Ohio State 29 over Iowa, Penn State 4.5 over Minny; Other Lines of Interest
As we get to sit back and enjoy watching some other games this weekend, here are some lines of interest:
Ohio State 29 over Iowa
Wisconsin 2 over Purdue
Penn State 4.5 over Minnesota
TCU 4.5 over Kansas State
Oregon 6 over UCLA
Clemson 13.5 over Syracuse
Baylor 8.5 over Kansas
Rutgers 3 over Indiana
Notre Dame 24 over UNLV
Maryland 13.5 over Northwestern
And the game of the week:
Colorado State 5.5 over Hawaii
October 17th, 2022 at 2:06 PM ^
I like Iowa getting 29. OSU knows that Iowa's only hope is to get a bunch of picks, so they'll play it safe and probably close up shop once they get up 24-0 or so.
October 17th, 2022 at 4:53 PM ^
I think you're on to something here. This game sort of reminds me of the ND-OSU game when ND just wasn't going - at any cost - to let OSU beat them deep as they were dropping their safeties the whole game which forced OSU to run the ball in the 2nd half - and they pounded it down NDs throat. By the end of the game that ND was exhausted. OSU is just as good running the ball with Henderson and that #3 (can't think of his name) as they are passing.
I think you see OSU forced - by Iowa - into a ground attack much like the ND game which will keep the score down - something like 28-7 ......31 -10 or thereabouts. I'm thinking OSU doesn't cover the spread.
October 17th, 2022 at 12:20 PM ^
I'll take Hawaii and the points in the game of the week.
October 17th, 2022 at 12:20 PM ^
Syracuse +13.5 is tempting.
October 17th, 2022 at 12:33 PM ^
Ohio State - Iowa is interesting. Iowa might give OSU's defense some trouble...but they also probably will not get into the double digits on offense
I'll take Clemson handily over Syracuse. Syracuse has looked fine, but I dont think they're hanging with Clemson
October 17th, 2022 at 12:48 PM ^
Based on how Iowa played Michigan, I think their defense is just too passive “do one thing well” to slow down OSU much. You need to take some risks and do some weird stuff to get them off the field. Suspect OSU moves the ball in smaller than usual chunks but basically at will, and wins something like 32-10.
October 17th, 2022 at 12:38 PM ^
That Penn State line feels like an overreaction. Minnesota is not good. Maybe PSU has a letdown, but that’s a must win game for them and they have the talent to do that. And at PSU at night? Should be a 12 point spread honestly.
October 17th, 2022 at 12:50 PM ^
29 seems a bit high for OSU-Iowa. I don't have the most recent SP+, but last week's numbers put the spread around 22.
October 17th, 2022 at 12:52 PM ^
I watched Syracuse play Virginia. My eye test says Syracuse is pretty bad. If it is competitive it is just another data point that Clemson is overrated and the ACC is terrible.
October 17th, 2022 at 1:04 PM ^
Time to bet the farm on the Buckeyes.
That one won't be close.
October 17th, 2022 at 1:19 PM ^
I don't think 'Cuse is going to win, but it would make me happy if the "ACC raid of the Big East" sees two late Big East teams win back to back league titles and make it look more like a "Big East takeover of the ACC from the inside out, next step: invite WVU and play more Thursday night games"
October 17th, 2022 at 1:29 PM ^
Iowa will be an interesting matchup for OSU - the Buckeyes should be able to house them but if they're dealing with injuries in the backfield I could see the Hawkeyes makes this annoying for a quarter to a half. Illinois has a really good defense so I do think they made Minnesota look worse than they are but Penn St. is still a pretty good team and my guess is they show up after this performance.
TCU is 3-0 in 1-score games and one of them was playing Kansas's backup QB. I don't have a ton of faith in KSU but they are good at keeping games close (4 of their 6 games have a margin of 9 points or less) and Martinez is dangerous running the ball.
Clemson remains an enigma to me - people made a big deal about them beating Wake and NC State but neither of those teams look like world-beaters and both gave Clemson all they could handle. Syracuse is the least impressive undefeated team I've seen in a while but maybe they have some more magic?
October 17th, 2022 at 1:57 PM ^
Bronx Blue. I agree with everything you say, except I think Iowa might find a way to play spoiler and PSU is gonna cry gopher tears (I actually think this depends on Ibrahim's health).
October 17th, 2022 at 1:30 PM ^
Iowa +29 is really tempting.
October 17th, 2022 at 1:30 PM ^
My picks in order of confidence:
KSU
Maryland
Purdue
Clemson
Baylor
UCLA
PSU
OSU
CSU
UNLV
Rutgers
October 17th, 2022 at 1:48 PM ^
And the game of the week:
Colorado State 5.5 over Hawaii
You mean game of the weak
October 17th, 2022 at 2:01 PM ^
ill take Michigan and lay the points against Bye Week
October 17th, 2022 at 2:34 PM ^
I'm interested in the teams that are undefeated - and, the potential for a loss. I believe there are nine (9) undefeated teams at this time.
We know that at least one undefeated team will have a blemish on their record when Saturday's football comes to an end. In no particular order.
1 and 2. Syracuse at Clemson. One team will fall from the ranks of the undefeated.
3. The Bucks - have Iowa, and though the Bucks may not cover, they will win at home.
4. Tennessee hosts UT Martin. No way the Vols lose this one.
5. Ole Miss travels to face Brian Kelly's LSU Tigers.
6. UCLA visits Eugene, Oregon and deals with both Game Day and the Ducks.
7. TCU hosts Kansas State.
8. Michigan gets to watch from the comfort of their "favorite place" as they prepare for the Spartans trip to Ann Arbor.
9. Georgia has a bye, and gets ready for Florida in the world's largest cocktail party on the 29th.
Enjoy...
October 17th, 2022 at 2:37 PM ^
I'm rooting for the underdog in almost all cases.
October 17th, 2022 at 2:39 PM ^
Can’t say any of those spreads surprise me. All seem to be about right
October 17th, 2022 at 2:51 PM ^
How bad is UNLV? lol ND sucks.
October 17th, 2022 at 3:12 PM ^
Though UNLV lost at Cal (yes, Cal as in Berkeley) by six points earlier this season, they have a 4-3 record with the other two losses being at San Jose State and hosting Air Force.
It would be fantastic to see the Rebels reach down and find what it takes to leave South Bend with a win.