Better UM coach: Harbaugh or Carr

Submitted by michymich on September 15th, 2019 at 1:46 AM

I believe this is a legitimate question. Who would you want to lead the UM football program if you had to choose between Harbaugh or Carr. Both have their strengths and weaknesses.

This is a fair comparison in my mind.

 

Type amongst yourselves.

3x B1G Champ D…

September 15th, 2019 at 11:07 AM ^

The midwest was putting out a lot more talent back in the Carr days.  You have to give the nod to Carr as he faced Cooper not Urban.  That being said Jim has a lot of time left to write his legacy.

BlueMk1690

September 15th, 2019 at 11:36 AM ^

Ask again in 5 years. Carr's evaluation in 2002 would have been very different than his evaluation in 2007. Carr always had his critics but by 2007 those critics were like 90% of the fanbase.

Carr ran the program like an old U.S. corporate powerhouse i.e. U.S. Steel or General Motors. Pretty sure his book on leadership was built around that premise among other things. Now it's not entirely surprising that in the 21st century those corporations ran into some deep trouble just like we did.

We'll see about Harbaugh.

MoCarrBo

September 15th, 2019 at 11:41 AM ^

2003 Carr won @17 Minnesota, #10 Purdue, @ 9 Michigan State, and #4 Ohio State to win Michigans last outright Big Ten title. In a span of 6 weeks.

 

Again what has Harbaugh done in college matching that?

 

 

 

 

 

saveferris

September 16th, 2019 at 10:41 AM ^

He also lost @ #22 Oregon and @ #23 Iowa.  We also lost to eventual NC USC in the Rose Bowl, but I won't ding him for that because nobody was going to beat that USC team.  Michigan finished 10-3 and ranked 6th.  This is an odd example to cite because 2003 Michigan kind of embodies everything that was frustrating about Michigan under Lloyd Carr and isn't a pattern that is being repeated by Jim Harbaugh.

But if you want a rebuttal; Harbaugh defeated #15 Wisconsin, @ #24 Michigan State, and #14 Penn State in 3 consecutive games.  Michigan finished 10-3 and ranked 14th.  I think that comes reasonably close to matching your example.

If the argument is going to boil down to:  has won Big 10 title and has beaten OSU, then this whole thread is pointless.  It probably is regardless, but all the pro-Carr people are just pointing to a trophy record that doesn't correspond contextually to the current college football system that Harbaugh is operating under and folding their arms in satisfaction as if they've proven something.

I'll say it even more plainly.  If Lloyd Carr had to compete in a Big 10 where winning the conference required winning a division and a championship game, he would've won fewer championships.  If Lloyd Carr had to win a 2 game playoff system to claim a National Championship, he probably wouldn't have won any.

kalamazoo

September 15th, 2019 at 1:48 PM ^

Who has more accomplishments at Michigan? Carr.

Who could have performed better in the other's era? Harbaugh in Carr's era. (Yes, natty was great, but talking overall wins.)

Who do the players like more? Tie.

Who would I rather have then or now? Harbaugh -- despite his smashmouth run bias, he is more into innovation, strategic wrinkles, and seems willing to change (recognizes and appreciates great intelligence in others), which makes me watch with much more interest today, than when I was more into sports during the predictable Carr years. The only time Carr was exciting for me was when he would have a month to prepare for bowl games and could think outside the box.

Who is best at wasting time answering questions that don't help accomplish anything material? Me. I'll banish myself from this message board until GTD and deserving it.

Mattinboots

September 15th, 2019 at 2:04 PM ^

I think it is extremely difficult to compare these two eras. College football has completely changed. The recruiting pay sites, the always on national TV, the playoffs, the constant buzz all the time for the best players. It’s so much more saturation than 20 years ago. I blame the internet, Steve Jobs, and millennials for the Alabama and Clemson and OSU dynasties. 

ALeafOnTheWind

September 16th, 2019 at 12:03 AM ^

Feelingsball: Carr took over a program with significant institutional stability; Harbaugh had to take over one that was completely rudderless.

CEO: Carr hired mediocre coaches and refused to fire bad ones. Harbaugh has shown that he's willing to cut his buddies loose if they're not getting the job done. We'll see whether he gets more conservative as he gets older.

Numbers: Connelly had a thread in the offseason with charts showing a bunch of different teams' SP+ ratings over the years. It's early, but Harbaugh's teams have been better than Carr's on average.

So why does Carr have more hardware? In the first place, he was probably a bit lucky on the national championship. His tenure was nowhere near as good as Bo's, but Bo never won one. Second, Meyer's OSU teams were better than Cooper's. Once Cooper was out, Carr went (IIRC) 1-6 against OSU. Failing to beat OSU is really the only thing separating Harbaugh's teams from 2 probable B1G championships and playoff appearances. (As for this year, let's maybe watch some more football before we go into panic mode.)

