Not Pictured: the safety who ought to be.

Neck Sharpies: Somebody Please Coach Dax Hill Comment Count

Seth December 1st, 2020 at 12:03 PM

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This job on the whole doesn't suck, but picking a play to talk about out of this holistic failure hasn't exactly been the highlight of it. What's wrong with the defense? See the ball? Go to guy with ball!

I don't know what's going on with safeties coach Bob Shoop so I can't judge who's responsible for the fact that he's not with the team this year. I can tell you that not having a safeties coach is really showing on the field but you don't need Seth to say "THE BALL! DON'T LOOK OVER THERE THE BALL GO TO THE BALL! GYOTDJAMMIT"

#Analysis!

I also hope I've taught you enough by now that you know all about setting up with outside leverage, and how that leads to slants when you blitz.

Why are they having Daxton Hill set up like he's Tyree Kinnell against a walk-on named Lutz when the WHOLE DANG POINT of using Daxton Hill as a safety is he doesn't have to cheat to the slot fade to cover it?

[After THE JUMP: #Analysis]

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It's possible they were planning on having the other safety, Hunter Reynolds, hammer down on anything inside and he didn't.

But now, Michigan doesn't have any plan. The six-man pressure blitz is supposed to force a quick decision, the quickest decision is the slant, and if you take that away the quarterback is going to last only as long as his freshman RB can stand up to Josh Ross and his freshman right tackle can hold off Kwity Paye.

If you're calling a six-man pressure using both of your middle linebackers, your thought process for coverage should be "I need to get the quickest reads covered" because there's likely to only be one or two. Dominating those quick reads however comes with potential risks. Which would you rather?

  1. Play Dax Hill with straight-up or inside leverage to take away the H slant, trusting he can catch up and make a play on a slot fade. OR
  2. Play Dax with outside leverage, have Reynolds hammer down into it for a possible interception, and trust Michael Barrett and Vincent Gray can survive without safety help.

A safety coach is teaching both techniques, getting them used to playing off each others' strengths, and having them set traps. A grad student is having Dax Hill set up the way Tyree Kinnel did because that's all the grad student knows.

DAX HILL IS NOT RAY VINOPAL

Here's another hair-pulling event. It's the play where we thought we had a fumble-return touchdown. Watch it again though, and count how many receivers there are to cover.

Two.

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Sorry that wasn't meant for you. I know the defense doesn't know it's just two guys in the route at the start of the play. They do know there isn't a huge downfield threat going on because PSU has two tight ends on the boundary side and immediately the RB steps to the backside too. What Michigan is running here however is a Tampa Two, which is, you know, the defense that teams installed when their safeties couldn't cover too much ground. Watch the MLB, #45 Adam Shibley.

Now, if you're a Tampa Two aficionado I know what you're going to say. You're going to say that it's the cornerback's responsibility to pick up the out route because the whole dang point of the Tampa 2 is to give the safeties some middle-of-the-field help from the MLB and let them play aggressively over the sideline routes. Well, Lovie,

image

Dax is so far away from this play only the long shadow of the November sun has left any sign of his existence. Teams with weak safeties who can't get around very well will live with this. There's no reason to have Daxton Hill backing up this far unless he has ceased being Daxton Hill. There are only two plausible threats to his side, two tight ends and another safety to handle the other side, and a middle linebacker dropping back to 12 yards deep across the middle. I don't even know why this is in the playbook. Since it is, somebody in charge of the safeties should be instructing them on a running down in the 1st quarter with two TE on the other side to jump some damn routes. Hammer down on the #1 (outside) receiver so Green can make a play on the out. Make him go to another read, by which time the guard blocking Hinton is in his lap. TAKE AWAY THE FIRST GODDAMN LOOK.

So what the hell is going on?

FORTY SECONDS IN HELL

After the Minnesota game I wrote a piece on how Don Brown changed up his looks against Minnesota to waste their "Check with me" calls. 

Remember, Penn State's new offensive coordinator is Kirk Ciarrocca, who was PJ Fleck's offensive coordinator prior to that. Sure enough, Michigan was doing the same shift they used against Ciarrocca's mentor. It's Cover 2! (Check). Nope: Cover 1, 8-man box, run stuffed.

It's Cover 1! (Check)

Nope, Cover 2.

But eventually they're going to catch on. Next play is the same thing. Michigan shows Cover 1, waits for the QB to talk to the coaches, then bails the field safety, this time Hunter Reynolds.

But note what's happened here. The first play we had Michael Barrett destroying WR #3 (who's a pitiful blocker) and holding things up until Adam Shibley arrived. Dax Hill, the safety to that side, didn't show up until the rest were already halting the TE's progress after four yards. This time Jaylen Harrell can't get out there as fast as Michael Barrett did, and they get the first down before Reynolds gets there.

Penn State adapted, checking to the sideline and anticipating that the defense was going to change up its look. I mean, c'mon, do you really think when Clifford looked to the sideline his coaches said "Yeah, run a quick out against Daxton Hill"?

It was a nice trick against Minnesota because they want to run and will do so if you show them a friendly enough box for it—worst case scenario you're in a two-high, they're running the ball into your light box, and you can bring your safety down as soon as he sees the tight ends aren't releasing downfield.

