Iowatch! Week 13 - Children of the Corn

Submitted by PopeLando on November 27th, 2023 at 9:49 AM

Public Service Announcement: now that Iowa is a future opponent, that means they can be added to Opponent Watch! We wants it. We needs it. Must have the precious…Opponent Watch. Iowa is as frightening as many things in this world, most of them hilarious, and we need to know about it! Just sayin’.

 

Intro:

Praise be the Football Gods, Iowa’s regular season is over. Next up is MICHIGAN in the B1G Championship Game, and then The [Somewhere] Fightin’ [Somebodies] in the Placeholder Bowl (my kingdom for an Iowa-USC matchup…). 

There have been a lot of ‘adaptations’ of the 1977 Stephen King short story “Children of the Corn.” I’m pretty sure everyone agrees that the 1984 movie was the best (hello Linda Hamilton!), but as far as I know nobody can agree which one is the worst. I’d personally submit the 2009 version as the absolute nadir of the ‘franchise’. Until now.

“Children of the Corn: Iowa Football (2023)” doesn’t have an IMDB entry yet, but the basic premise is that the demon He Who Walks Behind The Rows, who lives in the cornfields of Iowa but also travels with the team for road games, demands the sacrifice of anyone who intends to score more than 25 points per game in the season. “Offensive” “Coordinator” “Brian” Ferentz stars as the hero desperately trying to keep his players alive by sandbagging the offense, but we see various Hawkeyes disappear into the cornfields as they start to score more.

I was going to make a joke about how, in a twist ending, the entire audience dies of boredom…but if we can survive the 2009 Children of the Corn, we can survive 2023 Iowa Football. The season isn’t over yet. Brian Ferentz still has the opportunity to put up points before the demon takes him. But I think we can all agree that He Who Walks Behind the Rows has won this one...and that everyone who watched the games has lost.

Week 13 Update

One-Sentence* Summary:

The final couple minutes of this game were Peak Iowa Football. Ferentz The Younger, recognizing that every single dropback in this game was a scoring opportunity for the OTHER team, had Deacon Hill deliberately (you will never convince me that this wasn’t the plan…) throw a very safe interception with no return afterwards. Nebraska, knowing that there’s no way they’d win in OT, tried to win in regulation. That means passing. That means Chubba Purdy, once and future Nebraska QB, throwing the ball DIRECTLY to an Iowa linebacker, with a solid return afterwards. That means a game-winning Iowa “drive” that mostly had the goal of “one run then center the football and let the kicker win it”. Game Iowa. Just like you draw it up.

Iowa-Nebraska is all about corn bragging rights, and the annual football game to determine whose corn is better resulted in a clear decision: Iowa corn over Nebraska corn, 13-10. Why Iowa-Nebraska doesn’t have the Corn Rows Trophy, I’ll never know. Missed opportunity guys. The Deacon wrapped his regular season by passing 11/28 for a gentleman’s 94 yards and an INT. I’d say that their 163 rushing yards carried the day for Iowa…except for their somehow-still-standing defense, who just need a nap, just a short nap, then they’ll be good to go again.

Here’s a fun fact: Old Frenemy “Leading Receiver” Erick All, out for the last 5 games, STILL leads the Hawkeyes in receiving yards and TD receptions. Luke Lachey, out for the last 9 games, is STILL second in yardage.

Stop, Stop! He’s Already Dead

Once again, I’m going to gibber at the O/U for this game: 24.5. Result: under.

That’s 3 points lower than the previous “lowest line in the history of college football”, 27.5, which was set just 2 weeks ago vs. Rutger. Which ITSELF was 3 points lower than the previous record, 30.5, which Iowa set TWICE this year. Which itself was 1 point lower than the previous record, 31.5 which Iowa set twice (and Army equaled once lol) over the past two years.

Iowa has delivered on the Under for every single one of those games. Including this one! But considering that a single additional point by either Iowa or Nebraska would have hit the Over, I think Vegas has FINALLY figured out Iowa: record-setting lack of scoring.

Oooh here’s some fun math: if Iowa scores LESS than 32 points over their next two games, their PPG average will be LOWER than last year! Do we think they have 32 points or more in them? [I didn’t know this until right now, but last year both Rutgers and Northwestern scored LESS than Iowa. Oof. Oooooof.]

