Weekend Betting - Week 11

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on November 8th, 2019 at 10:01 PM

Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.  I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):

 

(Last week record: 1-7 ; Overall season record: 35-38-3)...yup, one of the worst betting Saturdays I've had in a while.  Wasn't fun. S

 

Saturday games:

Baylor at TCU, Noon: Baylor -2.5

East Carolina at SMU, Noon:  East Carolina +21.5

Georgia Tech at Virginia, 12:30pm:  Georgia Tech +15.5

Louisville at Miami, 3:30pm:  Louisville +7

App St at South Carolina, 7pm : Over 51 points

Clemson at NC St 7:30pm: Clemson -33

Iowa St at Oklahoma, 8pm:  Under 67

Wyoming at Boise St  ,10:15pm,  Boise St -13

 

 

Notable spreads of discussion:

Michigan St currently sits as a 14 point favorite over Illinois (at MSU)

Ohio St currently sits a a 42.5 point favorite over Maryland (at OSU)

Alabama currently sits as a 5.5 point favorite over LSU (at Alabama)

Penn St currently sits as a 7 point favorite over Minnesota (at Minnesota)

 

Other lines:

https://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline/college-football/

Durham Blue

November 8th, 2019 at 11:30 PM ^

Holy crap with all the Bama and PSU life savings bets.  Sorry guys, I have LSU to win and Minny + points.  The cold in Minnesota will freeze Franklin's brain more than it is frozen at the present time.  PSU lays an egg and the boat will be rowed on the ice.

MGOTokyo

November 9th, 2019 at 4:08 AM ^

Hey Pal, if you go 1-7, you shouldn't be wasting our time with your threads.  Or, perhaps just list the betting lines without your picks.

AMazinBlue

November 9th, 2019 at 8:10 AM ^

Not sure what Vegas was thinking with MSU.  I would be all over Illinois at +14 and OSU -42.5.  My head says Ped State will destroy Minnesota, but my heart wants Fleck to row the boat up Franklin's ass.

The Denarding

November 9th, 2019 at 10:27 AM ^

I primarily do NBA, college basketball and the NFL - primarily because I can’t find a really good NCAA dataset but that Illinois line (I’ve even seen a half point hook to 14.5) makes no sense.   Vegas is rarely that far off - I’m going to look at the under as that ends up being telling of the line itself 

The Denarding

November 9th, 2019 at 9:32 PM ^

Yeah I went big bet (Full Kelly) on Minnesota on the moneyline and blended with the points then did Illini to do the same at half Kelly.   I just felt the 14.5 when you have a 47 o/u indicates that Sparty will win offensively which as inefficient as they are seemed highly improbable.  I didn’t touch the LSU game as the line seemed appropriate given the efficiencies of the two teams beforehand but in game bet Alabama plus 6.5.    I lost on TCU which honestly I deserved to as I took the moneyline once it dropped to 1.5.   
 

I immediately regretted my Sparty decision for the same reason you didn’t touch it.   Then wouldn’t you know the cone back from 25 down to win.    It’s why it’s a portfolio man.   You get back door covers and bad beats.   Just hope to make money overall.