That's Gemon Green, by the way, because Michigan flipped their safeties' and cornerbacks' jobs in those situations to get a safety off the overhang. I'm pointing that out because the problem with Michigan's defense against Penn State wasn't just that they got caught in Cover 2 when the enemy suspected it. It's that Daxton Hill doesn't know what to do in that situation:

He's not the only one. One of the first things safeties in this defense learn is the switching rules for Cover 1. For example if a tight end comes across the formation, the safety over him has to become the deep guy while the deep guy rotates down to be able to fire at the tight end if there's a run play. Hunter Reynolds here does not get the memo.

What Michigan is doing on defense makes sense enough schematically. However the way their safeties are reacting to things, and aligning to things, and certainly not creating any havoc things, tells me a crucial part of their defensive structure isn't on the same page.

Probably could use a coach there.

Comments

cbutter

December 1st, 2020 at 12:19 PM ^

What is so funny to me is that these are all things that even someone who never played or coached football can see happening in real time. I understand that there are always things that the defense has to give up, that is the nature of the game, but Don Brown seems to make it really easy on the other team. 

mpbear14

December 1st, 2020 at 12:21 PM ^

In the past 6 years, we have had seasons without a WR coach and now a Safties coach.


How in the world does that happen at program with every available resource known to man?

 

Mich4Life

December 1st, 2020 at 5:37 PM ^

https://247sports.com/Season/2020-Football/CompositeCoachRankings/?Conference=Big-Ten

 

#43 of 115 coaches in the B1G.

 

Listing all in case others were curious like me.

 

2. Moore (21 nationally)

6. Brown (41)

17. Campanile (95)

35. Warriner

37. Gattis

43. Zordich

77. Shoop

79. Jay Harbaugh

90. Nua

 

Looking just at the numbers, not terrible relative to our rivals etc.  They are ranked by points which is a mix of # of commits and avg. rating.

 

Disappointing to see so many ranked at #30 or lower in the conferenece, and this class is pretty much complete. 

 

I also navigated over to the all conference tab and pulled out some head coaches, as we obviously need our next CEO to live and breathe recruiting in addition to about a million other things, but an enthusiastic recruiter would be nice. Many head coaches delegate primary recruiting responsibilities, but found it interesting anyway. 

 

10. Hafley (BC)

16. Scott (USF)

34. Aranda (Baylor)

 

 

 

MGoStrength

December 1st, 2020 at 6:25 PM ^

obviously need our next CEO to live and breathe recruiting

I actually don't think our HC needs to be a great recruiter himself, at least in the traditional sense of an energetic, personable salesman.  I just think he needs to have a structure in place that values it through either meetings, IDing talent, having a recruiting board, having good recruiters as assistants, uses social media well, etc.  Or whatever it takes to have a good recruiting program like Meyer, Saban, Fisher, Smart, etc. have.  I don't know if those things are it, but those are just some things I hear mentioned.  Obviously Saban is far from a personable guy that you'd expect kids to want to play for, but year after year Bama is either #1 or #2 in the rankings.  So, whatever those people do is what UM needs to do.  They need to sign top 10ish classes every year with guys that fit their system, that they develop and stick around, without having glaring holes like UM has at DT and CB right now.  If they do that they still might not be better than OSU, but they should be competitive with them and be able to win once in a while and secure the #2 place in the conference.  And, there's no reason why UM can't do that.

TrueBlue2003

December 1st, 2020 at 7:33 PM ^

Whether it's direct recruiting or putting in place an effective apparatus and delegating (in reality it's always some combination), what matters is results.  JH has been a good recruiter.  He's a terrible coach and delegator but a good recruiter.  Would be nice to at least maintain regular top 10 classes and then have a guy that actually knows what he's doing or will hire people that do.

Naked Bootlegger

December 1st, 2020 at 12:33 PM ^

C'mon, Seth.  Instead of focusing on the negatives, can't you also spotlight the positives?

/Frantically searches for positives in the game film

/Crickets chirping

/Springtime birdsong echoes in the distant background

/Gurgling sounds of a northern Michigan stream

OK.  I now see your point.   Our best defensive weapon is currently not being weaponized and is apparently not receiving useful tutelage.   And our defense stinks.

 

BahamaMama

December 1st, 2020 at 12:44 PM ^

Since I have never played football, this probably sounds dumb - but is there any reason why Harbaugh and/or other staff couldn’t have called up an unemployed buddy that has experience coaching safeties and ask if they could fill in for a while this season? It wouldn’t have to cost much and the players would certainly benefit.

Brian Griese

December 1st, 2020 at 12:49 PM ^

My best guess is: The NCAA has limits on the number of "assistant coaches" a program can have.  Shoop is formally one.  You cannot bring in another "assistant coach" to do on the field work without firing one that you have or having one quit.  Therefore, if they do not have grounds to fire Shoop and he won't resign, they are stuck.  

Brian Griese

December 1st, 2020 at 2:17 PM ^

Now that is a valid argument.  If there are health reasons why he can't coach this year - no biggie.  Pay him his wages, 'fire' him from a formal assistant role and make him the assistant to Harbaugh's secretary or something until he can safely coach again.  At least then you can get a temporary coach in there.  