Punting is Winning

It took me literally all season to realize that this section should have been titled “punting is winning” all along. Sorry about that. So let’s catch up on Iowa’s punting/winning stats: 80 punts for 3803 yards. That’s 847 more punt yards than offensive yards. (The NCAA gives Iowa credit for 1 more punt and about 37 more yards than Sports Reference does. Weird.)

Iowa is the puntingest team in College Football, 436 yards ahead of the runner-up Navy. If punting is winning, Iowa wins running…er…punting away.

RB Receptions are Moneyball, Dammit

Iowa won this game because of the 3 receptions for 21 yards that went to their RBs. This is fact. Don’t worry about context. It is known.

On the season, Iowa’s 144 RB receiving yards is slightly less than 2/3 of Donovan Edwards’ production.

One-Phase Football

BACK IN THE SADDLE! The Iowa defense regains their rightful place as King of Gondor (at the expense of Michigan dropping to second – I guess everyone needs a good Regent and you could do worse than Faramir, Captain of Gondor, who showed his quality many times), and the Iowa offense hits a season-low 124th in the nation. A 123-place SP+ Gap would have sole possession of 4th in the “Most Mismatched Offenses and Defenses in College Football History” standings. Guys. Guys. This might be happening.

Hey, It Could Be Worse

It WILL be worse. Iowa is definitely going to exit the Championship Game with a worse offensive rating than they have now. And defensive rating. HARD dose of reality on the horizon.

And I would be remiss if I didn’t mention Nebraska, with an SP+ Gap of 114, and “Inverse Iowa” USC with an SP+ Gap of 108. Ohio (NTO) and “Inverse Iowa” North Texas round out the collection of teams with SP+ Gaps greater than 100. Gotta hand it to North Texas as the spiritual True Inverse Iowa: they have the absolute worst defense in all of college football.

I will, however, continue to pound the table for an Iowa-USC bowl game.

Comments

PopeLando

November 27th, 2023 at 9:50 AM ^

You know how the Bro Code dictates that “thou shalt not root for thy fantasy team over thine actual team”? I feel that conflict (inner Vader voice: “there is no conflict.”). I want Iowa’s defense to remain very very good and their offense to get much much worse. But Kirk “Can’t Be Bothered” Ferentz needs to learn a lesson: Michigan needs to blitzkrieg Iowa like a bunch of methed-up Germans going through Ardennes – wait, have I used that simile before? I feel like I have…

Either way, Go Blue! Beat Iowa! Stay healthy while doing so!

[Rules for “thy” vs. “thine”: use thy before a consonant sound; use thine before a vowel sound. “Thy football team. Thine honor.”]

Charlton Banks

November 27th, 2023 at 10:36 AM ^

Congratulations! All of your agonizing efforts to put this column together has finally paid off.

I too have been caught up in following this crazy Iowa team and their weird offense. I have watched far more Iowa games this year than any football loving person should.

The fact that this team is 10-2 (should be 11-1) really highlights the B1G division imbalance.

Thanks for putting this together every week! Hopefully the next edition (if you bother to write) has even more hilarity.

PopeLando

November 27th, 2023 at 10:43 AM ^

Thanks! I wish that Cade and Erick were healthy for this game, but it's honestly funnier that 1) their current team got to the title game without them, and 2) their former team got to the title game without them (again). 

I don't think that Iowa will be the same team next year. Without the B1G West, will Iowa's defense be THIS good? Doubtful. And "teams that are mediocre all around" just aren't as interesting nor funny.

I would love to do this next year, but dude people just don't read Diaries. Maybe I can just post it on the message board and deal with the fact that it'll run its course in an hour? Readership has fallen off big time, and I can't blame folks: Iowa has ONE schtick that they play on repeat.

PopeLando

November 27th, 2023 at 11:20 AM ^

I REALLY appreciate everyone who's engaged with this series. I used to be a pretty good writer, but haven't been able to flex my muscles for quite some time, so this felt good.

I remember either Brian or Seth saying that the front page gets the lion's share of the traffic, and the number of MGoBlog users who go to the Message Board is relatively much smaller. Gotta imagine that the number of people who even glance at Diaries is miniscule.

