Someone's got him. [Patrick Barron]

Upon Further Review 2022: Defense vs Iowa Comment Count

Seth October 4th, 2022 at 4:49 PM

The UFR Glossary.

Substitution Notes: Edge was the most interesting; Morris and Upshaw were the starters and played 2/3 of snaps but Okie rotated in for 4-down fronts and outplayed McGregor and Upshaw. D.Moore came in to pass rush when Morris was inside. Paige started over Moore then rotated drives with Moten. CBs were the usual Turner/Green with Johnson spelling each for a drive. Sainristil came off for an extra DL when Iowa went to 2WR sets. LBs were mostly Colson and Barrett but Rolder and Mullings got in a little bit. Mazi Smith went almost the whole way (PFF missed that Goode was in late), with Jenkins and Graham his 5-2 mates (backed up by Benny) and Morris or Upshaw playing pass rush DT. Grant got one goal line snap.

Formation Notes: An "X" in the defensive formation means a DE split way, way outside. For example I'm calling this "Nk Split X"—because it's Nickel Split but the split edge (Eyabi Okie, on the top) is even wider than a Wide-9.

imageHow it began.

Spencer Petras called this setup "Hell."

imageHow it ended.

[After THE JUMP: A good nap, a bad quarter, and it's time to talk about Okie.]

Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O21 1st 10 Ace Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Run   Split Zone Graham 5 0.09
Graham(-2) eats a double and gets moved a couple yards downfield with Barrett stuck behind that. Smith(+0.5) gets off a block to tackle as the RB goes by.
O26 2nd 5 Flexbone 5-2-4 5-2 Split 1 fld Run   Counter Trey Barrett 1 -0.53
Teach tape for beating Trey. Morris(+2) blasts in the first puller to waste the 2nd puller and pin closed the gap. Graham(+0.5) came through his downblock to prevent a cutback, Barrett(+1) found his way into the mess and stuffed.
O27 3rd 4 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 5-1 Odd 1 press Pass 4 TE Out Sainristil Inc -0.35
M brings a LB and drops Okie into the flat to double the TE out everyone knows Brian Ferentz is throwing (RPS+1) at Sainristil(+2, cov+2) who breaks it up.
Drive Notes: Punt. 7-0. 8 min 1st Q. Iowa gets the ball back on their 9 with 3 minutes to the end of the Q.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O9 1st 10 Ace 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Run   Stretch Jenkins 3 -0.14
Jenkins(+2) does this virtually by himself, fighting through a double and getting the RB's foot. It's stuffed if Colson(-1) didn't get stuck on his block. He comes off but only after the RB's had a second to hop forward.
O12 2nd 7 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 press Pass 5 Rollout Moore Inc(+10) 0.69
Petras rolls left with an RB in front and Sainristil(+1, PR+2) comes up to pop and get a hand on him. Colson(+0.5) is coming up to pressure now and it's throwaway time since Green(+1, cov+2) has his WR covered and Moore's flopped like a Wisconsin center who just encountered air. Petras throws it nowhere near a receiver. RPS+2, this was so dominated the only way to get yards is cheat. Refs-2 buy the flop.
O22 1st 10 I-Heavy 5-2-4 5-2 Over 1 off Play-Action n/a PA Dig Colson 26 2.26
Gamesmanship (RPS+1) forces Iowa to use a TO as they try to change late and M has Graham slowly jog off the field. Colson(-2, cov-2) "drops to grass" instead of looking up the TE behind him. Has a shot at a pick if he's playing zone correctly. Instead it's a big conversion with 10 yards of YAC after.
O48 1st 10 Ace Twins F-Cross 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Run   Stretch Belly Barrett 2 -0.50
Backside TE kicks like it's split zone and they try to wash down Graham(+2, tackling+1), who delays the double enough that Barrett(+1) can hop backside cleanly. Graham also spun back to the gap. Moten(0.5) came down to be useful. RPS+1, M has three guys defending this gap.
50 2nd 8 Ace Heavy Jet 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 off Play-Action n/a Bootleg Barrett 8 1.21
Barrett(-1, cov-1) is flowing with the RB and too late realizes LaPorta is going to leak into the flat. Klatt blames Graham, who gets caught playing edge because Upshaw had to peel off on a WR as Turner has to bracket Lachey in Cov3. RPS-2 the heavy formation and motion got guys in weird jobs and could have hit big if Petras wasn't locked on LaPorta.
M42 1st 10 Ace Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 off Pass 4 TE Seam Colson Inc -0.91
Some upfield pressure but ball is out quickly because Colson(-2, cov-2) didn't carry the seam past 10 yards. Lachey is open, Petras overthrows. (Hat-2)
M42 2nd 10 Offset Wk 4-2-5 Nk Even 2 fld Pass 4 Rollout Hitch Green Inc -1.05
Green(-1, cov-1) is playing off and in so they hitch under him. Petras sails it (Hat-2).
M42 3rd 10 Empty 12 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 off Pass 4 Dig Paige Inc -0.93
Smith(+2, PR+2) comes through a double clean and had he not Morris(+0.5) and Okie(+0.5) are winning their pass rushes too. Petras has to throw at his 2nd read, a LaPorta dig that M has bracketed (RPS+2) so thoroughly that Paige(+1, cov+3) is watching LaPorta come in--if he looked at the QB he's got a pick here.
Drive Notes: Punt. 7-0. 1 min 1st Q. Next drive is at 8 minutes to the half. Wonder how Brian's charting's going.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Ace Twins F-Cross 5-2-4 5-2 Under 1 press Play-Action n/a Bootleg Paige 8 0.91
It works again as Paige(-1, cov-1) is hanging in a run gap forever. Hat+1 LaPorta really sells these well.
O33 2nd 2 Ace Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Over 1 off Run   Split Zone Paige 2 -0.08
Smith(-1) gets blown out by a double but Jenkins(+1) fills in behind him, sliding across the LOS with the LT. Paige(+1) flies in and sticks but they get the 1st by an inch.
O35 1st 10 I-form Heavy 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 off Run   Lead Stretch Benny (-10) -1.67
The LG has his hand outside Benny(+1)'s shoulderpad for some material holding. It's called! That's good because Colson(-1) let an OL pin release and pin him inside, and Barrett(-1) is babysitting Colson's gap and hiding behind Benny, which gets him whomped by the fullback, and Morris(-1) who's supposed to have the edge got washed and spun around by a double that ejected him outside the hash. Moore came to help so there's nobody until Paige past the 50.
O25 1st 20 Ace Return 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 bdy Pass 3 Dig Colson 19 3.05
LG jumps early (refs-1) and freezes thinking he's caught but the C snaps it. Smith(+1) runs through that guy at Petras but nobody else is close (PR-1) as M only rushed 3 and McGregor(-1) is being super cautious. Pass is open because Colson(-3, cov-3) dropped to grass again and didn't look up the next crosser when one dragged him to the opposite hash.
O44 2nd 1 I-form 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Run   Iso Graham 2 -0.33
Played right but Graham(-0.5) gets bowled over by the RG and Barrett(-0.5) is too small to hold up to a FB.
O46 1st 10 I-form 5-2-4 5-2 Under 1 fld Run   Lead Stretch Harrell (-15) -2.74
The silly penalty as the RT gets a teach tape cut block on Graham(-1) who goes down. Morris(+0.5) hopped over that and pursued but Harrell(-0.5) can't two-gap the edge like M asks their DEs to (It's hard!) and Jenkins(-2) got outflanked by the LT after Colson used himself up. Rather than flow and clean up Barrett(-1) takes a step upfield like he's going to shoot the gap which means this is going to the safety. That is Moore(+1) who flies down. Comes back on a ludicrous clipping call (Refs+3) that was called "Tripping" in the official PBP. It's not--it's a legal block. Also we have to hear about it the rest of the half.
O31 1st 25 Gun Trips 4-2-5 404 Tite 1 off Pass 4 Flag Sainristil 11 0.76
Clean pocket (PR-1) with Okie(-0.5) stoned on his wide-9 rush and though Smith(+0.5) is coming through the LG. Man coverage and M is playing soft for 2nd and long so not dinging Sainristil for loose coverage to bring up 2nd and 14.
O42 2nd 14 Gun Trips 4-2-5 404 Tite 2 off Run   Duo Smith 2 -0.41
Well hi kids! Smith(+1) breaks through his double after Jenkins(-1) got blown way out by his. But Okie(+2) fought through a TE to the RB and initiated the tackle, with D-Mo(+0.5) controlling the other edge.
O44 3rd 12 Gun Str H-Return 4-2-5 Nk Wide 2 press Pass 4 Slip Screen Upshaw -4 -0.64
You can see why his coaches keep playing him. Upshaw(+3) is lined up as the backside DT and is stunting with Smith but notices the OL to the frontside slipping out. He gets on one of their hips, and wraps up (tackling+1). Colson(-0.5) was in man on the RB and beat a block so he was probably still chasing this out well short of the 1st but no need.
Drive Notes: Punt. 10-0. 3 min 2nd Q. Hey Brian I've charted 20 plays over here. How many are you on?
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Kneeldown 5-2-4 5-2 Split 2 off Run   Fake Kneel Paige 6 0.00
Yes I’m charting the fake kneeldown; it's a play after all. Jenkins(+0.5) and Harrell(+0.5) closed off either side and Paige(+1) shot down to keep it to 6 yards.
Drive Notes: Time expired. 13-0. EoH. Can't believe Brian Ferentz spent practice time on this.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 I-Form Flex 5-2-4 4-3 Under 2 fld Pass 4 Sack Graham -9 -1.20
Caveat Nick DeJong but this is an awesome push-pull move by Graham(+3, PR+2, tackling+1) who beats the LG cleanly and gets Petras down. Coverage (cov+1) was good enough to get Petras to his 3rd read but Green fell down so he might have hit the 4th.
O16 2nd 19 Ace Twins 4-2-5 4-3 Over 1 off Pass 4 Dumpoff Colson 8 0.11
Jenkins(+0.5) gets a hand in Petras's face despite some callable holding. Colson(+1, cov-push) dropped to take away the TE seam and force a checkdown that's tackled quickly.
O24 3rd 11 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Racecar 1 press Pass 5 Dig Green Inc -0.13
Excellent design (RPS+2, PR+2) overloads the left side, taking out the LG with Okie and stressing the LT with Colson while Harrell(+1) slices through untouched. Petras has to throw while getting hit at a WR dig that Green(+2, cov+2) is dominating.
Drive Notes: Punt. 13-0. 13 min 3rd Q. Annoyance Level has been a solid zero all game. Keep Brian Ferentz!
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 I-Form 5-2-4 5-3 Odd 1 press Run   Lead Stretch Paige 12 1.03
Iowa wins the meat matchup (RPS-1) as Paige(-1) ends up the LB taking on fullback and gets plunked clean out of the gap. Jenkins(-1) got outflanked and Rolder(-2) shot the G in the same gap instead of catching the spill so this is Moten(+0.5) or six. Moten takes a careful angle to force the RB into Turner(+0.5) and limit the damage.
O37 1st 10 Ace Twins F-Offset 5-2-4 5-2 Split 1 off Run   Split Zone Rolder 2 -0.33
Jenkins(+0.5) keeps a double occupied but this is mostly Rolder(+2, tackling+1) peeking frontside then hopping around the RT. Clipped for season preview.
O41 2nd 8 Ace F-In 4-2-5 4-3 Over 1 fld Run   Stretch D.Moore 2(-17) -1.81
D-Mo(+2) sets up on the edge and comes inside then gets the RB's shoulderpad as he tries to hop outside too late. That should delay enough for others to rally but Paige got blindsided (Hat-2). Johnson(-0.5) was a bit late to react to the run and come down to the edge but didn't matter since Mullings(+0.5) got off his block and arrived to help. Flag for the blindside wipes out the play anyways.
O26 2nd 21 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 fld Pass 4 Deep Out Turner Inc -0.12
Sainristil shows blitz and Petras thinks he's got a free out vs zero but that was just Turner(+3, cov+2) baiting what could have been a pick-six/game over if he holds on. He doesn't. Poop. RPS+1.
O26 3rd 21 Gun Str Flex 4-2-5 404 Tite 2 off Pass 4 Sack Morris -8 -0.09
Morris(+2, PR+3) is the clearer on this stunt but the C has the protection set the other way after the Harrell event last drive (RPS+2). Morris overpowers the RG who's got a bad angle and gets Petras down.
Drive Notes: Punt. 20-0. 5 min 3rd Q. If Turner holds on the rest of this is garbage time. Instead a crap penalty on punt coverage and McCarthy's fumble/backwards pass set up Iowa in Michigan territory. Annoyance Level: 1.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
M44 1st 10 Offset I Heavy 5-2-4 5-3 Over 1 press Run   Counter Trey Barrett 6 0.30
Harrell(-0.5) is easier to run this against than Morris. He's kicked by physics and Barrett(+1) takes the same L vs the FB but came up to put that collision in the hole at the LOS, all you can ask of him. Bigger issue is Jenkins(-2) getting blown out by the RT/TE combo that gets to Colson instantly. Sainristil(+1, tackling+1) is in cleanup position.
M38 2nd 4 Offset I Heavy 5-2-4 5-3 Over 1 off Run   Lead Stretch Smith 3 -0.31
RG is trying to reach Smith(-1). He doesn't but Smith gives up ground to prevent it and lets the C get to Colson. Morris(+1) two-gapped the edge and Barrett(+0.5) popped the lead blocker to force a cutback. Graham(+0.5, tackling+1) comes off the LG and Jenkins(+0.5) kept up an engaged pursuit to pinch off the gap and hold to a short gain.
M35 3rd 1 I-Heavy F-Cross 5-2-4 Goal 1 press Play-Action n/a PA FB Leak Colson 17 0.84
Ha, Joel Klatt, you're wrong! He blames Harrell, but Harrell's got the edge while Colson(-3, cov-2) is the playside LB responsible for the FB. Colson abandons this for a fruitless pass rush where Jenkins(+1, PR+1) came through a double to allow Harrell unfettered access to Petras. RPS+2 if Junior doesn't abandon his post it's a sack on 3rd and 1.
M18 1st 10 Offset Twins 5-2-4 4-3 Over 2 off Pass 4 2 Verts Turner Inc -0.35
Smith(+1, PR+1) beats the bad LG again so ball has to be out but Turner(-2, cov-2) is giving up a huge cushion to this WR so he can't even contest a ball in the endzone. Also need Harrell(-1) to get a better chip on #2 so Moore is able to help. Throw is a little too hot and inside for a bad WR to adjust to it, possibly because of Smith's rush. Hat-2.
M18 2nd 10 Ace Z-Jet 4-2-5 4-3 Over 2 off Play-Action 4 Drag Colson (-15) -2.17
It's that drag under a pick that Iowa loves and I swear I'm not trying to put everything on this guy. M sent Sainristil off the edge which makes Colson(-2, cov-2) the curl/flat defender. He looks up the first TE but backs up and bumps into the clearout with his back turned when it's time to chop down on the crosser. Refs-1 also allow LaPorta some blatant OPI on Moore that the Michigan sideline is hollering about (this will be important later). Nobody in the flat means a big gain until Green comes down from Cov3. Comes back on a 100% unnecessary roughness on the T vs Sainristil. It looks like this is standing there telling him to let him go and he doesn't. Hat-3.
M33 2nd 25 Gun Trips RB 4-2-5 404 Tite 2 off Pass 4 Tunnel Screen Colson 3 -0.37
Dangerous as the WR gets around him but Colson(+1) read the play, set an edge, and got an OL to chase him. Smith(+2) comes all the way across to slam this down.
M30 3rd 22 Gun Str 4-2-5 Racecar 2 off Pass 4 Flag Sainristil 28 4.27
Clean pocket vs max pro (PR-2) on 3rd and 22 with Harrell(-1) blasted out by a failed stunt that just halts Morris as well. Sainristil(-3, cov-3) completely blows this coverage--he has outside leverage and help from Moore (high) and Colson (low) inside, but bites on a move then stumbles so nobody's there to contest. Moore(+0.5) gets Ragaini out at the 2 but can we stop giving up 3rd and 22 fellas?
M2 1st Goal Goal Line 6-3-2 Goal n/a Run   Lead Stretch Moten 2 1.16
Yes Harrell got held a bit (refs-1) but the real problem is Moten(-2) doesn't scrape over.
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 20-7. 14 min 4th Q. Annoyance level: 4.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O17 1st 10 I-form 5-2-4 5-3 Odd 1 press Run   Split Zone Moore 1 -0.41
Jenkins(+1) gets a double from the TE and RT and keeps his guy clean, Harrell(+0.5) pops the FB to prevent a big kickout and Moore(+1) squares up and sticks with help from Colson(+0.5, tackling+1).
O18 2nd 9 Ace Twins F-Cross 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off Pass 4 Flood Sainristil 10 1.09
Flood concept to the field. Turner points at Moten(-1, cov-2) to pick up #85 but he's late to do so. Colson(+0.5) sees this and gets a little more depth rather than chasing LaPorta. Sainristil(-1) also sees it and stops at the hash, so now we have three guys reacting to this TE and nobody on flag route to the WR. RPS-1: I think M was overcommitting to the TE game here.
O28 1st 10 Ace Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Pass 5 TE Seam Colson 34 2.76
Ain't even mad. Colson(+1, cov+1) is carrying LaPorta, is inside his shoulder, and gets a hand in the way but Petras lays this in there like it's Brady to Gronk. I do want him and Moore(-2, tackling-2) to get LaPorta down at the 50 not let him rumble inside the 40. Hat+2.
M38 1st 10 Ace Z-Jet 5-2-4 5-3 Split 1 off Play-Action 4 PA Drag Harrell 4 -0.08
The Ferentz Play I broke down in 2019. Moten is over #1, want to see Upshaw(-0.5) get more pass-rush against an RB but he is checking that guy for a release and does threaten finally while Graham(-1, PR-2) does not. Fortunately all options are covered so Petras comes back to 2 after his drag. Harrell(+1, cov+1) stops after 3.5 yards.
M34 2nd 6 Flexbone 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 0 press Run   Split Zone Jenkins -1 -1.04
Nobody deep, Iowa isn't testing it. LaPorta motions from Twins to Bone. Jenkins(+2) beats a double and forces a pop outside that Harrell(+1) cleans up.
M35 3rd 7 Offset Wk 4-2-5 Nk Wide 1 press Run   Split Zone Smith 9 1.50
This could have been a lot worse. Harrell and Smith don't seem to know the call and Michigan's still in its Racecar personnel with Upshaw at DT. Then Moten(-2) buries himself uselessly between the DTs, which leaves a massive cutback lane the RB fortunately doesn't see (Hat-2). Smith(-1) sees it and starts fighting that direction, but Colson(-0.5) ate a block behind him and the RB is able to squeeze past. Moore(-1) should be there but he inexplicably is heading to Colson's side when Colson is funneling to Moore. He corrects, but too late to prevent a first down.
M26 1st 10 Ace 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Play-Action n/a TE Tunnel Screen Moten 7 0.33
Goode in for Smith. Brian Ferentz (RPS+3) calls an 8-yard loss against man. Moten(-2, tackling-3) whiffs the tackle. Morris(-1) pulled up for a beat (already celebrating?) to prevent him from collecting, then gets stiffarmed but manages to trip LaPorta up after a decent gain. Turner hurt after the play.
M19 2nd 3 I-form 5-2-4 5-3 Odd 1 press Run   Lead Stretch Jenkins 0 -0.53
Smith returns. Jenkins(+2) gets into the RT, rides, then shucks when that guy runs into the FB that ran into Moore(+1) throwing all he's got at him. Graham(+0.5) did a better job this time of dodging the (legal) cut block.
M19 3rd 3 I-Heavy F-Cross 5-2-4 4-3 Over 2 press Run   Iso Graham 5 0.37
Left side goes a beat early (refs-1), which allows the LG time to get around Smith(-1) who gave up lots of ground on the C but couldn't stay playside. Graham(+1) flips the LG to his off shoulder which prevents the FB from getting out of the backfield and makes him turn on Graham instead, the LG is now into Colson and Smith can only set up past the 1st down marker.
M14 1st 10 Gun 12 Trips 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Play-Action n/a Bubble Screen Moore 6 0.18
Borderline if this is thrown behind the LOS and LaPorta straight-up blocking Johnson is legal or OPI. M sideline thinks it's blatant OPI (relevant soon). Anyway Moore(-1) is a little slow to replace so Ragaini can turn upfield and use his mass for a good gain.
M8 2nd 4 Gun 12 Trips H-Fly 5-2-4 5-2 Under 1 press Pass 4 Rollout Pick Moore 0 -0.38
Less question here as Johnson(+1) set up to trap a slant and the WR just runs him over (refs-1). Doesn't matter because Moore(+2, tackling+2) read what was happening and shot outside to blast LaPorta immediately. Refs+1 also set him a yard back from forward progress. RPS+1 you just taught him not to make this mistake.
M8 3rd 4 Offset Wk 4-2-5 4-3 Split 1 press Run   Split Zone Duo Okie 2 -0.18
Doubles get a lot of movement on Smith(-1) while Jenkins(+0.5) slanted through his double, not affecting the RB but removing a blocker. Barrett(+2) has read his Neck Sharpies, sees Smith doubled and shoots the gap while it's there just as Okie(+2) comes in unblocked from the backside and gets the RB's knees. Williams (Hat+1) manages to stumble forward for 1.5 yards when he should be stuffed.
M6 4th 2 I-Heavy F-Cross 6-2-3 Goal n/a Pass 5 TE Flat Johnson 1 -4.15
Lol. Hard to judge anything because Petras (Hat-2) throws it on the ground short of the sticks, perhaps hoping LaPorta can turn it up on Johnson(+1, cov+1), who read it and got around some sorta PI by the slot on Green to make it difficult to convert if accurate. Also they call the OPI.
Drive Notes: Turnover on Downs. 20-7. 5 min 4th Q. That was extremely annoying.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O42 1st 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Splits 2 fld Pass 4 Sack Morris -9 -2.40
Morris(+3, PR+3) times the snap, beats the RT outside and takes down Petras.
O33 2nd 19 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 fld Pass 4 Throwaway Morris Inc -0.25
Morris(+2, PR+2) goes inside the RT and hits Petras as he's trying to throw an outlet that Jenkins didn't even finish dropping into (RPS+1) on a three-man rush. Nobody was remotely open either (cov+2).
O33 3rd 19 Gun Wk RB 4-2-5 Nk Split X 2 fld Pass 4 Sack Okie -5 -0.16
Okie(+3, PR+3) splits waaaaaay out and dips waaaaaay down under the RT, gets a handful of Petras's jersey collar, and won't let go as he's pushed past and his arm is now crossing Upshaw and the guy blocking Upshaw. Petras is dragged along for the ride.
O28 4th 24 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over X 1 off Pass 4 Throwaway Okie Inc -3.86
Okie(+2, PR+3) lines up way outside again but this time Smith is playing DT in a 4i. The LG goes for Smith and Eyabi smoothly loops inside like he's running a WR route before the G can recover. RB released and the rest of the protection is stopping Upshaw and Harrell so there's nowhere to go. Petras tries to hop outside and chuck it at anyone but Okie's on him and the ball barely goes 5 yards.
Drive Notes: Turnover on Downs. 20-7. 2 min 4th Q. Next drive M is up by 3 scores and in prevent while Iowa bleeds away 90% of the remaining clock so we're not grading coverage.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun 2RB Twins Flex 4-2-5 404 Tite 2 off Pass 4 Dig Green 19 1.71
1:19, 1 TO. Morris timed the snap but LT anticipated outside rush (Hat+1).
O44 1st 10 Gun 2RB Twins Flex 4-2-5 404 Tite 2 fld Pass 4 Dig Turner Inc -1.16
1:02. Morris(+2, PR+2) gets points for this because he beat the RT outside again. Petras still got off a laser while getting hit but his WR drops it.
O44 2nd 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Even 1 press Pass 4 Deep Curl Green 17 2.39
0:57. Okie(+1, PR+1) fights through to make Petras zing this under pressure.
M39 1st 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Even 2 press Pass 4 Flag Sainristil Inc(+15) 0.46
0:40. Upshaw(-2) through but mostly ignored as this is a quick out that the WR drops. Then he takes two steps and pops Petras. Dude!
M24 1st 10 Gun Trips 4-2-5 Nk Even 2 fld Pass 6 Dig Johnson 19 0.80
0:36. House brought except a DE drops. Paige came from pretty deep (RPS is off) with Cov Zero behind it which is kinda silly since the ball's gonna be out before he arrives.
M5 1st Goal Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Even 2 press Pass 4 TE Curl Moore 5 1.83
0:13. Iowa wastes a bunch of time getting set. Pressure loops Okie and is picked up (PR-1). Moore is in position to break it up but the ball barely finds a spot under his arm.
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 27-14. 8 seconds left. Yada yada yada.

