[David Wilcomes]

Rutgers 62, Michigan 50 Comment Count

Alex.Drain March 9th, 2023 at 3:53 PM

I don't know if this is the official end of the 2022-23 Michigan Basketball season, but for all intents and purposes it is. They could still accept an invite to the NIT or some other non-NCAA postseason tournament I suppose, but as far as it goes for meaningful games anyone wants to play, it's over. No Sweet 16, no deep run in the Big Ten Tournament, no NCAA Tournament at all. Michigan's 62-50 loss in their first game of the conference tournament in Chicago to the Rutgers Scarlet Knights seals the season, ejecting the 8th seeded Wolverines and burying them far away from Selection Sunday's bubble. You can use any descriptor you like, a failure, a disappointment, deeply unpleasant and difficult to watch. All those words describe the Michigan season, but they also describe the game we watched today. 

Against an offensively challenged Rutgers team today, Michigan was dragged into the mud and engaged in a brutal rock fight for the first half until they dropped their rocks in the second half and were bludgeoned by the opposition. For the first nineteen minutes of the second half, Michigan made one field goal, a humiliating graphic popping up on the Big Ten Network scorebug every little bit to remind us of the depth of despair that the Michigan offense had fallen into. Hunter Dickinson came to play on offense but every other player was a no-show and the teem meekly schlepped to 50 points even. For most of us watching, we just wanted it to end. 

The first half was the vaguely watchable one for Michigan partisans, even if the aesthetic quality of the basketball being played was in the gutter. The Wolverines started strong on defense, with Hunter Dickinson protecting the rim with excellence and Rutgers had no perimeter scoring ability to make up for it. The Wolverines bolted out to a 9-2 lead in the first five minutes and still led 13-7 approaching the halfway point of the opening stanza. Dickinson led the way for Michigan, but their offense was sputtering to get through the teeth of the terrific Rutgers defense, leaning on their own D to maintain the lead. Michigan was 1/8 from three to start the game, and those struggles explain why they couldn't stretch the lead higher while their D was clicking. 

MG was not in Chicago so here's some older pics [David Wilcomes]

The Scarlet Knights had little in the way of offensive solutions for the opening ~14 minutes of the half, leaning on offensive rebounding (especially from an unlikely Paul Mulcahy) to stay close enough until the shooting started to come on-line. Cam Spencer made a couple shots to get the Rutgers offense moving again, as the team had opened the game a ghastly 4/23 from the floor. Michigan led 23-17 after a Jett Howard three with four minutes to play before Rutgers stitched together an 8-0 run to seize the lead late in the half. Dickinson tied it with a hook in the final minute of play and then a Joey Baker three just before the horn sent Michigan to the locker room up 28-25 in a nasty first half that neither team was too pleased about. Still, Juwan Howard had to feel alright about taking a lead to the back half of the game. 

Unfortunately, Michigan's offensive showing in the second half could best be described as "apocalyptic", scoring the occasional points at the free throw line due to Rutgers' foul-happy tendencies but otherwise being completely impotent from the floor. The Wolverines scored three total points in the first 4:48 of the half, all on free throws, and then Hunter Dickinson drained a three from the corner, which would be Michigan's sole field goal until there were 59 seconds left to play. Yes, if you have transported via time machine to March 9, 2023, to read this recap, you read that previous sentence right. Michigan made one field goal in 19 minutes of basketball. One goddamn field goal. 

Michigan's only inspiration on offense was Dickinson post touches, with the rest of the team being helpless. Kobe Bufkin, a star for Michigan down the stretch run of the season, was missing in action. After turning it over four times in a lackluster first half, he turned it over three more times in the second half for a total of seven, not making a shot from the floor in the second half until the game was long since decided. He and Jett Howard were cold from the perimeter and gobbled up by the Rutgers defense when they tried to drive downhill into the paint. Bufkin at least added a sweet fast-break block on a 3v1 rush for the Scarlet Knights but we're grasping at straws. Combined, Bufkin and Jett were 1/8 from the floor in the second half. 

