Four unbeaten teams - who will fall next?

Submitted by Amazinblu on December 8th, 2023 at 2:41 PM

The regular season and conference championship games have come and gone.  Four (4) teams have navigated it with an unblemished record.   As we all know, Georgia fell in the SEC CCG on Saturday.

Which team(s), if any, will fall from the ranks of the unbeaten?   Here’s the list – and the opponent.  The unbeatens are bolded with their AP ranking in parentheses.  The action begins in just over three weeks.

 

Florida State (4) vs Georgia (6) – Orange Bowl – December 30th, 4:00 pm

Liberty (18) vs Oregon (8) – Fiesta Bowl – January 1st, 1:00 pm

Michigan (1) vs Alabama (5) – Rose Bowl – January 1st, 5:00 pm

Washington (2) vs Texas (3) – Sugar Bowl – January 1st, 8:45 pm

 

My view is – Florida State and Liberty don’t survive this round of games.

What do you think?

jmblue

December 8th, 2023 at 3:16 PM ^

What would FSU have to gain by boycotting or protesting in any other way?  The playoff is going to be expanded next year, so the injustice visited upon them will never be replicated in the future.  

It's completely in their interests to play their hearts out, beat Georgia and claim a share of the national title.

jmblue

December 8th, 2023 at 4:20 PM ^

That's not the same.  Those teams will have 2-3 losses.  They could argue that they got a raw deal, but will have themselves to blame for being on the bubble.  

FSU this year had a perfect season.  They couldn't have done anything more.  That, we're never going to see again - an undefeated team from a power conference get shut out of the playoff.

ESNY

December 8th, 2023 at 6:12 PM ^

It would be amazing if they took three knees every possession. Make the game unwatchable and low rating just to fuck with ESPN. Game means jack shit and they can’t even pull a UCF and claim a championship cause they’d still be a game back.  Payback is a bitch. 

sdogg1m

December 8th, 2023 at 2:47 PM ^

Florida State has a shot at a claimed national championship if they beat Georgia and have a national selector pick them as their national champion. It is in their best interest to win. I think FSU wins.

Liberty is a loss.

Washington beats Texas 

We beat Alabama by 3

wolverine1987

December 8th, 2023 at 2:57 PM ^

Bowl games often go to the team that cares, not the team that is meh to be there. Normally I'd take FSU under this guideline, they have something to prove to the nation. But I'm not sure how they can beat GA even given this without Travis (or even with him). Again violating the guideline, Oregon likely doesn't care and Liberty does, but Oregon has such a talent advantage that I can't see them losing.

In the playoffs all four teams are highly motivated, I don't trust Washington's defense so I'll take Texas. And I retain enough BPONE scars that (ducks) I can't see us beating Bama. I know what the numbers say, but until I see us beat a top SEC team I can't believe in it. 

Amazinblu

December 8th, 2023 at 3:12 PM ^

No, I will not post this every week - though, I may repost it a few days before these bowl games kick off - since we'll probably know more about opt-outs, transfers, etc..   

There's little to talk about - besides the Contract, Transfer Portal, and usual things.  Hopefully, this thread doesn't distract the discussion from other topics of interest.

I do expect to post "bowl matchups" for discussions - by date, by conference, or a combination of the two as the actual bowls are closer to being played.

Go Blue!

NittanyFan

December 8th, 2023 at 3:40 PM ^

Not a bad anaology.

2007 Hawaii had three different down-to-the-wire wins against WAC teams that finished the regular season with a losing record, plus a down-to-the-wire win against a 4-9 Pac-12 team (Washington). 

2023 Liberty only had one of those type games - against a 3-9 just promoted to FBS Sam Houston State team.  But, man, the details on that one aren't good at all.  In a 21-16 game Sam Houston had a 1st-and-goal at the Liberty 3 with 1:22 to go.  They threw 4 straight incomplete passes.

I think 2023 Liberty's offense will outperform what 2007 Hawaii did --- but on defense, Liberty is very suspect.  High potential for Oregon to score a ton of points.

MIMark

December 8th, 2023 at 3:09 PM ^

I can frankly see Liberty beating Oregon. Their offense is tough as hell to defend. Oregon might have some opt outs but I bet Liberty is at full strength.

I can also see FSU beating Georgia. In fact I can see FSU dominating Georgia. Just tell all of FSU's players that if they beat Georgia worse than Alabama did and Alabama wins the playoff, then FSU can claim a national title. And they damn well should because they got screwed.

Perkis-Size Me

December 8th, 2023 at 3:34 PM ^

The Orange Bowl. Also known as the "Who Really Wants or Cares to be Here" Bowl. 

Guess it depends on who's sitting out for both teams and, perhaps more importantly, who really wants to be there. If FSU plays like it doesn't want to be there, they could get steamrolled. Especially if Georgia shows up ready to play, but if FSU comes out trying to prove people wrong and showing the committee made a mistake by leaving them out, then I'll say they have a chance. Georgia will have plenty of guys sitting out, and I'd be shocked if Bowers doesn't opt out. I don't think they'll have the kind of motivation to win that FSU does. 

Still, I'll take Georgia. 

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Only way Oregon loses is if they truly show up playing like it doesn't care to be there. Liberty will show up for sure, but Oregon should be able to outclass them in every phase of the game. Again, as long as they play like they even partially give a s**t.

If they don't, then who knows? 

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No idea what's going to happen in the Rose Bowl, so let's just go with the thing that makes me happy and say Michigan remains unbeaten. 

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Sugar Bowl is another game where I truly have no idea how its going to play out, but if you made me guess, I think there's something to say for Washington's "clutch factor" this year. They've been in plenty of tight spots and know how to navigate their way to a win. I thought Oregon would roll them last week, and I couldn't have been more wrong. I think Washington will have a very hard time running the ball, but that's not really what they want to do as an offense anyway. I think they'll have a lot of success through the air, and while Texas will as well, Washington just has that clutch factor. I'd take them in a 41-38 shootout, but Texas winning wouldn't shock me. 

Wolverine91

December 8th, 2023 at 3:44 PM ^

Idk I just looked at bamas depth chart and holy cow. 3 of their olineman weigh almost  360lbs. Their team overall is huge and fast. My gosh 

Tom in AnnArbor

December 8th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^

Way below my desire for a Mich win, I do hope FSU beats GA.

My guess is Washington loses a close one to Texas; Penix finally falls short in a late game drive.  Oregon pounds Liberty.