You can't just yada yada yada through their last drive!

Why not?

Because it annoyed me and I need something to panic about.

You do?

Yes. You said Iowa cannot offense. I saw Iowa in the Michigan endzone two times! This cannot be tolerated.

Whyever not?

Toleration leads to acceptability. Acceptability leads to lethargy. Lethargy leads to Columbus.

All roads lead to Columbus.

And if we can't shut down Iowa on the road?

Okay, enough of this. This was a good performance with a few bad moments balanced out by just-as-good moments. The Iowa offense's total EPA in this game barely cracked 1 point. Ratchet up your expectations for a bad Big Ten offense to higher than the UConn-Hawai'i-Colorado State line and this is a standard sleepy face-mashing that wouldn't look out of place in 2006 or 1986.

So there's nothing to worry about.

There's some nuance.

Nuance? Buddy this the Internet in 2022. Put it in a top ten or I'm not even clicking.

Top Ten Iowa drives in descending order of annoyance.

  1. 13-play, 78-yard drive that ended on 4th and 2.
  2. 7-play, 44-yard touchdown drive.
  3. 7-play, 49-yard drive that gets to a bad call & punts.
    ----------------LINE OF ACTUALLY ANNOYED---------------
  4. 5-play, 75-yard TD drive that ate up over 90% of the remaining clock.
    ---------LINE OF EVEN MODERATELY ANNOYED--------
  5. 7-play, 15-yard drive that only got to the Iowa 40.
  6. 3-and-out on Iowa's 1st possession.
  7. 3-and-out on Iowa's 1st possession of the 2nd half.
  8. 5-and-out that lost 7 yards.
  9. Lol at your fake knee.
  10. Two sacks, two pressures, turnover on downs.

