Neck Sharpies: Arrogance is Not a Feature Comment Count

Seth November 2nd, 2020 at 2:58 PM

Of all the hot takes from this weekend—and there have been many—the one that rings the one that's most true is Michigan lost because they didn't respect Michigan State enough.

From this column's standpoint, the game was extraordinarily uninteresting. Michigan State did nothing clever to beat Michigan; inch-perfect fly routes to fast guys are 30% plays that get out before a pass rush can arrive, and are only worthwhile as a base offense if you have an extreme mismatch, extremely good accuracy, and extremely good luck. Also Michigan did nothing clever against Michigan State. In fact they took the clever parts of the offense that were so successful against Minnesota out of it, to the point where I wonder if Josh Gattis had much to do with this gameplan at all.

Let's go back to what worked against Minnesota. Michigan debuted their RPO additions to their staple Pin & Pull running game in the 2019 Spring Game. One version used multiple run threats and kept a downfield throw option. Another was to have an RB flare out and use the QB as a runner. Watch what happens to #44 Cam McGrone (bottom ILB):

This is the most simple way to demonstrate what a QB run game does for an offense: you now have one extra guy.

These plays disappeared last year but were a major part of the offense in Week 1 of 2020. Watch this linebacker disappear on Milton's 23-yard run:

Now let's watch the Michigan State game, when that linebacker had the game of his life.

[After THE JUMP in case you don't want to do this to yourself.]

Recent MGoRadio guest Scott Bell uncovered a damning statistic in his recent newsletter:

Six situationally similar plays, six runs, and none of them took care of the extra linebacker. Michigan's base running play in this game had no spread in it all. It was this.

This

stupid-ass,

back to the '90s,

no-read thing that only worked when the back could beat two guys on his own,

or MSU got caught cheating to it so hard that Michigan hit a cutback.

They ran it so much it didn't even work as a play-action.

They did get the Ben Mason run off of it though.

La di frickin dah. I only clipped half of them. Here's the one got me standing up screaming at the television.

The play is Counter, and you set who does the kickout block based on the defense's alignment.

image

The concept is really the same as Counter Trey. You have frontside guys blocking down on the playside T and MIKE, a first puller kicking out the edge, a second puller who thwams into the unblocked defender in the gap, and some backfield action meant to get the defense stepping backside.

You see Wisconsin run it all the time, and they're usually so good at winning blocks up front, or winning one-on-one battles with their running backs, that it works great for them. For an offense that can get consistent movement up front, make the right blocks, and push people around with their fullbacks or tight ends, it's the functional equivalent of MSU lobbing up fades, IE a play that's always there because you have a fundamental disadvantage that you turn into an advantage by having the players to execute it.

PROBLEM 1: EXECUTION

So the first issue with this play on Saturday was Michigan screwed it up themselves as often as not. I'm not positive Klatt has the assignments right but whether this was power and Stueber (#71) vamped by going for a kickout or Hayes or Mason hit the wrong guys or what, this was wrong.

The reason I don't know is Michigan had Mason and Mayfield block the same guy on the Corum TD.

That mess actually got three guys because it picked off Filaga's pull, leaving Corum with many unblocked guys.

image

If doubling that guy was supposed to create havoc in MSU defense it didn't work.

PROBLEM 2: MICHIGAN STATE CAME PREPARED

MSU isn't just another team on the schedule. They're Little Brother, the program that makes an especial study of Michigan because this game is more important than any three on their schedule. They're also a team with a very competent front seven that plays with an Even front with eight in the box that takes away C gap runs and forces you to attack the A gaps (where you might meet the occasional double-blitz). Moreover it was extremely evident against Rutgers that MSU was overprepared for these specific concepts.

Like giving their speedy receivers who haven't shown any route chops a matchup where they only need speed, this concept played into Michigan State's strengths. The first instance Michigan ran it there should have been claxons that MSU came into the game very good at this one thing. See if you can pick out their little trick. It's at the top of the line.