[David Wilcomes]

Dug McDaniel, whose perimeter shooting touch from his better games this season could have helped Michigan's spacing problems against this tough Rutgers defense, was also MIA. Dug was invisible for the entirety of the game, attempting just three total FGs in 37 minutes of play and missing all of them. The fours, Will Tschetter and Terrance Williams II, were nonentities again. Tarris Reed Jr.? No help on offense either. Bereft of all other possible options, Michigan was reduced to simply feeding Dickinson over and over again as Steve Pikiell's defense converged on Hunter like a swarm of angry bees, coaxing him into putting up low-percentage shots. Dickinson finished the second half 2/7 from the field, with both makes being from three. Inside the arc the only hope was that HD would get fouled, which did happen a decent amount (Hunter was 5/8 from the line). 

What're you left with? A second half offense that was 4/21 from the field and prior to a 3/4 finish in garbage time, were 1/17 over the period spanning all competitive minutes of the second half. Appalling. Before that little spurt at the end, Michigan had scored 14 points in 19 minutes of basketball. And every minute or so that "last Michigan FG - X minutes ago" graphic would pop up on the television screen to remind us of the incompetence that this offensive showing was. At some point, all you could do was laugh at the cartoonish failure as a way to cope with the pain. 

Rutgers was far from a world beater offensively in the second half, still trudging through the mud like always, but it was enough to pull away from Michigan's "tossing bricks at the backboard" effort. They started the half on a 9-1 run, with Cliff Omoruyi, who struggled in the first half mightily against Dickinson's defense, getting it going before Derek Simpson, Cam Spencer, and Mulcahy each added a bucket. Michigan trimmed the lead down to 40-39 on the backs of free throws midway through the half and for a moment, it seemed as if we'd have a competitive game on our hands. But the Wolverine offense stepped on an upturned rake again while Rutgers put together a 12-0 run that buried Michigan. 

[David Wilcomes]

Starting the run was this game's entry into the "play to encapsulate the Michigan season" contest. With 10:45 remaining and the score 40-39, Rutgers' Derek Simpson went to the free throw line to shoot two. He made the first and then missed the second off the front iron. Michigan's players all committed to boxing out the Scarlet Knights to the side of them and to the perimeter, but no one bothered to touch Simpson himself, who ran right down the lane, snatched the board, and laid it in uncontested. Elementary school mistakes. After that facepalm, Rutgers continued to throttle Michigan defensively and chip in on offense every so often, a layup and three from Cam Spencer, and a couple fast break points off Michigan turnovers, one a driving layup for Caleb McConnell and the other an emphatic dunk from Simpson. 

The score now sat at 52-39 with 5:52 left and given the way Michigan was going of offense, the game was over. Indeed, the Wolverines never made it to 52 points and time ran out on an offense with no directional ability at all. As the clock ticked down, Michigan fans took to social media to express their rage and frustration with a squad that had let them down all year long, with Thursday's showing in Chicago being the final installment. Of course, the Wolverines couldn't even take that hilarious "one field goal made in the second half" stat to finality, with three late shots in the final minute to play (down double digits) putting faint lipstick on the world's fattest pig. Rutgers had their 62-50 win when the horn sounded, likely clinching a tourney bid for the previously slumping Scarlet Knights and affixing a dunce cap to Juwan Howard and the Michigan team's collective noggin. 

I usually use this space to describe the box score and run over a few notes as to what happened today, but I did a lot of that in the summary already and there's nothing much else to say. Michigan Men's Basketball's offense stunk to high heaven today because Hunter Dickinson was the only player who bothered to put on his sneakers. He scored 24 points and the rest of the team had 26. The team defense did fine (though often tough to separate that from the putrid Rutgers offense) but there are very few games you're going to win when you play like the Maize & Blue did on offense today. Period. 

[Click the JUMP for some thoughts - IF YOU'RE A MASOCHIST]

[Bill Rapai]

Instead, I want to put a few parting words in for the season and the feel of the program. I don't know if the 2022-23 team will play another game this season, maybe they will in a meaningless end of season tournament, maybe they'll put us out of our misery and decline any invitations. But like I said at the top, this is the end of the portion of the season that anyone cares about and it's probably time to reflect a bit. Michigan finishes the year 17-15, 11-10 in games against B1G opponents and that's a reflection of what they were, firmly mediocre. Entrenched in many close games, of which they lost nearly all. Sure they were a few buckets in each game away from having a very good record, but they were also in close games with mediocre to bad non-conference opponents like Ohio, Lipscomb, EMU, and CMU. That doesn't have the feel of a team that was a true contender for much of anything even if they'd gotten better luck in the B1G. 

