OT: Belichick Out In New England At End Of Season?

Submitted by Michfan777 on December 12th, 2023 at 7:15 PM

According to NBC Sports Boston’s Tom E. Curran, the decision about Belichick’s future has already been made by team owner Robert Kraft.

Speaking during a Monday interview on the Arbella Early Edition program, Curran explained the timeline and details of what he’d heard. Asked if there was a chance Belichick could keep his job with the Patriots beyond the current season, he spelled it out.

“When they came out of [the 10-6 loss to the Colts on Nov. 12 in] Germany, conversations I had that week made it very clear that a decision was made,” said Curran. “They were going to play out the string, and at the end of the year, there would be a parting of the ways for a variety of reasons.”

Linky Poo

bronxblue

December 12th, 2023 at 9:28 PM ^

Belichick the coach is still pretty good but he's a mediocre-to-bad GM and Brady covered up for that a number of years.  I think he can still win in this league but the Patriots just don't have the type of talent you need to do so without an amazing QB.

BlueMk1690

December 12th, 2023 at 10:18 PM ^

I think when they kept Brady and sent Jimmy G packing, the writing was kind of on the wall. Brady would stick around for a couple more years and the Pats would need to have a replacement by then. They didn't have one for understandable reasons. Then they made a bet on Mac Jones. It didn't really work out. The NFL is designed to have teams rise and fall, and without replacing Brady with a top 10 starter the team was always going to take a nosedive.

The Pats had to ask themselves then if they wanted Belichick be the one to do the rebuild. I guess that sounded good in theory but perhaps less good when the team loses every week and a market with 30 somethings who've never known a losing football team starts complaining bitterly.

I don't think it detracts from the core of Belichick's legacy really. It was inevitable it'd end this way when he didn't take any of the obvious chances to retire at the top.

 

NittanyFan

December 12th, 2023 at 10:20 PM ^

I can see how this one plays out:

  • New England lets Belichick go at the end of the regular season.
  • Dallas plays San Francisco at some point in the playoffs.
  • San Francisco beats Dallas 41-10 in that playoff game.
  • Jerry Jones becomes irate after the beatdown, and fires Mike McCarthy.
  • Jones offer Belichick something crazy like $50MM a year to become Cowboys HC - Bill takes it.

I don't anticipate Dallas wins a Super Bowl after that, but Jones - who is getting old himself (he's now 81) has to feel the clock ticking himself.

Michfan777

December 13th, 2023 at 1:29 AM ^

If he is done in NE, he’s 100% chasing 3-4 years to get to the all-time wins record. Currently he is 27 behind Shula for the lead.

I could see the Cowboys as a definite landing spot. I also wonder about the 49ers if they start to tire of Shanahan if he flames out in the playoffs again.

The only other places with tons of potential that might see a vacancy would likely be the LA Chargers and the Bills. The Chargers are pretty stacked, and few coaches in recent memory have done less with more than Brandon Staley. How he wasn’t fired last off-season or this season yet is beyond words. The Bills are similarly stacked, but are on a downswing of late and McDermott might be on a short leash. In addition, Bill might like the opportunity to stick it to Kraft 2x per year.

Tennessee or Washington are also options as places if he wants to try one more rebuild with places he was born/raised around. Though, I highly doubt that interests him since he’s on borrowed time as a head coach.

blueinbeantown

December 12th, 2023 at 10:45 PM ^

"Click Bait Curran" is about as reliable as "Fake News Florio"!  Anything to be part of the story.  This loser should get down on his hand and knees, put his ample ass in the air and thank god that Belichick and Brady arrived when they did.  Instead of cashing checks on becoming a "cottage industry as a Pats insider!!" this useless POS hack would still be covering Marshfield v Duxbury on Friday nights for the Patriot Ledger. 

WolverineGoneTerp

December 12th, 2023 at 10:52 PM ^

The Brady/Belichick era had a secret weapon beyond a great QB and head coach:  They played in a very weak division.  For almost all of the Patriots "golden era," the Dolphins, Jets and Bills were weak teams--so the path to a division championship was easier for them than most of the rest of the league.

Add in those six games against weak opponents, and the door was open to a high playoff seed.  (5-1 in the division and 6-4 in other games gets to 11-5, for example).

I think the benefit of this is very underrated in looking at Brady and Belichick's careers.  I also don't think it's an accident that Brady headed to the NFC South when he left NE.