This also is about as far from clickbait as possible. It doesn't address our current attention-grabbers. It appeals to none of our gamification instincts. It isn't even about Michigan, fergodsakes. 

Much like Iowa Football itself, it takes a special person to actually ENJOY this :)

EGD

November 27th, 2023 at 12:41 PM ^

I hope you continue posting it as a diary. I have been digging the series and don't always have time to look at the message board.

If there has been a decline in interest, I suspect part of the reason may have been the in-season announcement that Brian Ferentz wouldn't be retained. Kind of sapped a lot of the drama around a guy coaching for his job. 

At any rate, thanks for keeping these going throughout the season. Has definitely contributed to my enjoyment of this college football season and I suspect that of many others as well.

Brimley

November 27th, 2023 at 2:40 PM ^

USED TO be a pretty good writer? Present tense, sir.

I'm guessing the declining number of readers can be tracked directly to the OUTRAGE, wherein Michigan's success is the product of CHEATING and the NCAA will doubtless vacate ANY victories over (insert team name here; ironically not Iowa). Even the most rational of us were astonished by the level of vitriol over the equivalent of a ticket in a speed trap (no, we shouldn't have done it, but is this really 25 to life level shit?) and hit the many, many, many posts about that first. Hopefully, we're about done with that crap. So, please keep doing this. It's fun.

Now, I need to release my grouchy old man (hence Brimley) and unleash on the short attention span theater population who proudly drop tl/dr on anything more than a paragraph. I'm reminded of Michael (Jeff Goldblum) in The Big Chill who says his job at People is to write something folks can get through in the average shit. There's nothing wrong with average shit time stuff, but there's a whole world of stuff you can enjoy and learn from if you read somewhere else and devote a little time to.

Time to yell at clouds.

PopeLando

November 27th, 2023 at 2:57 PM ^

Thank you for the compliment! 

Yeah. Tough to compete with a scandal. Especially when the national media latches onto it and accuses our team of everything from their daughter's parking ticket all the way to the Kennedy Assassination. Righteous outrage drives clicks, and pissing off Michigan fans is a tried-and-true business model.

When I start making money writing about Iowa football on a Michigan blog, I'll let you know lol

Blue@LSU

November 27th, 2023 at 9:06 PM ^

This has been one of my must read weekly features. I haven't commented much recently because this semester's been kicking my ass (never assign weekly papers!). But I always make sure to read it. Thanks for sticking to it all year!

Question for next year. Which do you think will regress the most from this year to next year: Iowa's defense or USC's offense? 

mi93

November 27th, 2023 at 11:33 AM ^

Corn bragging rights is really a no-contest...Nebraska wins.  If you like to make it the old fashioned way (kernels, oil, stove top), order some online.  If you have to go to or through Nebraska, pick some up.  It's really phenomenal.  I'm a popcorn snob.

Also, talking about popcorn is far more entertaining than watching either Iowa or Nebraska "play" "football".

Great posts all season, your Highness.

JMo

November 27th, 2023 at 11:56 AM ^

The 13-week long game plan finally pays off! Iowatch officially becomes our Michigan Mondays and we didn't even know it was happening!  :)

Wolverine In Exile

November 27th, 2023 at 11:57 AM ^

Iowa has punted for more yards than all but one Steve Spurrier at Florida QB had passing yards in a season. (Rex Grossman, 2001, 3896 yds passing). With likely two games remaining, Iowa is all but guaranteed to surpass that. Punting is Winning, indeed.

gbdub

November 27th, 2023 at 12:46 PM ^

This has been my favorite user-post series all year and my favorite not Seth and Brian thing since the mid season demise of Opponent Watch. Well done sir. 

Other great stat I heard: over the last two years, Iowa is 11-2 when they punt more than 8 times. 

Also, every single quarter of the Oklahoma / TCU game featured more points scored than the entire Iowa / Nebraska corntest.

PopeLando

November 27th, 2023 at 1:09 PM ^

Thank you! I miss Opponent Watch desperately.

(and honestly I wouldn't mind filling in on Opponent Watch, but judging by the excerpts that Brian takes from Iowatch for his weekly game column - and today he didn't take anything at all - I don't think my humor is his thing.)

Chris S

November 27th, 2023 at 1:42 PM ^

Tremendous (in a Lloyd Carr voice) insight my guy. Spotting such a revolutionary strategy of Let Them Intercept a Pass So We Can Intercept Their Pass to Gain Field Position is genius.

