OT: Weekend Betting - Week 11

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on November 10th, 2023 at 5:28 PM

Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for the weekend's slate of games.  I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):

 

(Previous week record: 5-4; Overall season record: 42-42)

 

Saturday games:

Virginia Tech at Boston College, 12pm:  Boston College +1

Alabama at Kentucky, 12pm: Kentucky +11

App St at Georgia St, 12pm: Over 62.5

NC St at Wake Forest, 2pm:  Wake Forest +2

Memphis at Charlotte, 2pm:  Charlotte +10.5

Tennessee at Missouri, 3:30pm:  Tennessee -2 

Oklahoma St at Central Florida, 3:30pm:  Central Florida +2.5

Minnesota at Purdue, 3:30pm:  Purdue +1.5

Duke at North Carolina , 8pm:  North Carolina -13

Fresno St at San Jose St, 10:30pm:  San Jose St -1

 

Notable spreads of discussion:

Michigan currently sits as a 4.5 point favorite over Penn St; Over/Under is 44.5

Ohio St currently sits as a 31.5 point favorite over Michigan St (at OSU)

Florida St currently sits as a 14 point favorite over Miami (at Florida St)

Tennessee currently sits as a 3 point favorite over Missouri (at Missouri )

Washington currently sits as a 8 point favorite over Utah (at Washington). 

Georgia currently sits as an 10.5 point favorite over Ole Miss (at Georgia). 

Oregon currently sits as a 15 point favorite over USC (at Oregon

 

 

Other lines:

https://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline/college-football/

NittanyFan

November 11th, 2023 at 12:28 AM ^

San Jose State had a pretty good October --- they should have won at Boise State and were a bit unlucky to lose that one.

They will also have a sold out stadium for this one.  That's highly unusual for SJSU, but they have some excitement behind their program right now. 

Fresno is their rival, and back 10 Novembers ago they took out a Top 25 unbeaten team (this year's Fresno version is also Top 25, but 1 loss) that was heading toward a BCS Bowl.

Anyway - to answer your questions, no Fresno injuries.  SJSU is in a good spot, and I think they win this one.  I'm with the OP, the Spartans are my play. 

UM94AF

November 10th, 2023 at 9:08 PM ^

I have been wanting to start a new thread to comment on any Vegas reaction, but I think I'm a little too new (as a commentor) to be an OP. That said I was wondering if tonight's news has shifted any lines in either direction with respect to tomorrow, the Big Ten Championship, or the national championship

NittanyFan

November 11th, 2023 at 12:45 AM ^

2-3 last week after 4-0 the week before.  Let's try again:

  • SJSU -2 vs Fresno State.  Explained my rationale upstream.
  • Missouri +2.5 vs Tennessee.  I think Missouri is a better team than UT: both talent AND coaching.  And I get them as a home underdog?  I'm taking that.  If Mizzo wins this one likely finish 10-2 and they'll be in the picture for a NYD6 Bowl bid: that would be a truly great season for the Tigers.
  • Miami FLA +14.5 at Florida State.  That's a whole lot of points, and Miami, for all their issues, still has a whole lot of talent.  Feels like a "last stand to make our season great" game for Miami.  Miami was blown out in Tallahassee in 2013 by an elite FSU team.  But outside of that, they've never lost by 5+ in Tallahassee since 1997.
  • Auburn +2.5 at Arkansas.  I know Arkansas had a nice win last week at Florida.  But their UGLY 7-3 home loss to Mississippi State wasn't that long ago.  I also feel Arkansas' advanced metrics are propped up a bit by "close" losses to Alabama, Ole Miss and LSU that weren't really that close.  Auburn has started rolling downhill the past couple weeks, I think this spread under-values them.
  • Colorado State -3.5 vs San Diego State.  Some teams quit once the calendar turns to November.  Feels like the Aztecs have been doing that.  Brady's job is legitimately in trouble.  CSU has lost 3 in a row but they haven't quit - a spirited effort in a tight loss to Wyoming last week.  Bowl eligibility is still on the table for the Rams, they win & cover.