Goblue228

September 16th, 2019 at 1:06 AM ^

For all the people who cite trophies, look at the record and actual games.  I'm not going to take away the NC but look at his other 4 big ten titles.  3 were co-championships with losses to Ohio State.  All 4 of them were 3 loss seasons.  2 of these were 3 loss regular seasons. Things are a bit tougher these days.

saveferris

September 16th, 2019 at 9:33 AM ^

Exactly.  See my comments below.  Boiling things down to a simple banner count without acknowledging any sort of context in how trophies were earned in the pre-division Big 10 versus today is beyond lazy.

Harbaugh shows a much more proactive approach to staff management than Lloyd ever did, which in the long term I think will serve us better.  He also had a much bigger reclamation effort coming in than Lloyd did and turned us into a consistent 10 win team.  Anyone who thinks Lloyd Carr would've taken a Michigan program that was coming off 7-6 and 5-7 seasons and would've immediately turned things around is kidding themselves.

Harbaugh over Lloyd and it's not even close.

saveferris

September 16th, 2019 at 9:23 AM ^

The comparison is unfair when you consider that Carr didn't have to compete in a conference organized into divisions and win titles outright in a championship game.  Lloyd is credited with 5 Big 10 titles, but only two of them are outright titles.  Of the three championships he shared, if we extrapolate based on current divisions of the then-11 team Big 10 (clumsy for sure), then we don't win the East in 1998 due to a loss to OSU.  We would play a rematch game against Purdue (to whom we'd already lost) in Indianapolis in 2000 and a rematch against Iowa (to whom we'd already won) in 2004.  How those scenarios play out is pure speculation obviously, but Carr's record would almost surely be less impressive than it currently stands.

By similar analysis, were we still operating under a single conference model, then Harbaugh would already have a shared Big 10 championship between OSU and Northwestern in 2018.  This compares more favorably to the 2 title and an NC that Lloyd has accrued in his first 4 seasons as HC.

It's intellectually dishonest to impugn Harbaugh for a lack of titles compared to Carr while ignoring the fact that it's simply harder to win championships in the current conference model and that Lloyd would've likely fared worse under such a system.

NoVA.Wolverine

September 17th, 2019 at 12:17 PM ^

This would be relevant if Harbaugh 1. Actually coached in a B1G championship game 2. Actually won his division. 

Neither have happened. 

Carr was 10-3 over MSU

Harbaugh is 2-2

Carr was 5-4 against Notre Dame

Harbaugh 0-1 

Carr 6-7 against Ohio State (ouch)

Harbaugh 0-4

Carr 9-2 over Pedophile U

Harbaugh 3-1 (hey look a winning record!)

Carr 7-2 over Wisconsin

Harbaugh 2-1 (should be 3-1 this weekend)

Carr vs top 10 teams 20-8

Harbaugh at Michigan 1-14

Carr In Bowls 6-7 (ouch)

Harbaugh at Michigan 1-3

For all the frustrations Carr gave me in bowl games and against Ohio... he was a class act as a coach, he was consistent, and his players would run through walls for him. We haven't had a good coach since.

harmon40

September 16th, 2019 at 9:49 AM ^

Carr’s record vs AP top ten teams was 19-9. Harbaugh would need to go on, what, an 18 game winning streak vs the top 10 to match that?

Also, Carr is the only Michigan coach in 70 years to win, or even play for, a national title. 70 YEARS.

For these reasons and for others, Carr should have the undying respect and gratitude of M fans everywhere.

That said...yeah, it was a different era. Harbaugh is fine, we just need to stay the course and M will be fine

saveferris

September 16th, 2019 at 10:13 AM ^

A very fair take, although we didn't really play for a National Title.  We won all our games and got voted National Champion; which doesn't diminish it, that was the mechanism in place for winning the NC in 1997.

Looking back at a hypothetical 1997 playoff between Michigan, Nebraska, Tennessee, and Florida State (consensus 1-4 teams in the AP and Coaches polls at the end of the season), it would be interesting to speculate how Michigan would've fared.

saveferris

September 16th, 2019 at 11:52 AM ^

We actually have some pretty compelling data that we can use for predictions.

Theoretical 1997 Playoff

#1 Michigan vs #4 Florida State

#2 Nebraska vs #3 Tennessee

Nebraska vs. Tennessee actually did happen in the Orange Bowl.  Nebraska annihilated Tennessee 42-17.  Michigan obviously never played FSU, but they did share a common opponent in Ohio State.  Michigan beat OSU 20-14.  FSU beat OSU 31-14 in the Sugar Bowl.  The fact that FSU beat OSU more convincingly than we did doesn't mean we'd lose that match-up but it would probably be a tough game.