I enjoy reading these every week!

NeverPunt

November 27th, 2023 at 3:11 PM ^

Their average points in B1G play are quite a bit more abysmal than even these numbers show. If you toss out that 41 points they put on WMU (a 4-8 MAC team) and 24 points they put on Utah State (6-6 in the Mountain West), and Iowa St. you see the true futility of their offense in all its glory. 

14.5 points per game in B1G play (defense and special teams scores included). and they were 7-2. UN-REAL. 10.5 points per game shy of the Brian Ferentz Line.

Imagine for a second if Brian had pulled it off - 25 points per game...

PopeLando

November 27th, 2023 at 8:58 PM ^

I think they’re legit GOOD, but my theory is that the terrible offenses in the B1G West takes them from good to great. They might be borderline great anyway.
 

They’re like an assembly line: take a decent recruit, train him in the same system year over year over year, and deploy him as a fully weaponized upperclassman. Their defense is full of players who know EXACTLY what they have to do in any given situation, and what we might consider complex is their bread and butter.

NeverPunt

November 28th, 2023 at 11:59 AM ^

They are a well prepared, well coached defense that plays a conservative Cover 2, mixes up coverages well, and plays disciplined hard-hitting defense while developing their talent really well. 

They tend not to give up big plays, they make you work for every yard, and their coverages tend to make it hard on inexperienced QBs, leading to INTs. Also their special teams help put them in great position and flips field despite their offensive futility.

Also they play in the B1G West. 

As was the case a couple years ago, the key to beating them is moving the ball consistently, taking advantage of the few opportunities they give you, and don't make mistakes. Punting is winning vs Iowa so long as you get to the endzone early a few times. Virtually any lead against Iowa is basically insurmountable for them if you don't turn it over and have a very good defense. 

oriental andrew

November 28th, 2023 at 11:43 AM ^

I heart Iowatch

Fun fact - apparently, Brian Ferentz has stopped wearing anything with the Iowa logo/branding since his firing. He's gone all black as if he's in mourning for the Iowa offense and what could have been. 

Brian Ferentz Iowa

Rutgers v Iowa

 

PopeLando

November 28th, 2023 at 11:55 AM ^

In my mind, when the AD told him he was fired, Brian Ferentz figured that he was done that day.

But then the AD was like, “in punishment for your crimes against the Endzone Gods, you must CONTINUE to be our OC for the rest of the year!”

And Brian was like, “can’t I just go home and take a nap?”

And the AD was like “NO! You must reap what you have sown.”

And B-Fer wept, for he knew that this was just.

Michifan

November 29th, 2023 at 11:29 AM ^

Michigan gets the boa constrictor comparison for slowly choking the life out of a team. Iowa is more like the Snorlax from the early Gameboy Pokémon games that is sleeping on the path. They won't attack you, but they aren't going anywhere and will stay in your way until you make them move.

ONEarm

November 29th, 2023 at 1:25 PM ^

Iowa's offensive ineptitude is just remarkable to me. Pulling out the insane stats, like All's and Lachey's receiving numbers vis a vis the rest of the team is mindblowing. Thanks for pulling this together!

I couldn't help but pull some numbers together as I thought about the disparity between the top 3 teams in the East vs. the West, to get a better idea of the gulf we're looking at that allows Iowa to win that division. I tallied up the scores for the crossover games for UM, OSU, and PSU this year and here's what it looks like:

Big 3 average points per game: 38
West opponents: 8.4

The closest score was OSU's 24-10 win at Wisconsin, followed by PSU's 30-13 win over Illinois. Aside from those two nailbiters, every other game was won by four scores or more.

Average margin of victory:
UM: 36
OSU: 27.3
PSU: 25.3

While nostalgic me will miss the divisions, I'm also looking forward to a more competitive league as the gulf between the current haves and have nots is really massive. 

I also grabbed the final scores from the championship game since switching to the East/West alignment and here are those numbers:

Average scores:
East: 36.2
West: 16.1

After the first blowout 59-0 OSU win, the next three games were all one score affairs, with margins of 3, 7, and 6 points. Since then, the last five games have all been at least two score victories with an average margin of 21.2.