Early spread: Michigan 17.5 point favorites
Westgate Las Vegas Superbook currently has Michigan listed as 17.5 favorites over MSU.
http://detroitsportsnation.com/u-of-m-news/ddrysdale/look-michigan-vs-m…
Curious to see how much it fluctuates depending what MSU does against Iowa next weekend. Michigan hasn't covered against Sparty since 2006. Lets change that and blow them out under the lights .
September 25th, 2017 at 9:43 PM ^
I am hoping for a 49-0 score, but I think we will win along the lines of 27-13.
September 25th, 2017 at 9:49 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 8:11 AM ^
Agreed...I'd love to have a "shitty" UM/MSU game. A game where UM goes up like 14-0 real quick and M's defense just doesn't allow anything by msu and we can generally "chill" most of the game. Frankly, I could use a non-nail biter in a big game for once. Aren't we due for one of those games that is a big rivalry game and UM just blows the doors off?
I remember watching UM/OSU during the 42-7 RR debacle and my osu friends were so chilled and relaxed during the game. I was jealous. I want that verse msu this year.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:01 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 2:11 AM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 9:01 AM ^
17 1/2 points is absurd. They are not being coached by Bobby Williams anymore. When's the last time we beat them by more than 17 points???
I think we will prevail on the strength of our defense forcing Lewerke into several mistakes; but I'm still not confident about our offense being able to put up big numbers against them.
M 27 Staee 16.
September 26th, 2017 at 11:52 AM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 9:44 PM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 9:59 PM ^
"Since 2006" would normally mean that that is how far back you have to go to find a game that started this late.
But this game has never started this late, right? It's certainly later than 2006. Tigers aren't making the LCS this year, either.
September 26th, 2017 at 11:41 AM ^
And M won 31-13, and 18 > 17.5
September 26th, 2017 at 6:28 PM ^
So? What does the start time have to do with the point spread?
September 25th, 2017 at 9:44 PM ^
It's going to be close
because MSU always plays us like they're playing in the national championship.
September 25th, 2017 at 9:56 PM ^
Plays OSU like it's the national championship.
It's a rivalry game. Everyone plays hard.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:03 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 11:42 AM ^
Last time they played for a national championship they lost 38-0, so...
September 25th, 2017 at 9:45 PM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 10:54 PM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 10:58 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 12:40 AM ^
"bye week" because *every* week is improvement week!
September 25th, 2017 at 9:45 PM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 9:56 PM ^
O’Korn starts, Wolverines will beat the spread.
I’ve got the spread at 16.5. Don’t expect the spread to move more than 3 points. If it moves UM’s way it’s a no play in my book.
September 25th, 2017 at 9:58 PM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 9:45 PM ^
Uh, that is an insane line. MSU has looked pretty decent thus far. If Michigan can't beat Air Force by 17, they sure aren't going to beat MSU by 17.
September 25th, 2017 at 9:51 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 12:37 AM ^
Well, look at his username and avatar. He knows what it's like to get a painful reality check.
September 26th, 2017 at 12:20 PM ^
"General Lee, I have no division."
September 25th, 2017 at 9:53 PM ^
That was before we got O'Korn going. I think the offense will be a bit more dynamic going forward
September 26th, 2017 at 6:11 AM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 10:12 AM ^
The offense can be more dynamic without having to be a juggernaut.
September 25th, 2017 at 9:53 PM ^
not that it matters, a win is a win. but you couldn`t see a 30-13 game?
September 25th, 2017 at 9:57 PM ^
It's certainly possible. I'm not expecting it though.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:16 PM ^
No, I can't. MSU actually played reasonably well against ND, outgaining them significantly. I expect a 5-10 point game at most.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:24 PM ^
Did you watch the game? It wasn't fair from kickoff. Sparty got 230 yards in garbage time after they were behind 35-10 to make the yardage look way better than the actual game went. Before that they had 260 yards in three quarters which is decidedly mediocree, and Notre Dame is not exactly elite.
Dantonio's over prep for Michigan keeps it sort of close and some garbage time defeated with dignity points might get them a backdoor cover. I don't even believe that though.
Michigan 45-10.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:32 PM ^
Dantonio will sacrifice losses to ND and Iowa for Michigan prep. I guarantee he's already started. That alone will keep it within 17.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:59 PM ^
I'm guessing he sacrificed the 5 games prior to us playing them last year?
Is that what you're saying?
September 25th, 2017 at 11:05 PM ^
The fact that a 3-9 MSU team came within 9 points of the best Michigan team in a decade is all the more evidence that this spread is absurd.
September 25th, 2017 at 11:30 PM ^
Lol, are you another one of those people pretending that last years MSU game was close? Defeated with dignity or something like that
September 26th, 2017 at 2:06 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 12:02 AM ^
how good was "the best M tteam in a decade" in the worst decade of Michigan football ever probably. That game was a blowout until Sp8 threw the pick in the 3rd quarter when we were driving to go up by 24 , then Harbaugh turtled the rest of the game. MSU is terrible again, this is going to be a blowout.
September 26th, 2017 at 12:11 AM ^
But when you're considering a spread, you have to account for conservative play late in the game by a clearly superior team. This is basic gambling. If this spread stands, you will see it drop drastically within the first two days.
September 26th, 2017 at 2:13 PM ^
I smell a Sparty in Wolverine clothing.
September 26th, 2017 at 8:53 AM ^
September 27th, 2017 at 5:03 AM ^
While he didn't intentionally totally tank, I'm pretty sure he held some stuff back in those games for Michigan that he could have used.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:38 PM ^
You're kind of both right. MSU piled on a lot of garbage time yards, but 260 after three quarters isn't the end of the world and they were neck and neck with ND for yardage for much of the game. LJ Scott's fumble at the goal line would have made it 21-14 and a much different football game.
So yes, garbage time had an effect. But the game was more even on the field than the score indicated.
September 25th, 2017 at 11:16 PM ^
ND would not have run the same offense in the 2nd half if the game was close. They would have kept slinging it around and would likely have run up more yards and points.
In either case, the whole game changes so it is not possible to run that hypothetical. You can only run hypotheticals that occur in the last few minutes of a game where it is clear what the impact of a play or call has on the game - example: JT properly being marked short last year or the Lions getting screwed by the refs yet again yesterday.
September 25th, 2017 at 10:54 PM ^
September 25th, 2017 at 11:37 PM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 6:16 AM ^
September 26th, 2017 at 10:18 AM ^
They were also basically escorted down the field on two 4th quarter drives due to terrible PI calls and blatant holding that went uncalled.
Also, what has Lewerke shown other than two long QB keeper runs?
September 26th, 2017 at 10:26 AM ^
Well, a lot. Way back when I was in school, we beat Sparty by 18, 14, and 42 (heh, heh) and there's been more recent one-sidedness. Unfortunately, a couple of those were beat downs BY Sparty during those years when we had coaches I don't want to think about it (17 and 24 point embarassments for RR and Hoke respectively).
Granted, ancient history has no bearing whatsoever on current teams, but you did ask the question.