Half of Iowa's drives went nowhere or backwards. The last drive turned a three-score game with 1:20 remaining into a two-score game with 8 seconds remaining. It was the fake kneeldown of drives, in that it had more to do with salvaging the perception of Brian Ferentz among Iowa fans than winning the football game, and in that Michigan was content to let them have it in return for running out the clock.

Realistically you should just ignore that drive and pretend the game ended on the last one.

Okay, I'm trying that.

And?

Ah

Ah?

Ah dip o' th' shoulder tae ye th'day, laddie!

Scottie! Shouldn't you be an unintelligible rhetorical device on some Ravens blog by now? David Ojabo is gone.

Is he noo?

That's Eyabi Okie. He's from Baltimore, not Scotland.

He's nae fae oklahoma either. 'n' anyway noo that a'm pairt o` yer process a'm feelin' entitled tae reappear whenever some lip player dips his shoulder lik' a teuchter gaun fur a tumbler o' milk.

Oh man, I'm with you. That clip right there is worth three UConn games as far as answering questions about Michigan's defense!

Put aside all the technical questions and how well he knows the defense for a moment, because when the NFL drafts this is what they're looking for. That's what scouts must've seen when they made this guy the #5 player in his class. That's what made Uche intolerable to offensive tackles. And most importantly, that's the #1 thing this defense has been missing from last year. Just marvel at this agility:

#18 way outside on the top of the DL

We are still talking niche pass rush abilities here, but that isn't what any other lineman on this team looks like when he's changing directions. Unscientifically, it looks like 0.5 seconds less time than an offensive lineman adjusting to a stunt should have to pick up the looper. 1 second less than some DL.

Me laddie Ojabo brocht a muckle mair than situationally runnin' bygae beffan tackles oan third 'n' twelve.

It's also not the only Okie thing we saw. All game they kept inserting Okie and he was wracking up the charting points.

Ye gie oot points? Shaw me!

Like Okie's final score?

A' o' th' lads if ye dinnae mynd. Mibbie ye kin the noo it as some sort o' tabulation?

Chart. Note: I'm reversing "Hat" scoring because it feels weird to hand out negatives when an opponent does something good and positives when Spencer Petras throws it in the dirt on 4th and 2.

Defensive Line
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Mazi Smith 8 5 +3 58 Doubles all day, maybe don't be Iron Man.
Kris Jenkins 11.5 6 +5.5 50 Got it in the face, gave it right back twice over.
Mason Graham 7.5 4.5 +3 30 Learned on the job, couldn't get him twice.
Rayshaun Benny 1 0 +1 4 One drive, got held on a stretch play.
Michael Morris 13 2 +11 33 Made the bad Iowa finally go away.
Jaylen Harrell 4 3 +1 39 Presence not felt.
Taylor Upshaw 3 2.5 +0.5 18 Can feel the coach love.
Braiden McGregor 0 1 -1 10 Probably wasn't his kind of opponent.
Eyabi Okie 10.5 0.5 +10 26 SPROOOIIIIIING!
Derrick Moore 2.5 0 +2.5 5 Quietly getting really good at non-flashy things.
TOTAL 61 24.5 +36.5 275 Eyabi Okie Day. (1 snap each for Grant/Goode)
Linebacker
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Junior Colson 4.5 15 -10.5 53 Maybe he thought grass was Petras's favorite target.
Nikhai Hill-Green 0 0 - 0 DNP
Michael Barrett 5.5 3.5 +2 42 Way more aggressive!
Kalel Mullings 0.5 0 +0.5 7 No notes.
Jimmy Rolder 2 2 - 7 Play 1: Wrong gap. Play 2: Right gap (same gap).
TOTAL 12.5 20.5 -8 109 Spot dropping is not zone coverage.
Secondary
Player + - T Snaps Notes
DJ Turner 3.5 2 +1.5 52 Stayed away from him, almost pick-six.
Mike Sainristil 4 4 - 35 One big bad thing against lots of little good things.
Gemon Green 3 1 +2 44 Also avoided most of the day.
Will Johnson 2 0.5 +1.5 14 Did fine.
Rod Moore 5.5 4 +1.5 49 Missed a funnel, missed some tackles, still a rocket.
RJ Moten 0.5 7 -6.5 39 Got LaPorta'd in the LaPorta.
Makari Paige 3 2 +1 43 Might have moved ahead of Moten.
TOTAL 21.5 20.5 +1 276 Most negatives were one big florp per guy.
Metrics
Player + - T Notes
Pressure 27 7 +20 A lot of this was late in the game (duh).
Coverage 17 21 -4 Soylent Green isn't people.
Tackling 9 5 +4 +Iowa RBs are just guys, -LaPorta choo choo = 2.
RPS 19 4 +15 Brian Ferentz = coordinator bye week.
Hat Tip 5 15 -10 Reversing this: + is good for them, - is when Iowa blew it.

Ten points in twenty-six snaps is guid aye?

Aye, and furthermore I'm starting to believe the answer to that great preseason question "Who emerges at Edge?" is coming into focus. By my accounting Okie's now at +28/-3 on 68 snaps. He got more work in this game than any two others, and didn't take so much as a –1. Michigan's 2022 schedule isn't remotely good enough thus far to compare it to all of 2021 but at some point here I'm going to have to stop ignoring what's happening in my scoring.

For now—promising each other we're not going to take it seriously at this point—let's just look. Look. No talk…just look, okay? No talk. NO talk.

PLAYER Year + - Tot Snaps Pts/Snap
Jaylen Harrell 2022 33 19.5 +13.5 168 +0.08
Michael Morris 2022 45 5.5 +39.5 140 +0.28
Taylor Upshaw 2022 16.5 11.5 +5 95 +0.05
Braiden McGregor 2022 27.5 14.5 +13 83 +0.16
Eyabi Okie 2022 28 3 +25 68 +0.37
Derrick Moore 2022 23 2 +21 67 +0.31
PLAYER Year + - Tot Snaps Pts/Snap
Aidan Hutchinson 2021 323.5 37.5 +286 736 +0.39
David Ojabo 2021 139.5 42.5 +97 514 +0.19

In defense o' mah laddie his scores earlie in th' seezin…

NO TALK.

Okay. The world hasn't turned upside down. The most important pieces of context are 1) No 2022 opponent would be in the top two-thirds of difficulty against 2021's slate, and 2) Michigan is being extremely selective with how they deploy their two newest edges, so UFR points per snap is highly unfair to the guys getting nothing for doing important standard down jobs.

What the scoring does say is Okie is ready for more responsibility, and is starting to get it. Michigan wasn't about to have Okie replace Harrell as the DE/LB versus Iowa's I-formations, though they trusted him enough to have him dropping into the flat on 3rd and 4 of Iowa's first drive. Since under center 12 and 22 personnel were the bulk of Iowa's standard down offense, and the nickel only came out for passing situations, we can't say that Okie's really passed McGregor as the base nickel WDE. Still, passing downs Nickel DE is a thing.

This is a weird development because I thought we were being the sane people by saying his tape last year wasn't very good, he only got here late in fall camp, and Michigan's defense is complicated. To play it you have to be able to do things like set a high edge then come inside of it.

Ye mean lik' so?

#18 edge on the bottom

Aaaaaahhhhhh! Yeah, exactly so. Given it's 2nd & 14 the coaches probably weren't expecting this event, but he put it on film, and later they left him out there for a running down when THAT BEND was able to affect a crucial running play.

#18 DE split out at the top (under the CB)

There's still plenty we haven't seen him do, e.g. zone reads (not gonna happen vs. Iowa), and there are still moments you remember he's only been in Michigan since August. And I still caution that it's easier to use a guy who's supposed to be pretty raw when facing a simpler offense. Next week Michigan gets a Walt Bell offense and all the weird edge attacks he likes to concoct. It will be interesting to see how he comes out on the other side.

Before you go, is there a word in Scots for someone like Mike Morris?

Aye! We ca' this'n a "Chris Wormley."

Accurate. The first thing Wormley was known for around these parts was being a bane to tight ends and pullers. Morris has the same build and same tendency to wreck a play by chucking his mass into it.

#90 the edge on the bottom

Running gap plays off-tackle is the essence of football, attacking the spot between the beef and the guy responsible for contain the way old fashioned land battles came down to breaking through the spot between the edge of the infantry formation and the cavalry protecting their flanks. Mike Morris is the heavy cavalry turning back the thrust of your attack until it's now another obstacle.

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Iowa mostly had to run away from him.

He's also their most developed pass-rusher. Morris was the first half of the pass-rush-a-thon that ended Iowa's last real shot at points, and did it not so much by being naturally dippy as clever, strong, and quick. The first down sack started with Morris timing the snap. That's two extra steps he gets to get around the right tackle's feet, punch away the guy's arms, and meet Petras at the top of a nine-yard dropback.

With the RT set up, Morris next came inside, which is where he's a more effective rusher because his strength and technique can be brought fully to bear. The first couple of steps get the OT to widen, then Morris comes in with a chop/swim move. Once there, Morris is very hard to push off of his line.

This is getting into the weeds a bit but note Morris's inside foot as he finishes the swim move.