From that second game against EMU on, something felt off about this team. They had happy moments here and there, but will mostly be remembered for gacking when it counted. And this game today, with their season on the line, was a neat bow to be tied on what the narrative of this season was. No one will feel wronged or ripped off when Michigan is left out of the NCAA Tournament field on Sunday. It'll be the fate they rightly deserved. From a fan sense, I will remember this team as one of the least likable, hardest to watch teams of any sport that I can remember, playing difficult games to enjoy routinely. They looked disjointed, battled apparent effort/motivation problems, and far too often displayed the basketball IQ of a Pet Rock. And then just when they'd seemingly had a game won and it reached the climax, they'd tie you to a pole and line up for a karate kick straight to the groin. 

The admissions fiasco with Terrance Shannon was perhaps the one off-ramp this team could've had, but that was settled long ago. Jaelin Llewellyn's injury damaged the team's chances by forcing too much on Dug McDaniel too early, but the team had already gone to OT with Ohio, been punked by ASU, and choked late against Virginia by the time that happened. You'll struggle to convince me the squad would've been drastically different without that injury. Inexperience at PG (transfer + true freshman) mixed unfavorably with a black hole at the 4 to make two spots on the floor weak spots at any given time. Michigan got 279 total points from Terrance Williams II, Will Tschetter, and Jace Howard across 32 games (cumulative 8.7 PPG). A big fat goose egg, forcing them to try Reed at that spot perhaps more often and earlier on than Juwan Howard would've liked. 

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Then you have the three productive players, Kobe Bufkin, Jett Howard, and Hunter Dickinson, all of whom had asterisks. Bufkin didn't blossom until the second half and then went missing in the biggest game of the season. Jett Howard's passing interest in rebounding or playing any semblance of defense made him one of the great empty calories scorers CBB has seen in some time, and he faded hard down the stretch. Dickinson's efforts ran hot and cold at times, stronger in the back-half of the season but unsatisfactory an alarming amount of the time early on. Some will say Michigan had two first round NBA talents and an All-American college player on their team and still missed the tournament, but the reality is that neither of said NBA talents were elite (or even good) college players for large chunks of the season and Dickinson was far from an All-American caliber guy this season. Put that next to two weak perpetual weak spots and a bench that provided almost nothing and you can see why this team is where they are. 

The upcoming offseason will be one of the most fascinating in recent history, as the range of outcomes is ginormous. On one hand, there's a scenario where nearly the entire team returns and Michigan runs it back with a few tweaks as a very good team in 2023-24. On the other hand, there's a scenario where all of Bufkin, Jett Howard, and Dickinson depart and the team is left with ????????. Regardless, I would have to imagine there will be some tweaks to the coaching staff coming, as public heat on Juwan Howard is being cranked up substantially. The honeymoon is over and the B1G Championship of 2020-21 is a fading memory. The program has the undeniable feel of backsliding and it is up to the coach to fix it. Whether that means portal hunting while processing players or relying on internal development, I don't know. But something has to change. The standard of Michigan Basketball from the past 10 years is high and this season? Well, it wasn't even close. 

Box Score:

Comments

swc_92

March 9th, 2023 at 8:55 PM ^

This scenario has been scaring me. Is it really worthwhile to accept an NIT bid to potentially lose a sparingly attended at-home 1st round game to a super motivated mid-major conference champ like Youngstown State or Hofstra - we all know it could legitimately happen. That may do more damage to the program than the benefit of additional practice offers 

Mannix

March 9th, 2023 at 6:44 PM ^

Not only lack of effort on the floor, but the lack of engagement by the bench. The bench, save for a couple of bench stars, get excited, engaged. When Baker hit his 3, two guys came off the bench as Baker went by while the main dudes on the bench watched him go by.

There has been something off about this team from the start, and I am really curious about the health of the culture within. My guess is Jett & Twill are net negatives just by watching them interact, level of engagement, etc. Hunter probably isn't far behind in aloofness and leadership issues.
 

