BeatOSU52

November 24th, 2022 at 1:09 AM ^

As someone who has listened to a lot of pundits talk about this game, and ‘gambling people’, I would concur with this notion.   They really seem to be really focusing on the Illinois game and seem to be of mindset that it’s still ‘iffy’ if a lot our guys are back playing or not when it seems like on our end we have a pretty good idea from following quotes and the Michigan insiders of the world.  

 

I am a bit baffled at this spread, even with the Corum stuff, and perhaps I will look like the ‘dummy’ in the end of all this, but for now I gladly took the +8 earlier in the week and bet Michigan.

 

jmblue

November 24th, 2022 at 12:21 PM ^

I think JH treated last week like a week 16 NFL game. He probably shouldn't have, because we have a backdoor into the playoff,

I don't follow.  Losing to Ill/beating OSU would get Michigan in the playoff, almost certainly, whereas beating Ill/losing to OSU is more dicey.  There is no scenario where beating Illinois was more important than beating OSU.

WoodleyIsBeast

November 23rd, 2022 at 1:39 PM ^

Interesting that he said Chambers and Eichenberg are elite. Michigan made them look like JV players in The Game last year. They were out of position, tired, knocked backwards, etc....Expecting nothing different just because Knowles is in town.

WoodleyIsBeast

November 23rd, 2022 at 3:45 PM ^

You don't get to have your cake and eat it too. Michigan made the OSU LB's look silly last year and I don't expect some magically change because Knowles is in town. Sure, they may be better off schematically, but Michigan overpowered them last year and scheme can't make up the difference IMO.

wolve1972

November 23rd, 2022 at 5:54 PM ^

OSU has a totally different scheme and concept this year and a lot of it is due to THE GAME last year.

Their current design is to contain-stop the run and keep the QB in the pocket. Their new DC - Nowles - said he expects to get beat with longer pass plays 3 to 4 times a game and if you look at the results this year, that's exactly where they've been beat. They leave their CBs one-on-one quite often. Last year, not only us and Oregon, but everybody pounded them on the ground.

JJ will have to have a decent game if we're successful. I heard on the local Columbus news that they've only given up over 1100+ yards the whole year (100+ yards / game) on the ground and had almost that many in just 4 games last year (Us, Oregon and I didn't catch the other 2)

Newton Gimmick

November 23rd, 2022 at 2:20 PM ^

Don't know much about his track record (if him picking Michigan is good or bad)

The good news is Danny Kanell -- who is absurdly bad at picking spreads -- said to lay the points with OSU 

The Homie J

November 23rd, 2022 at 2:48 PM ^

Actually really liked his thoughts (not just because he picked Michigan) but because he actually talks about specific matchups, tendencies etc. and how our lines stack up against theirs.  And he's seen at least one of the teams in person so he's not just seeing a few clips or reading box scores.  Very interesting that he's been on the ground and reviewed things, and concedes that we should win in the trenches.

Hail Harbo

November 23rd, 2022 at 4:49 PM ^

I hope for the return of Corum's back-up and best receiver on the team, Donovan Edwards, as well.  A return of Schoonmaker wouldn't hurt, nor the healing of the OL walking wounded.  Morris too.  Now that I look at it, with all the injuries not participating last week, Michigan was literally, okay, figuratively, playing with one arm tied behind its back.

Perkis-Size Me

November 23rd, 2022 at 7:15 PM ^

All hinges on Michigan’s level of health coming into the game, particularly at RB and OL. 

If we’re good to go in that department, Michigan has more than a puncher’s chance. If they play up to their potential it’s a coin flip.

If Corum/Edwards/Stokes can’t go or are all limited, then short of McCarthy putting the team on his back and delivering a Heisman performance of his own I just don’t see a realistic path to winning.