Brian Griese

December 1st, 2020 at 12:46 PM ^

I put this in the game thread but the second GIF you cut is about as bad as it gets.  At the snap, Jeter fires to his right.  Under no circumstance should the LB behind him go the same direction.  Where does Shibley step? Immediately to his right.  Result? Two unblocked defensive players running that direction when only one was needed to stop the QB and the Running back on their left to the house for 6.   

NYC Fan3

December 1st, 2020 at 12:46 PM ^

I don't know what's going on with safeties coach Bob Shoop so I can't judge who's responsible for the fact that he's not with the team this year.

how does this happen at a major program with no information around his reason for being away from the program?  

Teeba

December 1st, 2020 at 12:56 PM ^

I have a theory. Don Brown is 65 years old. Harbaugh doesn't want him to get covid, so Don is doing very little actual coaching in practice (or games.) Social distancing and hands-on coaching don't mix. That, and the complete decimation of talented players on the defense explains how a guy who year in and year out runs defenses that give up 275-300 ypg suddenly is giving up 425 ypg.

Seth

December 1st, 2020 at 1:44 PM ^

Brown has been with the players. It doesn't look like it on the field but he's been working as usual.

Shoop I've heard interacts with recruits on Zoom but not the team. The longer this goes on the more I doubt my initial guess, which was Shoop or a family member has a pre-existing condition and have to quarantine through all of this. Unless Harbaugh is punishing him for that, which would be really shitty, but also not something Warde or the regents would stand for.

The other thing I thought it could plausibly be is some kind of Title IX (ie non-criminal sexual harassment) investigation, which would explain why Shoop is separated from the team but not fired since you can't fire someone for that until you complete the investigation. But those investigations go quickly because there isn't much to investigate, so the more time passes the less likely that one is too, especially when it's affecting the team. 

I just don't know. I'm really at a complete loss here, and my speculation is as good as yours.

MI blue in OH

December 1st, 2020 at 12:57 PM ^

If we are teaching defensive basics, let’s try this . . If you grab the runner by the shoulders, the feet keep moving, if you wrap up their knees, the feet quit moving.  We don’t do much good on defense, but we SUCK at tackling. 

PopeLando

December 1st, 2020 at 1:46 PM ^

I'm nowhere near an expert on defense or scheme, but this seems to answer the main question I had last weekend: if there are 3 receivers to one side of the field, why oh why are there only two defenders there when the ball goes to guy #3?

Answer seems to be the safeties not recognizing what's in front of their faces.

Carcajou

December 1st, 2020 at 2:01 PM ^

A couple of things.

Hill doesn't backpedal well, and he overplays the out/fade, freeing up the slant. He already had outside leverage by alignment (because he had a safety over the top to the inside), Dax should have just maintained that leverage,not widened, and defenders should always honor the inside moves or fakes over outside ones. (If receivers sight adjust to blitzes, they are most likely to go where the blitzers came from (inside), so either the FS or the DB should be alert to this)..

In the zone drops, you probably aren't going to completely stop all the short pass into the areas between zones - in Halves coverage the CB has to reroute #1 to give the safety time to get deep over the top of it, and with Tampa 2 the LB has Hook to Curl so it's more like three deep, four under. (And the Out on the fumble/not fumble was more like a Turn or 'Stick' route in the Curl zone rather than the Flat). But in zone coverage, the eyes should be on the QB, and when he stops dropping (especially on 3-step/1-step from the gun), the underneath backers should stop dropping and get width instead.

On the runs, besides the poor tackling, some of the bad fills are being created by a DL that is getting out-leveraged (poor pad level), getting turned and/or pushed back, and not holding gaps and squeezing adjacent gaps.

MGoStrength

December 1st, 2020 at 2:14 PM ^

Probably could use a coach there.

I really hate to ask this question.  I mean really hate to ask this question.  I fundamentally already have an answer, but it's worth giving the question a consideration.  Is it possible that JH did not run off our best QB (Dylan), if covid didn't happen (Ambry, Nico, & Dylan were on the team and we had a normal offseason and fall camp of practices), we had a full staff of coaches, and we didn't get decimated by injuries (Hayes, Mayfield, McGrone, Hutch, & Paye were healthy) that JH and this team wouldn't look incompetent?  Because if so there's probably reason to pause before firing him.  Never mind, I'm sill ready to move on because he lost the locker room.  But, IF and I mean IF he returns in 2021, we have a full coaching staff and a full allotment of practices and games, we are healthy, and we get back the key juniors like Hutch & McGrone, could things be better next year?

TrueBlue2003

December 1st, 2020 at 7:45 PM ^

The cupboard is certainly not bare and any new coach would inherit a good situation.  There are a lot of health issues and extenuating circumstances making this year tough. 

And there is reason for optimism even if JH is still around but I would think he'd need to find a new DL coach, obviously find a good safety coach, probably hire a new OC and actually let him coach if they want to win more than 9ish games.  That's a lot of if's.  And getting guys like McGrone and Hutch back would obviously be massive.