Erik_in_Dayton

March 9th, 2023 at 4:16 PM ^

It's easy to see this season as having been lost before a game was ever played.  Imagine this team with Collins, Shannon, Houstan, and Diabate--or even three of four of those.  That's a very different season.  It's probably not a great season, but it could have been a very good one.  And not having that collection of players was mostly just dumb luck.  

Now, with this past offseason having broken so decidedly against us, we're looking at two players possibly leaving for the NBA and one (Dickinson) possibly leaving for some other professional option.  I kind of dislike college basketball right now. 

theytookourjobs

March 9th, 2023 at 4:19 PM ^

That's just not how it works anymore.  You don't even get 3 years anymore out of top recruits.  Every other big time program in the country has to deal with the same problem.  There was a huge issue this year with lack of motivation and effort.  That speaks to coaching/culture problems.  Juwan has one more year to figure that out.

Stringer Bell

March 9th, 2023 at 4:31 PM ^

Houstan and Diabate were 5 stars, it’s a luxury to have guys with that profile for more than 1 year but it shouldn’t be an expectation.  Collins played for 4 teams in 4 years of high school, that should’ve been a red flag that he was a serious transfer risk.  Shannon was not Juwans fault, just Michigan shooting itself in the foot unnecessarily.  But Juwan made most of his own bad luck this offseason, which is a testament to his deficiency in roster construction.

The Deer Hunter

March 9th, 2023 at 4:16 PM ^

Yeah the second half was a dick punch and the epitome of the season. 

In regards to the NIT...How we got here disgusts me and will not go out of my way to watch if Michigan accepts, However, it's still an opportunity for this very young team get some practice time and a tournament experience so I see no downside. Much like if the football team went to the Quick Lane Bowl with four extra weeks of practice. 

alum96

March 10th, 2023 at 2:15 AM ^

So if it's just Dug you are ok with TWill, Jace, Cheddar, and Reed playing 37 minutes each with a bench of uhhhh.... no one is left.

While Hunter, Jett, Kobe sit there on the bench staring off into space.  Also for all of them to make that decision without entering their names for evaluation (esp Jett Kobe)

Yes seems reasonable. 

willirwin1778

March 9th, 2023 at 4:20 PM ^

I feel like all of our players need to seriously hit the weight room and get way stronger.  

I want to see them bulk up and get legs and lungs that can go 40 minutes. 

That would certainly help with rebounding and the second half collapses.  

bronxblue

March 9th, 2023 at 4:23 PM ^

Good write-up.  It was a slog of a season but, at least in the second-half of the year, I saw a young team that struggled to make key plays in spots but mostly gave a shit, some players excepted.  There were some rumors that Dickinson was battling shoulder issues in the first half of the year and so I can see how maybe that turned with physical improvement; his second-half surge sort of tracks with that take even if I'm sure it's not that easy.

Bufkin showed potential and same with Dug, but they haven't played fewer than 30 minutes a game since late January; Dug has averaged close to 40 minutes a game over the past 6.  You can't do that an expect to win many games, and while Llewellyn isn't the difference between this team being a 4 seed and out of the tourney him simply occupying minutes and being semi-competent (which he likely would have - again, we're talking about 7.5-ish games he played before getting hurt) would have helped immensely for both of these guys.

The issues at PF are disturbing because Williams wasn't even an energy guy when he was out there.  It would have been fine had he blown up after 10 minutes but he didn't even meet that level of performance.  Brandon Johns wasn't likely to be any better but Williams absolutely wasn't ready for starter minutes and neither were his backups.

I harbor no ill will toward Jett but he's been the most disappointing player I've seen in a Michigan uniform in a long time.  He never improved as a defender and became an extreme perimeter-only player halfway through the season.  He's shot 208 3s on the year and 118 2s, and in conference play it's an even crazier 135/72 ratio.  Howard finished the year with a worse conference O-rating than Caleb Houstan last year and was a markedly worse defender.  He doesn't rebound remotely well for his size and athleticism - he had 3 rebounds total this game while Mulcahy had 3 offensive rebounds by himself.  On a team that desperately needed an offensive leader he hung out on the perimeter and hit an adequate amount of 3s that his stats didn't look bad.  But he's a rich man's Just a Shooter and an NBA GM is going to hope he can teach him other aspects of the NBA game and it's going to be a huge gamble.  He's young and could absolutely develop into a better player but this year he was incredibly disappointing.