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Planting it out there is setting up for the OT's counter move, which should be to try to push Morris further inside where his QB can step around. You see that happen to Taylor Upshaw, Braiden McGregor, and Jaylen Harrell, and even Mazi Smith quite a bit when they come inside. McGregor in particular (probably because his legs are still true freshmen after his HS injury) has not yet taught his body unnatural tasks like planting a foot inside while his hands are engaged in punching and swimming.

Morris is there, and it makes him a viable pass rush threat, especially on the interior, which is why Michigan is using him as a tackle on obvious passing downs. This clip also helpfully shows outside rushes by Okie (bottom) and Upshaw (top) from earlier in the game.

If Petras escapes Morris there it's a lot of yards since he was supposed to be the guy freeing Smith on a stunt. The right guard tries to make that happen by pushing Morris off his line, and Morris fights that off to stay outside enough that Petras can't get around him.

Meanwhile you can slow-mo the video (left arrow slows it down, right arrow speeds it up) and watch Upshaw on top to get an idea of what pass rush looks like without Okie-level bend or Morris-caliber body control. Upshaw actually has his feet around the LT at the 20 yard line, but his shoulder is high enough that the LT still has leverage to recover.

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While we're here, we can swing back to a less successful Okie pass rush.

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Even the great pass rushers aren't going to get pressures all the time any more than Miguel Cabrera is going to get a hit on every at-bat. One thing about Okie though is he doesn't always appear to have a plan. That comes with development—reading cues from the offense, setting a guy up, and executing.

I can't tell you what was in his head or what specifically his coaches were working to put there, but the vibe from this pass rush is that Okie went into it thinking he could juke the T and take whatever the guy bit on. Instead Okie was the one who ended up with his legs splayed out like a tackle. I bet you a dollar this was discussed on the sideline, because when he came out in the 4th quarter he had a plan.

And what about the other starter? You know, the DE who played the most snaps of anyone including Morris despite not folding inside on passing downs?

Jaylen Harrell was…there. Every week I have the same complaint about his pass-rushing, which is that he's just not strong enough to move a guy and not athletic or fast enough to get around everyone. Michigan got some pressure earlier by lining him up inside but Harrell doesn't even have the Junior Colson level of strength to get through a guy. On this one he runs into a chip from the RB and gets rocked back so thoroughly that the LT can stand there for a full second waiting for Harrell to reengage. Meanwhile the LG who was supposed to be tracking Harrell leaves early to concentrate on Morris. Everyone else is doubled and Petras has acres to find his reads.

#32 second guy down

On the other hand, that's one of just two full negatives Harrell picked up all day. He got some -0.5s for getting kicked—again he's too small for the Judonesque way Michigan wants to play Edge—and some +1s for pressuring when nobody's blocking him and tackling a crossing route underneath him for a short gain.

There are days when Harrell makes an impact, but mostly I get the sense he's out there because he can handle linebacker dropbacks at a C- level and part of going 5-2 is the versatility to turn that into a 4-3. Harrell's nickel snaps might be under threat soon, but you're not going to see that in a 5-2 game like this, and the ability to linebacker with this guy means he's still a crucial part of their Amoeba game.

You keep sounding down on Upshaw but you graded him well.

He's still in the rotation on the edge, where he's been a solid run defender and emphatically not a pass-rusher.

The thing about Upshaw is he doesn't make big mistakes. Including all of last year he's got just four plays of –2. One of those was in this game but that was a meaningless late hit on the quarterback on Iowa's meaningless drive. In return for many snaps of no-screwups football, you get certain heady benefits like immunity to slip screens.

Via PFF, he's playing about a quarter of his snaps from 4-tech inwards (ie at tackle), including this play. In a different program they might have made him a 3-tech or 3-4 SDE and used that fantastic brain of his to diagnose the myriad ways blockers mess with you. Michigan is content to lose some pass rush to have Upshaw there to close down an edge that Morris isn't on.

The more they can trust the other edges with this stuff, the more that math changes. As for the spot on the pass rush package, Morris is superior at anything you would use Upshaw at, but you only have one Morris, and only so much lung capacity among your true DTs, so Upshaw should continue to be part of the Racecar package.

And Moore? And McGregor?

McGregor's role as the standard down 4-2-5 DE wasn't going to get him on the field much this game, and that held. He came in for a too-tentative pass rush once. Moore was in there and Morris'd a run to his side a couple of times.

#8 the DE on the top

With Morris playing as well as he was and Okie out there as much as he was they had to try to find opportunities for the true freshman. I am sticking with my hot take that Moore's a version of Rashan Gary, this being his year behind Wormley.

Speaking of guys from the 2016 DL, how about that Ryan Glasgow?

You mean Mason Graham.

I mean ol' Ryan Ben Mason Graham Glasgow.

Sure if there's ever going to be a version of The Ripper who's as cognitively gifted as Ryan's older brother and yet comes out of games with a bloody forehead and SPEAKING IN ALL CAPS it's this guy. But this sack was just Ryan Glasgow.

There were some negatives from Graham in this game—he got destroyed by a double once and legally cut down on the play they called an illegal clipping. The next time he saw that he'd adapted and flowed down the line to help tackle. He also Graham Glasgow'd his way through a stretch zone trial by fire, like the time they tried to wash him down and he not only protected his linebacker but spun back to help his linebacker make the tackle when the play cut back.

#55 DT 2nd guy down from the top of the DL

How was Mazi Smith's follow-up to his first shield day?

He's operating on a different level, but it wasn't in the scoring. I called out Upshaw for killing a scree; well, Mazi killed a screen.

Mason Graham and Mike Morris got solo pressures? So did Mazi, who was the most likely guy before That Drive to be pushing the issue or splitting double-teams.

#58 the DT on the hash mark

The difference this week was a spate of negatives. This was the first opponent that really tested Michigan's tackle depth as the heavy sets put all three of the guys at the top of the depth chart on the field together instead of rotating. They could pull Graham for passing downs and Jenkins got to rotate off the field a fair amount as Morris and Upshaw soaked up another passing downs DT role. The guy who was stuck out there all game—he came off just once by my count—was Mazi Smith.

He was still game to pass rush late but I felt him getting gassed in the way he was getting pushed off the line of scrimmage or giving up yards to stay playside and keep his linebackers clean.

Most weeks Mazi's backup is going to be Mason Graham, not Cam Goode. I know he *can* go every snap but I'd rather he not. Maybe they can get Kenneth Grant online or put more on Mason Graham and let Benny soak up the snaps. Or maybe we won't face another team that plays two tight ends and a fullback all year and it's moot.

And Mo Hurst?

We're not calling Kris Jenkins that. You saw him get blown out by a double in the clip above; that happened twice. Mostly he got to play the SDE role in the 5-2 this game, which played to his strengths, generating a bunch of +1s and +0.5s when he was single-blocked. He also used those good feet to his advantage against stretch zone.

He's still a star to me. It's also notable that he mostly kept Rayshaun Benny, who was born to play a stretch team like Iowa, off the field. When Benny did come on he drew a holding call on a stretch zone to remind us that he's going to be death on a team like this once he's fully ready to go.

I don't read much into how little playing time he got, even with Mazi playing so much. Jenkins was playing well, and when Smith got gassed it was so late in the game that it was probably one of those not-it situations where Verlander's over his pitch count but nobody's going to be the one to tell him. Besides, as much as Benny's natural agility and length lend themselves to defending stretch teams, freshmen* are bound to make mistakes, and mistakes against stretch were the #1 most likely avenue for Some Kinnick Bullshit™ to find its way into this game.

* [Graham isn't a freshman; he's a Ryan Glasgow-Graham Glasgow-Ben Mason Frankentackle experiment commissioned during the darkest days of Don Brown's tackle disaster and delayed two years by pandemic-related supply-chain issues.]

If there was a shift in the tackles it was a slight reemphasis on keeping linemen from getting to the next level, even if that meant sacrificing some yards.

Uh oh. Are we in for another delicately worded section on Junior Colson?

Not on run defense.

Oh good.

But we have to talk about his coverage.

Oh bad.

It was. One phrase that coaches like to throw around when critiquing zone play is "He's covering grass" meaning the guy is playing zone defense like his job is to sit in his zone and wait for receivers to enter it.

Isn't that what zone coverage is?

Not past the middle school level. It's supposed to be more like basketball zone coverage, where you are on a guy until you can safely pass him off to your teammate, at which point you need to spring back to find the next offensive player entering your zone. We call this "looking him up."

I'm talking the basics of zone coverage because Colson's day was teach tape in what coaches mean by "He's covering grass."

#25 the LB on the bottom

There's only the tiniest bit of play-action there, and while Colson still got sucked down by it he has time to recover. There's a WR in the area and Colson looks him up, and drops to take away an inside break by that guy.

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That's fine. But then this guy breaks outside. Colson ought to know there's someone else entering his zone, but doesn't look. He just drifts. If you drew zone circles he's probably standing in the middle of his. What he's not doing is covering the TE who entered his zone and sat down.

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There's still time! Colson can look him up, drift in that direction, or at least know where it's going, bait, and break on it for a PBU or interception. Instead he just sits there and it's a field-flipping chunk play.

