This Week’s Obsession: Assistant 180 Comment Count

Seth

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Nuss went from sense-bringing savior to Brandon crony really in one trip to South Bend. And he didn’t even make our list. [Fuller]

The Question:

The assistant you changed your opinion on the fastest, negative or positive? Note: this was inspired by a conversation about Durkin, whom nobody took. In fact we probably left a lot of answers on the table in trying to avoid the obvious.

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The Responses:

Adam: I was on the fence when Jedd Fisch was hired; he hadn't spent more than two seasons anywhere since his time as an assistant QB/WR coach with the Ravens from 2004-2007, and his stints as an offensive coordinator in college and the NFL yielded uninspiring results. One need only look as far as his Hello post to see that advanced stats weren't kind to his tenure as a college or pro OC outside of one shiny FEI number in 2011.

You shouldn't judge based on a limited data set, and Fisch's work is a reminder why. Jake Rudock, already a pretty good quarterback when he got to Ann Arbor, saw his completion percentage rise 2.1% and his yards per attempt rise 0.7 yards to 7.8 from 2014 to 2015. The Harbaugh caveat applies, but the receivers also made big year-to-year improvements.

[After the jump: another thinks—we had them coming]

Amara Darboh's catch rate rose 6.7% and his yards per target increased by 0.5 from 2014 to 2015 to a total of 7.6 YPT. Jehu Chesson's catch rate didn't rise as much as Darboh's (up 4.2% to 62.5% in 2015), but his yards per target jumped a massive 3.2 to 9.6 YPT in 2015. RYPR, a Bill Connelly measure that looks at a receivers production, how important they are to their team, how good the team's passing game is, and how often the team passes, was not kind to Darboh (201st overall) and Chesson (665th) in 2014. By 2015, both players were basically in the top 50, with Darboh 53rd overall and Chesson jumping up 620 spots to 45th.

From Fisch admonishing Harbaugh to run a play that wasn't on the call sheet that ended up winning the game against in Indiana in double OT to the "good shit, Jedd" gif to the efficacious screen game for which Harbaugh heaped praise on Fisch, the year ended with his one-year contract as cause for concern, not celebration.

All of the advanced stats provide strong supporting evidence but don't consider the most important number: two, the number of years Fisch's contract was extended a few months ago. Using the Indiana game as the point where my opinion had completely flipped, it took only 11 months to go from thinking his title was a fancy way of saying he's a WR coach to viewing him as either the de facto offensive coordinator or co-OC and as responsible as anyone for the offense's growth.

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David: Lavall Jordan was hired by John Beilein after the disastrous 09-10 season.  That season went down in flames and in order to save his job, Beilein completely remade his staff.  He poached Jordan from rival Iowa, who also had a mediocre season. 

Though not highly-touted, Lavall came to be known as a "guard developer."  He started off very quickly turning Darius Morris into one of the best guards in the B10.  His PPG went from 4 to 15, APG from 2.4 to 6.7, and his 3FG% from a paltry .179 to an increased .250, including All-B10 honors.  It might have worked too well and Morris left after his sophomore year to go to the NBA.

Guys that followed include: Trey Burke, Nik Stauskas, Caris LeVert.  Burke went from a PSU-bound 3* to POY and a Top 10 NBA draft pick.  Stauskas was a lot higher rated, but after blowing up in his sophomore year, he followed the 2 years and out trend and also became a Top 10 pick in the draft.  LeVert was a little different.  He wasn't as coveted as the previous few guys, but still has a lot of potential for a post-March class-filler.  LeVert returned for both his junior and senior seasons, but neither worked out for him health-wise.  It remains to be seen where he'll get drafted, but after his junior season he was talked about as a borderline lottery pick. 

Over the last couple seasons, you could see the development in guys like Rahk and Irvin.  Rahk came in as a super raw athlete and has turned into...maybe Michigan's most well-rounded player?  Irvin also has grown his game from Just A Shooter to a bit of a drive-and-kick player.  Jordan won't be around for the end of either of those careers, but their progression has been easily noticeable.

Lavall Jordan was considered for the Butler head coaching job a few seasons ago.  He was ultimately passed over, but UW-Milwaukee finally came calling in early April.  He has done a lot for Beilein and Michigan in his six seasons and certainly deserves and opportunity to see if he can run his own ship.  It also works well for Michigan because when Beilein retires in the not-too-distant future, Michigan should have some indication of what Jordan looks like making all of the decisions.

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Seth: I may be betraying my own folly here but, well, West Virginia's pass defense was ranked 2nd in S&P+ in 2007, and ​Tony Gibson​ had turned Ryan Mundy into an NFL prospect in a year after three of that guy wandering lost in Michigan's defensive backfield. It was 2008, and we were young and in love with Rich Rod's modernization mandate, Barwis's wolves, and advanced maths, and I clung to that ranking which probably had a lot to do with Jeff Casteel's diabolical blitzes.