MSU was playing the same gap switch games against Michigan's power concept that teams use against committed zone read offenses. The DE set up way wide, so much so that the tackle, Mayfield, either had to go way out of his way to go around, or more likely pass by. In this case Mayfield went around, finally encountering the strong safety who converted to the edge.

The trick though was after screwing with Mayfield, the DE shuffled way inside again, where he can't be kicked out, and got into the backfield. Mason was not in position to kick him anymore, and the guy was too far up field to turn inside.

There are ways to deal with that, e.g. swap Mayfield's and Mason's duties. The same thing is what happened when Filiaga and Mason blocked the same guy. Watch the DE and the linebacker.

I don't know how they coached it this week but in the past, e.g. last year against Illinois, when a DE ducked inside they had the first puller turn him and the second puller (Mason) deal with the next guy, so I'd guess this was Mason's mistake.

PROBLEM 3: YOU GAVE AWAY THE FARM

The thing that stands out most is what's Joe Milton threatening on this play? On this particular play Mayfield missed the middle linebacker, but even if he hadn't MSU was setting up to take this away, and reacting to it so strongly that there was another cutback lane like Evans took available if Filiaga saw it:

Filiaga's day was quietly just as terrible as Vincent Gray's. But here's the thing: that cutback lane could have been wide freakin open, or the MSU linebackers would have had to stop blasting to the playside, if there was a QB threat in this play. Michigan State got to play a man up in the running game because Milton was not part of it. The clip at the end of the play is damning in 2020:

image

This was the fundamental flaw in Michigan's offensive approach to Michigan State. Even when they weren't running their base-for-a-day counter play, Michigan constantly let an MSU player account for both Milton and a backfield threat.

That's not to say Michigan didn't have reads. This power play read the backside defender (this time the nickelback) with an option to give to Henning on a BASH (backside outside) run if #29 (guy at LB level on the far right) takes a step to playside.

But again there's no QB threat in that play. Milton is just a guy standing in the backfield handing off to A or B. MSU still has an exta defender (the cornerback in this case) if all the blocks go well. Klatt says Hayes should have come off his block so Mason could get that guy. I know another way to get that guy…

image

Put Haskins out side to draw a linebacker away, Give Joe Milton the inside run, and Henning can still be a BASH read.

I really do like the idea of using a fullback to eject guys from their positions, and I think this line can be taught to execute Pin & Pull-like concepts as well as the last one. What I don't want to see any more of—not even against Rutgers anymore—is Michigan going back into this 1990s idea that the quarterback is enough of a threat on a play-action deep ball that they can run the running game without him. Milton hasn't shown yet that he can throw the deep ball with enough accuracy to beat even his own team's cornerbacks. Now they've got the worst L of Harbaugh's coaching career tatooed on their faces, damaging their chances of recruiting a championship caliber team down the road, and giving an extremely annoying rival who was down in the dirt a shot at being a serious thorn again.

But they kept Milton from taking hits. I bet he feels great.

Comments

mlax27

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:02 PM ^

This game felt like the army game from last year or the time we put denard under center at Iowa.  Thanks for actually pointing out what really caused it.  
 

Now I’d like to know whose game plan it was...

MGoStrength

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:03 PM ^

Can we fix this or is the season doomed? I was worried about Wiscy & PSU. Now I'm worried about Maryland and Indiana.

jsquigg

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:16 PM ^

I have a few thoughts:

1) Michigan has botched recruiting to the point where their scheme cannot be flawed.

2) Under Harbaugh, the scheme has regularly been flawed but he used to have the talent to make up for it. They no longer do.

3) Assuming Michigan's academics are always going to be an issue regardless of coaches, they need to improve their scheme while simultaneously simplifying it. Don Brown's defense's, on top of no longer making sense, are far too complicated. Give me a coach who can teach a few things well over being worried about having too many bullets.