Here's another from that drive that could have changed the game early.

#25 the LB on the right

At the start things are fine. Colson has a TE coming down his seam and looks him up.

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Then Colson gets to the spot in the middle of the imaginary circle that represents his "zone" and stops.

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He's covering grass.

I think I get it now.

And remember the 1st and 20 that Iowa turned into 2nd and 1?

#25 the LB on the right

Colson looks up the first receiver who goes outside, backs up a bit, and feels another guy cross behind him. When you just bracketed an in route like that there's got to be alarm bells going off your head that there's another guy coming across for the QB to go to. Colson just sits on the hash, covering grass.

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Hopefully they get that zone coverage cleaned up.

It wasn't just zone coverage. Joel Klatt is annoyingly so good at his job that he's often doing my job, live before millions, after seeing the play one time. But sometimes he gets it wrong and I agreed with Brian on the podcast that this was one such time. Klatt wants to blame Harrell, but Harrell is responsible for the edge of the defense and there's a guy behind him in man on the fullback.

This is a throwaway or a sack and another chorus of boos for Brian Ferentz if Colson just sticks on the fullback.

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I know I was telling him to get more aggressive last week, but that's when his DT is soaking up two linemen and there's a clear path to a running back with the ball in his hands. That Iowa would try to play-action to their fullback was so predictable we talked about it in the preview podcast. Michigan had the right playcall to beat it. Silver lining: Colson's starting to feel confident enough to go off-script.

So the slight discomfort drives at the end were Colson not carrying guys?

No. Ironically his biggest beat in the bad time was one of his best plays. This is the same concept that Petras missed in our second Colson play (shut up, Klatt, I know you already told people this) but this time Junior looked up the TE and stayed on him all the way down. Petras shouldn't even throw this except both DTs are blowing up their single blocks and if the ball doesn't get out he's going to be a Graham-Smith sandwich.

I mean…

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That's good coverage. Keep it up.

Last week's linebacker complaint was that they weren't shooting gaps when the DTs kept them clean. How'd that go?

Most of those opportunities went to Michael Barrett, and the result was very encouraging even if his personal score wasn't very high. This was the game we circled for when Michigan might not be able to get away with a slighter linebacker against teams that use a fullback. Barrett came out in the positive.

I'm not going to make some outlandish claim like "He read my Neck Sharpies about LBs taking their opportunities" but I am willing to believe he and the coaches saw it and worked on it last week. Because…

#23 the LB in the middle

Barrett wasn't waiting for a lineman to get off a DT this time. When he saw an avenue, even a convoluted one, he put his nose in it. The above helped set up the 4th and 2 and the subsequent drop in annoyance. This next one might have been a better play:

#23 the LB just above the bottomhash mark

Barrett also made himself part of the story when Morris slammed the door shut on the edge. The rest of his day was +0.5 for popping a lead blocker at the right time to force a cutback and –0.5s and –1s when he couldn't time his impact with the fullback well enough to negate his inherent disadvantage in physics.

Like all the ILBs they got him on a bootleg when LaPorta really sold his blocking.

#23 the LB on the right

Barrett hung in there longer than most, but LaPorta hung in long enough that Klatt highlighted it. The whole reason bootlegs pair well with Stretch is they pull this guy in two directions. In the pantheon of concerns, that we'll come across another tight end as committed to this specific craft as LaPorta isn't even ranked.

And Mullings?

I barely charted him on 7 snaps. Also getting 7 snaps was Jimmy Rolder (who burned a redshirt). Rolder got two charted events. On the first he buried himself in a backside gap of a stretch play that could have used his help scraping over to a frontside gap. On the second he waited a beat, then buried himself in a backside gap of a stretch play that was cutting back into him.

#30 the bottom LB

It's too early to say this portends a move up the depth chart, or that Rolder is suddenly viable. I read more into the fact that they inserted him when it was 20-0 in a game where that meant something more like 40-0, and that Rolder's family came from Chicago to see him. But who knows.

Overall this wasn't a game to test the linebackers except in coverage, since Iowa's passing game is built around the tight ends, which played into Michigan's weakest spot on defense.

COUGH COUGH sorry it almost sounded just now like you were saying Brian Ferentz had a sound and rational plan for attacking a weakness in Michigan's defense and carried it out.

Lol not really. Jesse Minter got a year to reacclimate to college but after the SEC and NFL he must have wondered if the film guys were playing a joke on him when they said you really just have to drop somebody into a tight end out. Sure enough Iowa's third play of the game is a 3rd & 4 and Minter's like "Uh, okay I guess I'll drop Okie into the flat to bracket a tight end out to the boundary."

Brian Cook was defending his fellow Brian for the 4th and short playcall (also a flat route to the tight end). Team Brian is right that a quick out to your best YAC man has a high likelihood of success in that scenario and that the reason it doesn't work is Petras's inaccuracy.

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The other reason it didn't work was the slot receiver got flagged for offensive pass interference. Try to watch it without Michigan lenses and see if you'd call this one:

My take is that flag was set up by Ferentz himself. He has a well-documented tendency to call the same concept multiple times in sequence. Thrice in this game already Iowa ran pick plays that were either illegal or barely legal, the latter two on 1st and 2nd downs that preceded this. Whatever your tolerance for contact, that 4th & 2 was one snap removed from this play:

I have sideline intel that Harbaugh was already in the ref's ear about OPI on 1st down when this play occurred, which set off a chain of "Oh CUMONG!"s from the Michigan corner. I don't know how much that influenced the ref to call it on 4th down, but I have made a lot of borderline calls in my time on chocolates before dinner, and know I'm far more likely to put the foot down when they've spent the last few minutes conspicuously floating around the cabinet. Can't indulge them too much.

Beating a concept to death is not Brian Ferentz's fatal flaw, however. The thing that makes the words "Brian Ferentz" synonymous with jaypaternoism is how extremely easy he makes it to sell out against his tendencies. Watch Makari Paige on this early 3rd and 10:

#7 the safety up the middle

A safety who's playing that straight up might have an interception because he's in his zone and worried about any route that breaks his direction. Makari Paige is watching TE Sam LaPorta the whole route and standing exactly where LaPorta means to turn in.

Yes, this play was covered in Foe Film.

That's not to say Minter took the week off. We added to the Amoeba package in an interesting way. This blitz isn't complicated to draw up, but the timing of it really screws with Iowa's protection scheme.

And drawn up:

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The key is the timing. Okie moves very quickly from the LT to the LG so that he's on that G at the same moment he's realizing Harrell is looping in unblocked. The guard can't process a new rusher in his face and yelling out "looper" fast enough, and the LT is going to be focused on Colson, the outside threat, until he hears something. Harrell gets a free run.

This play was the subject of this week's Seth & Matt (Demorest) Show because I thought it paired with the Morris sack next drive.

Watch how the center sets up:

They've switched their protection so they don't get the same loop, but now that the RG is looking for a looper or something he's not paying attention as Mike Morris climbs behind the center and the left guard pivots to deal with Mazi.

I know you refused to chart them on the last drive. Anything from the secondary?

Yeah, we're really seeing Makari Paige come on. You saw his part above in bracketing the 3rd down. He was also back doing some linebacker things.

#7 top guy on the LB level, standing close to the "40" yard marker

As Michigan looks for a new Brad Hawkins to come down in support of the run game when the offense shifts to a heavy front, Paige is the guy emerging as the best fit for that role. He's also starting and getting equal run with Moore, who as a smaller guy is better at flying down from on high as a free hitter than dealing with linemen looking at him, and RJ Moten, who is Not a Linebacker.™

I thought this play was one of Brian Ferentz's best-planned, and it almost broke big in two ways besides the way in which it gained a first down. Note how they set up with spread personnel then shifted in for a run. Michigan had its dime team on the field, with Upshaw at DT and Moten in for a linebacker. He's #6 playing LB on the lower hash and buries himself in the line instead of seeking the ball:

It's bad enough that this play gave up a 1st down on 3rd & 7 but it could have been much worse. Moten is buried between the DTs. If LeShun Williams notices that means there's nobody for the C gap anymore it might be six.

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Not a linebacker. It felt worse because these were back to back plays and this is a terrible missed opportunity to short-circuit this Drive of Perpetual Annoyance, but I have some sympathy because LaPorta does this to people.

Moving on to Moore, I think this is the first time I've ever caught him to the wrong side of a funnel. This is the same play as above, when Moten buried himself.

imageColson is on the opposite side of #77 and Moore should be coming down to stop this nonsense at 4-5 yards and a shot at 4th & 3. Instead he's trying to follow the RB and gives up a cut for the 1st down.

That was uncharacteristic. We still got the usual Moore play where he hovers, hovers, hovers, then ZOOM.

Someone suggested last week that Moore wasn't 100% yet after the injury that upset his offseason. He still does the main thing he does, which is shoot down faster than a guy is supposed to, find his way to the ball, and make himself relevant when the offense thought they could run something safety-free.

Did they try to edge Jabrill Peppers?

You mean Dax Hill.

