The Vig: Week 5 recap. How did your bets go last week?
October 4th, 2021 at 3:13 PM ^
Ran well on Saturday.
Wins included 2 boosted parlays of PSU/BC and UGA/Pitt (money line).
I tried hedging with both night games and lost - got IU +20.5 in the second quarter and Clemson -6.5. So, that cut into my winnings.
Then I totally hit a wall with NFL yesterday so I came out a little ahead for the weekend, but not by much.
I placed a lot of free bets early in the week for Wisconsin to win (ML). Obviously, very happy to lose those. I’m not touching UM/Nebraska this weekend.
October 4th, 2021 at 3:17 PM ^
Had a good week at 10-5. Gladly was wrong on Michigan.
Winners: UConn, MSU, PSU, Cinci, Ark/GA under and Louisville/Wake over parlay, KSU, BC, Texas, Bama, Nebraska.
Losers: Fresno, Oregon, Michigan, Iowa/MD under, VA/Miami over
October 4th, 2021 at 3:21 PM ^
7-2
WON:
MSU -10.5
BC +16.5
KSU +10.5
OSU -14.5
OVER 57.5 ULM@ Coastal
Texas -4.5
M ML (-114)
LOST:
WVU +215 (live bet while they were down 14-0)
+4507 parlay because wake played with their food and oregon...woof.
October 4th, 2021 at 3:41 PM ^
Down a little, but I don't put up much money.
Won
Mich ML +110
OD/UTEP over 48.5
Small Parlay Cinci ML and NMSU +27.5
Lost
Ark +18
Army -6.5
My longshot parlay (IU +330, KSU +330, Ole Miss +475)
O/U parlay
and late night parlay of UCLA ML and Fresno -11.5
October 4th, 2021 at 4:19 PM ^
5-3. Game below .500 on the season record. Time to get over the hump next week.
LSU -3.5 - L
Indiana/Penn St under 53.5 - W
Mississippi St +7 - W
UAB -2 - L
LaTech +21 - W
Army -9.5 - L
Nevada +7 - W
Arkansas./Georgia Under 48.5 - W
October 4th, 2021 at 5:16 PM ^
Been getting my ass handed to me on 3 team 10 point teasers. I always go 2/3.
October 4th, 2021 at 5:39 PM ^
Best weekend of the year (except golf bets). 18-11 on college. Bama was my big winner for first half and full game. Nice parlay ATS with Nebraska, Penn St., and BC.
October 4th, 2021 at 5:45 PM ^
Do you usually bet close to 30 college football games each weekend?
No judgement if so, but am just curious. I know some cappers that do that and I am not against that strategy if you adjust your unit size and really follow the sport, so I'm not against it if it fits with someone's betting style and can make it work.
October 4th, 2021 at 8:34 PM ^
I am not a very smart gambler. I usually bet about five games of 50 to 100 dollars. The rest range from 5 - 20. I did 17 NFL bets (some are player props) yesterday. I find myself doing too many in game bets. As I was watching Penn St. roll Indiana, I kept doing 5 dollar bets all the way up to -19.5. I enjoy the challenge and the money I am playing with is budgeted for entertainment. I quit drinking so no Urban Meyer entertainment for me. Just extremely low stakes gambling.
I started the season with 750 spread over two accounts and will play until I run out or the season ends.
I do a little bit of research (reading and podcasts and the Smooth Jimmy lock) and watch way too much football. I was down or even the first 3 weeks. The last 2 weeks were good and I am now up 300ish for the season. Won’t last long.
October 4th, 2021 at 9:18 PM ^
How did you like Smooth Jimmy's kick return TD for KSU for the back door cover?
You're welcome.
October 4th, 2021 at 10:00 PM ^
I doubted Smooth Jimmy one week. Never again. I fully admit that KSU was not on my radar until you gave the lock. Nice win!
October 5th, 2021 at 1:25 AM ^
I find myself playing live dealer blackjack at Bovada to try to win back my sports gambling losses. This strategy has worked out OK for me this year. I love how blackjack can be streaky. I hate how blackjack can be streaky.
October 5th, 2021 at 1:52 PM ^
I tried live dealer roulette on FanDuel, and it just felt...janky...
I dunno if it was the video quality (looked straight out of the 90s), the fact that I honestly couldn't tell if it was "live" or pre-recorded, or what. But as someone who prefers in-person table games to virtual or electronic ones, I was surprised how much I disliked it. Actually much prefer FanDuel's regular (i.e. not live dealer) American Roulette game. Not that I play it often, but I don't know that I'd ever do the live dealer roulette again unless I had a bonus or some kind of incentive to.
October 4th, 2021 at 5:46 PM ^
Michigan ML +105. I felt like an idiot as I was placing it right before kickoff. That feeling turned quickly!
I see that we are laying 3 to Nebraska. I may just have to let it ride…
Go Blue!
October 4th, 2021 at 8:40 PM ^
3 of my 11 losses were variations of Wisconsin bets. Happy to lose that money and will bet on Nebraska when the line goes up a little more. It helps me cope. I often bet on Sparty and OSU as another coping mechanism.
October 4th, 2021 at 8:46 PM ^
I locked in a few bets for this weekend.
Coastal Carolina -17.5 over Arkansas St,
Texas +3.5 over Oklahoma
Georgia -14 over Auburn
UCLA -16 over Arizona
UTSA +2.5 over Western Kentucky
2 team parlay Central -5 and Miami OH -1.5
I have a soft spot for Coastal and UTSA.
October 4th, 2021 at 9:13 PM ^
Had 10 leg parlay that hit…but cashed out early(??♂️) because I was nervous about Auburn coming back on LSU.
October 5th, 2021 at 1:18 AM ^
You can't lead with that without giving the money stats. What was your parlay wager and what was your early payout. And what would've been the payout had you not pulled out too quick?
A 10-leg parlay is a serious revenue stream. The biggest I ever won was six and I felt really fortunate to get it. Got a six-leg twice. I've attempted 10+ legs and never came close.
October 5th, 2021 at 12:32 AM ^
I covered on Louisiana tech, Boston college, Mississippi state, Stanford, and Minnesota and won on Nevada and ASU outright. I didn’t cover on Duke, Michigan/Wisky under (a bet I NEVED make….uggh O/U bets), western Kentucky and Mississippi. Yds/play difference net of SOS is still a relevant metric to use to bet along with site specific info. Fewer arbitrages as the weeks progress sadly - markets get smarter.
so far this week I like Stanford plus 11.5 - though I LOVE ASU this should be a one possession game. I will look at the rest as the week goes on but that one jumped out at me.
October 5th, 2021 at 1:16 AM ^
Biggest win was Michigan moneyline. I also won Texas -4.5.
I don't want to talk about anything else (fuck Notre Dame, Ole Miss and Arkansas).
October 5th, 2021 at 9:06 AM ^
As usual, I never lost a bet