4) I don't know what the fuck they're trying to do on offense. Might as well have built on the prostyle offense Jedd was a part of with Harbaugh establishing the "Stanford style" he had preferred than to meddle with a spread offense he knows less about.

At this point just give me coherence.

My Name is LEGIONS

November 3rd, 2020 at 10:44 AM ^

I'm beginning to question his intelligence, because he is putting these incredibly complex plays on the plate of young kids...  forget that now, and think of the implications of them going against defenses played by young kids....there will be blown assignments and missteps all over the place, which will wreck the most intricate plays.   

There is an essay by Arthur C. Clarke entitled  "Superiority"  that at MIT they used to make every incoming freshman read...  maybe Harbaugh needs to read this.  While it could argue the opposite in that he is sticking with old things, I say because he has gone too complex, for young kids playing vs young kids.

http://nob.cs.ucdavis.edu/classes/ecs153-2019-04/readings/superiority.p…

YoOoBoMoLloRoHo

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:26 PM ^

Welp, almost as much fun reading about the coaching malpractice as watching it on Saturday. Spread and speed-in-space replaced by manball and meatgrinder-in-phone booth. Harbaugh had to control the offensive game plan.

What coach thought this game plan would generate 40+ points? That is necessary in current football to ensure success. If things don’t go well, you still score 30+.  PSU scored 25 v OSU, BC scored 28 v Clemson, UM scored 24 ... all lost.

Greg McMurtry

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:39 PM ^

It looked like 2019 all over again with Shea handing off, then turning around to see no one for 15 yards when that could have been a read option keep. And this happened multiple times.

Mongo

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:54 PM ^

It looked like a completely different game plan versus building on the week-1 successes.  Also, MSU was poorly scouted and when basic stuff was not working there was no adjustment at halftime.  I don't get it.  Very strange.  It was like the coaches thought "MSU is so terrible we don't need to prepare any of the good stuff" ... wrong.

TIMMMAAY

November 2nd, 2020 at 4:55 PM ^

Appreciate the effort this must have taken, but I just can't right now. Too fresh. I was "concerned" going into the game, I always get that way when this board gets all cocky. 

/sigh

Jmer

November 2nd, 2020 at 5:09 PM ^

This is pretty infuriating. We had a great offensive game plan in week one. The media and this blog were gushing about it. The perfect blend of speed in space and manball. There were so many ways we could build off it and continue to keep opposing defenses guessing...then we come out with this sludge fart of a game plan. Credit to MSU. They took away our pin & pull and kept everything underneath in the passing game. But we made zero adjustments throughout the whole game. That is coaching malpractice. I don't know if Gattis was handcuffed by Harbaugh in this one or the coaches looked past MSU or what happened, but we took multiple steps backwards on offense from both a execution and play calling stand point.

The 2019 spring game highlights are just the continual tease of what things could be. A lot of those plays have never seen the field for us in an actual game.    

Blue Me

November 2nd, 2020 at 5:30 PM ^

My takeaway is the team was not prepared on either side of the ball, again.

That falls squarely on the shoulders of Harbaugh.

 The consensus here seems to be that he's a better than average coach but I don't see it at all.

dnak438

November 2nd, 2020 at 6:27 PM ^

Maybe I'm being dense, but I feel like Seth meant the title to be "Arrogance is a feature." On my reading, what he's arguing is that Michigan didn't respect MSU and so came out with a vanilla game plan, which suggests that arrogance is a feature (not a bug) that's baked into the football program and which leads to results such as these. Or am I not getting it?

andrewgr

November 2nd, 2020 at 6:40 PM ^

I assume it's a play on the programmer joke, "That's not a bug, it's a feature."  The joke being that Michigan coaches were so arrogant, it could only be the result of conscious effort-- they must see it as a desirable state.  I don't think Seth believes that, but it's a funny joke (if you're a programmer).

dragonchild

November 3rd, 2020 at 6:56 AM ^

I don't see much of the "feature/bug" in this.  I take it to mean things like, "the zone read is a feature of the offense".  "This play features Nico Collins' jump ball ability."