My guess is Dickinson could come back - the NBA riches aren't coming but he could easily be a preseason POY candidate in this conference and the NIL money is probably there.  Bufkin is hit-or-miss; he's a fringe 1st rounder but another year in college (given his age) he'd likely be a lottery selection and that means a lot to a guy's development.  Jett is likely gone.  Dug and Reed showed promise.  Llewellyn will hopefully be healthy and can at least provide some depth.  I'm not quit ready to write about Tschetter; he's not close to being a conference-ready player but he's young and guys can absolutely improve.  He's got a motor at least, so that helps.  I'd be sort of surprised if Barnes sees the court much next season, and Williams might bolt if he feels guys pushing from behind. We'll see.

Transfers will be key - I've said this before but the different between Illinois being a tourney team and being out of the tournament is Shannon and Mayer; take Shannon off that team and they're in the Minnesota/Nebraska/OSU tier.  Michigan has to get some luck there but if football is any sign it feels like Ono gets that and will help admission decisions.  And yeah, with a couple more breaks and a locker room shakeup this team could absolutely be solid tourney team next year.  What Beilein did at UM is hard to replicate and most years most teams aren't close to the championship contenders, but I do think UM can and will be better next year if they can catch some breaks.

bronxblue

March 9th, 2023 at 4:38 PM ^

I think he can do parts to loosen what are sometimes draconian decisions.  I absolutely believe what happened with Shannon last year under the old admin doesn't happen this off-season with Ono.  

UM isn't going to become Last Chance U or anything but school presidents set the tone for a lot of decisions and approaches by their administration 

DetroitDan

March 9th, 2023 at 4:56 PM ^

Good write-up, BronxBlue. 

Michigan was terrible in the 2nd half.  It looked like we just ran out of steam.  That happens.

Jett Howard had a rough year, but he can be good if he stays.  I thought Kobe was excellent until the last game -- not sure what happened there.  If I were the coaches, I would have asked him to take more shots.  He's our best playmaker and can score from all over.  Otherwise, the offensive stagnates and we turn the ball over too much.

Rebounding is the big weakness. Reed is good at that, but his offensive game is quite a liability. He should be much better next year as should everybody who comes back. 

I think we do better with Baker in the lineup v Jett.  Baker seems to have a better sense of the flow of the game and gets to the ball and to open spots better.

alum96

March 10th, 2023 at 2:22 AM ^

Re: Kobe

how many Juniors enter the draft and are lottery picks?  I was thinking Obi Toppin off top of my head but just looked it up and he left after the sophomore season.

  • First 11 picks last year FR, SO or G League so none
  • 21 only Davion Mitchell in first 11
  • 20 no one
  • 19 had Rui Hachimura at 9 and Cameron Johnson at 11

So it's possible but he'd be in rare company, 3 picks out of 44.  I stopped there I am sure its not much difference in 17, 18, etc

 

 

smitty1233

March 9th, 2023 at 4:28 PM ^

I'm going to sound like a broken record but here it goes..... 

The losing of close games is an indictment on the coaching beyond question. You'd at worst expect to be .500 or little below or little above in those games. We are like 0'fer 

Dickinson is basically the same player he was three years ago just better scouted and easier to slow down. T Will was abysmal and should have been a glue guy type season for him. There is no 4's on this roster that can help. NONE. 

The PG roster management is bewildering. I'm not just talking about the loss of Frankie I'm chalking him up to a one off weird situation. However being in year three and having nothing even remotely close other then a true freshmen and a transfer is telling

Things I really liked about the season: Kobe and Dugie development. Tarris Reed looks like a foundational piece you can build around. 

