Matt Painter isn't coming to Crisler this year [Marc Gregor Campredon]

Finally, A Basketball Schedule Comment Count

Ace November 18th, 2020 at 5:59 PM

The Big Ten announced their full slate of games, which means we have a full 25-game 2020-21 Michigan basketball schedule with an entire week to spare. Click to embiggen.

A few thoughts before I get back to uh definitely not scrambling to write almost the entire season preview in a week.

A slow incline. Michigan doesn't leave the confines of Crisler until late December after playing their first six games at home. The non-conference opponents, in order of projected KenPom ranking (last year's final KenPom ranking in parentheses):

NC State, 55 (50)
UCF, 114 (117)
Ball State, 129 (116)
Bowling Green, 163 (168)
Oakland, 281 (239)

Not exactly a murderer's row. KenPom has Michigan 15th in his preseason projections, making them a 7-point (73%) favorite over their toughest non-conference foe, NC State. If you flipped the Bowling Green and Oakland games, the Wolverines would be taking on their opponents in order from worst to best. That's a nice way to ramp up while figuring out how best to replace starters at center and point guard.

That's a lot of basketball in not a lot of time. 25 games in 102 days, to be exact. Michigan's longest break is the 11 days between the conference opener against Penn State and their trip to Nebraska on Christmas—I'm sure they loved that gift from the schedule-makers.

There are some brutal stretches, particularly the one starting with a New Year's Eve road game at Maryland; the following seven games have no more than three days rest between any of them, and more often it's only two. Conditioning, depth, and health are going to play outsized roles this year.

Your one-offs. Each Big Ten team has six league opponents they only face once. Helpfully compiled by Orion Sang so I didn't have to do this myself:

Home: Illinois, Iowa, Rutgers 
Road: Nebraska, Ohio State, Purdue

Given the Big Ten is a cluster up top and we have no clue what the NCAA tournament is going to look like yet, I'm not sure how to analyze the conference slate. 

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Comments

AC1997

November 18th, 2020 at 6:46 PM ^

Well, I'd lump the conference into roughly four tiers:

Tier #1 = Contenders (Illinois, MSU, Wisconsin, Iowa)

Tier #2 = Tourny teams (Michigan, Rutgers, OSU)

Tier #3 = Who knows? (Indiana, Purdue, Minnesota, Maryland)

Tier #4 = We suck (Nebraska, Northwestern, PSU)

 

Our 1-offs allow us to miss four of the top seven teams on a second trip - I'll take that.  Getting two games against 5 of the bottom 7 and especially Northwestern and PSU is great.  I'm also highly skeptical of MN and Maryland being much better given their losses.  

bronxblue

November 18th, 2020 at 9:11 PM ^

I feel like inviting UCF up is tempting the COVID-19 gods, but otherwise looks like a pretty manageable schedule early on, then just a grind in the new year.  

champswest

November 18th, 2020 at 9:21 PM ^

I think this schedule sets up nicely for a team that needs to fill some big shoes and figure some things out with a lot of new faces on the team. We will have time to learn and grow and still rack up some wins. We could be pretty good by late April.

Stevedez

November 19th, 2020 at 12:47 AM ^

My wife asked me what I wanted to do for my birthday this year... my answer will be to watch Michigan play Central Florida! 

Though Covid will test our marriage as she is celebrating a "milestone" birthday on the day we play Ohio State in football... but not sure if I can handle watching that game at the moment...

GoingBlue

November 19th, 2020 at 1:02 AM ^

So if we have Covid problems starting before that run of 7 games then we can essentially cancel a quarter of the season? That doesn’t seem good. 
Playing the season February to May makes a lot more sense than this. 
but whatever, fingers crossed.