How is Michigan only 2.5 point favorites tonight? Ohio State sucks at basketball.

Submitted by MaizenBlue93 on February 4th, 2020 at 11:01 AM

Wolverine In Iowa 68

February 4th, 2020 at 11:07 AM ^

They have a slightly better record than we do, they don't have a "bad" loss yet (just like us), so we're pretty evenly matched, but we get the nod because of home court.

Why is that so difficult for you to understand?

aiglick

February 4th, 2020 at 11:07 AM ^

They’ve looked better in recent games (similar to us) and may have stabilized some although one of their recent wins was against Northwestern.

We’ve been on a similar track to OSU actually and this game is really interesting because it could serve to separate although they’ll have a chance at us again at their place. We definitely need to take tonight’s game no ifs ands or buts about it but OSU does not suck.

MichCali

February 4th, 2020 at 11:10 AM ^

We've lost 5 out of our last 8 and are missing our best player to injury.  OSU has lost a bunch recently and is missing a key player, too, but is a talented squad.  I'm not sure what you think would be an appropriate spread vs a team ranked higher than us in KenPom/NET/etc.?

2.5 points seems pretty realistic.  I hate OSU, but this is a pretty dumb post.  They don't suck at basketball.

ish

February 4th, 2020 at 11:19 AM ^

casinos typically use math-backed models for their spreads, but here, i bet once they saw that Benvom thought their numbers are wrong, they quickly changed course and used the "which team sucks?" model.

ijohnb

February 4th, 2020 at 11:21 AM ^

The only issue with that is I don't even think the "which team sucks" analysis comes out in our favor, really.  If you look at the entire picture, if posed the question "which team sucks" my response would be "it's close, but probably Michigan."

BoCanHam15

February 4th, 2020 at 12:03 PM ^

I don’t mean to offend you but you either accidentally used the word,”entire” or maybe you’re not sure what that means.  Anyways, we are not world beaters without Livers.  However, we have beaten the number two team in the nation, with Livers.  So with that being said, “Ohio sucks always” and so do you for saying that “we” suck.

FIFY

mGrowOld

February 4th, 2020 at 11:42 AM ^

I agree OP.  Stupid math algorithms spitting out Michigan -2.5 which is then moved upward or downward depending on the amount of handle the book has on each side of the betting line.  Stupid casinos wanting to balance their risk by moving betting lines to encourage an even distribution of bets on both sides thereby ensuring a profit via the vig.

A much better way of establishing a betting line would be to look at which team Benvom likes better and make them a hundred jillion point favorite for every game especially when they're playing a team Benvom doesnt like.  That would be a much more better way of doing things.

Michigan should be favored by a hundred jillion points.  Or more even.  LOTS AND LOTS more in fact given our awesomeness and how stinky bad those stupid OSU players are.