I mean Mike Sainristil.

I mean, it's Iowa. When they screen it's usually a DT tracking it down. But there was a really bad coverage bust.

Sainristil mistakes however not big glaring "he covered grass" problems so this takes a little explaining. Other than no pressure everything is fine on the initial setup for this 3rd & 22. Sainristil has outside leverage and help above and below on an in-breaking route. His job is anything outside.

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The problem is he got cute. I can't tell you what was in his head but I bet you a dollar he figured Petras also saw his outside leverage and was going to try to fit in a deep post between the safeties as Sainristil broke off. Sainristil moves inside to be in position to defend that post and gives up the thing he was taking away.

The other Sainristil oops was a similar example of trying to guess at Iowa tendencies instead of just doing his job.

#0 the nickel on the top hash

This is a Flood concept and Moten is late to switch onto the backside TE, which stresses Colson and Sainristil. Do you leave a TE open in front of an Iowa quarterback's face? Well man, it's not really your job. The WR's flag route is your job. And Petras sees the WR's coverage getting pulled away by the TE and throws the flag.

The correct response in this situation, by the way, would be for Colson to take away the TE, Sainristil to stay on the WR, and force a dumpoff to the flat on which they can rally. I don't know how much Colson's day up to this point affected Sainristil's decision to cover everybody's guys, but I'm willing to bet that's what happened here.

What about the other cornerbacks?

Turner had the almost pick-six and two plays where he gave up a huge cushion. I'm not reading too much into those because Iowa's passing game is an odd duck that absolutely refuses to test the cornerbacks in man. Hanging back in hopes of making a pick makes sense since 1/3 passes thrown at Turner this game could have been a defensive touchdown, and I'm only sure two of those passes targeted Turner.

Green got to break up the one pass Petras was forced to throw in his direction.

…and gave up a soft hitch underneath him that Petras sailed anyways.

Heroes?

Mike Morris and Eyabi Okie ended it like, dare I say, I don't. But they ended it.

Maybe not so heroic?

Junior Colson gave up zero completions to grass. RJ Moten had a rough one.

What does it mean for Indiana and beyond?

Not sayin', just lookin'. Coming out party, or Uche role that got extra play against Iowa? Not sure but a comparison of Okie and the guy who busted out in Game 5 of last year (for 2021 that was WMU, Washington, NIU, Rutgers, and Wisconsin):

PLAYER Year + - Tot Snaps Pts/Snap
David Ojabo 2021 28 17.5 +10.5 136 +0.08
Eyabi Okie 2022 28 3 +25 68 +0.37

Not talkin'. Just lookin'.

When they go dime I think Paige should play the linebacker. Not Moten.

Colson should cover people. He'll have many years after football to stand in the middle of a lawn and survey. Needs a bounceback game to avoid the cyan returning.

Either way linebacker is probably going to be a weak spot at least until NHG returns and probably beyond. Got everything we wanted from Barrett and it was still like a +2. Rolder burning his redshirt means they think he's needed this year.

Iowa's offense wasn't THAT bad. They made some plays, stretched some responsibilities, missed some throws. Only guy I thought was really not Big Ten caliber was that left guard. Brian Ferentz holds them back more than their talent does.

Organic pass rush is coming along. Okie helps, getting the timing down on Amoeba blitzes opens up other opportunities.

Moment of Zen?

Nine! Zero! Hat. Hat.

Comments

Ballislife

October 4th, 2022 at 5:19 PM ^

Can Bolded Alter Ego forever remain Scottish? That made the commentary even more hilarious than it already is. Also, fantastic write up. Definitely some areas to improve; here's hoping a good outing against a meh Indiana team will get the guys right for a decent test against PSU.

m1jjb00

October 5th, 2022 at 10:10 AM ^

I think humor should be in moderation.  Schtick isn't needed, and you risk the same career arc of every interesting TV commentator.  I know you youngsters won't believe, it but Dick Vitale was once fantastic at analysis.  But, I would recommend never typing something that's unreadable.  (English majors can commence commenting on James Joyce.)

outsidethebox

October 4th, 2022 at 5:21 PM ^

I love Okie with that very wide split. RTs are often more road-grader types and cannot handle the speed and athleticism coming at them in this manner. This allows an "Okie" to simply juke them and run past the RT as opposed to having to otherwise physically engage him. It also allows one to read the play while flying toward the QB.

patrickdolan

October 4th, 2022 at 6:09 PM ^

I had a good view and every time I looked at Rolder, there was someone in his ear, and his ear alone, coaching very emphatically. FWIW, it looked like they plan on using him.

Papabearblue2

October 4th, 2022 at 6:12 PM ^

"Okay, enough of this. This was a good performance with a few bad moments balanced out by just-as-good moments. The Iowa offense's total EPA in this game barely cracked 1 point. Ratchet up your expectations for a bad Big Ten offense to higher than the UConn-Hawai'i-Colorado State line and this is a standard sleepy face-mashing that wouldn't look out of place in 2006 or 1986."

Please say it again, LOUDER, for the board.

The Homie J

October 4th, 2022 at 6:18 PM ^

Is there any word on Hill-Green's injury?  I feel like nobody's talking about when he might return despite his absence basically being the one big issue on defense right now.

And very encouraging that against regular B1G competition, our pass rush/d-line is growing and developing week-to-week and between Macgregor, Okie, Moore, and Morris, somebody feels like they're about to be a big problem every down for future opponents

PopeLando

October 4th, 2022 at 6:40 PM ^

Hmm. I was expecting a lot of RPS minus events based on all the open throws that Petras missed.

I don't know how I feel about it just being bad coverage...??

AC1997

October 4th, 2022 at 6:40 PM ^

Feels like a BIT of an over-correction on Colson with your scoring.  Usually -3s are reserved for the worst plays in the game and it felt like he was getting them for less than that. 

I think what we're seeing is Josh Ross syndrome from last year.  Because NHG is hurt they are now giving Colson the hard stuff.  One week he needs to shoot gaps aggressively, then he needs to cover, then he needs to play solid zone defense.  Meanwhile they're trying to scheme around the limitations of either playing a Viper, a limited Mullings, or a true freshman next to him.  

I'm not saying this analysis is wrong, just a bit harsh.  When this type of thing happens, which it has for other positions at times, it start wanting to see examples of a baseline.  Show me LB who are getting all of this stuff right - Bush?  Gedeon?  Way back to Harris?  

Bottom line is that our LB are still shaky and we only really have one of them.  Colson has to be good at everything now and he....well....isn't.  Hopefully he can get good at most things to the point where Minter can emphasize his strengths and minimize weaknesses.  Also....when is NHG back???

 

urbanachiever

October 4th, 2022 at 11:41 PM ^

I thought your first -3 to Colson was particularly harsh. He's in perfect position to take away the dig from the tight end. I feel like it's asking an awful lot for a linebacker to be aware of multiple routes  _behind_ him and to be responsible for covering both of them at different points in time during the play.

AC1997

October 5th, 2022 at 6:36 AM ^

That's sort of what I was thinking too.  I will never know as much as Seth but I don't remember seeing a LB carry a zone drop and have his head facing away from the QB looking for whoever might enter his zone five yards behind him from the other side of the field.  I am not saying he couldn't have played it better or shouldn't have been negged, but -3?  

skatin@the_palace

October 5th, 2022 at 8:31 AM ^

Playing zone is about knowing where the threats are going to come from and the route concepts they’re going to use. I’m guessing Seth went to a coaches clinic or watched a recording of one because he reference to passing a guy through your zone and snapping your head to look for a crosser coming the opposite way is verbatim what I was taught as a LB at college camps while in high school and very similar to phrasing used when I played in college. Playing LB is hard, him grading out negatively doesn’t make him a bad player but yeah he’s got to get better. 

Kevin14

October 5th, 2022 at 1:27 PM ^

I know Harbaugh / the program doesn't really talk much about injuries, but what is going on with NHG?  

I didn't hear any rumors he had a serious injury, and we're going on him being out six weeks.  Usually, for serious injuries word sort of gets out.  Anybody hear anything?

BigVig

October 4th, 2022 at 7:00 PM ^

I'm still so confused how Okie was dismissed at the beginning based on a quick look at one game when he had a cast on his arm and recorded no stats.  This site does amazing deep dives into every commitment no matter how well regarded, drives around and watches middling 3 stars play high school games (many of who are processed, transfer, or are injured and never play a down) and then we land a transfer to our biggest position of need, who coming out of high school was rated higher than any recruit we have ever signed except maybe Gary and Peppers, and we write him off after 5 minutes of research.  Maybe in the future, this should take precedence over researching UConn linebackers (that criticism earned me a stern talking to at the time).

