with high resolution..Think Pentium 8.
The NHC computer is located near Miami, Florida....;think 286
MGoKid has access to the Military Super Computer and her models are closer to the Euro prediciton. So lets hang on tight for another 24 hours before we go all ape-shit.
October 1st, 2015 at 6:43 AM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 1st, 2015 at 6:51 AM ^
Hey, wait ... what?! :-)
(We do get remnants of tropical storms that come off the Pacific. Lots of rain and flash flooding.)
October 1st, 2015 at 6:51 AM ^