Arrogance is not an offensive scheme.  It is not a feature.  And it needed to be said, because it seemed like the coaches forgot that.

imafreak1

November 2nd, 2020 at 7:24 PM ^

Mentions of the Army game may be appropriate not because the details of the game are similar but because the Army game plan and play calling were completely mystifying--similar to this game. When I look back at that game what Michigan was doing was almost incomprehensible. We had all assumed that the Army game was a speed bump in Gattis' development that would not be repeated. But maybe instead Gattis is prone to a few really bad game plans, particularly when he does not respect the opposing defense, and then is unable to make adjustments on the fly.

The two wild cat calls immediately made me very concerned for Gattis. Even before the second snap. The first one is whatever. The wild cat is fashionable and it worked last week. Michigan seems to view it as some fancy trickery much more than it really is but whatever. The head scratching part was running it the second time. Given how spectacularly unsuccessful it was the first time, the 3rd down play was either stupid beyond belief and had no chance of scoring or it was the most obvious trick play ever. Even casual observers KNOW that Michigan had never passed out of the wild cat. Even in that OSU game when they kept running it over and over unsuccessfully. They did not have to show run out of the wild cat on the previous play to get them with the pass. I am sure every MSU coach and player were well aware of the tendencies. Doing it two times in a row didn't increase the deception--it made it more obvious. 

AlbanyBlue

November 3rd, 2020 at 4:50 PM ^

It was 100% a Harbaugh call in a very Harbaugh game plan. Remember, it was the Pepcat. That had nothing to do with Gattis.

I'm convinced Harbaugh told Gattis to keep things vanilla, probably due to a measure of disrespect for MSU and a measure of attempting to protect Milton. Or maybe just a desire to pound them, because he hates MSU.

jcorqian

November 2nd, 2020 at 7:34 PM ^

" In fact they took the clever parts of the offense that were so successful against Minnesota out of it, to the point where I wonder if Josh Gattis had much to do with this gameplan at all."

This is the key line in my opinion.  What in the name of sweet fuck happened?  Almost like those games were called by two different people.  Or the same person with someone else imposing upon him.  It looked like a whole different offense.  I'm not all that well-versed in football nuances (never played beyond high school) but it was pretty obvious watching the offense that we didn't even attempt to do what we did last week.

I think MSU was prepared to take some hits on those bubble screens and such in return for shutting down our inside run game.  They must have been flabbergasted that we never even really tried it...

1blueeye

November 2nd, 2020 at 8:06 PM ^

Game theory curiosity on this. And I’m not sure how I lean, but the old “lizard brain” theory comes into play. If a coaching staff feels they have perceived superior advantages, it seems they would want to mitigate variance and be less risky. I.e protect your qb, run the ball, no turnovers , and let the perceived advantages win out. But it’s fools gold and it lets the opponent stay within striking distance, allowing for a few big plays to flip the script of the game by luck, bad officiating, or just finding their own advantage. Wouldn’t you rather come out and find a way to hang 70 on your opponent any way possible even if it exposes you to some turnover potential? Or is that just too risky for our coaches?

AlbanyBlue

November 3rd, 2020 at 4:55 PM ^

Yep, too risky, for Harbaugh anyway. Why a superior team would let an inferior one hang around makes no sense to me. Run your best stuff. Score points. Demoralize the other side.

Harbaugh will never learn. The funniest take on the board is that there isn't another coach out there that can get Michigan to ten wins a season. Pretty much ANY P5 coach in America can come up with a better offensive gameplan than we saw on Saturday.