It didn't take a ton of time to parse through his numbers to see he was a force at UT-M, see this analysis I did: https://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/5-star-eyabi-anoma-closer-look-his-ut-martin-stats

Or a little YouTube digging to find these clips:

He's wearing bright Orange cleats and #1 jersey:

https://youtu.be/qN6vNPmS1pE?t=73

Wearing white gloves, black wrap on his leg, #1:

https://youtu.be/bV605saEFdg?t=141

You can find more clips of him in my post from 5 weeks ago:

https://mgoblog.com/comment/244574766#comment-244574766

I'm glad we are all aboard the Okie train and hope he continues to develop and deliver.  I say this not to disparage the best site on Michigan sports but just to encourage them to be more open-minded in the future and maybe think twice about where they direct their limited time.  My preference would always be on M players that we will be rooting for all year, rather than looking at non-conf opponents that we are favored by 7 touchdowns over. 

J. Redux

October 4th, 2022 at 9:04 PM ^

This site does amazing deep dives into every commitment no matter how well regarded, drives around and watches middling 3 stars play high school games (many of who are processed, transfer, or are injured and never play a down) and then we land a transfer to our biggest position of need, who coming out of high school was rated higher than any recruit we have ever signed except maybe Gary and Peppers, and we write him off after 5 minutes of research.  Maybe in the future, this should take precedence over researching UConn linebackers (that criticism earned me a stern talking to at the time).

Okie showed up on-campus mid-August.  Not only is that, by far, the busiest part of the year for the staff, it strained credulity that he would contribute much this year, particularly early.  If he'd come in for spring ball, I suspect he'd have gotten a lot more attention.

Stanley Hudson

October 4th, 2022 at 9:22 PM ^

I gave you an upvote because you have been vindicated in your opinion and clearly did a lot of research on your own. 

The previews are dense and probably start right after spring practice. With that in mind, it's understandable that Okie wouldn't get the full coverage. He showed up on campus ~ three weeks before the first kick. He was overlooked, but given the timing, it makes sense. And they (Brian, Seth, Alex) did cover him quite a bit on the podcast- the general thought was he could provide some pass rush this year and meaningful upside if he's around next year. Anyway, go blue and very happy for Okie that he is making the most of his time at Michigan. 

stephenrjking

October 5th, 2022 at 11:28 AM ^

This is a remarkably uncharitable reading of what Seth and Brian wrote about Okie when he came.

Here's a full paragraph quote (a small element of which has been taken without good context) from Seth's write-up when the transfer news surfaced:

Anoma's certainly talented, the #4 player to the Composite in 2018, and #1 WDE. Via PFF he played 90 snaps for Bama in 2018, and though they gave him a grade in the 50s for that, he was named to the all-freshman SEC team. He didn't play for the next two seasons, then popped up at FCS UT Martin, listed at 6'6"/270. It was a productive, though not insane season: 6 sacks, 9.5 TFLs, 3 hurries. He was off the field more than on it, and probably rusty after two years of transfershirting. But if you ignore his rankings in 2018 and just look at his play on the field, Anoma doesn't look like an immediate impact guy. We're not talking about a Mike Danna who was putting up elite rushing numbers, caveat MAC. UT Martin was good, but Anoma wasn't its star.

There's nothing outrageous or unfair about this. A highly-touted prospect that transfers multiple times and then plays well but doesn't post dominant numbers in FCS isn't something that screams "instant upgrade." It does, as pointed out by both Seth and Brian, provide intriguing potential, but in a wait-and-see sense. 

Here's Brian in the season preview that is derisively waved off as "just watching highlights of one game."

Then he went to UT-Martin, sat out, and became a rotational piece for an FCS playoff team. He racked up 6 sacks and 9.5 TFLs.

Despite this roundabout way to being an FCS contributor, PFF ranked him their #10 edge for the 2023 draft on little more than recruiting memories; they even note that his 2021 grade was 72—not exactly gangbusters, especially at the FCS level. (It's very difficult to disentangle football grading from your opponent.) When I watched this highlight reel of UT-Martin's second round playoff game against Montana State, Anoma was pretty anonymous—he was on the field for maybe a third of the snaps that made the reel and did not do much of note. His pass rush did not leap out.

It is distantly possible that Anoma is David Ojabo 2.0. The backgrounds here are eerily similar: insanely athletic, raw kid with little experience who's going to play weakside end. Those guys do occasionally blow up out of nowhere. Anoma's maturity issues may have robbed him of the development that got Ojabo to the NFL after year three, and maaaaaybe he's turned a new leaf and will bust out. This space thinks that's deeply unlikely since he was added to the roster little more than a week ago. He was not here for spring; he missed almost all of fall camp.

Brian's final thought after a Harbaugh fluff quote about him: "I guess it doesn't take that long to lock in as a pass rush specialist. Let's roll the dice."

None of this is unfair. Okie has bounced around at multiple programs, the initial ones being due to personal behavior issues. But guys who bounce to multiple programs are not, generally, guys that you can count on to be big-time contributors, blue-chip recruits or not. For every Okie that emerges as a starting-caliber player, you get a guy like Oliver Martin. Nobody would think that Martin would break out as an all-B1G type receiver in 20 or 21 with Nebraska after not cutting it at Michigan and Iowa. 

Look, it's great that you did a deeper dive on Okie's film and correctly predicted a higher level of performance than the proprietors. I'm not even going to complain about the "I told you so" stuff, even though it's a bit put on. Fans on this site contribute stuff and that's good. But acting miffed and Brian and Seth for not projecting him to be a top-line pass rusher is just massively unfair. And unreasonable, given the track record of multi-transfer athletes in college football. We're not talking about writers that are lazily skipping work here; they are making some reasonable suppositions that happen to be wrong. That's ok. People are wrong sometimes. 

Take the W, but people who are dumping on the writers because they weren't sufficiently optimistic that a mid-camp transfer on his fourth school would emerge into a dominant pass-rusher are just being angry for the sake of being angry on the internet.

uminks

October 4th, 2022 at 7:22 PM ^

The next test for the D will be against PSU. I think the offense is going to have to score more points as we come down to the end of the season.

BornInA2

October 4th, 2022 at 7:42 PM ^

That Petras pass to the TE blanketed by Colson looks like his best pass of the day- dropped on a dime in the only spot that worked...except if you look again, it's wobbling worse than I did stumbling out of Waldo's on W. Michigan Ave in Kalamazoo at 2:15 AM on a Thursday in September of 1990...you know, before the ME classes kicked into gear and I had to be coherent on Friday.

So it got to where it needed to be entirely coincidentally, not because he threw it perfectly to where he wanted it. I know because that's how I made it back to my dorm room that night in 1990.

calgoblue81

October 4th, 2022 at 7:51 PM ^

Always appreciate the analysis Seth - really educational!  One question though.  Joel kept harping on how Iowa was successfully executing the zone spread running game by stretching outside the tight end and Iowa picked up some decent gains.  Is that a defensive line issue or should the linebackers be filling the gap to shut that down?  I see other teams exploiting this when they play us.

Seth

October 4th, 2022 at 8:48 PM ^

Their fullback was more valuable in the stretch game than the OL. One stretch penalty was called back on a bad penalty and two were called back for good calls, one of which was material to the play. 

I have 17 plays that were categorized as either:

  • Lead Stretch (Outside zone with a fullback leading)
  • Split Zone (Outside zone with a kickout on the backside)
  • Stretch (Outside zone)
  • Stretch Belly (OZ but the backside splits to try to hit that gap)
  • Bootleg (the play-action pass that shows Stretch)

Removing the three penalties you get 14 plays that gained 56 yards (4 YPP). The runs got 3.33 YPC and the two bootlegs got 16 yards. The scores were pretty spread out but evened out with Michigan a little in the positive.

AlbanyBlue

October 4th, 2022 at 9:09 PM ^

Overall, this was a 27-7 game to me, and the defense did a fine job. To make this defense close to last year:

Okie needs to continue to develop against the run.

We need for the light to go for Colson quickly, but it seems like his biggest mistakes are teachable moments. Failing that, we need to get NHG back or for Rolder to play a larger role. 

Safeties need to get better and become more boring.

That said, the sky is definitely not falling, at least against the majority of opponents. I worry about what PSU and OSU will have cooked up, but that's an every-year thing anyway.

TL;DR -- Keep improving and this D can get pretty damn close to last year's.

 

MaizeBlueA2

October 4th, 2022 at 9:27 PM ^

This basically confirmed what I was assuming after this game.

  1. Mazi needs to come off the field more so he's more effective when he's on the field. Let Graham, Morris, Jenkins, and Upshaw take the DL snaps.
  2. Iowa's offense is designed to be hell for a guy like Colson and it was...woof. NHG can't come back soon enough, but he would've had similar issues.
  3. Paige needs to rotate with Moten, but we have 3 starters...give all 3 some run, pick the best 2 at halftime and roll with them the rest of the game. Repeat the next game. 
  4. Our WDE/EDGE/OLB/SAM ...whatever the hell we're calling them, depth chart SHOULD BE:

Morris, then Moore at one spot.

Okie, then McGregor at another spot.

Harrell, then Upshaw at the 3rd spot...with Upshaw having the ability to play a little more rush package DE than OLB.

 

Chris S

October 4th, 2022 at 9:35 PM ^

It's worth repeating again, Seth, that this is GREAT writing to go with great analysis. You are talented and I am thankful that talent and hard work is on this site.