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Before “Never Forget” starting taking its toll we got a preview of 3-3-5 hell on the day RR put Gibson in charge. [via DetNews]

Through much of 2008 the only major hit to my inflated rating of Gibson's stock was when Juice Williams turned Michigan's entire defense into a twitching pile of goo. By Penn State Donovan Warren had perceptively checked out, and they were doing panicky things like inserting Cissoko.

Then came Purdue, when the defense suddenly switched to a 3-3-5 stack that didn't cover out routes. Since Shafer was a 4-3 guy his whole life, and Gibson was the chief representative of the West Virginia Party, it didn't take long to deduce there'd been some sort of coup, and who was in charge. In the UFR Brian openly asked...

>"Is Gibson completely inept or something? He was one of the two guys who made an appearance with Rodriguez at his first Michigan press conference (Magee was the other) and therefore is subject to accusations of Debordian cronyism from the skeptical; he and Rodriguez have been joined at the hip for a long time. West Virginia fans were mostly glad to be rid of him."

I made my name with a series documenting the personnel problems underlying the "Never Forget" era of Michigan's secondary, and Lloyd's players and staff can shoulder as much of the blame for rejecting the transplant as Rodriguez's staff. There's also recruiting Denard to Michigan, and Gibson has done very well as WVU's defensive coordinator (with an underrated assist from now-UCLA DC and onetime Paterno heir apparent Tom Bradley). But if we're talking about dramatic changes in perception, nobody can match the drop from unreasonable high to unfair low that Gibson undertook in November 2008.

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Ace I was a freshman in 2006, the year defensive backs coach Ron English took over as defensive coordinator from Jim Hermann. This was before I followed position coaches much at all, so for me, English entered with a clean slate.

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Back when Ron English ended a dominant season with a total misfire at Ohio State it didn’t earn you the Maryland job. [via MGoBlue]

For the first nine games, the defense absolutely kicked ass. The run defense was impenetrable, the pass rush was fearsome, and Leon Hall was a great number one corner. I watched with glee from the student section as David Harris patrolled sideline-to-sideline, Shawn Crable mad storked his way around blockers, and LaMarr Woodley killed people. While Michigan’s offense wasn’t bad themselves, I couldn’t wait to see English’s vicious cohort of demons get back on the field.

In an oddly timed non-conference game, a 3-6 Ball State squad came to Michigan Stadium for what would be undefeated Michigan’s final tune-up before The Game. While the defense didn’t exactly falter, they allowed BSU to hang around; at the time, most figured the too-close-for-comfort 34-26 win was simply a product of the team looking ahead to Football Armageddon.

Instead, it was a harbinger of doom. Instead of a heated defensive battle, The Game quickly turned into a shootout, and it revealed just how little Michigan was prepared for the new era of spread offenses. All year, the defense had crushed a series of pro-style plodders, but English had no idea how to counter OSU’s three- and four-wide sets with Troy Smith taking snaps.

In the waning moments of the first half, the Buckeyes—already up a touchdown—drove deep into Michigan territory. OSU emptied the backfield, sticking future first-rounder Anthony Gonzalez in the slot. English decided the best way to defend this was to put Chris Graham, a 230-pound inside linebacker, in man coverage on a NFL-level slot receiver. You’ll never guess what happened next.

Ohio State shredded Michigan to the tune of 7.2 yards per play. In the Rose Bowl, USC ripped apart the secondary in the second half to cruise to a win. The next season, Michigan played their first two games against modern spread offenses.

I’ll spare you the details. Needless to say, I was no longer a fervent Ron English supporter.

Comments

turd ferguson

April 27th, 2016 at 4:59 PM ^

Jedd Fisch is fucking great.  As Adam said, a lot of that is Rudock's and the WRs' development, but Fisch has also been an excellent, very active recruiter.  I thought he might treat this as his latest quick stop - and a disappointing one after losing the Jacksonville job - but he's been as active with recruiting as any coach on staff.  It seems like Fisch, Wheatley, and Partridge are the names that come up most with recruits.

ABOUBENADHEM

April 27th, 2016 at 6:09 PM ^

the whole is greater than the sum of the parts.   In other words, Fisch is good for UM because he is an excellent sidekick fit to Harbaugh (they just seem to have good chemistry and seem to enjoy working together), but as a standalone HC or OC without Harbaugh you'll get less than you'd expect from Fisch.

bj dickey

April 27th, 2016 at 5:14 PM ^

The best answer is Rich Rodriguez. (I understand he might not have qualified, technically, but since he has proven to be a pretty damn good offensive coordinator, and an epic failure as a head coach anywhere other than West Virginia, I would have nominated him anyway).  