Solecismic

December 13th, 2023 at 12:08 AM ^

When playing outside of the division during Brady's run, AFC East teams had a .465 record. That's about 3-4 wins over average expectancy for his entire career. Even a .465 team has a decent chance to beat a solid team at home.

The Patriots went 136-44 outside of the division during Brady's run (.756). The benefit of playing slightly weaker in-division opponents was negligible. They earned all of their rings.

WolverineGoneTerp

December 13th, 2023 at 3:09 PM ^

Not saying their rings aren't earned.  They played and won the games on their schedule, and then won in the playoffs.  But it's also not like they played the Ravens and Steelers four games a year either.  Their biggest division rival is the Dolphins, who won 15 games against them 2002-2022, which is more than the Jets and Bills combined.

One's view might depend how you add up the numbers.  Here's the history according to an Athletic article from 2022:

AFC East: Patriots, Tom Brady dominate

Wins: Patriots 91, Bills 53, Dolphins 51, Jets 45.

Division titles: Patriots 16, Bills 2, Jets 1, Dolphins 1.

Super Bowl wins: Patriots 5.

To no surprise, the Patriots have been the NFL’s dominant franchise over the last 20 years. Their first Super Bowl came in 2001, right before realignment, but they’ve been to eight Super Bowls and won five in this span. They have two of the most lopsided division rivalries in the NFL, going 33-7 against the Bills and Jets. Their supremacy leads to the other three teams having a losing record in division — Buffalo has the consolation of going 26-14 against Miami, though the Dolphins had more wins against the Patriots (15) than the Jets and Bills combined. Largely from the Patriots’ success, the AFC East has the best combined non-division record of any NFL division since 2002, with a .534 winning percentage.

Solecismic

December 13th, 2023 at 12:03 AM ^

Tom Brady was an all-time great quarterback, but Bill Belichick is also an all-time great coach. His teams were often better on defense than offense. His innovations with defensive personnel have helped define the modern game.

Mac Jones is not a good quarterback. Bailey Zappe has some skills, but no sense of the pocket. So he's had a couple of bad years now. Many decent teams have struggled when the quarterback room had no good option.

Belichick is 71. That's a lot older than Shula or Landry were when they retired. He and Pete Carroll are closing in on the mark for oldest head coach in NFL history (73). I don't know how they do it - maybe Belichick can't do as much as he used to do.

Average coach? Nonsense. Absolute nonsense. He's going to be in HoF, very much deserved.

Michfan777

December 13th, 2023 at 1:32 AM ^

Pete Carroll is the biggest surprise. I figured he was going to stay in the NFL for a couple of years as a mediocre coach in Seattle before either retiring to the booth or going back to college once the smoke had cleared from the USC stuff.

I never thought he’d be finishing his 14th season in Seattle at this point. 

Don

December 13th, 2023 at 3:22 AM ^

Belichick could have retired after winning the Super Bowl for the 2018 season. He was already 66, and his reputation as perhaps the greatest coach in NFL history was secure. He certainly knew that Brady wasn’t going to last forever, and retiring then would have meant going out on top. Nobody would have faulted him for calling it quits. He would have been a hero in NE forever. He certainly didn’t need the money.

Instead, he keeps coaching. Brady leaves, the team gradually worsens to the point of missing the playoffs, and now people are pointing to his non-Brady record as “proof” that all those SB wins were more due to Brady than Belichick, and he’s going to get dumped by the franchise he led to all those wins.

uferfan

December 13th, 2023 at 7:54 AM ^

Take away his shiny things and he’s a really mediocre coach. I think his stint with the Browns further proves that.

As Detective Phoebe O’Hara said in Kindergarten Cop: “You’re not so tough without your car.”

WestQuad

December 13th, 2023 at 8:54 AM ^

The formula for winning championships is a complex formula that everyone is always 

w1​x1​+w2​x2​+…+wn​xn​+b=0

Each element of a football team has a weight and each element has a size.  The head football coach and QB always have a big weight.  Brady is the GOAT.  You don't get bigger than Brady.  Belichick is one of the best defensive coordinators ever and he is in the top tier for head football coaches too. He is pretty big as well.   You need both to win.  The Belichick is nothing without Brady bit is dumb.  It is like saying Harbaugh is nothing without Andrew Luck.  Well, give him JJ McCarthy and he looks pretty good too.