If Jett, Hunter and Kobe all leave Juwann is in deep trouble. If you can manage two of them back or even all three get some portal help I could see this being an upper middle Big Ten team solidly in the tournament next season. We have all heard since JH hiring how great of a recruiter he is well we better hope to high hell he can recruit his own guys back. If Frankie situation isn't a one off off weird situation and we are about to be put out of our misery next season. He couldn't re-recruit him. I don't see any way next years squad is better without two of those three back. I see a path but there are lots of holes and several rocks to navigate to get down that path. I for one haven't cashed in on Juwann like many have and honestly I can see how. He clearly loves this place and lets hope he can turn it around and on a path to better days! 

TBlue

March 9th, 2023 at 4:44 PM ^

This team was just so hard to watch for most of the season.  Yes, second half shooting today was awful, but I think that was more of a function that they just didn’t show up. Lack of effort seemed to be the norm (giving up huge numbers of offensive rebounds) and I’m not sure where to place the blame for that.  Is there a problem/cancer in the locker room?  I don’t know.  But there was enough talent for this team to do much better, even with the guys that left after last year.  It is clear the program hasn’t been going in the right direction the last couple years.  Juwan’s job is safe through next year, but after that….?

Yinka Double Dare

March 9th, 2023 at 4:50 PM ^

Feels like (and obviously I could be wrong) that Jett has been figuring all year he's a one and done and just didn't really care that much about college basketball. Hence the non-existent rebounding and defense. So much of both of those is effort and paying attention. Probably cost him some money in his draft position, but his family's already rich. 

Hope Bufkin comes back. As has been noted, he's actually younger than Jett despite being a class ahead, and he's not where Poole was when Poole got picked in the first round (and Poole had to spend time in the G League to get somewhere). 

aiglick

March 9th, 2023 at 4:53 PM ^

This season was disappointing but keep in mind we’ve gone through this with football and look at us now. I imagine Juwan will evaluate. Hopefully we get the core back and add some pieces and then watch out.

mgoviking5

March 9th, 2023 at 4:56 PM ^

It says quite a bit that as dreadful as this year has been, this team had a winning record in Big Ten play, went 2-1 against OSU/MSU, and was an IU overtime loss from being the 2 seed in the league tournament. We have had it pretty good as fans for this to feel as terrible as it does. I think of the 2000s when a tournament bid felt like gold. I have faith that next season will be much better. Howard has been very good at ID'ing players (Brown, Smith, Jones, Shannon) in the portal and if he finds a few shotmakers, they'll be back to the big dance.

charblue.

March 9th, 2023 at 5:28 PM ^

I agree with Alex's entire summary of this game and season. I am happy the viewing part of this season is now over for me.  

I don't know what's wrong with this team but it's palpable. There is a real leadership problem at a certain level, whether the blame belongs to the coaching staff or the players, I have no idea. At times, this team plays hard. At other times, it seems they are merely going through the motions of doing so. Maybe that's the result of building a callus to losing. 

But when it mattered most to play well today, Hunter Dickinson was the only one who showed up. There was no desperation in their performance. They allowed Rutgers to run the clock in every second half possession once they built a multi-possession lead.

They failed at the most fundamental aspects of basketball, continuing a problem that has pissed me off all  year --failing to get loose balls and rebounds when they had numerical advantage and position when only extra effort was the difference in obtaining those second chance defensive or offensive possession opportunities.

They lost every category of extra effort play today, which is not a surprise, because it reflects the final score. But this is also a reflection of yearlong play, which, again, is a reflection of a young team without effective team leadership. 

Judge Smails

March 9th, 2023 at 5:44 PM ^

Glad to see the "they're just unlucky" narrative that has been resident on the front page of this site and on the radio and pods was finally obliterated in this piece.

DHughes5218

March 9th, 2023 at 5:47 PM ^

I heard several people say they thought Michigan would be in the NCAA tournament regardless of the big ten tournament results. I wonder if they still feel that way. I do believe there’s a chance we could make it, and I’ll still tune in Sunday with hope, despite knowing I will most likely be disappointed.

Zopak

March 9th, 2023 at 6:21 PM ^

I've normally done a fairly good job of catching games where I can, following along with the media, everything involving basketball. After the second game of the year, I decided to focus on reading more instead of paying much attention to this team. To say I'm grateful is an understatement; I've gotten through 9 books and if this last game was any indicator, I've escaped a lot of pain and frustration. Yeesh.