DHughes5218

November 2nd, 2020 at 8:54 PM ^

I wonder if Harbaugh’s “influence” on the offense will have Gattis looking for another gig soon or if he was a willing participant in this debacle. I understand the Head Coach has the final say with every decision, but if the OC feels like his hands are being tied, he will probably look elsewhere for an opportunity where he had a like-minded head coach or one that will give him full reign to game plan and call his own plays.

chewieblue

November 2nd, 2020 at 9:01 PM ^

Seth, don’t you think formation selection is as much a problem as anything?  A lot of two tights, sometime with wing-adds and condensed slot sets, that draw everyone (and I mean everyone) in to help against the run.  
I feel like those kinds of sets just invite 8-ish man boxes all day and it leads to beating our heads into a wall. 

I’d prefer we just spread to run.

BBQJeff

November 2nd, 2020 at 9:18 PM ^

Against Minnesota the whole spread the field speed-in-space thing worked very well.   So naturally the coaching staff ditched it against an opponent with a speed disadvantage.  

Unreal.  

Magnus

November 2nd, 2020 at 9:20 PM ^

I have a lot of issues with play #1 under "Problem #1: Execution."

First, I hate lining up in a condensed formation to run the ball inside. There are too many bodies, and all it takes is one guy messing up a block to kill the play.

On top of that, when you bring 8 or 9 guys into the box, that's a lot more to sort through for the offensive line. The rule on power for the pulling guard is to block the MIKE vs. a 3-man core and block the SAM vs. a 2-man core. I think Stueber gets confused about whom he should block. 

To the contrary, if you spread things out, it more clearly defines the blocks for the offensive line, because there aren't extra safeties and corners edging into the box.

On the Corum touchdown, I think the blocking is fine from Mason/Mayfield. Mason and Mayfield should double team to the WILL linebacker, but the WILL never shows, so they don't have to come off their double.

Eyzwidopn

November 2nd, 2020 at 9:47 PM ^

This isn't coaching, this is arrogance masquerading as malpractice.  Was the objective to mano-o-mano MSU to death?  How do you "build" on what worked with Minny by totally scraping what appeared to be your offense's identity... and why are we seeing this kind of schizo approach in year 6?!  

Gattis - year 2, Warriner - year 3, Brown - year 4, & Harbaugh - year 6 = No Stability.  There's something going on in that building and it ain't good.  

CompleteLunacy

November 3rd, 2020 at 2:18 PM ^

That was coaching malpractice. Harbaugh said the team has to own it...well, he does too. All the drumbeats of him being on the hot seat? Own it. Because there is zero excuse to lose to one of your main rivals as 20+ point favorites. Nothing about how MSU played Saturday should be a surprise - that is how they play in this rivalry, and once again Michigan's own arrogance is their downfall.

I mean it wasn't MSU lucking to victory or a refjob...it was MSU thoroughly outplaying and outcoaching Michigan the whole damn game. The fact that it was a 3 point loss actually hides how lopsided the game was. After what we saw a week earlier - and yes, I understand Minnesota was massively overrated - there's just no excuse for the arrogance in display in the conservative gameplan. 

The thing that gets me though is - where was the playcalling from a week prior? Shoot, even the year prior with these very same coaches against the very same team? You are so arrogant to think you don't need to be aggressive against your 2nd most hated rival? The fuck, man. 

I'm not on the "fire Harbaugh" bandwagon but for the first time I have no interest in defending him. He has to own this, not me. He has to figure out a way to beat OSU, not me. MSU felt like an inflection point. Even with covid and all that (there's really a lot of weirdness going around in football this year), to see Michigan revert back to their old selves again under Harbaugh is just really tiring. 

 

MgoBirch

November 5th, 2020 at 9:35 AM ^

Thanks for this Seth, despite how stressful this week has been for any number of #2020 reasons, this was a really great look and peace of instruction on exactly why so much of what was attempted on Saturday failed. As always, you provide an awesome mid-week lesson in football strategy and why so many games where this coaching staff has gone back to being illogically conservative in their playcalling hurts both the execution of the players and the inevitable outcome of the drives/games.

So much of this reminded me of the 2016 Iowa game, not from a schematic perspective of what they left off the playsheet, but from the seemingly total departure from what they'd established they could do (even if it was just against the now exposed Minnesota defense).