Otherwise, I would have voted for every defensive assistant Rodriguez brought with him from West Virginia (though none of them appeared to be very qualified then, we at least believed in RR when he was hired -- or at least I did).  

bj dickey

April 27th, 2016 at 10:55 PM ^

They started 5-2 playing mostly cupcakes, and ended 6-6, and then beat New Mexico in a bowl game.  He was almost run out of there this year by the fans the last half of the season, and no one showed for their games the last half of the season.  They had a great year in 2014, going 10-4, and 7-2 in the PAC.  But in 11 and 12 they won onlyk 4 conference games, and in 15 only 3.  Their defense was nearly last in total and scoring defense last year.  Maybe somebody will offer him a position back home, but I'd guess his long term trajactory there after four years is on a serious downswing.   

 

funkywolve

April 28th, 2016 at 12:28 AM ^

While they've never won a conference title, I wouldn't say they've been a doormat.  They joined the conference in the late 70s.  The record of their head coaches since then:

Larry Smith, 48-28-3, 1980-86

Dick Tomey, 95-64-4, 1987-2000

John Mackovic, 10-18, 2001-03

Mike Hankwitz, 1-6, 2004

Mike Stoops, 41-50 , 2004-11

Until their string of bad coaching hires in the 2000's, they were anything but a doormat.

rob f

April 27th, 2016 at 10:29 PM ^

he was run out of town... FIFY. Herrmann, IMO, was allowed too many mulligans all because of that 1997 National Championship defense. Herrmann should have sent thank-you notes a long long time ago to not only Greg Mattison for recruiting and constructing that defense, but also to Charles and ALL the great defenders he had at his disposal that season. Without Charles and Glen Steele the following season that defense took a giant step back and generally continued to regress under Herrmann, never figuring out how to defend the spread, never able to contain mobile QBs even in non-spread attacks. We got away with it for years because our offense generally stayed potent enough to keep the D from being exposed, and because the D was generally mediocre rather than putridly awful year-after-year. Ron English finally took over and, while we still couldn't defend the spread, at least we improved otherwise. If not for '97, Hermann would have been gone at least a few years sooner.

funkywolve

April 28th, 2016 at 12:35 AM ^

The defense was actually fairly solid that year.  The offense shit the bed in the ND game - they had a chance to build a nice halftime lead but bumbled around instead.  Syracuse was a disaster.  The defense was the reason they went into the OSU game undefeated in conference play:  The offense was abysmal until the PSU game:

MSU 59-20

Iowa 12-9

NU 12-6

IU 21-10

Minny 15-10

PSU 27-0

Wisky 27-10

 

KungFury

April 27th, 2016 at 10:00 PM ^

Nuss reminded me of the douchehole offensive coordinator in the final season of blue mountain state. They both were far less competent than originally anticipated



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MAccLA

April 27th, 2016 at 10:33 PM ^

Scott Loeffler

I'll throw Scott Loeffler out there for a few reasons, but primarily because he's not a head coach yet. If you had asked me back in 2006, I would be pretty confident in predicting that he would be a head coach by now (or within ten years). It's a little surprising that he has had such a nomadic career. He was highly thought of working under Lloyd, plus I recall there being hope that he would be promoted to OC when Terry Malone departed after the 2005 season. In addition, remember that Lloyd Carr decided to hire him as QB coach instead of Harbaugh back in 2002. I guess it speaks more than anything to Carr's nonexistent coaching tree.

UMfan21

April 27th, 2016 at 11:52 PM ^

jim Hermann should get an honorable mention. 1997 national Champs and national assistant coach of the year, and within 9 years the college game passed him by.

Kreeker

April 28th, 2016 at 2:58 AM ^

I have to admit that I was a bit worried about him as the OC.  I've seen some of what he was able to do with Harbaugh in the past, but coming from being an offensive line coach to full time coordinator made me nervous about his ability to manage an entire offense.  Maybe I'm just thick headed, but what he was able to do this year, not just with our O-line, but the way our offense actually started to work was amazing.  I know he and Jedd are working together, plus HARBAUGH, but I'm still very impressed with this guy.  I hope he sticks around for a while.

nmwolverine

April 28th, 2016 at 7:38 AM ^

My son overlapped Richrod at UA for two seasons.  Was very excited about Richrod, thought he fit with UA perfectly.  The bloom has now worn off and he says he and others find Richrod a big disappointment.  Usual complaints, defense,etc.

Everyone Murders

April 28th, 2016 at 8:08 AM ^

Happy to be Wrong:  When Mattison came in my expectation was that he would be adequate but in no way energizing.  It seemed like he was opting for a lifestyle change, and while his NFL experience would help recruiting, his defenses would underperform.  Older guy stepping down from the NFL who had ridden the coattails of an extremely talented safety (Ed Reed) and a middle linebacker who was positively ... murderous.

For as long as we wandered in the desert overall the past ten years, Mattison consistently got the most out of his players and kept them positive even when the team results were not.  So he was a positive surprise even though I liked the hire.

Sad to be Wrong:  I was so sold on Nussmeier taking over the offense.  After Al Borges's ineffective approach it seemed that Nussmeier was just the tonic we needed.  Instead, he was uncreative and not particularly good at teaching the Michigan offensive pony more than a few tricks.

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